This opponent (Adanaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Adanaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.87
1.43
1.79
1.06
1.94
vs Stronger (23)
1.35
1.91
1.50
1.70
1.23
2.08
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.71
1.25
2.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.8%
Under 2.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.2%
Erzurumspor FK goals ↓
Adanaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
7.8%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
1
9.7%
14%
7.3%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.6%
8.8%
5.1%
1.9%
0.6%
3
3.5%
4.1%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Erzurumspor FK goals (down), columns = Adanaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Samsunspor
2.12
Rizespor
1.86
Pendikspor
1.83
Eyüpspor
1.71
Bodrum FK
1.70
Sakaryaspor
1.60
Göztepe
1.59
Keçiörengücü
1.47
Manisa F.K.
1.47
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Boluspor
1.35
Altay
1.18
Adanaspor
1.14
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Beykoz Anadolu
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.94
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.86
Altınordu
0.85
Denizlispor
0.59
Erzurumspor FK is 0.08 points worse than Adanaspor in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Samsunspor
1.88
Rizespor
1.74
Pendikspor
1.74
Keçiörengücü
1.56
Bodrum FK
1.52
Sakaryaspor
1.51
Adanaspor
1.45
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Manisa F.K.
1.38
Altay
1.24
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.18
Göztepe
1.18
Boluspor
1.12
Beykoz Anadolu
1.11
Erzurumspor FK
1.09
Altınordu
1.03
Eyüpspor
1.03
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.00
Denizlispor
0.85
Erzurumspor FK is 0.37 goals worse than Adanaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Samsunspor
0.76
Eyüpspor
0.84
Göztepe
0.91
Bodrum FK
0.95
Rizespor
1.00
Pendikspor
1.06
Altay
1.32
Boluspor
1.35
Sakaryaspor
1.37
Keçiörengücü
1.38
Manisa F.K.
1.38
Erzurumspor FK
1.41
Beykoz Anadolu
1.49
Adanaspor
1.55
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.62
Altınordu
1.68
Bandırmaspor
1.71
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.77
Denizlispor
1.97
Erzurumspor FK is 0.13 goals better than Adanaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pendikspor
64%
Eyüpspor
56%
Adanaspor
54%
Manisa F.K.
53%
Altınordu
53%
Rizespor
53%
Sakaryaspor
53%
Samsunspor
51%
Bandırmaspor
51%
Keçiörengücü
50%
Boluspor
49%
Beykoz Anadolu
49%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
47%
Denizlispor
46%
Göztepe
46%
Bodrum FK
45%
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Altay
45%
Yeni Malatyaspor
44%
Erzurumspor FK is 8.6 percentage points worse than Adanaspor in terms of average possession (45% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Erzurumspor FK
For 3.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 15.3 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Adanaspor
For 3.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.4
4.8
5.0
4.6
28.3
26.5
30.2
vs Stronger (11)
10.8
10.0
11.8
4.6
5.0
4.2
26.5
25.3
27.8
vs Similar (30)
9.4
9.4
9.3
4.6
4.5
4.7
28.3
26.6
29.9
vs Weaker (9)
8.6
10.5
7.0
5.7
6.5
5.0
30.8
27.8
33.2
% over line
49%
54%
44%
60%
60%
60%
90%
83%
96%
% under line
51%
46%
56%
40%
40%
40%
10%
17%
4%
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Adanaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
8.5
7.8
9.0
1.0
0.7
1.2
24.5
25.6
23.7
vs Stronger (36)
6.7
7.3
6.2
0.8
0.6
1.1
25.4
25.3
25.5
vs Similar (10)
11.5
8.5
14.5
1.4
1.4
1.4
23.0
26.0
20.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
27%
20%
33%
13%
9%
17%
64%
80%
50%
% under line
73%
80%
67%
87%
91%
83%
36%
20%
50%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Samsunspor
10.5
Rizespor
10.0
Denizlispor
9.7
Manisa F.K.
9.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Erzurumspor FK
9.5
Altay
9.5
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.5
Göztepe
9.3
Boluspor
9.1
Eyüpspor
8.9
Adanaspor
8.5
Beykoz Anadolu
8.0
Bandırmaspor
8.0
Altınordu
7.8
Keçiörengücü
7.6
Sakaryaspor
7.1
Bodrum FK
6.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Manisa F.K.
5.6
Bandırmaspor
5.5
Sakaryaspor
5.4
Samsunspor
5.3
Bodrum FK
4.9
Erzurumspor FK
4.9
Göztepe
4.9
Beykoz Anadolu
4.8
Boluspor
4.7
Rizespor
4.6
Eyüpspor
4.5
Adanaspor
4.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.3
Altay
4.3
Denizlispor
4.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.2
Keçiörengücü
4.0
Altınordu
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bodrum FK
29.5
Samsunspor
28.5
Erzurumspor FK
28.3
Beykoz Anadolu
28.3
Keçiörengücü
27.9
Boluspor
27.2
Rizespor
27.1
Altay
26.7
Bandırmaspor
26.5
Denizlispor
26.3
Sakaryaspor
26.2
Eyüpspor
26.0
Manisa F.K.
25.9
Altınordu
25.8
Göztepe
25.1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
24.6
Adanaspor
24.5
Yeni Malatyaspor
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.1%
Under 9.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.7%
Under 3.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.3%
Under 21.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.97
0.57
0.79
0.38
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.94
0.38
0.88
0.30
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Adanaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.79
1.14
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (23)
0.74
1.00
0.80
1.10
0.69
0.92
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.86
0.75
1.25
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.36
0.64
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.72
0.38
0.62
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.00
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Adanaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Adanaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.64
0.64
0.44
1.12
vs Stronger (23)
0.61
0.91
0.70
0.60
0.54
1.15
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Adanaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Erzurumspor FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu43%
Aaron Olanare18%
Mikhael Rosheuvel15%
Süleyman Koç15%
Ozgur Sert14%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan9%
Mustafa Yumlu7%
Martin Hašek7%
Orhan Ovacıklı6%
Alican Özfesli5%
Estrela3%
Mustafa Akbaş3%
Herolind Shala0%
Zakarya Bergdich0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Sefa Akgün0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Celal Hanalp0%
Cengizhan Bayrak0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Eyup Oskan0%
Yakup Kirtay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eyup Oskan33%
Aaron Olanare32%
Mustafa Yumlu28%
Fırat Sasi25%
Estrela24%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan23%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş22%
Cengizhan Bayrak18%
Eren Tozlu17%
Mustafa Akbaş16%
Herolind Shala15%
Mikhael Rosheuvel12%
Celal Hanalp12%
Sefa Akgün11%
Orhan Ovacıklı9%
Alican Özfesli9%
Batuhan Artarslan8%
Ufuk Budak7%
Ozgur Sert7%
Martin Hašek7%
Zakarya Bergdich0%
Süleyman Koç0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Yakup Kirtay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ozgur Sert14%
Orhan Ovacıklı12%
Celal Hanalp12%
Eren Tozlu10%
Aaron Olanare9%
Mikhael Rosheuvel8%
Herolind Shala7%
Mustafa Akbaş6%
Sefa Akgün6%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan5%
Estrela3%
Mustafa Yumlu0%
Zakarya Bergdich0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Alican Özfesli0%
Süleyman Koç0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Martin Hašek0%
Cengizhan Bayrak0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Eyup Oskan0%
Yakup Kirtay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu33%
Mikhael Rosheuvel12%
Aaron Olanare9%
Ozgur Sert7%
Martin Hašek7%
Herolind Shala4%
Mustafa Yumlu0%
Zakarya Bergdich0%
Estrela0%
Batuhan Artarslan0%
Mustafa Akbaş0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Mehmet Göktuğ Bakırbaş0%
Sefa Akgün0%
Alican Özfesli0%
Süleyman Koç0%
Ufuk Budak0%
Celal Hanalp0%
Cengizhan Bayrak0%
Muhammed Furkan Özhan0%
Fırat Sasi0%
Hüseyin Mevlütoglu0%
Eyup Oskan0%
Yakup Kirtay0%
Adanaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmethan Köse28%
Samuel Tetteh26%
Hadi Sacko25%
Aaron Leya Iseka20%
Burak Coban14%
Lamin Jallow12%
Hakki Türker10%
Evren Korkmaz8%
Hakan Yeşil8%
Pedro Nuno6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sefa Etöz38%
Evren Korkmaz31%
Yiğithan Güveli29%
Burak Çamoğlu25%
Lamin Jallow25%
Ahmet Said Kivanc20%
Hakki Türker20%
Hadi Sacko17%
Yohan Roche17%
Ahmethan Köse17%
Hakan Yeşil15%
Emre Kaplan14%
Ferhat Katipoglu13%
Aaron Leya Iseka10%
Burak Coban10%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay7%
Pedro Nuno6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Enes Sağlık0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Berkan Firat0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Burak Coban19%
Youssef Aït Bennasser18%
Hüseyin Öztürk11%
Aaron Leya Iseka10%
Emre Kaplan10%
Hadi Sacko8%
Pedro Nuno6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Hakki Türker5%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Lamin Jallow0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Ahmethan Köse0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Hakan Yeşil0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aaron Leya Iseka40%
Ahmethan Köse17%
Pedro Nuno12%
Hakki Türker10%
Burak Coban10%
Lamin Jallow6%
Youssef Aït Bennasser6%
Samuel Tetteh5%
Hadi Sacko0%
Enes Sağlık0%
Yohan Roche0%
Burak Çamoğlu0%
Evren Korkmaz0%
Yiğithan Güveli0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Hüseyin Öztürk0%
Abdurrahman Canli0%
Ahmet Said Kivanc0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Hakan Yeşil0%
Ferhat Katipoglu0%
Sefa Etöz0%
Berkan Firat0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ozcan Aydin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Turkey: 1. Lig 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →