This opponent (FC Zurich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.12
1.62
1.25
1.00
1.00
2.25
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
2.67
2.00
1.00
1.00
3.50
vs Similar (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.8%
Under 2.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
No
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
FC Winterthur goals ↓
FC Zurich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
7.3%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.3%
13%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.7%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.2%
4.1%
2.6%
1.1%
0.4%
4
1.1%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Winterthur goals (down), columns = FC Zurich goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.06
Servette FC
1.61
FC Lugano
1.58
FC Luzern
1.39
FC Basel 1893
1.31
FC ST. Gallen
1.25
Grasshoppers
1.22
FC Zurich
1.22
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Sion
0.82
FC Winterthur is 0.33 points worse than FC Zurich in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.28
FC ST. Gallen
1.83
FC Lugano
1.64
Grasshoppers
1.56
FC Luzern
1.50
Servette FC
1.47
FC Basel 1893
1.42
FC Zurich
1.14
FC Sion
1.13
FC Winterthur
0.89
FC Winterthur is 0.25 goals worse than FC Zurich in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.83
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.00
Servette FC
1.28
FC Lugano
1.31
FC Basel 1893
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.44
FC Luzern
1.44
FC Zurich
1.53
Grasshoppers
1.78
FC Winterthur
1.83
FC Sion
2.08
FC Winterthur is 0.31 goals worse than FC Zurich in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
57%
FC Lugano
54%
FC Basel 1893
54%
FC ST. Gallen
53%
Servette FC
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC Zurich
48%
FC Sion
48%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
41%
FC Winterthur is 6.6 percentage points worse than FC Zurich in terms of average possession (41% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Winterthur
For 3.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 7.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 7.0 · Total 19.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Zurich
For 4.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Winterthur
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (4)
8.0
7.0
8.5
5.2
2.5
8.0
19.7
22.0
18.5
vs Stronger (4)
8.0
7.0
8.5
5.2
2.5
8.0
19.7
22.0
18.5
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
0%
50%
75%
50%
100%
33%
100%
0%
% under line
67%
100%
50%
25%
50%
0%
67%
0%
100%
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
10.0
10.5
9.5
6.6
7.0
6.2
27.6
28.8
26.5
vs Stronger (3)
9.3
11.0
8.5
8.7
13.0
6.5
34.0
46.0
28.0
vs Similar (5)
10.4
10.3
10.5
5.4
5.0
6.0
23.8
23.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
75%
50%
100%
100%
100%
88%
100%
75%
% under line
38%
25%
50%
0%
0%
0%
12%
0%
25%
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Grasshoppers
13.8
FC Sion
13.4
FC Luzern
12.0
FC ST. Gallen
11.8
FC Basel 1893
10.8
BSC Young Boys
10.4
Servette FC
10.2
FC Lugano
10.0
FC Zurich
10.0
FC Winterthur
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Winterthur
7.0
FC Basel 1893
6.7
FC Zurich
6.6
Servette FC
6.0
FC ST. Gallen
5.0
Grasshoppers
4.4
FC Sion
4.0
FC Luzern
4.0
BSC Young Boys
3.9
FC Lugano
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Zurich
27.6
BSC Young Boys
23.8
FC Lugano
23.7
FC ST. Gallen
23.2
FC Basel 1893
23.0
Grasshoppers
23.0
FC Sion
23.0
FC Luzern
22.0
FC Winterthur
19.7
Servette FC
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
71.6%
Under 9.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.7%
Under 3.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.0%
Under 21.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Winterthur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.25
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.25
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Winterthur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Zurich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.75
1.25
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.60
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Winterthur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Winterthur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Winterthur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Winterthur
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joaquín Ardaiz31%
Roman Buess18%
Samir Ramizi17%
Matteo Di Giusto15%
Stephan Seiler14%
Nishan Burkart12%
Noe Holenstein12%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez9%
Florian Kamberi8%
Sayfallah Ltaief7%
Samuel Ballet5%
Hekuran Kryeziu0%
Markus Kuster0%
Neftali Manzambi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Michael Gonçalves0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samir Ramizi42%
Remo Arnold30%
Stephan Seiler29%
Granit Lekaj27%
Sayfallah Ltaief27%
Samuel Ballet26%
Michael Gonçalves24%
Roy Gelmi23%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez18%
Timothy Fayulu18%
Souleymane Diaby17%
Florian Kamberi15%
Thibault Corbaz15%
Eris Abedini15%
Hekuran Kryeziu13%
Adrian Gantenbein13%
Yannick Schmid12%
Nishan Burkart12%
Noe Holenstein12%
Roman Buess12%
Tobias Schättin8%
Matteo Di Giusto6%
Neftali Manzambi6%
Markus Kuster0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Joaquín Ardaiz0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joaquín Ardaiz19%
Neftali Manzambi11%
Hekuran Kryeziu9%
Adrian Gantenbein9%
Thibault Corbaz8%
Roman Buess6%
Matteo Di Giusto6%
Nishan Burkart4%
Michael Gonçalves4%
Souleymane Diaby3%
Markus Kuster0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Samir Ramizi0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Noe Holenstein0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joaquín Ardaiz12%
Matteo Di Giusto9%
Sayfallah Ltaief7%
Roman Buess6%
Hekuran Kryeziu0%
Markus Kuster0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Neftali Manzambi0%
Jozef Pukaj0%
Roy Gelmi0%
Yannick Schmid0%
Francisco Jose Rodriguez0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Thibault Corbaz0%
Samir Ramizi0%
Remo Arnold0%
Granit Lekaj0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Eris Abedini0%
Michael Gonçalves0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Samuel Ballet0%
Nishan Burkart0%
Souleymane Diaby0%
Adrian Gantenbein0%
Carmine Chiappetta0%
Noe Holenstein0%
FC Zurich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tosin Aiyegun23%
Jonathan Okita19%
Roko Šimić19%
Mirlind Kryeziu16%
Blerim Džemaili15%
Ifeanyi Mathew15%
Calixte Ligue11%
Donis Avdijaj9%
Antonio Marchesano7%
Ivan Santini7%
Lindrit Kamberi5%
Marc Hornschuh4%
Nikola Katić4%
Fabian Rohner3%
Adrián Guerrero3%
Cheick Oumar Conde3%
Bledian Krasniqi3%
Nikola Boranijašević2%
Yanick Brecher0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Ole Selnaes0%
Karol Mets0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Bogdan V'Yunnik0%
Selmin Hodza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mirlind Kryeziu53%
Cheick Oumar Conde41%
Fidan Aliti34%
Ivan Santini33%
Stephan Seiler33%
Roko Šimić31%
Nikola Katić31%
Ifeanyi Mathew31%
Ole Selnaes29%
Blerim Džemaili27%
Wilfried Gnonto25%
Nikola Boranijašević22%
Lindrit Kamberi20%
Donis Avdijaj18%
Selmin Hodza14%
Jonathan Okita14%
Bećir Omeragić12%
Marc Hornschuh12%
Karol Mets12%
Tosin Aiyegun11%
Calixte Ligue11%
Fabian Rohner9%
Adrián Guerrero8%
Antonio Marchesano5%
Yanick Brecher5%
Bledian Krasniqi3%
Bogdan V'Yunnik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stephan Seiler17%
Antonio Marchesano10%
Nikola Boranijašević10%
Ole Selnaes8%
Roko Šimić6%
Fidan Aliti6%
Tosin Aiyegun6%
Adrián Guerrero6%
Jonathan Okita5%
Blerim Džemaili4%
Fabian Rohner3%
Cheick Oumar Conde3%
Bledian Krasniqi3%
Yanick Brecher0%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Ivan Santini0%
Nikola Katić0%
Marc Hornschuh0%
Karol Mets0%
Ifeanyi Mathew0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Lindrit Kamberi0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Bogdan V'Yunnik0%
Calixte Ligue0%
Selmin Hodza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tosin Aiyegun37%
Jonathan Okita30%
Antonio Marchesano22%
Wilfried Gnonto12%
Bogdan V'Yunnik9%
Ivan Santini7%
Blerim Džemaili4%
Fabian Rohner3%
Adrián Guerrero3%
Lindrit Kamberi2%
Yanick Brecher0%
Mirlind Kryeziu0%
Bećir Omeragić0%
Bledian Krasniqi0%
Nikola Katić0%
Ole Selnaes0%
Marc Hornschuh0%
Karol Mets0%
Fidan Aliti0%
Nikola Boranijašević0%
Ifeanyi Mathew0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Stephan Seiler0%
Cheick Oumar Conde0%
Roko Šimić0%
Calixte Ligue0%
Selmin Hodza0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FC Winterthur's squad is €8m less valuable than FC Zurich's (€6m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Winterthur's attack is €4m less valuable than FC Zurich's (€2m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
FC Winterthur and FC Zurich have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
FC Winterthur's defence is €4m less valuable than FC Zurich's (€2m vs €6m).
Switzerland: Super League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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BSC Young Boys
Servette FC
FC Lugano
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
Grasshoppers
FC Sion
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy