This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.67
1.33
1.40
0.87
1.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
2.25
1.20
2.00
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.55
1.62
1.25
1.00
1.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
FC Basel 1893 goals ↓
FC Zurich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
4.1%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
1
10%
11%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
7.1%
6.5%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
4
3.5%
3.2%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Basel 1893 goals (down), columns = FC Zurich goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.06
Servette FC
1.61
FC Lugano
1.58
FC Luzern
1.39
FC Basel 1893
1.31
FC ST. Gallen
1.25
Grasshoppers
1.22
FC Zurich
1.22
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion
0.82
FC Basel 1893 is 0.08 points better than FC Zurich in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.28
FC ST. Gallen
1.83
FC Lugano
1.64
Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Luzern
1.50
Servette FC
1.47
FC Basel 1893
1.42
FC Zurich
1.14
FC Sion
1.13
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Basel 1893 is 0.28 goals better than FC Zurich in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.83
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.00
Servette FC
1.28
FC Lugano
1.31
FC Basel 1893
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.44
FC Luzern
1.44
FC Zurich
1.53
Grasshoppers
1.78
FC Winterthur
1.83
FC Sion
2.08
FC Basel 1893 is 0.14 goals better than FC Zurich in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
57%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Basel 1893
54%
FC ST. Gallen
53%
Servette FC
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC Zurich
48%
FC Sion
48%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
41%
FC Basel 1893 is 6.4 percentage points better than FC Zurich in terms of average possession (54% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Basel 1893
For 4.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 15.9 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Zurich
For 4.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Basel 1893
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
10.5
9.9
11.1
5.6
5.8
5.4
24.0
22.7
25.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
10.4
10.2
10.7
5.7
5.8
5.6
23.6
21.8
25.4
vs Weaker (9)
10.9
8.5
13.2
5.0
5.5
4.6
26.4
27.2
25.5
% over line
60%
62%
58%
84%
79%
88%
67%
54%
79%
% under line
40%
38%
42%
16%
21%
12%
33%
46%
21%
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
9.8
9.6
9.9
5.2
4.5
6.0
24.7
24.2
25.2
vs Stronger (11)
9.6
10.0
9.2
4.3
3.8
4.8
24.5
25.2
23.6
vs Similar (29)
10.2
9.9
10.4
5.5
4.5
6.5
24.7
23.6
25.8
vs Weaker (3)
6.7
6.5
7.0
6.0
6.5
5.0
25.3
25.0
26.0
% over line
54%
52%
55%
74%
68%
81%
73%
71%
75%
% under line
46%
48%
45%
26%
32%
19%
27%
29%
25%
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Grasshoppers
11.6
FC Luzern
11.3
FC Sion
10.8
FC ST. Gallen
10.7
Servette FC
10.6
FC Basel 1893
10.5
BSC Young Boys
10.2
FC Lugano
9.8
FC Zurich
9.8
FC Winterthur
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Sion
6.2
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
FC Zurich
5.8
FC Basel 1893
5.7
FC Lugano
5.7
FC Luzern
5.7
FC Winterthur
5.5
Servette FC
5.1
Grasshoppers
5.0
BSC Young Boys
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Lugano
25.0
FC Zurich
24.7
Grasshoppers
24.6
FC Luzern
24.6
FC Sion
24.2
FC Basel 1893
24.0
FC ST. Gallen
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.8
FC Winterthur
23.3
Servette FC
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.5%
Under 9.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.9%
Under 3.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.7%
Under 21.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Basel 1893
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.79
0.50
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.68
0.67
0.58
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
1.50
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.47
0.87
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.25
0.40
1.20
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.85
0.50
0.75
0.42
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Basel 1893
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.79
0.71
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.60
0.75
0.75
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.87
0.53
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.00
0.80
0.80
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.70
1.12
0.50
0.58
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Basel 1893
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andi Zeqiri34%
Zeki Amdouni33%
Darian Males17%
Bradley Fink15%
Jean-Kévin Augustin11%
Ádám Szalai10%
Dan Ndoye10%
Wouter Burger9%
Fabian Frei8%
Hugo Novoa Ramos7%
Andy Diouf6%
Michael Lang5%
Kasim Adams5%
Anton Kade4%
Arnau Comas4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Sergio López3%
Liam Millar2%
Marwin Hitz0%
Noah Katterbach0%
Taulant Xhaka0%
Mirko Salvi0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Andy Pelmard0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Hugo Vogel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Vogel33%
Taulant Xhaka32%
Wouter Burger32%
Arnau Comas28%
Riccardo Calafiori26%
Jean-Kévin Augustin22%
Sergio López22%
Darian Males21%
Kasim Adams21%
Dan Ndoye18%
Michael Lang15%
Fabian Frei14%
Andy Pelmard13%
Andi Zeqiri13%
Sayfallah Ltaief12%
Marwin Hitz12%
Bradley Fink12%
Andy Diouf12%
Ádám Szalai10%
Liam Millar7%
Zeki Amdouni6%
Noah Katterbach0%
Mirko Salvi0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Anton Kade0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darian Males26%
Michael Lang17%
Anton Kade13%
Mamadou Kaly Sene12%
Fabian Frei11%
Taulant Xhaka9%
Andy Diouf8%
Hugo Novoa Ramos7%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Zeki Amdouni6%
Dan Ndoye6%
Liam Millar5%
Arnau Comas4%
Andy Pelmard4%
Jean-Kévin Augustin4%
Sergio López3%
Kasim Adams2%
Marwin Hitz0%
Ádám Szalai0%
Noah Katterbach0%
Wouter Burger0%
Mirko Salvi0%
Andi Zeqiri0%
Bradley Fink0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Hugo Vogel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zeki Amdouni29%
Andi Zeqiri23%
Ádám Szalai20%
Dan Ndoye14%
Sayfallah Ltaief12%
Wouter Burger11%
Liam Millar7%
Darian Males7%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Bradley Fink3%
Fabian Frei3%
Kasim Adams2%
Andy Diouf2%
Marwin Hitz0%
Jean-Kévin Augustin0%
Michael Lang0%
Noah Katterbach0%
Taulant Xhaka0%
Mirko Salvi0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Andy Pelmard0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Arnau Comas0%
Sergio López0%
Anton Kade0%
Emmanuel Essiam0%
Hugo Vogel0%
FC Zurich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tosin Aiyegun23%
Jonathan Okita19%
Roko Šimić19%
Mirlind Kryeziu16%
Blerim Džemaili15%
Ifeanyi Mathew15%
Calixte Ligue11%
Donis Avdijaj9%
Antonio Marchesano7%
Ivan Santini7%
Lindrit Kamberi5%
Marc Hornschuh4%
Nikola Katić4%
Fabian Rohner3%
Adrián Guerrero3%
Cheick Oumar Conde3%
Bledian Krasniqi3%
Nikola Boranijašević2%
Yanick Brecher0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Ole Selnaes0%
Karol Mets0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Bogdan V'Yunnik0%
Selmin Hodza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mirlind Kryeziu53%
Cheick Oumar Conde41%
Fidan Aliti34%
Ivan Santini33%
Stephan Seiler33%
Roko Šimić31%
Nikola Katić31%
Ifeanyi Mathew31%
Ole Selnaes29%
Blerim Džemaili27%
Wilfried Gnonto25%
Nikola Boranijašević22%
Lindrit Kamberi20%
Donis Avdijaj18%
Selmin Hodza14%
Jonathan Okita14%
Bećir Omeragić12%
Marc Hornschuh12%
Karol Mets12%
Tosin Aiyegun11%
Calixte Ligue11%
Fabian Rohner9%
Adrián Guerrero8%
Antonio Marchesano5%
Yanick Brecher5%
Bledian Krasniqi3%
Bogdan V'Yunnik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stephan Seiler17%
Antonio Marchesano10%
Nikola Boranijašević10%
Ole Selnaes8%
Roko Šimić6%
Fidan Aliti6%
Tosin Aiyegun6%
Adrián Guerrero6%
Jonathan Okita5%
Blerim Džemaili4%
Fabian Rohner3%
Cheick Oumar Conde3%
Bledian Krasniqi3%
Yanick Brecher0%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Ivan Santini0%
Nikola Katić0%
Marc Hornschuh0%
Karol Mets0%
Ifeanyi Mathew0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Lindrit Kamberi0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Bogdan V'Yunnik0%
Calixte Ligue0%
Selmin Hodza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tosin Aiyegun37%
Jonathan Okita30%
Antonio Marchesano22%
Wilfried Gnonto12%
Bogdan V'Yunnik9%
Ivan Santini7%
Blerim Džemaili4%
Fabian Rohner3%
Adrián Guerrero3%
Lindrit Kamberi2%
Yanick Brecher0%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Bledian Krasniqi0%
Nikola Katić0%
Ole Selnaes0%
Marc Hornschuh0%
Karol Mets0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Nikola Boranijašević0%
Ifeanyi Mathew0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Cheick Oumar Conde0%
Roko Šimić0%
Calixte Ligue0%
Selmin Hodza0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FC Basel 1893's squad is €34m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€49m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Basel 1893's attack is €10m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€16m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
FC Basel 1893's midfield is €14m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€16m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Basel 1893's defence is €11m more valuable than FC Zurich's (€16m vs €6m).
Switzerland: Super League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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BSC Young Boys
Servette FC
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
FC Sion
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy