Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.57
0.71
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.62
0.45
0.64
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.25
0.62
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.80
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.52
0.40
0.50
1.00
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.57
0.36
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
1.11
0.00
1.00
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.38
0.73
0.18
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.62
0.50
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.76
0.70
0.30
0.45
1.18
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Osijek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Salim Fago Lawal36%
Smail Prevljak31%
Saydou Bangura20%
Saydou Bangura17%
Emil Frederiksen12%
Vinko RoziÄ12%
Charles Adah Agada8%
Antonio MauriÄ7%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ5%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ3%
Marcel Heister3%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Danijel Dejan Djuric0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dario MareÅ”iÄ37%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn25%
Marcel Heister23%
Vinko RoziÄ23%
Mohamed Nasraoui21%
Raul Kumar19%
Stjepan LonÄar19%
Samuli Miettinen18%
Antonio MauriÄ18%
Ville Koski18%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ17%
Allen Obando17%
Niko Å epiÄ15%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ13%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Alejandro Jay11%
Dukan Ahmeti8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Emil Frederiksen6%
Franko KoliÄ6%
Filip Taraba5%
Leo Å tulac0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rene Hrvatin20%
Salim Fago Lawal18%
Stjepan LonÄar16%
Emil Frederiksen16%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Silvio GoriÄan9%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ7%
Marcel Heister7%
Smail Prevljak6%
Vinko RoziÄ4%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Israel Ayuma0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saydou Bangura20%
Salim Fago Lawal20%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Vinko RoziÄ8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Antonio MauriÄ4%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Emil Frederiksen3%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Marcel Heister0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
NK Osijek
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nail OmeroviÄ18%
Samuel Akere17%
Niko FarkaŔ17%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ14%
Vladan Bubanja12%
Arnel JakupoviÄ10%
MiloÅ” JoviÄiÄ8%
Luka JeleniÄ7%
Hrvoje Babec7%
Anton MatkoviÄ6%
Borna BariÅ”iÄ0%
Jon Mersinaj0%
Renan Guedes0%
Stanislav Shopov0%
Marko Malenica0%
Tonio TekliÄ0%
Fran KaraÄiÄ0%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ0%
Vedran JugoviÄ0%
David Äolina0%
Yannick Toure0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Nikola ÄurÄija0%
Styopa Mkrtchyan0%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ0%
David MejĆa0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Emin HasiÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Ivan BariÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Jona JežiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David MejĆa64%
Ivano Kolarik43%
Borna BariÅ”iÄ30%
Stanislav Shopov25%
Emin HasiÄ25%
Vladan Bubanja24%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ20%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ19%
Luka JeleniÄ19%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ18%
Styopa Mkrtchyan18%
Oleksandr Petrusenko17%
Niko FarkaŔ17%
Jon Mersinaj16%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ16%
Nail OmeroviÄ15%
Renan Guedes14%
Hrvoje Babec13%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ11%
Samuel Akere11%
Arnel JakupoviÄ10%
Ivan BariÄ10%
Fran KaraÄiÄ9%
Tonio TekliÄ8%
David Äolina7%
Anton MatkoviÄ6%
Domagoj BukviÄ3%
Marko Malenica0%
Vedran JugoviÄ0%
Yannick Toure0%
Nikola ÄurÄija0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
MiloÅ” JoviÄiÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Jona JežiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Niko FarkaŔ17%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ11%
David Äolina11%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ11%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ10%
David MejĆa9%
Stanislav Shopov8%
Hrvoje Babec7%
Styopa Mkrtchyan6%
Anton MatkoviÄ6%
Emin HasiÄ5%
Arnel JakupoviÄ3%
Nail OmeroviÄ3%
Borna BariÅ”iÄ0%
Jon Mersinaj0%
Renan Guedes0%
Marko Malenica0%
Tonio TekliÄ0%
Fran KaraÄiÄ0%
Vedran JugoviÄ0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Luka JeleniÄ0%
Yannick Toure0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Nikola ÄurÄija0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Samuel Akere0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Ivan BariÄ0%
MiloÅ” JoviÄiÄ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Jona JežiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Domagoj BukviÄ25%
Arnel JakupoviÄ24%
MiloÅ” JoviÄiÄ17%
Nail OmeroviÄ15%
Vladan Bubanja12%
Stanislav Shopov8%
Tonio TekliÄ8%
Hrvoje Babec7%
Anton MatkoviÄ6%
Borna BariÅ”iÄ0%
Jon Mersinaj0%
Renan Guedes0%
Marko Malenica0%
Fran KaraÄiÄ0%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ0%
Vedran JugoviÄ0%
Luka JeleniÄ0%
David Äolina0%
Yannick Toure0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Nikola ÄurÄija0%
Styopa Mkrtchyan0%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ0%
David MejĆa0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Emin HasiÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Samuel Akere0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Ivan BariÄ0%
Niko FarkaŔ0%
Filip ŽivkoviÄ0%
Domagoj BukviÄ0%
Luka VrbanÄiÄ0%
Å imun MikolÄiÄ0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Jona JežiÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
Istra 1961's squad is €4m less valuable than NK Osijek's (€11m vs €15m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
Istra 1961's attack is €5m less valuable than NK Osijek's (€4m vs €9m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
Istra 1961 and NK Osijek have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
Istra 1961 and NK Osijek have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →