Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HNK Gorica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.43
0.36
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.42
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.62
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.44
0.60
0.50
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Hajduk Split
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.00
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Weaker (22)
0.73
0.36
0.64
0.55
0.82
0.18
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HNK Gorica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
1.00
0.64
0.38
0.94
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.83
1.00
0.25
0.12
1.12
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.78
1.00
0.80
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Hajduk Split
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.27
0.40
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.32
0.59
1.55
0.36
1.09
0.82
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tim Matavž21%
Nikola VujnoviÄ15%
Gabrijel Rukavina13%
Ante Matej JuriÄ13%
Josip MitroviÄ13%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ12%
Sven Blummel11%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Marko Soldo9%
Dino Å tiglec6%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ0%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Filip Mrzljak0%
Merveil Ndockyt0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Luka Kapulica0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario MatkoviÄ38%
Andrej Lazarov33%
Ante Matej JuriÄ30%
Merveil Ndockyt25%
Jurica PrŔir24%
Marko Soldo21%
Filip Mrzljak17%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ17%
Alexander Munksgaard15%
Mateo LeŔ13%
Sven Blummel11%
Josip MitroviÄ10%
Ivan BaniÄ6%
Mario MaloÄa6%
Dino Å tiglec6%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ6%
Luka Kapulica4%
Nikola VujnoviÄ4%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Tim Matavž0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dino Å tiglec18%
Ante Matej JuriÄ13%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ11%
Josip MitroviÄ10%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Tim Matavž8%
Merveil Ndockyt8%
Lenny IleÄiÄ7%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ6%
Luka Kapulica4%
Filip Mrzljak3%
Marko Soldo3%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Sven Blummel0%
Nikola VujnoviÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola VujnoviÄ19%
Josip MitroviÄ13%
Merveil Ndockyt8%
Ante Matej JuriÄ7%
Jurica PrŔir6%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ6%
Tim Matavž4%
Dino Å tiglec3%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Sven Blummel0%
Filip Mrzljak0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Marko Soldo0%
Luka Kapulica0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
HNK Hajduk Split
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marko Livaja36%
Aleksandar Trajkovski29%
Rokas PukŔtas25%
Nikola KaliniÄ20%
Leon Dajaku17%
Ivan PeriÅ”iÄ14%
Josip Brekalo14%
Filip ÄuiÄ14%
Emir Sahiti12%
Filip KrovinoviÄ11%
Yassine Benrahou8%
Mihael Žaper8%
Dario Melnjak8%
Zvonimir Å arlija7%
Anthony Kalik4%
Filip UremoviÄ4%
Niko Sigur3%
Ferro0%
Ivan LuÄiÄ0%
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe0%
LÔszló Kleinheisler0%
Ivan DolÄek0%
Ismaƫl Diallo0%
Josip Elez0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Dino MikanoviÄ0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Å imun HrgoviÄ0%
Dominik PrpiÄ0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Borna Buljan0%
Noa Skoko0%
Luka Jurak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tino Blaž LauŔ33%
Nikola KaliniÄ30%
Filip ÄuiÄ29%
LÔszló Kleinheisler25%
Dino MikanoviÄ25%
Zvonimir Å arlija21%
Anthony Kalik21%
Ferro20%
Ivan DolÄek20%
Marko Livaja16%
Emir Sahiti16%
Mihael Žaper15%
Niko Sigur15%
Filip KrovinoviÄ14%
Ismaƫl Diallo12%
Filip UremoviÄ12%
Aleksandar Trajkovski12%
Dario Melnjak8%
Fahd Moufi7%
Rokas PukŔtas7%
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe4%
Ivan PeriÅ”iÄ0%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Josip Brekalo0%
Ivan LuÄiÄ0%
Josip Elez0%
Leon Dajaku0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Å imun HrgoviÄ0%
Dominik PrpiÄ0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Borna Buljan0%
Noa Skoko0%
Luka Jurak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josip Brekalo50%
Luka Jurak33%
Aleksandar Trajkovski18%
Yassine Benrahou17%
Marko Livaja16%
Emir Sahiti16%
Leon Dajaku13%
Ivan DolÄek10%
LÔszló Kleinheisler8%
Anthony Kalik8%
Ismaƫl Diallo8%
Dino MikanoviÄ8%
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe8%
Dario Melnjak8%
Fahd Moufi7%
Filip UremoviÄ4%
Niko Sigur3%
Nikola KaliniÄ0%
Ivan PeriÅ”iÄ0%
Ferro0%
Filip KrovinoviÄ0%
Ivan LuÄiÄ0%
Mihael Žaper0%
Zvonimir Å arlija0%
Josip Elez0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Å imun HrgoviÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Rokas PukŔtas0%
Dominik PrpiÄ0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Borna Buljan0%
Noa Skoko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Livaja32%
LÔszló Kleinheisler17%
Filip KrovinoviÄ14%
Josip Brekalo14%
Rokas PukŔtas14%
Nikola KaliniÄ10%
Ivan DolÄek10%
Aleksandar Trajkovski6%
Yassine Benrahou4%
Anthony Kalik4%
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe4%
Emir Sahiti3%
Ivan PeriÅ”iÄ0%
Ferro0%
Ivan LuÄiÄ0%
Mihael Žaper0%
Zvonimir Å arlija0%
Ismaƫl Diallo0%
Josip Elez0%
Leon Dajaku0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Filip UremoviÄ0%
Dino MikanoviÄ0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Å imun HrgoviÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Dominik PrpiÄ0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Borna Buljan0%
Noa Skoko0%
Luka Jurak0%
Niko Sigur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
HNK Gorica's squad is €25m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€9m vs €34m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
HNK Gorica's attack is €11m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€4m vs €15m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
HNK Gorica's midfield is €6m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€2m vs €8m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
HNK Gorica's defence is €8m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€3m vs €11m).
Croatia: HNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →