Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HNK Gorica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.58
0.58
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.43
0.57
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.72
1.00
1.00
0.45
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.62
0.50
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.40
0.40
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.57
0.80
0.50
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HNK Gorica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.73
0.42
0.67
0.33
0.78
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.67
0.80
0.20
0.43
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.22
0.78
0.14
1.00
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.62
0.62
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.76
0.60
0.50
0.45
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Erceg32%
Jurica PrŔir22%
Filip ÄuiÄ19%
Iker Pozo13%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Žan Trontelj9%
Ante Kavelj9%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ6%
Jakov FilipoviÄ6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Marijan Äabraja3%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Theo Epailly0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Medin Gashi0%
Wisdom Sule0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iker Pozo32%
Jurica PrŔir25%
Marijan Äabraja23%
Filip ÄuiÄ20%
Ognjen BakiÄ19%
Filip ÄuiÄ19%
Stefan PeriÄ17%
Ante Erceg16%
Wisdom Sule15%
Mateo LeŔ14%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ13%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Žan Trontelj12%
Vanja Pelko12%
Jakov FilipoviÄ9%
Davor MatijaŔ9%
Ante Kavelj9%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Luka VrziÄ4%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Theo Epailly0%
Medin Gashi0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip ÄuiÄ20%
Bruno BogojeviÄ19%
Iker Pozo16%
Marijan Äabraja13%
Medin Gashi13%
Žan Trontelj12%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Wisdom Sule8%
Theo Epailly7%
Ante Kavelj6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ3%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Ante Erceg0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filip ÄuiÄ44%
Ante Erceg21%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Wisdom Sule8%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Luka VrziÄ4%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Žan Trontelj0%
Iker Pozo0%
Theo Epailly0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Medin Gashi0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
NK Osijek
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nail OmeroviÄ18%
Samuel Akere17%
Niko FarkaŔ17%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ14%
Vladan Bubanja12%
Arnel JakupoviÄ10%
MiloÅ” JoviÄiÄ8%
Luka JeleniÄ7%
Hrvoje Babec7%
Anton MatkoviÄ6%
Borna BariÅ”iÄ0%
Jon Mersinaj0%
Renan Guedes0%
Stanislav Shopov0%
Marko Malenica0%
Tonio TekliÄ0%
Fran KaraÄiÄ0%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ0%
Vedran JugoviÄ0%
David Äolina0%
Yannick Toure0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Nikola ÄurÄija0%
Styopa Mkrtchyan0%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ0%
David MejĆa0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Emin HasiÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Ivan BariÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Jona JežiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David MejĆa64%
Ivano Kolarik43%
Borna BariÅ”iÄ30%
Stanislav Shopov25%
Emin HasiÄ25%
Vladan Bubanja24%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ20%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ19%
Luka JeleniÄ19%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ18%
Styopa Mkrtchyan18%
Oleksandr Petrusenko17%
Niko FarkaŔ17%
Jon Mersinaj16%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ16%
Nail OmeroviÄ15%
Renan Guedes14%
Hrvoje Babec13%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ11%
Samuel Akere11%
Arnel JakupoviÄ10%
Ivan BariÄ10%
Fran KaraÄiÄ9%
Tonio TekliÄ8%
David Äolina7%
Anton MatkoviÄ6%
Domagoj BukviÄ3%
Marko Malenica0%
Vedran JugoviÄ0%
Yannick Toure0%
Nikola ÄurÄija0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
MiloÅ” JoviÄiÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Jona JežiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Niko FarkaŔ17%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ11%
David Äolina11%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ11%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ10%
David MejĆa9%
Stanislav Shopov8%
Hrvoje Babec7%
Styopa Mkrtchyan6%
Anton MatkoviÄ6%
Emin HasiÄ5%
Arnel JakupoviÄ3%
Nail OmeroviÄ3%
Borna BariÅ”iÄ0%
Jon Mersinaj0%
Renan Guedes0%
Marko Malenica0%
Tonio TekliÄ0%
Fran KaraÄiÄ0%
Vedran JugoviÄ0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Luka JeleniÄ0%
Yannick Toure0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Nikola ÄurÄija0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Samuel Akere0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Ivan BariÄ0%
MiloÅ” JoviÄiÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Jona JežiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Domagoj BukviÄ25%
Arnel JakupoviÄ24%
MiloÅ” JoviÄiÄ17%
Nail OmeroviÄ15%
Vladan Bubanja12%
Stanislav Shopov8%
Tonio TekliÄ8%
Hrvoje Babec7%
Anton MatkoviÄ6%
Borna BariÅ”iÄ0%
Jon Mersinaj0%
Renan Guedes0%
Marko Malenica0%
Fran KaraÄiÄ0%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ0%
Vedran JugoviÄ0%
Luka JeleniÄ0%
David Äolina0%
Yannick Toure0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Nikola ÄurÄija0%
Styopa Mkrtchyan0%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ0%
David MejĆa0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Emin HasiÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Samuel Akere0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Ivan BariÄ0%
Niko FarkaŔ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Jona JežiÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
HNK Gorica's squad is €6m less valuable than NK Osijek's (€9m vs €15m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
HNK Gorica's attack is €5m less valuable than NK Osijek's (€4m vs €9m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
HNK Gorica and NK Osijek have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
HNK Gorica's defence is €2m less valuable than NK Osijek's (€3m vs €4m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →