Karlsruher SC return from a 0-0 draw, while VfL Wolfsburg come off a 1-0 win and remain unbeaten in five games. The model’s edge lies in the away win probability of 46%, which exceeds the market’s implied odds and reflects Wolfsburg’s strong away form against weaker opposition, scoring an average of one goal per match and conceding none. The predicted outcome is an away victory, with an expected total of three goals and the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 12.2%. The home side’s recent form shows a 28% chance of winning, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 46% chance of an away win. Wolfsburg’s away scoring and conceding figures against weaker teams suggest they will keep the scoreline close. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7% with a 6% edge, Under 7.5 at 97.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.1% with a 2% edge, Under 6.5 at 93.2%, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 92.8% with an 8% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 92.2% with a 1% edge, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 90.1% with a 2% edge.
Results analysis
Karlsruher SC’s recent form, a string of defeats, was on the back of a 2-5 loss to VfL Wolfsburg, while the visitors were riding a two-game winning streak. The match finished 2-5, an away win that matched the model’s favourite and its 46% probability. The model’s prediction of a 3-goal total was far below the nine goals that actually fell. Every suggested pick was settled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.2%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 92.0%. The remaining selections - Under 6.5, Away under 2.5 HT goals, and Home under 1.5 HT goals - missed, with probabilities of 93.2%, 93.0% and 92.1% respectively.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Karlsruher SC win✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.28
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Betano
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
Bet365
3.30
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.72
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Unibet
3.85
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.80
VfL Wolfsburg win✓ Hit
45.6%
Avg Implied 46.3% · @ 2.02
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Karlsruher SC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.97
1.93
1.80
1.27
2.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.59
2.03
1.93
1.80
1.21
2.29
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Wolfsburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.90
1.13
1.60
1.40
2.20
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
3.67
0.67
2.00
2.00
5.33
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.59
1.36
1.64
1.27
1.55
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
@ 1.15-0.6%
Under 1.5
19.2%
@ 5.03+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.21
Superbet
5.15
Unibet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.1%
@ 1.51-4.6%
Under 2.5
42.9%
@ 2.44+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.55
Unibet
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.7%
@ 2.29-6.3%
Under 3.5
65.3%
@ 1.59+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.1%
@ 1.46-3.4%
No
39.9%
@ 2.53+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
No
Betano
2.60
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Unibet
2.55
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 7.37+6.0%
1-2
9.4%@ 8.14+3.7%
0-1
7.5%@ 9.98+2.9%
0-2
7.3%@ 11.40+3.2%
2-1
7.2%@ 10.78+2.9%
0-0
6.2%@ 15.33+3.2%
2-2
6.0%@ 10.63+1.7%
1-0
5.5%@ 13.27+2.0%
Karlsruher SC goals ↓
VfL Wolfsburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
7.5%
7.3%
4.1%
1.7%
1
5.5%
12%
9.4%
5.3%
2.2%
2
4.2%
7.2%
6.0%
3.4%
1.4%
3
1.8%
3.1%
2.6%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karlsruher SC goals (down), columns = VfL Wolfsburg goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.14
Hannover 96
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Energie Cottbus
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.07
Karlsruher SC is 0.85 points worse than VfL Wolfsburg in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 2.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.18
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.67
FC St. Pauli
1.62
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Energie Cottbus
1.12
VfL Osnabrück
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
Karlsruher SC is 0.62 goals worse than VfL Wolfsburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 2.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
VfL Wolfsburg
0.93
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.26
Hannover 96
1.29
Hertha BSC
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Energie Cottbus
1.82
VfL Osnabrück
1.87
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
Karlsruher SC is 0.95 goals worse than VfL Wolfsburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Karlsruher SC
For 4.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.1 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Wolfsburg
For 6.2 · Against 6.5 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 8.9 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Karlsruher SC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.4
9.1
4.7
5.2
4.1
23.3
24.8
21.6
vs Stronger (1)
5.0
-
5.0
6.0
-
6.0
29.0
-
29.0
vs Similar (42)
9.2
9.6
8.8
4.7
5.2
4.1
22.6
24.2
20.7
vs Weaker (7)
9.9
7.7
11.5
4.4
5.0
4.0
26.6
29.7
24.2
% over line
38%
38%
38%
60%
65%
54%
56%
65%
46%
% under line
62%
62%
62%
40%
35%
46%
44%
35%
54%
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Wolfsburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
10.8
12.2
3.6
4.1
3.2
20.7
22.0
19.4
vs Stronger (10)
11.0
12.2
9.8
2.5
3.0
2.0
18.4
19.6
17.2
vs Similar (37)
11.6
10.5
12.7
4.0
4.5
3.5
21.1
22.3
20.0
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
9.5
14.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.7
25.0
18.0
% over line
70%
72%
68%
46%
56%
36%
46%
60%
32%
% under line
30%
28%
32%
54%
44%
64%
54%
40%
68%
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Energie Cottbus
12.5
VfL Wolfsburg
11.5
VfL Osnabrück
10.9
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.5
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
Hannover 96
10.5
Hertha BSC
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
1. FC Nürnberg
9.7
FC St. Pauli
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.2
1. FC Heidenheim
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
5.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
VfL Bochum
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
Hertha BSC
4.8
Karlsruher SC
4.7
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.6
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.1
VfL Wolfsburg
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.7
FC St. Pauli
3.7
Energie Cottbus
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Holstein Kiel
26.4
Hannover 96
26.3
Energie Cottbus
26.0
Arminia Bielefeld
25.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.5
VfL Osnabrück
25.2
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.4
Hertha BSC
24.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.1
SV Darmstadt 98
23.8
1. FC Magdeburg
23.7
Karlsruher SC
23.3
Dynamo Dresden
23.2
VfL Bochum
23.0
1. FC Heidenheim
20.8
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
FC St. Pauli
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.54
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.53
Superbet
2.52
1xBet
2.50
Unibet
2.28
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Karlsruher SC or Draw✗ Miss
48.4%
Avg Implied 52.9% · @ 1.77
Edge
-4.6%
28%
26%
46%
covers Karlsruher SC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.79
Karlsruher SC or VfL Wolfsburg✓ Hit
77.2%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.6%
28%
26%
46%
covers Karlsruher SC + VfL Wolfsburg
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.31
Edge
+2.9%
28%
26%
46%
covers Draw + VfL Wolfsburg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Karlsruher SC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.4%
@ 1.25+2.4%
Under
23.6%
@ 3.58-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.79
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Karlsruher SC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.3%
@ 2.27+1.2%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.59-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
10Bet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Betfair
2.25
Under
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Karlsruher SC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 5.09-0.5%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.14+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
5.75
10Bet
5.25
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Karlsruher SC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 11.00-2.7%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.03+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.7%
@ 1.13+5.6%
Under
12.3%
@ 5.19-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Under
Pinnacle
5.63
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.15
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.9%
@ 1.71+7.2%
Under
38.1%
@ 2.06-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Under
Unibet
2.17
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.07
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
34.9%
@ 3.22+6.0%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.31-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.46
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.31
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.0%
@ 7.07+2.8%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.07-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.10
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Karlsruher SC, so a minus line means Karlsruher SC give that many goals of a start and VfL Wolfsburg receive them. At -1, Karlsruher SC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Karlsruher SC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Karlsruher SC)Actual: VfL Wolfsburg
Karlsruher SC -2
4.2%
@ 14.00-2.3%
Draw -2
7.5%
@ 8.87-2.8%
VfL Wolfsburg +2
88.3%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.10
Away
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Karlsruher SC)Actual: VfL Wolfsburg
Karlsruher SC -1
11.7%
@ 6.54-2.0%
Draw -1
13.8%
@ 5.28-3.2%
VfL Wolfsburg +1
74.5%
@ 1.30+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.20
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Handicap +1 (Karlsruher SC)Actual: VfL Wolfsburg
Karlsruher SC +1
48.4%
@ 1.77-2.3%
Draw +1
20.4%
@ 3.95-2.3%
VfL Wolfsburg -1
31.2%
@ 3.36+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.75
Away
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Handicap +2 (Karlsruher SC)Actual: VfL Wolfsburg
Karlsruher SC +2
68.8%
@ 1.27-1.9%
Draw +2
15.8%
@ 5.56-0.3%
VfL Wolfsburg -2
15.5%
@ 6.78+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.70
10Bet
6.25
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karlsruher SC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.48
0.79
0.53
0.73
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Wolfsburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.47
0.73
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.33
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.59
0.64
0.64
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.25-1.6%
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 3.59+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
William Hil
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.9%
@ 2.22-4.2%
Under 1.5
62.1%
@ 1.61+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 4.96-4.0%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.15+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karlsruher SC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.6%
@ 2.03-9.3%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.72+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Unibet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Karlsruher SC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.9%
@ 6.16-7.1%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.09+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Karlsruher SC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 18.25-4.0%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.2%
@ 1.67+2.6%
Under
41.8%
@ 2.10-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Under
Unibet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
17.9%
@ 4.29-3.7%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.18+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.35
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.0%
@ 10.50-1.9%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karlsruher SC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.20
1.40
1.07
0.87
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.10
1.24
1.40
1.07
0.79
1.43
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Wolfsburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.20
0.67
0.87
0.60
1.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
2.33
0.67
0.67
0.67
4.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.55
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
84.6%
@ 1.15+3.0%
Under 0.5
15.4%
@ 5.09-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.10
Superbet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.6%
@ 1.73-2.4%
Under 1.5
48.4%
@ 2.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.12
Unibet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.3%
@ 3.27-1.3%
Under 2.5
72.7%
@ 1.30+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karlsruher SC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.7%
@ 1.71-8.6%
Under
54.3%
@ 2.03+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Under
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
1.97
Karlsruher SC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 4.46-9.4%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.17+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Karlsruher SC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 11.83-5.7%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.03+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
72.1%
@ 1.46+8.3%
Under
27.9%
@ 2.56-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.45
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
40.7%
@ 3.15+11.4%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.31-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 7.88-3.7%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.05+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Superbet
8.30
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.2%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-0.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.7%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.3%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
-1.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.2%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.13
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
84.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-2.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
82.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.1%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.8%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.2%
1.24
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.4%
1.25
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.5%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
74.5%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.7%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.5%
1.25
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
72.1%
1.46
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
71.8%
1.23
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
-4.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Karlsruher SC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Wanitzek50%
Moritz Broschinski33%
Sebastian Jung25%
Hans Christian Bernat0%
Marcel Franke0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Viktor Bergh0%
Lilian Egloff0%
Kevin Wiethaup0%
Noel Eichinger0%
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa0%
Louey Ben Farhat0%
Danyal Zor0%
Deniz Ofli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Deniz Ofli50%
Lilian Egloff33%
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa33%
Hans Christian Bernat0%
Marcel Franke0%
Sebastian Jung0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Marvin Wanitzek0%
Moritz Broschinski0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Viktor Bergh0%
Kevin Wiethaup0%
Noel Eichinger0%
Louey Ben Farhat0%
Danyal Zor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Moritz Broschinski33%
Louey Ben Farhat33%
Marcel Franke25%
Marvin Wanitzek25%
Deniz Ofli25%
Hans Christian Bernat0%
Sebastian Jung0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Viktor Bergh0%
Lilian Egloff0%
Kevin Wiethaup0%
Noel Eichinger0%
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa0%
Danyal Zor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moritz Broschinski67%
Marvin Wanitzek50%
Marcel Franke25%
Hans Christian Bernat0%
Sebastian Jung0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Viktor Bergh0%
Lilian Egloff0%
Kevin Wiethaup0%
Noel Eichinger0%
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa0%
Louey Ben Farhat0%
Danyal Zor0%
Deniz Ofli0%
VfL Wolfsburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hauke Wahl50%
Fabian Reese50%
Maximilian Arnold33%
Vinícius Souza25%
Joakim Mæhle0%
Robert Glatzel0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Mattias Svanberg0%
Kilian Fischer0%
Alessio Besio0%
Muhammed Damar0%
Saël Kumbedi0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Jakub Zieliński0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vinícius Souza75%
Kilian Fischer25%
Joakim Mæhle0%
Robert Glatzel0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Fabian Reese0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Maximilian Arnold0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Mattias Svanberg0%
Alessio Besio0%
Muhammed Damar0%
Saël Kumbedi0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Jakub Zieliński0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joakim Mæhle33%
Robert Glatzel33%
Alessio Besio33%
Fabian Reese25%
Vinícius Souza0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Maximilian Arnold0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Mattias Svanberg0%
Kilian Fischer0%
Muhammed Damar0%
Saël Kumbedi0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Jakub Zieliński0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fabian Reese75%
Muhammed Damar50%
Robert Glatzel33%
Joakim Mæhle0%
Vinícius Souza0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Maximilian Arnold0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Mattias Svanberg0%
Kilian Fischer0%
Alessio Besio0%
Saël Kumbedi0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Jakub Zieliński0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€154m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
EC (26)
€11m
VO (25)
€10m
Karlsruher SC's squad is €123m less valuable than VfL Wolfsburg's (€31m vs €154m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (10)
€56m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
EC (10)
€4m
SGF (6)
€4m
Karlsruher SC's attack is €41m less valuable than VfL Wolfsburg's (€16m vs €56m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (8)
€32m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VO (7)
€3m
EC (4)
€2m
Karlsruher SC's midfield is €27m less valuable than VfL Wolfsburg's (€4m vs €32m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (15)
€66m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
EC (12)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
Karlsruher SC's defence is €55m less valuable than VfL Wolfsburg's (€12m vs €66m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht Braunschweig
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
VfL Osnabrück
Dynamo Dresden
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98