This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.53
1.20
1.73
0.53
1.33
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
1.71
0.44
1.78
0.38
1.62
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.31
2.33
1.67
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.5%
Under 1.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.24-7.5%
Under 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.62+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.7%
Under 3.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
32.6%
No
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
18.6%
2-0
15.4%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
11.0%
3-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
Grenoble goals ↓
Chateauroux goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
5.4%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
1
19%
11%
2.5%
0.4%
0.1%
2
15%
7.8%
2.0%
0.3%
0.0%
3
8.0%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
4
3.2%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grenoble goals (down), columns = Chateauroux goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Clermont Foot
1.89
Toulouse
1.84
Grenoble
1.71
Paris FC
1.68
Auxerre
1.63
Sochaux
1.34
Le Havre
1.24
Guingamp
1.24
Valenciennes
1.24
Nancy
1.24
Amiens
1.24
Ajaccio
1.21
PAU
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Niort
1.08
Caen
1.08
Dunkerque
1.08
Chambly
1.00
Chateauroux
0.61
Grenoble is 1.11 points better than Chateauroux in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 0.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
1.87
Auxerre
1.68
Clermont Foot
1.61
Estac Troyes
1.58
Nancy
1.39
Paris FC
1.39
Grenoble
1.34
Valenciennes
1.32
Sochaux
1.18
PAU
1.11
Chambly
1.08
Guingamp
1.08
Le Havre
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Niort
0.89
Caen
0.89
Amiens
0.89
Dunkerque
0.89
Ajaccio
0.89
Chateauroux
0.84
Grenoble is 0.50 goals better than Chateauroux in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Clermont Foot
0.66
Grenoble
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.95
Paris FC
0.97
Sochaux
0.97
Amiens
1.05
Toulouse
1.11
Guingamp
1.13
Auxerre
1.13
Ajaccio
1.13
Rodez
1.16
Dunkerque
1.24
Le Havre
1.26
Caen
1.29
PAU
1.29
Nancy
1.39
Niort
1.53
Chateauroux
1.53
Valenciennes
1.55
Chambly
1.68
Grenoble is 0.61 goals better than Chateauroux in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grenoble
For 4.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 14.3 · Total 29.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chateauroux
For 6.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.7 · Against 15.7 · Total 34.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grenoble
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.6
8.2
4.0
3.9
4.2
28.5
28.0
29.0
vs Stronger (12)
7.5
7.2
7.8
3.8
4.2
3.3
28.4
27.5
29.3
vs Similar (36)
8.5
8.8
8.2
4.1
3.9
4.4
28.7
28.8
28.6
vs Weaker (2)
10.5
12.0
9.0
3.5
2.0
5.0
25.5
18.0
33.0
% over line
32%
32%
32%
60%
60%
60%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
68%
68%
68%
40%
40%
40%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.9
9.0
4.2
4.4
4.0
29.1
28.8
29.5
vs Stronger (28)
9.1
9.3
8.8
4.4
4.2
4.6
28.1
27.5
28.8
vs Similar (22)
9.9
10.7
9.2
4.0
4.8
3.3
30.4
30.6
30.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
60%
44%
66%
68%
64%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
48%
40%
56%
34%
32%
36%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Auxerre
10.0
Guingamp
9.7
PAU
9.6
Chateauroux
9.4
Toulouse
9.3
Estac Troyes
9.2
Ajaccio
9.0
Clermont Foot
9.0
Amiens
8.8
Caen
8.6
Nancy
8.6
Valenciennes
8.6
Niort
8.5
Sochaux
8.5
Grenoble
8.4
Rodez
8.3
Le Havre
8.1
Paris FC
7.9
Chambly
7.5
Dunkerque
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Estac Troyes
4.8
Paris FC
4.7
Valenciennes
4.6
Caen
4.6
PAU
4.5
Rodez
4.5
Amiens
4.5
Chambly
4.4
Nancy
4.3
Chateauroux
4.2
Sochaux
4.2
Toulouse
4.2
Dunkerque
4.1
Niort
4.1
Le Havre
4.0
Grenoble
4.0
Guingamp
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.9
Auxerre
3.7
Ajaccio
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.2
Nancy
31.2
Paris FC
30.8
Dunkerque
30.8
Niort
30.7
Amiens
30.7
Chambly
30.6
Caen
30.1
Toulouse
29.7
Rodez
29.7
PAU
29.5
Estac Troyes
29.4
Sochaux
29.3
Chateauroux
29.1
Grenoble
28.5
Guingamp
27.9
Le Havre
27.8
Ajaccio
27.7
Auxerre
25.8
Clermont Foot
25.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.8%
Under 9.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.8%
Under 3.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.5%
Under 21.5
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grenoble
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.64
0.36
0.31
0.31
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.43
1.25
0.75
0.33
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.32
0.40
0.20
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.53
0.33
0.80
0.33
0.27
vs Stronger (17)
0.18
0.65
0.11
0.78
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.38
0.67
0.83
0.43
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grenoble
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
1.21
0.29
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.36
1.30
0.10
0.50
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.87
0.93
0.20
1.07
vs Stronger (17)
0.24
1.06
0.33
1.00
0.12
1.12
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.92
1.67
0.83
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grenoble · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Yadaly Diaby33%
Samba Diba33%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yohann Magnin50%
Clément Vidal50%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro50%
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Samba Diba33%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yohann Magnin25%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yadaly Diaby33%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
TOU (24)
€115m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
SOC (20)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Grenoble's squad is €11m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€12m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
TOU (7)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Grenoble's attack is €5m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€5m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
AUX (5)
€28m
LH (5)
€23m
ET (6)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Grenoble's midfield is €2m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€3m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
TOU (10)
€46m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Grenoble's defence is €4m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€4m vs €0m).
France: Ligue 2 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Toulouse
Paris FC
Auxerre
Sochaux
Nancy
Guingamp
Amiens
Valenciennes
Le Havre
Ajaccio
PAU
Rodez
Dunkerque
Caen
Niort