This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.70
1.20
1.93
0.60
1.47
vs Stronger (21)
0.57
1.76
0.60
1.90
0.55
1.64
vs Similar (9)
1.67
1.56
2.40
2.00
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.1%
Under 1.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.7%
@ 1.97-16.4%
Under 2.5
68.3%
@ 1.83+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.9%
Under 3.5
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.9%
No
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.4%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.2%
2-0 ✓
10.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.1%
Guingamp goals ↓
Chateauroux goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
9.4%
4.1%
1.1%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
4.9%
1.3%
0.2%
2
10%
7.8%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
3
4.1%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Guingamp goals (down), columns = Chateauroux goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Clermont Foot
1.89
Toulouse
1.84
Grenoble
1.71
Paris FC
1.68
Auxerre
1.63
Sochaux
1.34
Le Havre
1.24
Guingamp
1.24
Valenciennes
1.24
Nancy
1.24
Amiens
1.24
Ajaccio
1.21
PAU
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Niort
1.08
Caen
1.08
Dunkerque
1.08
Chambly
1.00
Chateauroux
0.61
Guingamp is 0.63 points better than Chateauroux in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 0.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
1.87
Auxerre
1.68
Clermont Foot
1.61
Estac Troyes
1.58
Nancy
1.39
Paris FC
1.39
Grenoble
1.34
Valenciennes
1.32
Sochaux
1.18
PAU
1.11
Chambly
1.08
Guingamp
1.08
Le Havre
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Niort
0.89
Caen
0.89
Amiens
0.89
Dunkerque
0.89
Ajaccio
0.89
Chateauroux
0.84
Guingamp is 0.24 goals better than Chateauroux in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Clermont Foot
0.66
Grenoble
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.95
Paris FC
0.97
Sochaux
0.97
Amiens
1.05
Toulouse
1.11
Guingamp
1.13
Auxerre
1.13
Ajaccio
1.13
Rodez
1.16
Dunkerque
1.24
Le Havre
1.26
Caen
1.29
PAU
1.29
Nancy
1.39
Niort
1.53
Chateauroux
1.53
Valenciennes
1.55
Chambly
1.68
Guingamp is 0.39 goals better than Chateauroux in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Guingamp
For 3.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 15.6 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chateauroux
For 5.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 18.2 · Total 35.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Guingamp
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.2
3.9
3.9
3.9
28.4
28.4
28.4
vs Stronger (10)
10.6
12.0
8.5
4.1
4.0
4.2
29.0
25.8
33.8
vs Similar (34)
9.5
8.2
10.6
3.9
4.0
3.9
28.1
28.5
27.7
vs Weaker (6)
9.5
8.0
10.2
3.2
2.5
3.5
29.2
35.0
26.2
% over line
44%
38%
50%
50%
46%
54%
86%
88%
85%
% under line
56%
62%
50%
50%
54%
46%
14%
12%
15%
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.7
9.1
3.9
4.1
3.8
30.3
30.0
30.7
vs Stronger (31)
9.1
9.1
9.1
3.9
3.6
4.1
29.6
29.6
29.6
vs Similar (19)
9.9
10.7
9.1
4.0
4.8
3.1
31.5
30.6
32.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
58%
46%
60%
62%
58%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
48%
42%
54%
40%
38%
42%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Guingamp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Auxerre
10.1
PAU
9.8
Guingamp
9.7
Toulouse
9.6
Chateauroux
9.4
Clermont Foot
9.2
Estac Troyes
9.1
Ajaccio
8.9
Caen
8.8
Niort
8.8
Grenoble
8.7
Nancy
8.5
Valenciennes
8.5
Sochaux
8.5
Amiens
8.3
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.9
Paris FC
7.9
Dunkerque
7.5
Chambly
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Estac Troyes
4.7
Paris FC
4.6
Valenciennes
4.6
Caen
4.6
Chambly
4.6
Rodez
4.4
Amiens
4.4
PAU
4.3
Toulouse
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Dunkerque
4.2
Nancy
4.1
Grenoble
4.1
Le Havre
4.0
Chateauroux
3.9
Niort
3.9
Guingamp
3.9
Clermont Foot
3.8
Ajaccio
3.7
Auxerre
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Amiens
31.9
Valenciennes
31.5
Chambly
31.5
Dunkerque
31.3
Nancy
31.0
Toulouse
30.8
Niort
30.6
Chateauroux
30.3
Paris FC
30.3
Rodez
30.0
Estac Troyes
29.6
Caen
29.5
Sochaux
29.5
PAU
28.8
Guingamp
28.4
Ajaccio
28.1
Grenoble
27.9
Le Havre
27.8
Clermont Foot
25.6
Auxerre
25.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.5%
Under 9.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
95.7%
Under 21.5
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Guingamp
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.43
0.20
0.60
0.33
0.27
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.43
0.18
0.73
0.40
0.10
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.40
0.87
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (21)
0.29
0.71
0.30
0.80
0.27
0.64
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.56
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Guingamp over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Guingamp
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.80
0.67
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.71
0.82
0.91
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
0.00
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.80
1.07
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.29
1.05
0.30
1.10
0.27
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.11
1.00
1.80
1.00
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Guingamp over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Guingamp · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donatien Gomis25%
Albin Demouchy25%
Stanislas Kielt25%
Samir Ben Brahim25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Donatien Gomis50%
Albin Demouchy50%
Tom Ducrocq25%
Dylan Louiserre25%
Adrián Ortolá25%
Jasser Chamakh25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amine Hemia33%
Jérémie Matumona33%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanislas Kielt50%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
TOU (24)
€115m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
SOC (20)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Guingamp's squad is €10m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€11m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
TOU (7)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Guingamp's attack is €3m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€3m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
AUX (5)
€28m
LH (5)
€23m
ET (6)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Guingamp's midfield is €4m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€4m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
TOU (10)
€46m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Guingamp's defence is €3m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€3m vs €0m).
France: Ligue 2 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Toulouse
Grenoble
Paris FC
Auxerre
Sochaux
Nancy
Amiens
Valenciennes
Le Havre
Ajaccio
PAU
Rodez
Dunkerque
Caen
Niort