This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
1.43
1.57
1.06
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
1.56
1.25
2.50
1.00
0.80
vs Similar (21)
1.29
1.14
1.50
1.20
1.09
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.4%
Under 1.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.0%
@ 3.05+2.7%
Under 2.5
66.0%
@ 1.39-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.4%
Under 3.5
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.9%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
Getafe goals ↓
Rayo Vallecano goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
12%
7.3%
2.6%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
6.3%
6.7%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
3
2.1%
2.2%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Getafe goals (down), columns = Rayo Vallecano goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.32
Real Madrid
2.05
Atletico Madrid
2.03
Real Sociedad
1.87
Villarreal
1.68
Real Betis
1.58
Osasuna
1.39
Athletic Club
1.34
Mallorca
1.32
Rayo Vallecano
1.29
Girona
1.29
Sevilla
1.29
Celta Vigo
1.13
Valencia
1.11
Getafe
1.11
Cadiz
1.11
Almeria
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Espanyol
0.97
Elche
0.66
Getafe is 0.18 points worse than Rayo Vallecano in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Real Madrid
1.97
Atletico Madrid
1.84
Barcelona
1.84
Villarreal
1.55
Girona
1.53
Espanyol
1.37
Real Sociedad
1.34
Almeria
1.29
Athletic Club
1.24
Sevilla
1.24
Real Betis
1.21
Rayo Vallecano
1.18
Celta Vigo
1.13
Valencia
1.11
Mallorca
0.97
Osasuna
0.97
Getafe
0.89
Valladolid
0.87
Elche
0.79
Cadiz
0.79
Getafe is 0.29 goals worse than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barcelona
0.53
Atletico Madrid
0.87
Real Sociedad
0.92
Real Madrid
0.95
Villarreal
1.05
Real Betis
1.08
Osasuna
1.11
Mallorca
1.13
Athletic Club
1.13
Valencia
1.18
Getafe
1.18
Rayo Vallecano
1.39
Celta Vigo
1.39
Cadiz
1.39
Sevilla
1.42
Girona
1.45
Valladolid
1.66
Almeria
1.71
Elche
1.76
Espanyol
1.82
Getafe is 0.21 goals better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Getafe
For 3.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rayo Vallecano
For 6.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Getafe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.5
7.9
3.7
3.7
3.6
27.4
27.4
27.5
vs Stronger (18)
9.7
9.4
10.0
2.3
1.4
3.9
26.4
24.4
28.4
vs Similar (32)
8.2
9.5
6.8
4.4
5.6
3.5
27.9
28.9
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
47%
33%
46%
44%
48%
90%
87%
93%
% under line
60%
53%
67%
54%
56%
52%
10%
13%
7%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.7
9.9
3.1
2.9
3.4
27.4
27.4
27.5
vs Stronger (16)
11.4
12.3
10.0
3.1
3.8
2.5
24.3
25.7
22.2
vs Similar (34)
9.8
9.7
9.8
3.1
2.5
3.9
29.0
28.4
29.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
69%
50%
38%
38%
38%
87%
94%
79%
% under line
40%
31%
50%
62%
62%
62%
13%
6%
21%
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Espanyol
10.2
Athletic Club
10.1
Real Betis
9.9
Real Madrid
9.8
Villarreal
9.8
Valladolid
9.8
Cadiz
9.6
Rayo Vallecano
9.5
Atletico Madrid
9.5
Osasuna
9.4
Barcelona
9.3
Valencia
9.2
Almeria
9.2
Elche
9.0
Real Sociedad
8.8
Sevilla
8.7
Mallorca
8.5
Getafe
8.4
Girona
8.4
Celta Vigo
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valencia
6.5
Mallorca
6.0
Getafe
6.0
Espanyol
5.7
Girona
5.6
Atletico Madrid
5.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.6
Celta Vigo
5.5
Cadiz
5.5
Elche
5.2
Almeria
5.1
Valladolid
5.1
Barcelona
5.0
Athletic Club
5.0
Sevilla
4.9
Real Betis
4.8
Villarreal
4.7
Real Sociedad
4.6
Real Madrid
3.9
Osasuna
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valencia
30.8
Mallorca
29.3
Rayo Vallecano
28.5
Getafe
28.5
Valladolid
27.2
Celta Vigo
27.1
Elche
27.0
Girona
26.7
Espanyol
26.4
Barcelona
25.8
Real Betis
25.7
Atletico Madrid
25.6
Athletic Club
25.6
Almeria
25.4
Cadiz
25.2
Real Sociedad
25.2
Villarreal
24.5
Sevilla
24.4
Osasuna
23.9
Real Madrid
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.8%
Under 9.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
83.0%
Under 3.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.6%
Under 21.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Getafe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.33
0.53
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.62
0.22
0.56
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.65
0.50
0.50
0.45
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.64
1.14
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.44
0.75
2.25
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.57
0.60
0.70
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Getafe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Getafe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.40
0.47
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.54
0.33
0.56
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.59
0.50
0.33
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.79
0.43
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.11
0.50
0.25
0.60
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.57
0.90
0.50
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Getafe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Getafe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Getafe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enes Ünal34%
Borja Mayoral20%
Munir El Haddadi11%
Gastón Álvarez9%
Carles Aleñá6%
Jaime Mata6%
Juanmi Latasa6%
Omar Alderete4%
Damián Suárez4%
Juan Iglesias3%
Jaime Seoane0%
Jordan Amavi0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Nemanja Maksimović0%
Fabrizio Angileri0%
Domingos Duarte0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Luis Milla0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Mauro Arambarri0%
Portu0%
Ángel Algobia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Amavi40%
Gastón Álvarez36%
Omar Alderete36%
Domingos Duarte32%
Carles Aleñá31%
Gonzalo Villar31%
Mauro Arambarri31%
Djené30%
Jaime Mata28%
Damián Suárez25%
Juan Iglesias25%
Luis Milla19%
Stefan Mitrović18%
Portu18%
Enes Ünal17%
Munir El Haddadi14%
Fabrizio Angileri13%
Ángel Algobia12%
Borja Mayoral11%
Juanmi Latasa11%
Nemanja Maksimović10%
Jaime Seoane6%
David Soria5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luis Milla11%
Portu9%
Enes Ünal9%
Mauro Arambarri8%
Domingos Duarte6%
Carles Aleñá6%
Borja Mayoral6%
Jaime Mata6%
Omar Alderete4%
Munir El Haddadi4%
Damián Suárez4%
Djené3%
Jaime Seoane0%
Jordan Amavi0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Nemanja Maksimović0%
Fabrizio Angileri0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
David Soria0%
Ángel Algobia0%
Gastón Álvarez0%
Juan Iglesias0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enes Ünal31%
Juan Iglesias6%
Jaime Mata6%
Juanmi Latasa6%
Omar Alderete4%
Munir El Haddadi4%
Nemanja Maksimović3%
Carles Aleñá3%
Borja Mayoral3%
Jaime Seoane0%
Jordan Amavi0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Fabrizio Angileri0%
Domingos Duarte0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Luis Milla0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Damián Suárez0%
Mauro Arambarri0%
Portu0%
Ángel Algobia0%
Gastón Álvarez0%
Rayo Vallecano
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Isi Palazón24%
Raúl de Tomás21%
Sergio Camello16%
Álvaro García14%
Florian Lejeune10%
Óscar Trejo9%
Santi Comesaña9%
Radamel Falcao7%
Fran García5%
Ismaila Ciss3%
Unai López3%
Alejandro Catena3%
Abdul Mumin0%
Ivan Balliu0%
Salvi0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Andrés Martín0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
José Pozo0%
Bebé0%
Mario Hernández0%
Randy Nteka0%
Josep Chavarría0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alejandro Catena37%
Mario Hernández33%
Óscar Valentín32%
Óscar Trejo26%
Bebé25%
Álvaro García20%
Santi Comesaña17%
Ivan Balliu16%
Florian Lejeune16%
Radamel Falcao15%
Abdul Mumin12%
Ismaila Ciss12%
Andrés Martín11%
Stole Dimitrievski11%
Isi Palazón11%
Raúl de Tomás11%
Salvi8%
Josep Chavarría6%
Unai López6%
Sergio Camello3%
Fran García3%
José Pozo0%
Randy Nteka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isi Palazón14%
Sergio Camello13%
Josep Chavarría12%
Óscar Trejo12%
Álvaro García11%
Fran García8%
Unai López6%
Santi Comesaña6%
Alejandro Catena3%
Radamel Falcao0%
Abdul Mumin0%
Florian Lejeune0%
Ivan Balliu0%
Ismaila Ciss0%
Salvi0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Andrés Martín0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
José Pozo0%
Raúl de Tomás0%
Bebé0%
Mario Hernández0%
Randy Nteka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isi Palazón24%
Sergio Camello24%
Raúl de Tomás21%
Florian Lejeune10%
Ismaila Ciss6%
Radamel Falcao4%
Álvaro García3%
Fran García3%
Abdul Mumin0%
Ivan Balliu0%
Salvi0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Andrés Martín0%
Unai López0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Santi Comesaña0%
José Pozo0%
Bebé0%
Óscar Trejo0%
Mario Hernández0%
Randy Nteka0%
Josep Chavarría0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
Getafe's squad is €14m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€90m vs €76m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
Getafe's attack is €6m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€36m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
ALM (4)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
Getafe's midfield is €19m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€28m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
Getafe's defence is €10m less valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€26m vs €36m).
Spain: La Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →