Ferencvarosi TC vs Puskas Academy Result & Analysis

Ferencvarosi TC are the clear favourites, with a 55% chance of triumph, while the draw sits at 26% and the away side only 18%. The model expects 2.6 goals in total, centring on a 2-goal match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Home side Ferencvarosi have been prolific at home, scoring an average of 2.54 goals and conceding just 0.85 against weaker opposition, whereas Puskas Academy, playing away against stronger teams, average 1.0 goal for and 1.0 against. The suggested picks are: Over 19.5 fouls 94.5%, Over 21.5 fouls 88.1%, Over 2.5 cards 82.9%, Over 23.5 fouls 78.1%, Under 11.5 corners 76.1% (miss), Over 1.5 goals 74.3%, Under 3.5 goals 73.7%. The match preview highlights Ferencvarosi’s home form and the high likelihood of a moderate-scoring draw, but the odds still favour a home victory.

The upset came as Ferencvarosi TC, the pre-match favourite with a 55% chance of victory, fell to a 2-1 defeat, ending their four-game winning streak at home. The model’s call was wrong, as the actual result was an away win. The model had predicted a home win with 55% probability, but the match finished 1-2 in favour of Puskas Academy. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 94.5%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 88.1%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 82.9%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 78.1%, Under 11.5 corners missed at 76.1%, Over 1.5 hit at 74.3%, and Under 3.5 hit at 73.7%. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away side’s triumph.