This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.46
1.92
0.67
2.00
2.14
1.86
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.67
1.89
0.60
1.80
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
8% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.7%
No
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
FC Nordsjaelland goals ↓
FC Midtjylland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
5.4%
5.9%
3.6%
1.6%
1
4.3%
11%
8.9%
5.5%
2.5%
2
4.0%
7.4%
6.8%
4.2%
1.9%
3
2.0%
3.8%
3.4%
2.1%
1.0%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Nordsjaelland goals (down), columns = FC Midtjylland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.84
FC Nordsjaelland
1.72
FC Midtjylland
1.64
Aarhus
1.59
Viborg
1.55
Odense
1.44
Brondby
1.38
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.28
Lyngby
0.88
AC Horsens
0.88
Aalborg
0.84
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.08 points better than FC Midtjylland in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
1.91
FC Midtjylland
1.70
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.50
Odense
1.47
Silkeborg
1.38
Viborg
1.33
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.25
Aalborg
1.06
AC Horsens
1.03
Lyngby
0.94
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.13 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
0.97
Viborg
1.09
FC Nordsjaelland
1.09
FC Copenhagen
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.18
Aalborg
1.41
Randers FC
1.47
Silkeborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.53
Brondby
1.62
Odense
1.66
AC Horsens
1.81
FC Nordsjaelland is 0.09 goals better than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Silkeborg
56%
FC Copenhagen
56%
FC Nordsjaelland
54%
Brondby
51%
Odense
50%
FC Midtjylland
50%
Randers FC
49%
Viborg
49%
Aalborg
49%
Aarhus
48%
Lyngby
45%
AC Horsens
42%
FC Nordsjaelland is 4.5 percentage points better than FC Midtjylland in terms of average possession (54% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Nordsjaelland
For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.1 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Midtjylland
For 6.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
9.0
7.5
10.5
4.2
4.2
4.2
21.9
18.0
25.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
11.3
11.0
11.5
4.3
6.0
3.5
24.7
22.0
26.0
vs Weaker (5)
7.6
6.3
9.5
4.2
3.7
5.0
20.2
16.7
25.5
% over line
50%
25%
75%
75%
75%
75%
62%
50%
75%
% under line
50%
75%
25%
25%
25%
25%
38%
50%
25%
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
11.8
14.2
9.7
4.2
3.5
4.7
22.0
20.3
23.4
vs Stronger (2)
14.0
16.0
12.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
19.0
15.0
23.0
vs Similar (2)
10.5
-
10.5
8.5
-
8.5
23.5
-
23.5
vs Weaker (9)
11.6
13.8
8.8
3.6
3.6
3.5
22.3
21.4
23.5
% over line
77%
100%
57%
46%
33%
57%
38%
33%
43%
% under line
23%
0%
43%
54%
67%
43%
62%
67%
57%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Aalborg
12.4
Brondby
12.2
FC Midtjylland
11.8
Randers FC
11.1
Aarhus
10.9
Silkeborg
10.8
AC Horsens
10.2
FC Copenhagen
10.0
Viborg
9.9
Lyngby
9.6
Odense
9.1
FC Nordsjaelland
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brondby
5.0
FC Copenhagen
4.8
Randers FC
4.6
Aalborg
4.4
AC Horsens
4.3
FC Nordsjaelland
4.2
Odense
4.2
FC Midtjylland
4.2
Lyngby
3.9
Viborg
3.6
Silkeborg
2.7
Aarhus
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aarhus
22.8
FC Midtjylland
22.0
FC Nordsjaelland
21.9
Odense
21.1
Aalborg
20.6
AC Horsens
19.8
Brondby
19.3
Lyngby
19.1
FC Copenhagen
18.9
Randers FC
18.8
Viborg
18.2
Silkeborg
13.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
30.2%
Under 21.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.38
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
75% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.00
0.50
1.43
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.56
0.00
0.40
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
38% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
1.15
0.67
1.50
0.71
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
1.33
0.60
1.40
1.00
1.25
Clean sheet %
31% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Schjelderup53%
Emiliano Marcondes38%
Ernest Nuamah37%
Wahid Faghir19%
Rocco Ascone17%
Mohammed Diomande16%
Oliver Antman12%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Martin Frese8%
Daniel Svensson7%
Mads Hansen4%
Adamo Nagalo4%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Mads Bidstrup0%
Leo Walta0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahim Osman33%
Martin Frese27%
Jacob Christensen27%
Adamo Nagalo18%
Mads Bidstrup17%
Erik Marxen16%
Ernest Nuamah13%
Mario Dorgeles13%
Emiliano Marcondes12%
Mohammed Diomande12%
Andreas Schjelderup12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Oliver Villadsen10%
Rocco Ascone8%
Benjamin Nygren8%
Mads Hansen8%
Daniel Svensson7%
Kian Hansen6%
Andreas Hansen6%
Oliver Antman0%
Leo Walta0%
Wahid Faghir0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Christensen20%
Ernest Nuamah13%
Mario Dorgeles13%
Emiliano Marcondes12%
Mohammed Diomande12%
Lasso Coulibaly10%
Oliver Villadsen10%
Daniel Svensson7%
Kian Hansen6%
Oliver Antman6%
Wahid Faghir6%
Erik Marxen5%
Benjamin Nygren4%
Martin Frese4%
Mads Hansen4%
Adamo Nagalo4%
Mads Bidstrup3%
Andreas Hansen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Leo Walta0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emiliano Marcondes38%
Ernest Nuamah37%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Andreas Schjelderup12%
Mads Hansen12%
Mohammed Diomande6%
Wahid Faghir6%
Martin Frese4%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Oliver Antman0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Mads Bidstrup0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Leo Walta0%
Daniel Svensson0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Lasso Coulibaly0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emam Ashour33%
Gustav Isaksen32%
Anders Dreyer31%
Evander28%
Pione Sisto25%
Aral Şimşir18%
Kristoffer Olsson16%
Erik Sviatchenko12%
Sory Kaba12%
Frederik Heiselberg9%
Stefan Gartenmann7%
Juninho6%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Paulinho5%
Emiliano Martínez3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Edward Chilufya3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Charles0%
Joel Andersson0%
Mads Thychosen0%
Júnior Brumado0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Armin Gigović0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Victor Lind0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Raphael Onyedika0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Onyedika56%
Erik Sviatchenko36%
Evander33%
Astrit Selmani25%
Victor Lind25%
Kristoffer Olsson23%
Juninho21%
Frederik Heiselberg18%
Mads Thychosen17%
Paulinho17%
Emam Ashour17%
Armin Gigović17%
Emiliano Martínez16%
Júnior Brumado15%
Henrik Dalsgaard14%
Charles12%
Joel Andersson12%
Sory Kaba12%
Stefan Gartenmann10%
Jonas Lössl9%
Gustav Isaksen9%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Anders Dreyer4%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Pione Sisto0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aral Şimşir24%
Kristoffer Olsson19%
Evander17%
Sory Kaba16%
Gustav Isaksen14%
Joel Andersson12%
Anders Dreyer12%
Charles8%
Erik Sviatchenko8%
Juninho6%
Pione Sisto5%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Paulinho5%
Stefan Gartenmann3%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Mads Thychosen0%
Júnior Brumado0%
Emam Ashour0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Armin Gigović0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Victor Lind0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Raphael Onyedika0%
Frederik Heiselberg0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustav Isaksen39%
Emam Ashour33%
Evander28%
Anders Dreyer27%
Pione Sisto25%
Sory Kaba20%
Frederik Heiselberg18%
Raphael Onyedika11%
Edward Chilufya8%
Júnior Brumado8%
Kristoffer Olsson6%
Armin Gigović6%
Erik Sviatchenko4%
Stefan Gartenmann3%
Juninho3%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Charles0%
Paulinho0%
Joel Andersson0%
Mads Thychosen0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Nicolas Dyhr0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Victor Lind0%
Oliver Sørensen0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FC Nordsjaelland's squad is €71m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€37m vs €108m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's attack is €29m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€18m vs €47m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
FC Nordsjaelland's midfield is €17m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€7m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
FC Nordsjaelland's defence is €25m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€12m vs €37m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →