This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.27
1.87
0.87
1.47
1.67
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
6.00
vs Similar (25)
1.68
0.92
1.77
0.77
1.58
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
2.33
2.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.2%
Under 1.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
5.4%
Diosgyori VTK goals ↓
Paks goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
5.4%
4.8%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.1%
12%
7.9%
3.9%
1.5%
2
5.9%
8.8%
6.5%
3.3%
1.2%
3
3.2%
4.8%
3.6%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.3%
2.0%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Diosgyori VTK goals (down), columns = Paks goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.24
Paks
1.76
Puskas Academy
1.67
Fehérvár FC
1.64
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Diosgyori VTK
1.36
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Ujpest
1.12
Kisvarda FC
0.94
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.64
Diosgyori VTK is 0.39 points worse than Paks in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.42
Puskas Academy
1.82
Fehérvár FC
1.67
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.64
Paks
1.55
Diosgyori VTK
1.52
Debreceni VSC
1.48
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Ujpest
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.94
Diosgyori VTK is 0.03 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.91
Puskas Academy
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.21
Paks
1.27
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
1.70
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.82
MTK Budapest
1.88
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.91
Ujpest
2.03
Diosgyori VTK is 0.42 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.27).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
65%
Debreceni VSC
57%
Puskas Academy
52%
Diosgyori VTK
52%
Kecskeméti TE
49%
Ujpest
49%
Fehérvár FC
48%
Mezokovesd-zsory
48%
MTK Budapest
47%
Kisvarda FC
47%
Paks
45%
Zalaegerszegi TE
39%
Diosgyori VTK is 6.9 percentage points better than Paks in terms of average possession (52% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Diosgyori VTK
For 4.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paks
For 5.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 17.1 · Total 31.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Diosgyori VTK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.7
10.4
1.8
1.7
1.9
25.1
21.8
29.2
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
5.0
5.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
10.8
10.2
11.4
2.2
2.1
2.3
24.5
21.8
29.0
vs Weaker (14)
9.0
14.0
6.5
0.6
0.3
1.0
30.0
-
30.0
% over line
53%
67%
40%
24%
27%
21%
78%
60%
100%
% under line
47%
33%
60%
76%
73%
79%
22%
40%
0%
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.3
11.4
3.8
3.7
3.8
31.7
35.0
28.4
vs Stronger (5)
11.8
12.3
10.0
6.2
7.0
5.0
40.0
40.0
-
vs Similar (38)
11.6
11.1
12.1
3.6
3.1
4.1
30.2
33.8
26.8
vs Weaker (7)
9.7
11.0
8.3
2.9
4.3
1.8
35.0
-
35.0
% over line
76%
80%
72%
52%
48%
56%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
24%
20%
28%
48%
52%
44%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
11.6
Zalaegerszegi TE
10.7
Diosgyori VTK
10.5
Kecskeméti TE
10.2
Ferencvarosi TC
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.8
Mezokovesd-zsory
9.8
Fehérvár FC
9.5
Debreceni VSC
9.4
MTK Budapest
9.4
Puskas Academy
9.3
Ujpest
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Puskas Academy
5.2
Fehérvár FC
5.2
Paks
5.0
Kecskeméti TE
5.0
Ferencvarosi TC
4.8
Ujpest
4.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.5
Debreceni VSC
4.3
Mezokovesd-zsory
4.2
Kisvarda FC
4.2
Diosgyori VTK
4.1
MTK Budapest
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
31.7
Puskas Academy
29.6
Kecskeméti TE
28.6
Debreceni VSC
28.2
Mezokovesd-zsory
27.5
Ujpest
26.1
Diosgyori VTK
25.1
Kisvarda FC
25.1
Zalaegerszegi TE
25.0
Ferencvarosi TC
24.6
MTK Budapest
22.8
Fehérvár FC
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.5%
Under 9.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.8%
Under 3.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
77.2%
Under 21.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Diosgyori VTK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.57
0.83
0.50
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.93
0.13
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
3.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
6.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.44
0.92
0.08
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Diosgyori VTK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.90
1.00
0.69
1.07
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.91
1.08
0.75
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.83
0.67
0.33
1.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
0.93
0.73
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.48
0.85
0.69
0.92
0.25
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Diosgyori VTK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vince Fekete33%
Franchu22%
Dániel Gera19%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš19%
Bright Edomwonyi18%
Levente Szabó17%
Vladislav Klimovich14%
Csaba Szatmári12%
Gábor Jurek12%
Ágoston Bényei12%
Pernambuco11%
Elton Acolatse10%
Godfrey Bitok Stephen0%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski0%
Marco Lund0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Dániel Lukács0%
Dániel Farkas0%
Szilárd Bokros0%
Gergő Holdampf0%
Doru Popadiuc0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Artem Odintsov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Doru Popadiuc40%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski33%
Dániel Gera25%
Gábor Jurek25%
Godfrey Bitok Stephen24%
Marco Lund21%
Csaba Szatmári19%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš19%
Argyris Kampetsis17%
Alex Vallejo12%
Ágoston Bényei12%
Franchu11%
Szilárd Bokros9%
Levente Szabó8%
Vladislav Klimovich7%
Artem Odintsov6%
Bright Edomwonyi6%
Gergő Holdampf6%
Elton Acolatse0%
Dániel Lukács0%
Dániel Farkas0%
Pernambuco0%
Vince Fekete0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dániel Lukács33%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš19%
Bright Edomwonyi18%
Ágoston Bényei12%
Levente Szabó8%
Marco Lund7%
Dániel Gera6%
Godfrey Bitok Stephen6%
Gergő Holdampf6%
Pernambuco6%
Franchu0%
Vladislav Klimovich0%
Elton Acolatse0%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Csaba Szatmári0%
Dániel Farkas0%
Szilárd Bokros0%
Doru Popadiuc0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Artem Odintsov0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Vince Fekete0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dániel Gera19%
Levente Szabó17%
Bright Edomwonyi12%
Franchu11%
Pernambuco11%
Elton Acolatse10%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš6%
Ágoston Bényei6%
Godfrey Bitok Stephen0%
Vladislav Klimovich0%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski0%
Marco Lund0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Csaba Szatmári0%
Dániel Lukács0%
Dániel Farkas0%
Szilárd Bokros0%
Gergő Holdampf0%
Doru Popadiuc0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Artem Odintsov0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Vince Fekete0%
Paks
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Norbert Könyves40%
József Windecker31%
János Hahn15%
Bálint Szabó13%
Szabolcs Mezei13%
Kristóf Papp10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Balázs Balogh7%
János Szabó7%
Bence Lenzsér6%
Dániel Böde5%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Alen Skribek0%
Barna Tóth0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Krisztián Kovács0%
Kevin Horvath0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bence Lenzsér31%
Ákos Kinyik30%
Krisztián Kovács29%
Bálint Szabó27%
János Hahn23%
József Windecker23%
Barna Tóth20%
Bálint Vécsei20%
Attila Osváth19%
Kristóf Papp15%
Norbert Könyves15%
Norbert Szélpál14%
Kevin Horvath14%
Szabolcs Mezei13%
János Szabó13%
Gabor Vas13%
Dániel Böde10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Balázs Balogh7%
Péter Szappanos6%
Alen Skribek0%
Erik Silye0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alen Skribek29%
Kristóf Papp15%
Dániel Böde10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Bálint Szabó7%
Szabolcs Mezei7%
Balázs Balogh7%
János Szabó7%
Krisztián Kovács6%
Norbert Könyves5%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Barna Tóth0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Hahn0%
József Windecker0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Horvath0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norbert Könyves35%
József Windecker31%
Dániel Böde14%
Barna Tóth10%
János Hahn8%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Bálint Szabó7%
Krisztián Kovács6%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Szabolcs Mezei0%
Alen Skribek0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Balázs Balogh0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Szabó0%
Kristóf Papp0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Horvath0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
Diosgyori VTK's squad is €5m less valuable than Paks's (€3m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
Diosgyori VTK's attack is €2m less valuable than Paks's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
Diosgyori VTK's midfield is €1m less valuable than Paks's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
Diosgyori VTK's defence is €2m less valuable than Paks's (€1m vs €4m).
Hungary: NB I 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Puskas Academy
Fehérvár FC
Debreceni VSC
Kecskeméti TE
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
Ujpest
Kisvarda FC
Mezokovesd-zsory