Gent’s recent unbeaten run of five games, including a 3-2 win over Hibernian, shows they can hold their own at home, yet their average of zero goals scored against stronger opponents and two conceded per match signals defensive frailty. Club Brugge KV, on a four-game winning streak and averaging 2.11 goals scored while conceding only one at weaker away venues, look poised to dominate. The model favours an away win, with a 50% chance, a draw 27%, and a home win 23%. The expected total is 2.7 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.4% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1% with a 3% edge, Under 6.5 at 98.0% with a 4% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.9% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8% with a 4% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.0% with a 4% edge, Under 5.5 at 94.5% with a 6% edge, and Away under 3.5 goals at 91.5% with a 7% edge.
Results analysis
Gent edged Club Brugge KV 2-1, a shock that left the pre-match favourite - the model’s pick of an away win at 50% - wrong. The home side’s recent form, a 2-game winning run, proved decisive. The model’s selection of an away win was incorrect, while the model’s other picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Under 6.5 at 98.3%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.5%, Under 5.5 at 95.1%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.5%. The final score matched the model’s most likely 1-1 outcome probability of 13.1%, but the actual result was a home win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gent win✓ Hit
22.9%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.70
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
5.10
Pinnacle
4.99
Dafabet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Unibet
4.80
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.97
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.15
1xBet
4.14
Betano
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Club Brugge KV win✗ Miss
49.6%
Avg Implied 56.5% · @ 1.66
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Dafabet
1.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gent
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.10
1.06
0.75
1.36
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.07
1.57
0.71
1.14
1.43
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.79
0.75
0.62
1.83
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge KV
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.67
1.23
3.19
1.06
2.07
1.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
2.70
1.80
3.40
1.40
2.00
2.20
vs Weaker (20)
2.65
0.95
3.09
0.91
2.11
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
@ 1.19-4.6%
Under 1.5
25.6%
@ 4.47+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Unibet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Pinnacle
4.41
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.64-9.6%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 2.24+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
SBO
1.63
Under
Superbet
2.37
Betano
2.27
SBO
2.26
1xBet
2.26
Betfair
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
@ 2.55-10.5%
Under 3.5
73.6%
@ 1.49+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
Betano
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Marathonbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
@ 1.62-5.4%
No
48.2%
@ 2.17+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
BetVictor
1.62
No
Superbet
2.35
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.20
Betano
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 7.10+6.9%
0-1
10.6%@ 7.78+4.9%
1-2
9.5%@ 7.40+3.5%
0-2
9.4%@ 8.27+4.0%
0-0
8.6%@ 13.24+5.3%
1-0
6.3%@ 13.99+3.2%
2-1 ✓
6.0%@ 13.24+2.7%
1-3
5.0%@ 10.96+1.0%
Gent goals ↓
Club Brugge KV goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
11%
9.4%
5.0%
2.0%
1
6.3%
13%
9.5%
5.0%
2.0%
2
3.8%
6.0%
4.8%
2.5%
1.0%
3
1.3%
2.0%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gent goals (down), columns = Club Brugge KV goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Gent is 0.93 points worse than Club Brugge KV in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Gent is 0.98 goals worse than Club Brugge KV in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Gent is 0.27 goals worse than Club Brugge KV in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Gent is 11.1 percentage points worse than Club Brugge KV in terms of average possession (49% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gent
For 5.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 18.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Club Brugge KV
For 6.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.2 · Against 9.1 · Total 17.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gent
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.9
10.5
3.3
3.5
3.0
21.1
21.5
20.7
vs Stronger (4)
13.5
14.5
12.5
2.8
4.0
1.5
19.2
20.5
18.0
vs Similar (23)
10.0
9.4
10.6
3.7
4.2
3.3
21.3
21.3
21.2
vs Weaker (23)
9.7
9.5
9.9
3.0
2.8
3.1
21.3
21.9
20.7
% over line
54%
46%
64%
40%
46%
33%
41%
46%
36%
% under line
46%
54%
36%
60%
54%
67%
59%
54%
64%
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge KV
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.5
3.2
2.8
3.6
20.0
19.4
20.7
vs Stronger (3)
6.3
4.5
10.0
2.7
3.5
1.0
17.7
18.0
17.0
vs Similar (15)
10.5
11.7
9.4
4.5
3.6
5.4
20.7
20.3
21.1
vs Weaker (32)
10.9
10.6
11.2
2.6
2.4
2.9
19.9
19.2
20.7
% over line
57%
56%
59%
36%
27%
46%
34%
28%
41%
% under line
43%
44%
41%
64%
73%
54%
66%
72%
59%
This opponent (Gent) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Anderlecht
10.4
Gent
10.1
Kortrijk
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.9
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.2
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
Lommel United
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.0
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.0
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.4
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.2
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.3%
@ 1.58+1.9%
Under 9.5
39.7%
@ 2.22-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.15
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.5%
@ 1.85+3.3%
Under 3.5
46.5%
@ 1.86-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.71
Under
Unibet
1.98
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.73
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
40.6%
Under 21.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gent or Draw✓ Hit
50.4%
Avg Implied 43.4% · @ 2.16
Edge
+7.0%
23%
28%
50%
covers Gent + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.30
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Unibet
2.18
Gent or Club Brugge KV✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.22
Edge
-4.5%
23%
28%
50%
covers Gent + Club Brugge KV
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Draw or Club Brugge KV✗ Miss
77.1%
Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.18
Edge
-2.6%
23%
28%
50%
covers Draw + Club Brugge KV
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gent over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.6%
@ 1.42-1.9%
Under
36.4%
@ 2.69+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Under
Superbet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Gent over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.8%
@ 3.05-3.7%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.34+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.49
Marathonbet
3.22
BetVictor
3.13
1xBet
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.43
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Gent over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 7.52-4.1%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.06+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
7.90
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Under
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Gent over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 17.58-3.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.5%
@ 1.10-4.5%
Under
20.5%
@ 5.81+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 1.61-10.8%
Under
52.9%
@ 2.22+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.22
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 2.91-10.7%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.37+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.21
Marathonbet
2.95
Superbet
2.92
1xBet
2.91
BetVictor
2.90
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Club Brugge KV over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 5.86-8.1%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.10+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.85
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.09
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gent, so a minus line means Gent give that many goals of a start and Club Brugge KV receive them. At -1, Gent must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gent win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gent)Actual: Club Brugge KV
Gent -2
2.4%
@ 25.33-1.3%
Draw -2
6.3%
@ 13.67-0.5%
Club Brugge KV +2
91.3%
@ 1.04+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
29.00
Betfair
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
12.00
Away
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Handicap -1 (Gent)Actual: Draw
Gent -1
8.7%
@ 10.24-0.1%
Draw -1
14.2%
@ 6.32-0.0%
Club Brugge KV +1
77.1%
@ 1.17+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
10Bet
9.00
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.10
10Bet
5.75
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Handicap +1 (Gent)Actual: Gent
Gent +1
50.4%
@ 2.14+8.4%
Draw +1
23.0%
@ 3.70-1.3%
Club Brugge KV -1
26.6%
@ 2.67-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.15
Unibet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Away
Superbet
2.87
10Bet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.64
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Handicap +2 (Gent)Actual: Gent
Gent +2
73.4%
@ 1.41+10.1%
Draw +2
15.5%
@ 4.68-3.6%
Club Brugge KV -2
11.1%
@ 5.09-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Draw
Superbet
5.10
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Away
Superbet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gent
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.69
0.44
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.43
1.00
0.43
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.36
0.50
0.38
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge KV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.47
1.62
0.38
0.93
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.50
0.70
1.80
0.60
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.20
0.35
1.55
0.27
0.78
0.44
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.29+0.2%
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 3.36-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Superbet
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.7%
@ 2.35-1.9%
Under 1.5
62.3%
@ 1.55+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.39
William Hil
2.38
Unibet
2.35
Under
Superbet
1.61
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 5.21-4.1%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.13+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
Marathonbet
5.30
Unibet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
Under
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.7%
@ 2.41-2.8%
Under
64.3%
@ 1.52+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.43
10Bet
2.40
Under
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Gent over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 8.07-3.3%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.05+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
Unibet
8.50
1xBet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Gent over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 21.83-3.4%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.3%
@ 1.62+0.7%
Under
41.7%
@ 2.20-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Unibet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.0%
@ 3.95-2.4%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.21+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
4.05
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 10.06-4.8%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
11.00
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gent
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.38
0.31
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.64
0.57
0.29
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.43
0.25
0.25
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Club Brugge KV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Club Brugge KV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.77
1.56
0.69
1.14
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.10
1.60
0.80
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (20)
1.45
0.60
1.55
0.64
1.33
0.56
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.4%
@ 1.17+2.8%
Under 0.5
17.6%
@ 4.56-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
Betano
4.60
1xBet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.9%
@ 1.83-2.0%
Under 1.5
51.1%
@ 1.90+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 3.52-5.2%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.26+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.70
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.58
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.5%
@ 1.98-2.4%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.75+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.02
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.88
Under
Superbet
1.82
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.65
Gent over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 5.93-3.5%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.10+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Superbet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Gent over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 16.50-3.1%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Club Brugge KV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
63.1%
@ 1.41-2.8%
Under
36.9%
@ 2.73+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.80
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Club Brugge KV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
27.0%
@ 2.93-4.7%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.35+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
Superbet
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Club Brugge KV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 7.05-5.6%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.06+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.40
1xBet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.1%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.09
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.06
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.3%
1.04
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.8%
1.18
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.13
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.4%
1.17
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
1.21
Betano
1.21
-
-
-
-
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
79.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
79.0%
1.21
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
78.7%
1.37
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
77.1%
1.18
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
-2.6%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
77.1%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+0.1%
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.4%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.8%
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
1.49
Superbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
73.4%
1.41
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
73.2%
1.34
Superbet
1.43
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.0%
1.35
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.5%
1.29
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.5%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.0%
1.34
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+3.4%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gent
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Y. Vergara Ortega60%
Ibrahima Cisse50%
Tiago Araújo40%
Christian Burgess20%
M. Sonko20%
D. Roef0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
L. Bénes0%
S. Van der Heyden0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tibe De Vlieger25%
Kyrell Wilson25%
Ibrahima Cisse25%
Christian Burgess20%
Leonardo Lopes20%
S. Van der Heyden20%
D. Roef0%
L. Bénes0%
A. Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Sonko0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
J. Y. Vergara Ortega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Araújo40%
L. Bénes25%
S. Van der Heyden20%
M. Sonko20%
M. Volckaert20%
D. Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
J. Y. Vergara Ortega0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Y. Vergara Ortega40%
Tiago Araújo20%
M. Sonko20%
D. Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
L. Bénes0%
S. Van der Heyden0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Club Brugge KV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolò Tresoldi67%
Hans Vanaken33%
Hugo Vetlesen33%
Carlos Forbs33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Yann Sommer0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Freddie Potts0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Freddie Potts67%
Brandon Mechele33%
Joaquin Seys33%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Hugo Vetlesen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Forbs67%
Mamadou Diakhon33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Hugo Vetlesen0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Freddie Potts0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hugo Vetlesen33%
Brandon Mechele0%
Hans Vanaken0%
Yann Sommer0%
Han-Beom Lee0%
Romeo Vermant0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Freddie Potts0%
Nicolò Tresoldi0%
Kyriani Sabbe0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Joaquin Seys0%
Mamadou Diakhon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Gent's squad is €138m less valuable than Club Brugge KV's (€58m vs €196m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Gent's attack is €75m less valuable than Club Brugge KV's (€17m vs €92m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Gent and Club Brugge KV have a similar midfield value (both €22m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Gent's defence is €63m less valuable than Club Brugge KV's (€19m vs €81m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk