Farul Constanta are the clear favourites, with a 53 % chance of winning, a 25 % draw probability and a 22 % chance of FC Botosani triumph. The model predicts an average of 2.9 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 24 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12 % chance. Farul, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. FC Botosani, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 % with a 5 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.2 % with a 3 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3 % with a 4 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.1 % with a 5 % edge) and Under 5.5 (92.6 %). Farul’s recent form shows a draw-heavy streak, while FC Botosani comes off a win, adding intrigue to an expected low-scoring affair.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Farul Constanta, failed to secure the win, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised many. The model had picked a home win with a 53% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the most likely outcome of 1-1 or 2-1, but the game settled at a stalemate. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.6%, Under 6.5 at 97.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.0%, and Under 5.5 at 93.0%. The game’s quiet finish reflected both sides’ recent form, each coming off a draw.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Farul Constanta win✗ Miss
52.8%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.90
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.98
Dafabet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
SBO
1.94
Betano
1.93
Draw✓ Hit
25.5%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.51
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.74
Betfair
3.70
Pinnacle
3.62
Superbet
3.55
FC Botosani win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.70
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.04
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.76
Marathonbet
3.76
Betano
3.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Farul Constanta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.27
1.64
1.29
1.06
1.25
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
2.50
2.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.22
1.17
1.82
1.18
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
1.20
0.50
1.00
2.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Botosani
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.53
1.21
1.00
1.19
2.00
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.75
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (22)
1.18
1.45
1.30
1.00
1.08
1.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
@ 1.23+3.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
@ 3.89-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
Marathonbet
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.77+1.3%
Under 2.5
45.5%
@ 2.02-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.85
SBO
1.84
Betano
1.82
Unibet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
@ 2.92+0.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
@ 1.37-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.0%
@ 1.65-0.2%
No
44.0%
@ 2.12+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.71
Unibet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
No
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 6.55+5.3%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.76+4.1%
1-0
9.1%@ 7.59+3.2%
2-0
9.1%@ 9.33+4.3%
0-0 ✓
6.8%@ 11.23+2.9%
1-2
5.9%@ 11.38+2.0%
3-1
5.8%@ 13.07+2.4%
3-0
5.4%@ 15.41+2.5%
Farul Constanta goals ↓
FC Botosani goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
5.1%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
1
9.1%
12%
5.9%
2.1%
0.6%
2
9.1%
9.8%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.4%
5.8%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.4%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Farul Constanta goals (down), columns = FC Botosani goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Farul Constanta is 0.43 points better than FC Botosani in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Farul Constanta is 0.43 goals better than FC Botosani in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Farul Constanta and FC Botosani are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Farul Constanta is 4.3 percentage points worse than FC Botosani in terms of average possession (48% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Farul Constanta
For 6.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Botosani
For 5.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Farul Constanta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.4
10.4
3.6
4.0
3.3
23.3
22.3
24.3
vs Stronger (4)
7.5
6.0
9.0
5.2
4.0
6.5
26.5
26.0
27.0
vs Similar (39)
9.8
9.2
10.3
3.6
3.8
3.4
23.2
22.4
24.0
vs Weaker (7)
13.2
12.3
16.0
3.0
5.0
1.5
21.0
19.7
25.0
% over line
48%
41%
55%
52%
65%
41%
50%
41%
59%
% under line
52%
59%
45%
48%
35%
59%
50%
59%
41%
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Botosani
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.4
4.4
4.5
4.2
26.5
27.2
25.8
vs Stronger (12)
10.2
8.7
11.7
6.0
6.7
5.3
27.1
28.3
25.8
vs Similar (38)
9.7
9.4
9.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
26.3
26.8
25.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
41%
52%
68%
71%
65%
76%
77%
74%
% under line
53%
59%
48%
32%
29%
35%
24%
23%
26%
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.4
Rapid
10.1
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.7
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.4
FC Voluntari
8.8
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Botosani
5.0
Arges Pitesti
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Uta Arad
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Rapid
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.3
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.7
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Csikszereda
25.0
FCSB
24.8
Uta Arad
24.2
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.9
FC Voluntari
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Rapid
23.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.7
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.7%
@ 2.00+6.4%
Under 9.5
47.3%
@ 1.72-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.9%
@ 1.42+8.6%
Under 3.5
27.1%
@ 2.55-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.55
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.6%
Under 21.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Farul Constanta or Draw✓ Hit
78.3%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.24
Edge
+3.2%
53%
25%
22%
covers Farul Constanta + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Farul Constanta or FC Botosani✗ Miss
74.5%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
+0.2%
53%
25%
22%
covers Farul Constanta + FC Botosani
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Draw or FC Botosani✓ Hit
47.2%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.84
Edge
-3.5%
53%
25%
22%
covers Draw + FC Botosani
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
SBO
1.85
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
83.2%
@ 1.17+3.4%
Under
16.8%
@ 4.60-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
1xBet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.2%
@ 1.84+2.7%
Under
46.8%
@ 1.88-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.5%
@ 3.67+1.2%
Under
73.5%
@ 1.24-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.91
Unibet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Under
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Farul Constanta over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 8.38-0.6%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.06+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.80
1xBet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
FC Botosani over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.0%
@ 1.38-1.2%
Under
34.0%
@ 2.83+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.98
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.85
Superbet
2.85
FC Botosani over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.3%
@ 2.88-3.1%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.38+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
2.98
10Bet
2.90
1xBet
2.89
Unibet
2.88
Under
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.39
FC Botosani over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 7.34-3.2%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.07+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.90
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
FC Botosani over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 18.92-2.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Farul Constanta, so a minus line means Farul Constanta give that many goals of a start and FC Botosani receive them. At -1, Farul Constanta must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Farul Constanta win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Botosani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.43
0.71
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.64
0.50
0.60
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.2%
@ 1.33-0.9%
Under 0.5
30.8%
@ 3.11+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.28
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
1xBet
3.16
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.56-3.3%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.45+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.72
Pinnacle
2.64
Superbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 6.20-3.2%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.09+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Marathonbet
6.10
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
52.2%
@ 1.75-0.7%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.98+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Unibet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.03
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 4.65-5.0%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.16+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
Betano
4.70
Superbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 12.50-4.4%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
FC Botosani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.9%
@ 2.33-2.9%
Under
63.1%
@ 1.54+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
FC Botosani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 7.98-3.3%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.05+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
Superbet
7.90
1xBet
7.90
Betano
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
FC Botosani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 32.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
32.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Farul Constanta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.79
0.79
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.70
0.82
0.64
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
0.50
0.50
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Botosani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.79
0.29
0.56
1.31
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.88
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.82
0.80
0.40
0.42
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Farul Constanta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.8%
@ 1.19-0.1%
Under 0.5
22.2%
@ 4.19+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Marathonbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Betano
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.3%
@ 1.97-2.1%
Under 1.5
54.7%
@ 1.78+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
Unibet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 4.01-5.1%
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.21+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.35
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Farul Constanta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
58.1%
@ 1.56-1.5%
Under
41.9%
@ 2.30+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.68
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.45
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.03
Farul Constanta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 3.49-5.4%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.27+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.65
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Farul Constanta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 8.90-5.4%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.04+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.50
Superbet
9.30
1xBet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
FC Botosani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.7%
@ 1.94-3.2%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.78+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.74
FC Botosani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 5.85-3.0%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.10+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.85
1xBet
5.80
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
FC Botosani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 17.42-2.8%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Unibet
1.06
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.4%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.16
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.8%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.2%
1.17
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.18
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.0%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.27
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
78.3%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.3%
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.8%
1.19
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.5%
1.26
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
73.5%
1.24
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.9%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.1%
1.25
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.7%
1.38
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.39
+3.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Farul Constanta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iustin Doicaru50%
Eduard Radaslavescu43%
Matteo Ahlinvi29%
Cristian Sima25%
Valentin Țicu0%
Denis Alibec0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Tony Njiké0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Răzvan Tănasă0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Victor Dican57%
Valentin Țicu29%
Tony Njiké29%
Eduard Radaslavescu29%
Răzvan Tănasă17%
Gustavo Marins14%
Rafael Munteanu14%
Denis Alibec0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Matteo Ahlinvi0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Iustin Doicaru0%
Cristian Sima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eduard Radaslavescu29%
Denis Alibec25%
Iustin Doicaru17%
Eddy Sylvestre14%
Matteo Ahlinvi14%
Tony Njiké14%
Valentin Țicu0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Răzvan Tănasă0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
Cristian Sima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Iustin Doicaru50%
Eduard Radaslavescu43%
Denis Alibec25%
Răzvan Tănasă17%
Matteo Ahlinvi14%
Tony Njiké14%
Valentin Țicu0%
Ionuț Larie0%
Eddy Sylvestre0%
Victor Dican0%
Nicolas Popescu0%
Sofyane Bouzamoucha0%
Dan Sîrbu0%
Gustavo Marins0%
Luca Banu0%
Ionuț Cojocaru0%
Rafael Munteanu0%
Cristian Sima0%
FC Botosani
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrei Dumiter57%
Zoran Mitrov17%
Sebastian Mailat14%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Enriko Papa0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Charles Petro0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Diarra43%
Charles Petro40%
Lucas de Vega33%
Brian Bayeye33%
Enriko Papa29%
Ştefan Bodişteanu29%
Narcis Ilaș29%
Hervin Ongenda20%
Andrei Dumiter14%
George Miron14%
Ioannis Anestis14%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
Sebastian Mailat0%
Zoran Mitrov0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enriko Papa29%
Hervin Ongenda20%
Zoran Mitrov17%
Sebastian Mailat14%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Andrei Dumiter0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Charles Petro0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Mailat43%
Andrei Dumiter29%
Mykola Kovtalyuk25%
Charles Petro20%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Enriko Papa0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Zoran Mitrov0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Farul Constanta's squad is €2m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€11m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Farul Constanta and FC Botosani have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Farul Constanta and FC Botosani have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Farul Constanta's defence is €1m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€4m vs €3m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda