This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.27
2.44
0.81
1.86
1.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
2.27
1.35
2.69
0.77
1.85
1.92
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
1.33
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.7%
Under 1.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.8%
Under 2.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 3.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.3%
No
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
0-1 ✓
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
FC Sion goals ↓
FC Basel 1893 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
4.7%
5.0%
3.0%
1.3%
1
4.4%
10%
8.4%
4.9%
2.2%
2
4.5%
7.9%
7.0%
4.1%
1.8%
3
2.5%
4.4%
3.9%
2.3%
1.0%
4
1.0%
1.8%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Sion goals (down), columns = FC Basel 1893 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Thun
1.97
FC ST. Gallen
1.84
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Sion
1.66
FC Basel 1893
1.47
BSC Young Boys
1.45
FC Luzern
1.39
Servette FC
1.39
Lausanne
1.11
FC Zurich
1.00
FC Aarau
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.88
FC Winterthur
0.61
FC Sion is 0.18 points better than FC Basel 1893 in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.11
BSC Young Boys
2.11
FC Luzern
2.00
FC ST. Gallen
1.89
Servette FC
1.87
FC Sion
1.66
FC Lugano
1.55
FC Basel 1893
1.45
Lausanne
1.39
FC Zurich
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.23
FC Winterthur
1.16
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Sion is 0.21 goals better than FC Basel 1893 in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Sion
1.05
FC Lugano
1.11
FC ST. Gallen
1.24
FC Thun
1.37
FC Basel 1893
1.53
Servette FC
1.66
FC Luzern
1.74
Lausanne
1.76
BSC Young Boys
1.82
Grasshoppers
1.88
FC Zurich
1.89
FC Winterthur
2.63
FC Sion is 0.47 goals better than FC Basel 1893 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
56%
BSC Young Boys
55%
FC Basel 1893
55%
Servette FC
52%
FC Sion
51%
FC Zurich
51%
FC Luzern
50%
Lausanne
50%
FC Thun
46%
FC Aarau
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen
45%
FC Winterthur
44%
FC Sion is 4.1 percentage points worse than FC Basel 1893 in terms of average possession (51% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Sion
For 2.9 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 14.4 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Basel 1893
For 5.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 16.3 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Sion
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.1
10.6
3.9
4.3
3.4
23.9
23.4
24.3
vs Stronger (4)
11.8
8.0
13.0
5.8
8.0
5.0
25.0
22.0
26.0
vs Similar (35)
9.8
9.3
10.4
4.3
5.1
3.5
23.9
23.8
24.1
vs Weaker (11)
8.2
7.5
9.0
1.8
1.7
2.0
22.0
21.0
23.0
% over line
54%
45%
62%
62%
68%
56%
71%
65%
76%
% under line
46%
55%
38%
38%
32%
44%
29%
35%
24%
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.8
11.2
4.8
5.3
4.4
25.5
26.6
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
10.6
9.8
11.4
4.9
5.3
4.4
25.6
26.2
24.9
vs Weaker (9)
10.0
9.8
10.2
4.7
5.0
4.2
25.3
27.8
22.2
% over line
60%
44%
76%
70%
72%
68%
76%
84%
68%
% under line
40%
56%
24%
30%
28%
32%
24%
16%
32%
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Servette FC
11.7
BSC Young Boys
10.8
FC Basel 1893
10.5
FC Luzern
10.5
FC Zurich
10.4
Lausanne
10.3
FC ST. Gallen
10.3
FC Winterthur
9.9
FC Sion
9.9
Grasshoppers
9.7
FC Thun
9.0
FC Lugano
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.4
FC Lugano
5.1
FC Luzern
5.1
FC Aarau
5.0
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Sion
4.9
FC Zurich
4.8
Grasshoppers
4.7
Lausanne
4.6
BSC Young Boys
4.5
Servette FC
4.2
FC Thun
4.0
FC Winterthur
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Thun
27.2
FC Basel 1893
25.5
FC Lugano
25.1
FC Luzern
25.0
FC Zurich
24.9
BSC Young Boys
24.6
Lausanne
24.3
FC ST. Gallen
24.1
FC Sion
23.4
Grasshoppers
23.4
Servette FC
22.2
FC Winterthur
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.8%
Under 9.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.0%
Under 3.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.1%
Under 21.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Sion
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.43
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.54
0.83
0.50
0.33
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.31
0.38
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.12
0.50
1.38
0.38
0.85
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Sion
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.93
0.86
0.86
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.92
1.00
0.75
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.80
1.12
0.44
1.07
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.15
0.85
1.31
0.38
1.00
1.31
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.33
0.67
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Sion
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rilind Nivokazi27%
Benjamin Kololli25%
Ylyas Chouaref24%
Winsley Boteli Mokango24%
Donat Rrudhani14%
Liam Scott Chipperfield14%
Josias Lukembila12%
Ali Kabacalman8%
Franck Surdez6%
Baltazar Costa6%
Théo Berdayes6%
Noé Sow3%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Jan Kronig3%
Numa Lavanchy3%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Nias Hefti0%
Lamine Diack0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Adrien Llukes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kreshnik Hajrizi41%
Baltazar Costa23%
Theo Bouchlarhem20%
Ali Kabacalman19%
Jan Kronig17%
Adrien Llukes14%
Numa Lavanchy14%
Franck Surdez12%
Josias Lukembila12%
Liam Scott Chipperfield11%
Nias Hefti11%
Rilind Nivokazi11%
Benjamin Kololli11%
Noé Sow10%
Winsley Boteli Mokango6%
Ylyas Chouaref5%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Théo Berdayes3%
Anthony Racioppi3%
Lamine Diack0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franck Surdez19%
Ylyas Chouaref18%
Rilind Nivokazi14%
Nias Hefti11%
Théo Berdayes9%
Benjamin Kololli7%
Theo Bouchlarhem7%
Baltazar Costa6%
Numa Lavanchy5%
Ali Kabacalman5%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Josias Lukembila3%
Liam Scott Chipperfield3%
Anthony Racioppi3%
Jan Kronig0%
Lamine Diack0%
Noé Sow0%
Winsley Boteli Mokango0%
Adrien Llukes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rilind Nivokazi30%
Ylyas Chouaref21%
Benjamin Kololli18%
Josias Lukembila9%
Théo Berdayes9%
Winsley Boteli Mokango6%
Donat Rrudhani5%
Kreshnik Hajrizi3%
Liam Scott Chipperfield3%
Anthony Racioppi0%
Jan Kronig0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Baltazar Costa0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
Lamine Diack0%
Noé Sow0%
Theo Bouchlarhem0%
Franck Surdez0%
Adrien Llukes0%
FC Basel 1893
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi25%
Bénie Traoré25%
Xherdan Shaqiri23%
Philip Otele17%
Julien Duranville12%
Ibrahim Salah12%
Albian Ajeti12%
Arlet Junior Zé11%
Flavius Daniliuc9%
Metinho8%
Jeremy Agbonifo8%
Dominik Schmid7%
Giacomo Koloto6%
Koba Koindredi5%
Keigo Tsunemoto4%
Moritz Broschinski4%
Nicolas Vouilloz3%
Leo Leroy2%
Marwin Hitz0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Kevin Rüegg0%
Mirko Salvi0%
Adrian Leon Barišić0%
Anton Kade0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Jonas Adjei Adjetey0%
Marin Šotiček0%
Bacanin Andrej0%
Kaio Eduardo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leo Leroy27%
Anton Kade25%
Kevin Rüegg21%
Moussa Cissé20%
Kaio Eduardo20%
Metinho19%
Jonas Adjei Adjetey18%
Adrian Leon Barišić18%
Keigo Tsunemoto16%
Jeremy Agbonifo15%
Ibrahim Salah15%
Bénie Traoré14%
Philip Otele14%
Dominik Schmid14%
Nicolas Vouilloz13%
Giacomo Koloto12%
Albian Ajeti12%
Xherdan Shaqiri11%
Koba Koindredi11%
Bacanin Andrej10%
Moritz Broschinski7%
Marin Šotiček6%
Marwin Hitz0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Mirko Salvi0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Julien Duranville0%
Arlet Junior Zé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Xherdan Shaqiri25%
Philip Otele14%
Dominik Schmid11%
Bénie Traoré11%
Ibrahim Salah9%
Bacanin Andrej7%
Julien Duranville6%
Marin Šotiček6%
Nicolas Vouilloz5%
Leo Leroy4%
Keigo Tsunemoto4%
Flavius Daniliuc3%
Koba Koindredi3%
Albian Ajeti2%
Marwin Hitz0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Kevin Rüegg0%
Moritz Broschinski0%
Mirko Salvi0%
Adrian Leon Barišić0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Anton Kade0%
Metinho0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Jonas Adjei Adjetey0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
Arlet Junior Zé0%
Kaio Eduardo0%
Giacomo Koloto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Philip Otele34%
Albian Ajeti23%
Julien Duranville12%
Giacomo Koloto12%
Xherdan Shaqiri11%
Leo Leroy11%
Arlet Junior Zé11%
Ibrahim Salah9%
Jeremy Agbonifo8%
Moritz Broschinski7%
Adrian Leon Barišić6%
Dominik Schmid5%
Jonas Adjei Adjetey5%
Kevin Rüegg4%
Keigo Tsunemoto4%
Bacanin Andrej3%
Bénie Traoré3%
Marin Šotiček3%
Koba Koindredi3%
Marwin Hitz0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Mirko Salvi0%
Nicolas Vouilloz0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Anton Kade0%
Metinho0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Kaio Eduardo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
FC Sion's squad is €19m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€30m vs €49m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FW (9)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
FC Sion's attack is €2m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€15m vs €16m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
FA (4)
€1m
FC Sion's midfield is €11m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€6m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FA (13)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Sion's defence is €7m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€9m vs €16m).
Switzerland: Super League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →