Gent’s recent 2-game winning streak and a 2-1 victory over Club Brugge KV give the home side a clear edge, reflected in the model’s 54% chance of a home win. The match is expected to see 2.5 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8% chance. Gent, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 0.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded, while OH Leuven, on the road against a stronger side, scores 1.0 and concedes 2.0. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8% with a 3% edge, Under 6.5 at 98.6% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.6% with a 6% edge, Under 5.5 at 95.9% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.8% with a 7% edge. The probabilities for the match result are 54% home win, 27% draw, and 19% away win.
Results analysis
Gent’s 1-0 victory over OH Leuven confirmed the model’s prediction that the home side would win, a result that matched the 54% probability assigned to a home win. The win extends Gent’s three-game winning run, while Leuven’s five-game losing streak continued. The model’s favourite call was right, and the final score of 1-0 matched the most likely 1-0 outcome. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.0%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.9%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.3%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each figure was mentioned only once.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gent win✓ Hit
54.1%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.67
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
Dafabet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.71
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.86
1xBet
3.82
Betano
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
OH Leuven win✗ Miss
18.8%
Avg Implied 19.0% · @ 4.91
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.40
Betano
5.20
1xBet
5.06
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
5.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gent
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.13
1.06
0.81
1.36
1.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
1.00
1.50
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.07
1.57
0.71
1.14
1.43
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.85
0.57
0.71
1.83
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OH Leuven
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.60
0.88
1.62
1.07
1.57
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
1.58
0.83
1.17
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.61
0.90
1.90
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.3%
@ 1.26-2.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
@ 3.68+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Under
Unibet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.72
Betano
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 1.85-5.8%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.94+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.88
Under
Superbet
2.05
SBO
2.03
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
@ 3.12-6.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
@ 1.34+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.29
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Betano
3.15
Marathonbet
3.12
Under
Superbet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.7%
@ 1.78-4.2%
No
52.3%
@ 1.93+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
No
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Betfair
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 6.57+6.1%
1-0 ✓
12.3%@ 6.37+5.3%
2-0
10.9%@ 7.34+4.9%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.25+3.3%
0-0
9.4%@ 10.51+5.2%
0-1
6.0%@ 12.15+2.4%
3-0
5.9%@ 12.07+2.2%
3-1
5.1%@ 12.00+1.4%
Gent goals ↓
OH Leuven goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
6.0%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.1%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.5%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
3
5.9%
5.1%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gent goals (down), columns = OH Leuven goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Gent is 0.27 points better than OH Leuven in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Gent is 0.27 goals better than OH Leuven in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Gent is 0.11 goals better than OH Leuven in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Gent is 3.4 percentage points better than OH Leuven in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gent
For 5.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OH Leuven
For 4.5 · Against 7.1 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 8.3 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gent
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.5
3.4
3.8
3.0
21.0
21.2
20.7
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
11.7
12.5
3.8
5.3
1.5
20.2
21.7
18.0
vs Similar (23)
10.0
9.4
10.6
3.7
4.2
3.3
21.3
21.3
21.2
vs Weaker (22)
9.8
9.8
9.9
3.0
3.0
3.1
20.8
20.9
20.7
% over line
54%
46%
64%
42%
50%
33%
41%
46%
36%
% under line
46%
54%
36%
58%
50%
67%
59%
54%
64%
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OH Leuven
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.3
10.9
4.4
4.4
4.4
25.2
25.2
25.1
vs Stronger (18)
11.7
11.8
11.6
4.6
3.9
5.5
25.1
24.3
26.0
vs Similar (31)
10.8
11.1
10.5
4.4
4.7
4.1
25.2
25.7
24.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
65%
68%
61%
60%
62%
58%
71%
72%
70%
% under line
35%
32%
39%
40%
38%
42%
29%
28%
30%
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
Charleroi
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Anderlecht
10.3
Kortrijk
10.1
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Antwerp
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.2
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
Lommel United
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Genk
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Gent
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.0
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.1
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.4
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
St. Truiden
21.2
Gent
21.2
Club Brugge KV
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.3%
@ 1.70+3.6%
Under 9.5
41.7%
@ 2.05-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Under
Marathonbet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.09
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.6%
@ 1.54-0.2%
Under 3.5
40.4%
@ 2.29+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.52
Unibet
1.50
Under
Unibet
2.33
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.25
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.2%
@ 1.32-9.9%
Under 21.5
43.8%
@ 2.58+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
2.58
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gent or Draw✓ Hit
81.2%
Avg Implied 80.6% · @ 1.16
Edge
+0.5%
54%
27%
19%
covers Gent + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Gent or OH Leuven✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
-2.7%
54%
27%
19%
covers Gent + OH Leuven
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Draw or OH Leuven✗ Miss
45.9%
Avg Implied 43.8% · @ 2.14
Edge
+2.2%
54%
27%
19%
covers Draw + OH Leuven
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.25
Unibet
2.23
SBO
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.15
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gent over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.3%
@ 1.14-1.5%
Under
19.7%
@ 5.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Unibet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.35
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Gent over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.3%
@ 1.75-5.1%
Under
51.7%
@ 2.01+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
1.98
Gent over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 3.36-5.4%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.29+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.61
Marathonbet
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Under
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Gent over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 7.31-4.5%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.06+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
Betano
6.60
Under
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
OH Leuven over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.0%
@ 1.53-2.9%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.38+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.40
OH Leuven over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.6%
@ 3.64-4.0%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.25+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.82
BetVictor
3.80
Pinnacle
3.78
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
OH Leuven over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 10.14-3.5%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.04+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.50
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Unibet
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.01
OH Leuven over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 25.17-2.7%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gent, so a minus line means Gent give that many goals of a start and OH Leuven receive them. At -1, Gent must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gent win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gent)Actual: OH Leuven
Gent -2
12.8%
@ 5.62-3.3%
Draw -2
17.0%
@ 4.84-1.6%
OH Leuven +2
70.2%
@ 1.39+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.20
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Away
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Handicap -1 (Gent)Actual: Draw
Gent -1
29.8%
@ 2.77-2.7%
Draw -1
24.3%
@ 3.55-1.2%
OH Leuven +1
45.9%
@ 2.14+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.67
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Superbet
2.25
Unibet
2.20
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Handicap +1 (Gent)Actual: Gent
Gent +1
81.2%
@ 1.16+3.9%
Draw +1
12.4%
@ 6.08-2.3%
OH Leuven -1
6.4%
@ 11.02-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Draw
Superbet
6.60
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
11.50
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Handicap +2 (Gent)Actual: Gent
Gent +2
93.6%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Draw +2
4.9%
@ 15.00-1.4%
OH Leuven -2
1.6%
@ 37.50-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
Away
Betfair
46.00
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gent
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.62
0.50
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.43
1.00
0.43
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (13)
0.54
0.38
0.29
0.43
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OH Leuven
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.44
0.75
0.64
0.21
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.42
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.17
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.50
0.80
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.2%
@ 1.36-0.6%
Under 0.5
31.8%
@ 2.99+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Superbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Pinnacle
3.09
Unibet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.8%
@ 2.67-3.1%
Under 1.5
68.2%
@ 1.43+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Betano
2.82
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.69
Under
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 6.43-4.2%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.09+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.75
William Hil
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
52.4%
@ 1.70-2.5%
Under
47.6%
@ 2.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Under
Superbet
2.15
Unibet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Gent over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.5%
@ 4.36-4.7%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.18+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Under
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Gent over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 11.25-5.3%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
12.00
Unibet
11.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
OH Leuven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 2.68+0.1%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.42-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
10Bet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
OH Leuven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 9.97-1.9%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
Unibet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.60
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
OH Leuven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 40.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gent
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.44
0.31
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.64
0.57
0.29
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.46
0.29
0.29
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OH Leuven
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.10
0.44
0.88
0.43
1.36
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.17
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.83
vs Similar (18)
0.39
1.06
0.40
1.10
0.38
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.21+0.5%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 3.98-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Unibet
4.30
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.3%
@ 2.04-4.6%
Under 1.5
58.7%
@ 1.73+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.81
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.69
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.2%
@ 4.30-5.5%
Under 2.5
83.8%
@ 1.19+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.1%
@ 1.48-0.6%
Under
37.9%
@ 2.49+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Under
Superbet
2.55
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Gent over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 3.27-7.1%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.29+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Gent over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 8.18-6.6%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.04+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
7.90
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
OH Leuven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.1%
@ 2.16-0.8%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.62+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.17
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
OH Leuven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 7.18-3.0%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.06+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
OH Leuven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 21.17-2.5%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.9%
1.04
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Unibet
1.01
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.8%
1.06
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.1%
1.06
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.09
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.2%
1.11
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.17
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.5%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.2%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
81.2%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
78.4%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
1.27
Betano
1.27
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.7%
1.29
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.2%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
1.37
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.31
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.9%
1.34
Superbet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.0%
1.48
1xBet
1.48
-
-
-
-
+15.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.9%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.3%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.25
-2.3%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.4%
1.41
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
70.2%
1.39
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
+4.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gent
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Y. Vergara Ortega60%
Ibrahima Cisse50%
Tiago Araújo40%
Christian Burgess20%
M. Sonko20%
D. Roef0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
L. Bénes0%
S. Van der Heyden0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tibe De Vlieger25%
Kyrell Wilson25%
Ibrahima Cisse25%
Christian Burgess20%
Leonardo Lopes20%
S. Van der Heyden20%
D. Roef0%
L. Bénes0%
A. Kadri0%
Tiago Araújo0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Sonko0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
J. Y. Vergara Ortega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Araújo40%
L. Bénes25%
S. Van der Heyden20%
M. Sonko20%
M. Volckaert20%
D. Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
J. Y. Vergara Ortega0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Y. Vergara Ortega40%
Tiago Araújo20%
M. Sonko20%
D. Roef0%
Christian Burgess0%
Leonardo Lopes0%
L. Bénes0%
S. Van der Heyden0%
A. Kadri0%
M. Delorge-Knieper0%
M. Volckaert0%
Mouhamed El Ngom0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Kyrell Wilson0%
A. Omgba0%
E. Seck0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
OH Leuven
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Óscar Gil33%
Wouter George33%
William Balikwisha0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Ewoud Pletinckx0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Łukasz Łakomy0%
D. van den Heuvel0%
C. Ikwuemesi0%
S. Yamada0%
D. Opoku0%
A. Traoré0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Óscar Gil33%
Wouter George33%
C. Ikwuemesi33%
A. Traoré33%
William Balikwisha0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Ewoud Pletinckx0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Łukasz Łakomy0%
D. van den Heuvel0%
S. Yamada0%
D. Opoku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wouter George33%
C. Ikwuemesi33%
William Balikwisha0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Ewoud Pletinckx0%
Óscar Gil0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Łukasz Łakomy0%
D. van den Heuvel0%
S. Yamada0%
D. Opoku0%
A. Traoré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Óscar Gil67%
C. Ikwuemesi33%
William Balikwisha0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Ewoud Pletinckx0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Łukasz Łakomy0%
Wouter George0%
D. van den Heuvel0%
S. Yamada0%
D. Opoku0%
A. Traoré0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Gent's squad is €28m more valuable than OH Leuven's (€58m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Gent's attack is €9m more valuable than OH Leuven's (€17m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Gent's midfield is €17m more valuable than OH Leuven's (€22m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Gent's defence is €2m more valuable than OH Leuven's (€19m vs €17m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
Kortrijk