Gornik Zabrze are favoured to win, with a 56 % chance of triumph, a 24 % draw probability and a 20 % chance for GKS Katowice. The match is expected to see three goals on average, but the most likely total is two, with a 24 % chance of that outcome. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 11.4 % probability. Gornik’s home form shows they average 1.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against similar opposition, while GKS Katowice, on the road, average 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded versus similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.4 % with a 7 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.8 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.8 % with a 7 % edge) and Under 5.5 (94.0 % with a 5 % edge).
Results analysis
The upset came early: GKS Katowice snatched a 3-2 win after Gornik Zabrze’s three-match losing streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 55% probability, proved wrong. The model’s selection of Under 7.5 goals, hit at 99.3%, matched the low-scoring affair. Every other suggested pick also hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.3%, Under 6.5 at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.8%, and Under 5.5 at 94.0%. The final score of 2-3 confirmed the away triumph, leaving the model’s favourite call incorrect.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gornik Zabrze win✗ Miss
55.3%
Avg Implied 49.8% · @ 1.87
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.91
Dafabet
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.68
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.87
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
GKS Katowice win✓ Hit
19.2%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.73
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.00
Dafabet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.85
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.72
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gornik Zabrze
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.23
1.79
1.07
1.06
1.38
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.00
1.33
1.67
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.50
1.08
1.91
0.91
1.15
1.23
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GKS Katowice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.13
2.38
0.94
1.00
1.36
vs Stronger (7)
1.86
1.86
2.00
1.33
1.75
2.25
vs Similar (23)
1.70
0.91
2.46
0.85
0.70
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
@ 1.18-1.5%
Under 1.5
23.0%
@ 4.33+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.63
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.45
BetVictor
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.63-5.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
@ 2.20+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
1.65
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Under
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
@ 2.55-7.0%
Under 3.5
70.4%
@ 1.47+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
@ 1.56-6.7%
No
47.4%
@ 2.28+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.62
William Hil
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
No
Betfair
2.45
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 6.94+5.7%
1-0
10.3%@ 8.42+5.0%
2-0
10.2%@ 9.77+5.5%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.72+4.0%
0-0
7.5%@ 12.92+4.1%
3-0
6.0%@ 15.48+3.1%
3-1
5.8%@ 12.47+2.2%
1-2
5.3%@ 11.38+1.4%
Gornik Zabrze goals ↓
GKS Katowice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
5.1%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
1
10%
12%
5.3%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.8%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.0%
5.8%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.7%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gornik Zabrze goals (down), columns = GKS Katowice goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Gornik Zabrze is 0.60 points better than GKS Katowice in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Gornik Zabrze is 0.20 goals worse than GKS Katowice in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Gornik Zabrze is 0.20 goals worse than GKS Katowice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Gornik Zabrze is 4.5 percentage points better than GKS Katowice in terms of average possession (53% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gornik Zabrze
For 5.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.4 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GKS Katowice
For 4.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gornik Zabrze
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.6
9.3
3.4
3.7
3.1
22.9
23.2
22.5
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
13.5
6.5
3.2
4.3
1.5
22.8
25.5
20.0
vs Similar (42)
9.9
10.4
9.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
22.8
22.8
22.8
vs Weaker (3)
10.5
9.0
12.0
2.3
6.0
0.5
24.0
27.0
21.0
% over line
51%
59%
43%
44%
50%
38%
58%
55%
62%
% under line
49%
41%
57%
56%
50%
62%
42%
45%
38%
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GKS Katowice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
11.1
8.3
3.4
3.5
3.3
24.1
24.9
23.4
vs Stronger (11)
10.6
11.4
9.5
3.2
3.5
2.8
24.2
24.8
23.5
vs Similar (39)
9.5
11.1
8.1
3.5
3.5
3.5
24.1
24.9
23.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
77%
32%
48%
50%
46%
64%
68%
59%
% under line
45%
23%
68%
52%
50%
54%
36%
32%
41%
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
10.7
Wieczysta Kraków
10.4
Pogon Szczecin
10.3
Zaglebie Lubin
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Radomiak Radom
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.2
Lech Poznan
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Cracovia Krakow
10.1
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Piast Gliwice
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.5
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Legia Warszawa
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.8
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Slask Wroclaw
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.6
Jagiellonia
4.5
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Pogon Szczecin
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Wisla Plock
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wisla Krakow
3.7
Piast Gliwice
3.6
Wieczysta Kraków
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.9
Wieczysta Kraków
26.6
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Jagiellonia
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Wisla Krakow
25.7
Korona Kielce
25.6
Cracovia Krakow
25.3
Motor Lublin
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Slask Wroclaw
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.2
Lech Poznan
23.9
GKS Katowice
23.8
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.3%
@ 1.60-6.3%
Under 9.5
48.7%
@ 2.18+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.22
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.0%
@ 1.71+1.1%
Under 3.5
45.0%
@ 2.00-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Under
Superbet
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.1%
Under 21.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gornik Zabrze or Draw✗ Miss
80.8%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.24
Edge
+5.9%
55%
25%
19%
covers Gornik Zabrze + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Gornik Zabrze or GKS Katowice✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.6%
55%
25%
19%
covers Gornik Zabrze + GKS Katowice
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or GKS Katowice✓ Hit
44.7%
Avg Implied 49.9% · @ 1.87
Edge
-5.2%
55%
25%
19%
covers Draw + GKS Katowice
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.97
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gornik Zabrze over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.1%
@ 1.14+1.4%
Under
16.9%
@ 5.05-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Gornik Zabrze over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.0%
@ 1.73-0.8%
Under
47.0%
@ 2.02+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Unibet
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Gornik Zabrze over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.3%
@ 3.27-2.1%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.30+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.46
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
BetVictor
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Under
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Gornik Zabrze over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 6.96-2.9%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.08+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.30
1xBet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.0%
@ 1.34-7.3%
Under
38.0%
@ 3.02+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Superbet
3.05
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.2%
@ 2.66-9.8%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.43+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.69
Betfair
2.63
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
BetVictor
1.44
Betfair
1.44
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
7.4%
@ 6.31-7.3%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.09+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
BetVictor
6.50
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.10
Under
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
GKS Katowice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 15.67-4.4%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gornik Zabrze, so a minus line means Gornik Zabrze give that many goals of a start and GKS Katowice receive them. At -1, Gornik Zabrze must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gornik Zabrze win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gornik Zabrze)Actual: GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze -2
14.6%
@ 6.41+0.6%
Draw -2
17.4%
@ 5.33+0.6%
GKS Katowice +2
68.1%
@ 1.29-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.25
Away
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Handicap -1 (Gornik Zabrze)Actual: GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze -1
31.9%
@ 3.17+3.8%
Draw -1
23.4%
@ 3.73-0.5%
GKS Katowice +1
44.7%
@ 1.86-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18
10Bet
3.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Away
Unibet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Gornik Zabrze)Actual: Draw
Gornik Zabrze +1
80.8%
@ 1.25+8.7%
Draw +1
12.2%
@ 5.51-4.1%
GKS Katowice -1
7.0%
@ 7.70-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.35
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Away
Marathonbet
8.10
Unibet
8.00
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (Gornik Zabrze)Actual: Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze +2
93.0%
@ 1.06+6.6%
Draw +2
5.1%
@ 10.50-3.6%
GKS Katowice -2
1.9%
@ 19.00-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Draw
Bet365
12.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gornik Zabrze
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.93
0.36
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.42
1.00
0.27
0.69
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GKS Katowice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.06
0.56
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.67
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.52
1.08
0.54
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.9%
@ 1.28-0.3%
Under 0.5
28.1%
@ 3.33+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.36-4.8%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.53+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
Unibet
2.38
Under
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 5.40-2.9%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.11+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gornik Zabrze over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
52.5%
@ 1.69-2.5%
Under
47.5%
@ 2.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
Gornik Zabrze over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 4.44-5.5%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.18+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Gornik Zabrze over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 11.00-4.9%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.4%
@ 2.24-0.2%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.59+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Unibet
2.28
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 7.24-2.5%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.90
Superbet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 18.25-3.7%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gornik Zabrze
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.86
0.71
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.67
0.91
0.64
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GKS Katowice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
1.31
0.38
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.29
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.39
1.38
0.31
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Gornik Zabrze) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.1%
@ 1.16+0.5%
Under 0.5
19.9%
@ 4.55-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Under
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Betano
4.60
10Bet
4.60
Superbet
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.8%
@ 1.84-3.6%
Under 1.5
53.2%
@ 1.87+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.0%
@ 3.59-6.8%
Under 2.5
81.0%
@ 1.25+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gornik Zabrze over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.4%
@ 1.48-5.5%
Under
42.6%
@ 2.50+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.47
Gornik Zabrze over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
21.3%
@ 3.23-7.4%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.30+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
Superbet
3.25
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Gornik Zabrze over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 8.03-6.3%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.05+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Superbet
8.20
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 1.84-4.4%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.86+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.3%
@ 5.27-4.3%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.12+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 13.38-4.3%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.0%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.05
-
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
+7.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+4.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.6%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.5%
1.18
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.1%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+6.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
80.8%
1.24
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
80.8%
1.25
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.22
+8.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.30
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+7.4%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.0%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.9%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
74.8%
1.43
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
BetVictor
1.44
Betfair
1.44
+9.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.6%
1.24
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
73.7%
1.30
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
1.45
Superbet
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.9%
1.28
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.4%
1.47
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
+7.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gornik Zabrze
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Janis Antiste33%
Kacper Urbański29%
Yvan Ikia Dimi20%
Sondre Liseth17%
Josema17%
Michal Sáček17%
Erik Prekop17%
Peter González17%
Lukáš Sadílek14%
Maksym Khlan14%
Erik Janža0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Rafał Janicki0%
Taofeek Ismaheel0%
Ondřej Zmrzlý0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Philipp Schulze0%
Patryk Warczak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maximilian Dietz43%
Erik Janža40%
Sondre Liseth33%
Josema33%
Peter González33%
Rafał Janicki14%
Lukáš Sadílek14%
Philipp Schulze14%
Maksym Khlan14%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Taofeek Ismaheel0%
Michal Sáček0%
Ondřej Zmrzlý0%
Erik Prekop0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Kacper Urbański0%
Janis Antiste0%
Patryk Warczak0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josema33%
Erik Janža20%
Paulo Bernardo20%
Erik Prekop17%
Rafał Janicki14%
Sondre Liseth0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Taofeek Ismaheel0%
Michal Sáček0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Ondřej Zmrzlý0%
Kacper Urbański0%
Janis Antiste0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Philipp Schulze0%
Maksym Khlan0%
Peter González0%
Patryk Warczak0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maksym Khlan57%
Peter González17%
Erik Janža0%
Sondre Liseth0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Rafał Janicki0%
Josema0%
Taofeek Ismaheel0%
Michal Sáček0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Ondřej Zmrzlý0%
Erik Prekop0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Kacper Urbański0%
Janis Antiste0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Philipp Schulze0%
Patryk Warczak0%
Yvan Ikia Dimi0%
GKS Katowice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilia Shkurin60%
Bartosz Nowak20%
Arkadiusz Jędrych20%
Eman Marković20%
Pau Resta20%
Szymon Bartlewicz20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Alan Czerwiński0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Borja Galán0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Klemenz60%
Marcin Wasielewski50%
Alan Czerwiński25%
Kacper Łukasiak25%
Arkadiusz Jędrych20%
Borja Galán20%
Pau Resta20%
Erik Jirka0%
Ilia Shkurin0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Bartosz Nowak0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Eman Marković0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bartosz Nowak60%
Alan Czerwiński25%
Ilia Shkurin20%
Borja Galán20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Arkadiusz Jędrych0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Eman Marković0%
Pau Resta0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ilia Shkurin80%
Eman Marković40%
Pau Resta20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Alan Czerwiński0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Bartosz Nowak0%
Arkadiusz Jędrych0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Borja Galán0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Gornik Zabrze's squad is €16m more valuable than GKS Katowice's (€29m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Gornik Zabrze's attack is €14m more valuable than GKS Katowice's (€17m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Gornik Zabrze and GKS Katowice have a similar midfield value (both €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Gornik Zabrze's defence is €2m more valuable than GKS Katowice's (€6m vs €4m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Wisla Krakow
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa