This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.17
1.87
1.13
1.73
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.46
1.23
1.46
1.15
1.46
1.31
vs Weaker (4)
4.00
0.75
4.50
1.00
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
Francs Borains goals ↓
Dender goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
8.7%
8.4%
4.7%
2.0%
1
5.5%
12%
9.6%
5.4%
2.3%
2
3.8%
6.5%
5.5%
3.1%
1.3%
3
1.5%
2.5%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Francs Borains goals (down), columns = Dender goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Francs Borains is 0.73 points worse than Dender in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Francs Borains is 0.57 goals worse than Dender in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Francs Borains is 0.67 goals worse than Dender in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Francs Borains is 2.7 percentage points worse than Dender in terms of average possession (46% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Francs Borains
For 6.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dender
For 5.5 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Francs Borains
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
10.7
11.7
9.8
4.6
4.6
4.6
26.9
28.5
25.6
vs Stronger (8)
10.2
11.8
7.0
4.6
5.8
3.5
26.8
29.8
21.0
vs Similar (21)
10.8
11.7
10.3
4.6
4.2
5.0
26.9
27.7
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
73%
46%
79%
79%
80%
88%
82%
92%
% under line
42%
27%
54%
21%
21%
20%
12%
18%
8%
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.3
2.3
2.0
2.7
27.2
26.4
28.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
9.2
9.3
9.1
2.5
2.3
2.7
27.1
26.5
27.7
vs Weaker (10)
10.8
11.0
10.5
1.6
0.8
2.4
27.8
26.0
29.5
% over line
42%
42%
42%
32%
23%
42%
79%
75%
83%
% under line
58%
58%
58%
68%
77%
58%
21%
25%
17%
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Standard Liège II
12.5
Liège
11.9
Seraing United
11.8
Beerschot VA
11.5
Deinze
11.0
KRC Genk II
10.8
Francs Borains
10.7
SK Beveren
10.7
K. Lierse S.K.
10.5
Lommel United
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
Club Brugge II
9.8
RSC Anderlecht II
9.7
Oostende
9.6
Dender
9.5
Patro Eisden
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.4
Francs Borains
5.6
Liège
5.5
Seraing United
5.4
Standard Liège II
5.4
Patro Eisden
5.2
RSC Anderlecht II
5.2
K. Lierse S.K.
5.2
Beerschot VA
5.2
Lommel United
5.0
Oostende
4.9
Deinze
4.9
Dender
4.9
SK Beveren
4.2
Club Brugge II
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
KRC Genk II
27.4
Dender
27.2
Francs Borains
26.9
Seraing United
26.6
Patro Eisden
26.4
Deinze
26.2
Standard Liège II
26.1
Beerschot VA
25.4
Oostende
25.3
K. Lierse S.K.
25.2
RSC Anderlecht II
25.2
SK Beveren
24.6
Liège
24.3
Club Brugge II
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Lommel United
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.5%
Under 9.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.7%
Under 3.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.0%
Under 21.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.66
0.43
0.57
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.62
0.00
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.67
0.60
0.50
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.93
0.27
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.58
0.77
0.31
0.23
0.85
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Francs Borains
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.72
1.03
0.86
0.93
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.25
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.95
0.80
1.00
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
31% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
0.93
0.87
1.20
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.65
0.69
0.85
1.23
0.46
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.75
2.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Francs Borains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Francs Borains over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Francs Borains over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Francs Borains
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordan Attah Kadiri28%
Corenthyn Lavie16%
Niklo Dailly15%
Yanis Massolin10%
Romain Donnez10%
Hedy Chaabi10%
Clement Tainmont9%
Fode Guirassy9%
Matthew Healy8%
Kevin Vandendriessche5%
Teddy Chevalier0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Tracy Mpati Bibuangu0%
Adrien Saussez0%
Jordy Gillekens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Mathias Francotte0%
Alessio Curci0%
Sidney Obissa0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Patryk Walicki0%
Thierno Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fostave Mabani64%
Patryk Walicki43%
Romain Donnez40%
Jordy Gillekens33%
Mateo Itrak30%
Thierno Diallo30%
Clement Tainmont27%
Matthew Healy25%
Levi Malungu23%
Jordan Attah Kadiri22%
Mathias Francotte20%
Tracy Mpati Bibuangu18%
Corenthyn Lavie16%
Kevin Vandendriessche16%
Niklo Dailly15%
Sidney Obissa14%
Teddy Chevalier12%
Fode Guirassy9%
Alessio Curci8%
Yanis Massolin5%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Adrien Saussez0%
Hedy Chaabi0%
Théo Gécé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Corenthyn Lavie16%
Niklo Dailly15%
Mathias Francotte10%
Romain Donnez10%
Fode Guirassy9%
Alessio Curci8%
Matthew Healy8%
Jordan Attah Kadiri6%
Kevin Vandendriessche5%
Teddy Chevalier0%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Tracy Mpati Bibuangu0%
Clement Tainmont0%
Adrien Saussez0%
Jordy Gillekens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Hedy Chaabi0%
Sidney Obissa0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Yanis Massolin0%
Patryk Walicki0%
Thierno Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordan Attah Kadiri56%
Corenthyn Lavie40%
Teddy Chevalier25%
Niklo Dailly15%
Yanis Massolin15%
Matthew Healy12%
Thierno Diallo10%
Fode Guirassy9%
Clement Libertiaux0%
Kevin Vandendriessche0%
Tracy Mpati Bibuangu0%
Clement Tainmont0%
Adrien Saussez0%
Jordy Gillekens0%
Mateo Itrak0%
Mathias Francotte0%
Hedy Chaabi0%
Alessio Curci0%
Sidney Obissa0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Levi Malungu0%
Théo Gécé0%
Patryk Walicki0%
Romain Donnez0%
Dender
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruny Nsimba35%
Ali Akman25%
Arnaud Dony20%
Jordy Soladio19%
Michael Lallemand18%
Desmond Acquah17%
Olivier Myny14%
Kobe Cools12%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Lennard Hens10%
Stefano Marzo9%
Dylan Ragolle6%
Jasper Van Oudenhove6%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joedrick Pupe38%
Stefano Marzo27%
Olivier Myny27%
Bruny Nsimba26%
Dylan Ragolle25%
Ridwane M'Barki24%
Lennard Hens24%
Gilles Ruyssen17%
Xavier Gies17%
Kobe Cools17%
Jordy Soladio14%
Kéres Masangu11%
Nathan Rodes9%
Fabio Ferraro7%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Ali Akman0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ridwane M'Barki33%
Lennard Hens33%
Stefano Marzo27%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Ali Akman10%
Jordy Soladio10%
Bruny Nsimba9%
Olivier Myny5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruny Nsimba43%
Lennard Hens33%
Ridwane M'Barki19%
Ali Akman15%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Jordy Soladio10%
Gilles Ruyssen6%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Olivier Myny0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
Francs Borains's squad is €4m less valuable than Dender's (€4m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
Francs Borains and Dender have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
ZW (4)
€4m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
Francs Borains's midfield is €3m less valuable than Dender's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (13)
€9m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
Francs Borains's defence is €1m less valuable than Dender's (€2m vs €4m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
Liège
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Seraing United
Standard Liège II