FCSB is the clear favourite to win this match, with the model predicting a home win. This confidence stems from their opponents FC Botosani's struggles at home, particularly against stronger opponents, where they concede an average of 1.86 goals. FCSB, on the other hand, has a strong home record, scoring 1.85 goals and conceding just 0.85 against weaker opponents.
The model predicts a 63% chance of a home win, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 15% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The single most likely score is 2-0, with a probability of 11.2%.
FCSB's home scoring and conceding stats are impressive, while FC Botosani's away form is concerning, particularly their inability to score against stronger opponents, averaging just 0.86 goals.
The model's selection is the home win, and it also suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 79.4%, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a probability of 75.1%.
Results analysis
The match saw FCSB extend their recent run, turning a defeat into a win, while FC Botosani, fresh from a victory, fell short. The final score was 3-2, confirming the home win that the model had predicted with a 64 % probability. The model’s favourite call was correct. Every suggested pick also hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8 %, Home +2 handicap at 95.4 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 94.3 %, Over 2.5 cards at 87.6 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 87.2 %, Home or Draw at 86.2 %, Home +1 handicap at 86.2 %, and Over 19.5 fouls at 85.1 %. The selections largely came through, underscoring the model’s accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FCSB win✓ Hit
64.1%
Avg Implied 62.3% · @ 1.48
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Dafabet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.26
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.67
Dafabet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Unibet
4.35
FC Botosani win✗ Miss
13.8%
Avg Implied 16.1% · @ 5.73
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
6.40
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.96
1xBet
5.94
Marathonbet
5.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FCSB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.33
1.94
1.25
1.50
1.43
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
2.00
2.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.17
2.50
1.33
2.67
1.00
2.33
vs Weaker (22)
1.82
0.95
2.00
0.73
1.64
1.18
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Botosani
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.53
1.20
1.20
1.00
1.87
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.57
1.00
1.00
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (23)
1.09
1.52
1.27
1.27
0.92
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
@ 1.16-0.5%
Under 1.5
20.1%
@ 4.75+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Pinnacle
4.98
888Sport
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.56-4.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 2.34+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.44
Betano
2.42
888Sport
2.38
Marathonbet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.6%
@ 2.37-5.7%
Under 3.5
66.4%
@ 1.53+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Unibet
2.43
Pinnacle
2.41
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
BetVictor
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.5%
@ 1.65-4.5%
No
48.5%
@ 2.10+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
No
Betfair
2.20
888Sport
2.15
William Hil
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.4%@ 7.74+5.7%
1-1
10.5%@ 7.95+4.9%
1-0
10.1%@ 7.89+4.5%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.21+3.7%
3-0
7.8%@ 10.44+3.6%
3-1
6.8%@ 10.44+2.5%
0-0
6.3%@ 13.77+3.1%
2-2
4.3%@ 13.66+1.0%
FCSB goals ↓
FC Botosani goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
3.7%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
1
10%
11%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.3%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.8%
6.8%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
4
4.0%
3.5%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FCSB goals (down), columns = FC Botosani goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.83
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
FCSB is 0.57 points better than FC Botosani in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.17
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Rapid
1.17
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
FCSB is 0.43 goals better than FC Botosani in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Rapid
0.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.33
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
FCSB and FC Botosani are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
51%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
FCSB is 5.7 percentage points better than FC Botosani in terms of average possession (58% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FCSB
For 7.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Botosani
For 4.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 14.7 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FCSB
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.6
9.6
4.7
4.9
4.5
24.8
25.2
24.4
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
9.5
11.0
3.3
3.5
3.0
21.3
20.0
24.0
vs Similar (13)
10.6
10.9
10.2
5.5
6.6
4.3
25.9
27.4
23.8
vs Weaker (34)
9.9
10.6
9.4
4.4
4.3
4.6
24.7
24.9
24.6
% over line
55%
58%
52%
68%
67%
69%
74%
75%
74%
% under line
45%
42%
48%
32%
33%
31%
26%
25%
26%
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Botosani
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.1
10.0
4.4
4.4
4.4
26.3
27.0
25.7
vs Stronger (11)
9.5
8.7
10.4
6.1
6.7
5.4
27.3
28.3
26.0
vs Similar (39)
9.6
9.2
9.9
3.9
3.6
4.2
26.1
26.5
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
39%
48%
68%
68%
68%
76%
78%
74%
% under line
57%
61%
52%
32%
32%
32%
24%
22%
26%
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.4
Rapid
10.0
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Farul Constanta
9.7
Uta Arad
9.7
Oţelul
9.5
FC Botosani
9.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.9
Csikszereda
8.8
FC Voluntari
8.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.1
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Uta Arad
4.7
FC Voluntari
4.6
Rapid
4.6
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.5
Oţelul
4.5
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
Universitatea Cluj
4.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
26.9
FC Botosani
26.4
Arges Pitesti
25.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.5
Universitatea Craiova
24.8
Csikszereda
24.7
FCSB
24.6
Uta Arad
24.2
Rapid
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.8
FC Voluntari
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.2
Corvinul Hunedoara
22.6
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.4
Universitatea Cluj
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.3%
@ 1.76+4.5%
Under 9.5
42.7%
@ 1.96-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.04
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.6%
@ 1.38+7.9%
Under 3.5
26.4%
@ 2.65-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Under
Betano
2.65
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.0%
Under 21.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FCSB or Draw✓ Hit
86.2%
Avg Implied 83.4% · @ 1.11
Edge
+2.8%
64%
22%
14%
covers FCSB + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
888Sport
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.13
FCSB or FC Botosani✓ Hit
77.9%
Avg Implied 79.0% · @ 1.18
Edge
-1.1%
64%
22%
14%
covers FCSB + FC Botosani
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Draw or FC Botosani✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.47
Edge
-1.7%
64%
22%
14%
covers Draw + FC Botosani
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.57
Unibet
2.55
1xBet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FCSB over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.2%
@ 1.08+0.7%
Under
12.8%
@ 6.91-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Under
Bet365
8.00
888Sport
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.80
FCSB over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.0%
@ 1.46-2.5%
Under
39.0%
@ 2.54+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.53
FCSB over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
33.9%
@ 2.49-3.3%
Under
66.1%
@ 1.48+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.57
888Sport
2.50
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
FCSB over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 4.98-3.3%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.14+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
888Sport
4.80
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
FC Botosani over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
57.9%
@ 1.50-4.2%
Under
42.1%
@ 2.45+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.56
Bet365
2.50
888Sport
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betfair
2.50
FC Botosani over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
21.5%
@ 3.42-5.7%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.28+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.56
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.48
Under
Betano
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
FC Botosani over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 9.25-4.4%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.04+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
888Sport
9.50
1xBet
8.90
Marathonbet
8.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
FC Botosani over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 20.75-3.5%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FCSB, so a minus line means FCSB give that many goals of a start and FC Botosani receive them. At -1, FCSB must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FCSB win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FCSB)Actual: FC Botosani
FCSB -2
20.9%
@ 3.96-1.7%
Draw -2
19.8%
@ 4.35-0.7%
FC Botosani +2
59.3%
@ 1.57+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.78
Unibet
3.70
Draw
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Handicap -1 (FCSB)Actual: Draw
FCSB -1
40.7%
@ 2.21+0.5%
Draw -1
23.4%
@ 3.58-1.5%
FC Botosani +1
35.9%
@ 2.56+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Unibet
2.12
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Unibet
3.40
Away
Unibet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.52
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Handicap +1 (FCSB)Actual: FCSB
FCSB +1
86.2%
@ 1.10+5.3%
Draw +1
9.3%
@ 7.31-2.9%
FC Botosani -1
4.6%
@ 12.59-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
14.00
Unibet
12.50
Marathonbet
6.85
Handicap +2 (FCSB)Actual: FCSB
FCSB +2
95.4%
@ 1.02+2.4%
Draw +2
3.5%
@ 19.50-1.4%
FC Botosani -2
1.1%
@ 46.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
18.00
Away
Betfair
51.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FCSB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.06
0.69
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
1.33
1.00
1.33
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (22)
1.05
0.45
1.18
0.36
0.91
0.55
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Botosani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.65
0.64
0.64
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FCSB over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Botosani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Botosani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Botosani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FCSB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.88
0.56
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.33
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.77
0.50
0.82
0.36
0.73
0.64
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Botosani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Botosani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.67
0.47
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.71
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.87
0.64
0.64
0.42
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FCSB over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Botosani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Botosani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Botosani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.4%
1.02
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
1.16
Betano
1.16
-
-
-
-
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
86.2%
1.11
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
888Sport
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
86.2%
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
78.5%
1.28
Betano
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
+5.7%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.9%
1.18
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.20
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.6%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FCSB
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Paulo40%
Daniel Bîrligea33%
Joyskim Dawa25%
Dennis Politic25%
Risto Radunović20%
Florin Tănase17%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Juri Cisotti0%
André Duarte0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Octavian Popescu0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
Mihai Toma0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ronny Labonne67%
Valentin Crețu50%
Florin Tănase33%
Daniel Bîrligea33%
Dylan Batubinsika25%
Dennis Politic25%
Aymen Boutoutaou25%
Mihai Toma25%
João Paulo20%
Octavian Popescu17%
Ricardo Pădurariu17%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Risto Radunović0%
Juri Cisotti0%
André Duarte0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
Matei Popa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Octavian Popescu33%
Mihai Toma25%
Juri Cisotti17%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Dennis Politic0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Florin Tănase0%
Risto Radunović0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Daniel Bîrligea0%
André Duarte0%
João Paulo0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Bîrligea67%
João Paulo40%
Octavian Popescu33%
Dennis Politic25%
André Duarte20%
Juri Cisotti17%
Joyskim Dawa0%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Eddy Gnahoré0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Florin Tănase0%
Risto Radunović0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Aymen Boutoutaou0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
Mihai Toma0%
Ricardo Pădurariu0%
Matei Popa0%
FC Botosani
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrei Dumiter67%
Zoran Mitrov20%
Sebastian Mailat17%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Enriko Papa0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Charles Petro0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Petro50%
Brian Bayeye40%
Enriko Papa33%
Mamadou Diarra33%
Hervin Ongenda20%
Lucas de Vega20%
Andrei Dumiter17%
George Miron17%
Ioannis Anestis17%
Ştefan Bodişteanu17%
Narcis Ilaș17%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
Sebastian Mailat0%
Zoran Mitrov0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enriko Papa33%
Hervin Ongenda20%
Zoran Mitrov20%
Sebastian Mailat17%
Mykola Kovtalyuk0%
Andrei Dumiter0%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Charles Petro0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Mailat50%
Mykola Kovtalyuk33%
Andrei Dumiter33%
Charles Petro25%
Mihai Bordeianu0%
Jovan Marković0%
George Miron0%
Enriko Papa0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Ioannis Anestis0%
Lucas de Vega0%
Brian Bayeye0%
Ştefan Bodişteanu0%
Zoran Mitrov0%
Narcis Ilaș0%
Răzvan Creț0%
Mamadou Diarra0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
FCSB's squad is €17m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€26m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
FCSB's attack is €8m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€12m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
FCSB's midfield is €2m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
FCSB's defence is €8m more valuable than FC Botosani's (€11m vs €3m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Petrolul Ploiesti
Rapid
Universitatea Craiova
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda