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Estrela vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: 29/01/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 1-4
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
8%
18%
74%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✗ Miss
7.8%
Avg Implied 9.1% · @ 10.46
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied 16.8% · @ 5.65
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Benfica win✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W23L01L11D31W00D14L11D11D03LH·FAM29/10A·SPO05/11H·MOR11/11A·RIO02/12H·BOA10/12A·FAR15/12H·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01A·GUI21/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.401.271.471.331.33
vs Stronger (7)0.712.000.751.500.672.67
vs Similar (19)1.371.321.401.601.331.00
vs Weaker (4)2.000.752.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W33D00D11D31W10W30W30W41W20WH·SPO12/11H·INT29/11A·MOR03/12H·FAR08/12A·RED12/12A·SC 17/12H·FAM29/12A·ARO06/01H·RIO14/01H·BOA19/01
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.831.870.672.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.601.402.001.331.001.50
vs Weaker (25)2.000.721.830.502.150.92
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.9%
@ 1.61-3.0%
Under 2.5
44.1%
@ 2.31+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.9%
No
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.1%
0-1
11.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
Estrela goals ↓
Benfica goals →
01234
06.2%12%14%11%6.2%
12.6%8.6%8.9%6.8%3.9%
21.1%2.5%2.8%2.2%1.2%
30.2%0.5%0.6%0.5%0.3%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = Benfica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AVS
3.00
Sporting CP
2.65
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.12
SC Braga
2.00
Guimaraes
1.85
Moreirense
1.62
Arouca
1.35
Famalicao
1.24
Casa Pia
1.12
Farense
1.09
Rio Ave
1.09
GIL Vicente
1.06
Estoril
0.97
Estrela
0.97
Boavista
0.94
Portimonense
0.89
Vizela
0.76
Chaves
0.68
Estrela is 1.38 points worse than Benfica in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 2.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.82
Benfica
2.26
SC Braga
2.09
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
1.85
Arouca
1.59
Guimaraes
1.53
Estoril
1.44
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.24
Boavista
1.15
Portimonense
1.14
Casa Pia
1.12
Rio Ave
1.12
Famalicao
1.09
Vizela
1.06
Moreirense
1.06
Estrela
0.97
Chaves
0.91
Estrela is 1.29 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 2.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.79
Benfica
0.82
Sporting CP
0.85
AVS
1.00
Moreirense
1.03
Guimaraes
1.12
Famalicao
1.21
Rio Ave
1.26
Casa Pia
1.47
SC Braga
1.47
Arouca
1.47
Farense
1.50
GIL Vicente
1.53
Estrela
1.56
Estoril
1.71
Boavista
1.82
Vizela
1.94
Portimonense
2.11
Chaves
2.12
Estrela is 0.74 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 0.82).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Porto
64%
Benfica
59%
Sporting CP
59%
SC Braga
57%
Arouca
54%
Vizela
50%
GIL Vicente
49%
Rio Ave
49%
Estoril
49%
Guimaraes
48%
Boavista
48%
Famalicao
47%
Estrela
47%
Moreirense
46%
Portimonense
46%
Casa Pia
44%
Chaves
43%
Farense
42%
AVS
35%
Estrela is 12.4 percentage points worse than Benfica in terms of average possession (47% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 3.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

150585764359624725163213121081567775A·GUIA·GILH·VIZH·AROA·FARH·BOAA·RIOH·MORA·SPOH·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

100214211312421437113436143651027A·GUIA·GILH·VIZH·AROA·FARH·BOAA·RIOH·MORA·SPOH·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

3909131014141361281118111314221758181222242718192927391330A·GUIA·GILH·VIZH·AROA·FARH·BOAA·RIOH·MORA·SPOH·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BenficaBenfica

For 6.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

180124533164256215372266416841078189810H·BOAH·RIOA·AROH·FAMA·SC A·REDH·FARA·MORH·INTH·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

90331422233324231431276545665549H·BOAH·RIOA·AROH·FAMA·SC A·REDH·FARA·MORH·INTH·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

35016111211612211491188911111313991227231835201620242221H·BOAH·RIOA·AROH·FAMA·SC A·REDH·FARA·MORH·INTH·SPO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.811.34.64.25.026.727.326.2
vs Stronger (7)11.612.011.05.36.53.724.729.019.0
vs Similar (35)11.210.511.84.13.24.926.125.926.2
vs Weaker (8)10.110.310.06.46.26.531.130.731.5
% over line65%58%71%64%64%64%80%79%81%
% under line35%42%29%36%36%36%20%21%19%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.911.38.42.93.22.723.223.722.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)10.09.810.33.74.42.519.820.418.7
vs Weaker (39)9.812.17.92.72.72.824.625.623.9
% over line57%71%43%40%44%36%64%64%64%
% under line43%29%57%60%56%64%36%36%36%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AVS
12.7
Farense
11.4
Estrela
11.2
Chaves
10.9
Vizela
10.7
Benfica
10.6
Portimonense
10.6
Estoril
10.4
Casa Pia
10.3
Guimaraes
10.3
Moreirense
10.0
GIL Vicente
9.7
Rio Ave
9.7
FC Porto
9.7
SC Braga
9.7
Boavista
9.6
Arouca
9.5
Famalicao
9.4
Sporting CP
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Boavista
6.6
Famalicao
6.6
FC Porto
6.6
Arouca
6.4
Guimaraes
6.1
Portimonense
6.1
Estoril
5.8
Farense
5.8
Sporting CP
5.8
Estrela
5.8
Vizela
5.7
Moreirense
5.7
GIL Vicente
5.7
Chaves
5.6
AVS
5.6
Benfica
5.2
SC Braga
5.1
Rio Ave
4.8
Casa Pia
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Chaves
31.2
Famalicao
30.9
Rio Ave
30.7
Farense
29.8
Boavista
29.3
Arouca
29.0
Portimonense
28.8
Guimaraes
28.4
Estoril
28.3
Vizela
28.3
Moreirense
28.0
FC Porto
28.0
Casa Pia
27.9
GIL Vicente
27.1
Estrela
26.7
AVS
26.2
Sporting CP
24.7
SC Braga
24.1
Benfica
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.7%
Under 9.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.5%
Under 3.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.8%
Under 21.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L00D00D00D00D10W10W01L01LH·FAM29/10A·SPO05/11H·MOR11/11A·RIO02/12H·BOA10/12A·FAR15/12H·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01A·GUI21/01
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.530.270.400.60
vs Stronger (7)0.000.710.000.750.000.67
vs Similar (19)0.470.320.600.100.330.56
vs Weaker (4)1.250.502.000.001.000.67
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D00D20W10W10W10W11D00DH·SPO12/11H·INT29/11A·MOR03/12H·FAR08/12A·RED12/12A·SC 17/12H·FAM29/12A·ARO06/01H·RIO14/01H·BOA19/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.300.800.200.870.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.600.601.000.330.001.00
vs Weaker (25)0.880.240.750.171.000.31
Clean sheet %80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D01L11D31W00D04L01L10W02LH·FAM29/10A·SPO05/11H·MOR11/11A·RIO02/12H·BOA10/12A·FAR15/12H·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01A·GUI21/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.970.731.200.930.73
vs Stronger (7)0.711.290.750.750.672.00
vs Similar (19)0.891.000.801.501.000.44
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.000.001.000.33
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L00D11D11D00D20W20W30W20WH·SPO12/11H·INT29/11A·MOR03/12H·FAR08/12A·RED12/12A·SC 17/12H·FAM29/12A·ARO06/01H·RIO14/01H·BOA19/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.531.070.471.130.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.000.801.001.001.000.50
vs Weaker (25)1.120.481.080.331.150.62
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards88.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls87.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls76.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards74.5%-------✓ Hit
Away win74.1%1.28------0.0%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas23%
Léo Jabá16%
André Luiz15%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Léo Cordeiro9%
Leonel Bucca7%
Ronald6%
Jean Felipe4%
Regis Ndo4%
Kialonda Gaspar4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Aloisio0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Leonel Bucca27%
Regis Ndo26%
Aloisio25%
Rodrigo Pinho25%
Ronald24%
Rúben Lima21%
Mansur20%
Johnstone Omurwa20%
Nanú17%
Nilton Varela17%
João Reis16%
Léo Cordeiro16%
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Kikas13%
Miguel Lopes12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Hevertton Santos10%
Léo Jabá10%
Ronaldo Tavares8%
Pedro Mendes8%
André Luiz7%
Pedro Sá6%
Vitó0%
António Filipe0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Léo Jabá13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronald12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Jean Felipe9%
Nanú8%
Rúben Lima7%
Mansur5%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Hevertton Santos3%
Kikas3%
Miguel Lopes0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Vitó0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Léo Cordeiro0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Leonel Bucca0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
André Luiz0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Luiz19%
Kikas13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Léo Jabá10%
Leonel Bucca7%
Léo Cordeiro6%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Ronald0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Benfica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafa Silva37%
Ángel Di María32%
Marcos Leonardo32%
Petar Musa24%
Arthur Cabral19%
Orkun Kökçü19%
Casper Tengstedt16%
David Neres12%
Benjamín Rollheiser11%
Tiago Gouveia11%
João Mário10%
Alexander Bah7%
Nicolás Otamendi7%
Álvaro Carreras7%
João Neves7%
Tomás Araújo6%
António Silva5%
Fredrik Aursnes4%
Juan Bernat0%
Florentino Luís0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Chiquinho0%
Morato0%
David Jurásek0%
Samuel Soares0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Florentino Luís27%
Orkun Kökçü27%
Nicolás Otamendi25%
Juan Bernat20%
Alexander Bah18%
Morato18%
António Silva17%
Casper Tengstedt16%
João Mário14%
Ángel Di María12%
Benjamín Rollheiser11%
David Jurásek11%
Tiago Gouveia11%
Petar Musa10%
Rafa Silva9%
Chiquinho7%
Álvaro Carreras7%
João Neves7%
David Neres6%
Arthur Cabral5%
Marcos Leonardo5%
Anatoliy Trubin5%
Fredrik Aursnes4%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ángel Di María28%
Rafa Silva23%
Orkun Kökçü19%
David Neres18%
Casper Tengstedt16%
Fredrik Aursnes15%
Tiago Gouveia11%
Petar Musa10%
Alexander Bah7%
Álvaro Carreras7%
João Mário5%
Nicolás Otamendi5%
Morato4%
João Neves2%
Juan Bernat0%
Florentino Luís0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Arthur Cabral0%
Chiquinho0%
Benjamín Rollheiser0%
David Jurásek0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
António Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ángel Di María42%
Rafa Silva28%
Petar Musa24%
Arthur Cabral19%
Orkun Kökçü16%
Casper Tengstedt16%
David Neres9%
Tiago Gouveia5%
Marcos Leonardo5%
António Silva5%
João Mário5%
Florentino Luís3%
Nicolás Otamendi2%
Juan Bernat0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Gonçalo Guedes0%
Alexander Bah0%
Fredrik Aursnes0%
Chiquinho0%
Morato0%
Benjamín Rollheiser0%
David Jurásek0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Álvaro Carreras0%
João Neves0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
Estrela's squad is €337m less valuable than Benfica's (€20m vs €357m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
Estrela's attack is €166m less valuable than Benfica's (€6m vs €172m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
EST (5)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
POR (5)
€1m
Estrela's midfield is €74m less valuable than Benfica's (€3m vs €77m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
Estrela's defence is €97m less valuable than Benfica's (€11m vs €108m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
EST wins
0
Draws
1
BEN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs Benfica · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23ABenfica Vs EST2-0

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/24AGuimaraes Vs EST3-0
14/01/24AGIL Vicente Vs EST1-1
06/01/24HEST Vs Vizela1-1
28/12/23HEST Vs Arouca1-4
15/12/23AFarense Vs EST0-0
10/12/23HEST Vs Boavista3-1
02/12/23ARio Ave Vs EST1-1
11/11/23HEST Vs Moreirense0-1
05/11/23ASporting CP Vs EST3-2
29/10/23HEST Vs Famalicao1-0

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/01/24HBEN Vs Boavista2-0
14/01/24HBEN Vs Rio Ave4-1
06/01/24AArouca Vs BEN0-3
29/12/23HBEN Vs Famalicao3-0
17/12/23ASC Braga Vs BEN0-1
12/12/23ARed Bull Salzburg Vs BEN1-3
08/12/23HBEN Vs Farense1-1
03/12/23AMoreirense Vs BEN0-0
29/11/23HBEN Vs Inter3-3
12/11/23HBEN Vs Sporting CP2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDL1.56
HomeWLWLD1.68
AwayLDDDL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals2.642.762.52
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.421.521.32
Conceded1.221.241.20
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners11.0710.7911.33
Cards5.785.585.95
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.18
HomeDDWWW2.20
AwayLDWWW2.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%68%68%
AVG goals2.882.922.84
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored2.042.121.96
Conceded0.840.800.88
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet48%44%52%
Corners9.8611.298.43
Cards5.255.644.86

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3490
85%
2.6
9629+67
3.7
91%
76%
41%
9.2
44%
5.5
76%
24.3
76%
414
146911762.80.9
59%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
7728+49
3.1
82%
62%
41%
10.5
59%
5.4
73%
23.6
71%
357
172771082.30.8
59%
3FC PortoFC Porto3472
65%
2.1
6327+36
2.6
76%
56%
24%
11.2
62%
7.1
88%
30.0
91%
467
2141051481.90.8
64%
4SC BragaSC Braga3468
62%
2.0
7150+21
3.6
82%
71%
47%
9.9
56%
5.1
73%
24.0
65%
165
4156682.11.5
57%
5GuimaraesGuimaraes3463
56%
1.9
5238+14
2.6
74%
56%
26%
11.6
71%
6.0
82%
26.8
82%
46
2211121.51.1
48%
6MoreirenseMoreirense3455
47%
1.6
3635+1
2.1
47%
35%
21%
9.4
32%
5.0
69%
27.8
85%
22
5891.11.0
46%
7AroucaArouca3446
38%
1.4
5450+4
3.1
79%
65%
35%
9.0
38%
5.7
74%
25.7
76%
28
11881.61.5
54%
8FamalicaoFamalicao3442
29%
1.2
3741-4
2.3
65%
44%
24%
9.7
44%
6.2
91%
31.6
94%
57
1620221.11.2
47%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3438
29%
1.1
3850-12
2.6
65%
47%
35%
10.1
47%
4.3
59%
26.6
79%
27
96121.11.5
44%
10FarenseFarense3437
29%
1.1
4651-5
2.9
79%
56%
35%
12.3
74%
4.7
68%
26.6
79%
8
3241.41.5
42%
11Rio AveRio Ave3437
18%
1.1
3843-5
2.4
79%
35%
21%
9.8
44%
5.8
82%
29.6
94%
37
88211.11.3
49%
12GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3436
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
74%
50%
29%
8.9
44%
4.7
69%
26.3
74%
29
118111.21.5
49%
13EstorilEstoril3433
26%
1.0
4958-9
3.1
71%
62%
47%
10.2
53%
5.6
75%
26.1
79%
42
248101.41.7
49%
14EstrelaEstrela3433
21%
1.0
3353-20
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.7
65%
4.7
68%
25.0
76%
20
63111.01.6
47%
15BoavistaBoavista3432
21%
0.9
3962-23
3.0
85%
53%
38%
9.9
47%
5.9
85%
28.8
97%
0
0001.11.8
48%
16PortimonensePortimonense3632
22%
0.9
4176-35
3.2
83%
64%
39%
11.1
67%
5.5
80%
27.2
89%
6
2131.12.1
46%
17VizelaVizela3426
15%
0.8
3666-30
3.0
71%
56%
44%
9.9
50%
5.2
82%
29.3
100%
12
5241.11.9
50%
18ChavesChaves3423
15%
0.7
3172-41
3.0
79%
62%
38%
10.2
56%
5.9
88%
28.6
97%
9
3240.92.1
43%
19AVSAVS26
100%
3.0
42+2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.5
50%
8.5
100%
32.0
100%
7
3232.01.0
35%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches