The model favours an away win, with Gyori ETO FC expected to secure victory 54% of the time, while a home win sits at 21% and a draw at 25%. The average number of goals for the encounter is 2.9, but the most likely total is two goals, a 24% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12% probability. Kisvarda FC, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.25 conceded, whereas Gyori ETO FC, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2% with a 4% edge), Under 7.5 (99.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.7% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (97.3% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.2% with a 3% edge), Home under 1.5 HT goals (92.9% with a 6% edge), and Under 5.5 (92.9% with a 4% edge). The match is poised for a low-scoring affair, with Gyori ETO FC likely to edge out a win.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Gyori ETO FC, fell short of the model’s pick for an away win, which had a 54% probability. The match finished 1-1, a draw that the model’s prediction missed. The upset was highlighted by a strong home form note - Kisvarda FC had come off a draw and their last five results were DDLLW - and an away side that had been scoring 2.33 goals per game on the road. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.7%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.7%), Home under 1.5 HT goals (93.0%) and Under 5.5 (92.9%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kisvarda FC win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.35
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.42
Superbet
3.40
Draw✓ Hit
25.3%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.48
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.64
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Betano
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Gyori ETO FC win✗ Miss
53.6%
Avg Implied 46.2% · @ 1.99
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.07
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Dafabet
2.02
Betano
2.02
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kisvarda FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.43
1.25
1.19
1.00
1.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.50
1.00
1.25
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.25
1.42
1.33
1.17
1.17
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyori ETO FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
0.80
1.88
0.44
1.93
1.21
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.67
1.33
vs Similar (20)
1.95
0.80
2.00
0.42
1.88
1.38
vs Weaker (5)
2.20
0.60
2.00
0.50
2.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
@ 1.19+0.8%
Under 1.5
20.9%
@ 4.28-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.63
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.63-2.4%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.17+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.26
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
@ 2.56-3.9%
Under 3.5
67.7%
@ 1.45+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
@ 1.54-4.1%
No
44.2%
@ 2.31+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.61
Superbet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
No
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.32
Betano
2.32
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.0%@ 6.38+5.2%
1-2
9.8%@ 7.61+4.1%
0-2
9.2%@ 9.96+4.9%
0-1
9.2%@ 8.34+3.9%
0-0
6.8%@ 12.03+3.2%
1-3
5.9%@ 12.66+2.5%
2-1
5.8%@ 10.32+1.6%
0-3
5.6%@ 16.31+2.9%
Kisvarda FC goals ↓
Gyori ETO FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
9.2%
9.2%
5.6%
2.5%
1
5.0%
12%
9.8%
5.9%
2.7%
2
3.2%
5.8%
5.2%
3.1%
1.4%
3
1.1%
2.1%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kisvarda FC goals (down), columns = Gyori ETO FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Kisvarda FC is 0.50 points worse than Gyori ETO FC in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Kisvarda FC is 0.67 goals worse than Gyori ETO FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Kisvarda FC is 0.17 goals worse than Gyori ETO FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Kisvarda FC is 11.0 percentage points worse than Gyori ETO FC in terms of average possession (42% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kisvarda FC
For 4.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gyori ETO FC
For 4.2 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kisvarda FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.4
9.0
2.4
2.7
2.1
24.4
23.6
25.4
vs Stronger (6)
11.0
11.7
10.0
3.3
3.0
4.0
25.8
25.0
27.0
vs Similar (43)
9.6
10.1
8.8
2.3
2.7
2.0
24.1
23.3
25.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
65%
54%
30%
31%
29%
63%
59%
69%
% under line
40%
35%
46%
70%
69%
71%
37%
41%
31%
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyori ETO FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.5
1.9
2.2
1.7
24.2
25.0
23.5
vs Stronger (6)
9.5
12.5
6.5
3.3
4.7
2.0
24.2
20.0
28.5
vs Similar (38)
9.5
9.4
9.6
1.8
1.8
1.8
25.2
27.9
22.9
vs Weaker (6)
12.0
10.0
14.0
1.3
2.5
0.8
17.0
15.0
19.0
% over line
48%
50%
45%
28%
32%
24%
62%
60%
64%
% under line
52%
50%
55%
72%
68%
76%
38%
40%
36%
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Puskas Academy
9.8
MTK Budapest
9.8
Gyori ETO FC
9.8
Kisvarda FC
9.8
Budapest Honved
9.5
Ferencvarosi TC
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.0
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Ferencvarosi TC
27.5
Puskas Academy
27.5
Ujpest
26.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Gyori ETO FC
24.2
Kisvarda FC
24.0
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.5%
@ 1.78+2.4%
Under 9.5
45.5%
@ 1.94-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.7%
Under 3.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.8%
Under 21.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kisvarda FC or Draw✓ Hit
46.4%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.74
Edge
-6.6%
21%
25%
54%
covers Kisvarda FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.75
SBO
1.75
Kisvarda FC or Gyori ETO FC✗ Miss
74.7%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.4%
21%
25%
54%
covers Kisvarda FC + Gyori ETO FC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Draw or Gyori ETO FC✓ Hit
78.9%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.27
Edge
+6.3%
21%
25%
54%
covers Draw + Gyori ETO FC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.5%
@ 1.30-5.6%
Under
34.5%
@ 3.21+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.47
Marathonbet
3.28
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.8%
@ 2.49-8.5%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.48+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.54
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 5.80-6.7%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.10+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.65
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Kisvarda FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 13.75-4.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.5%
@ 1.15+3.0%
Under
16.5%
@ 4.75-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.70
Betano
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.8%
@ 1.80+2.3%
Under
46.2%
@ 1.91-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.0%
@ 3.48+0.4%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.26-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.65
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Under
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
Gyori ETO FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 7.22-2.0%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.07+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Betano
6.90
1xBet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kisvarda FC, so a minus line means Kisvarda FC give that many goals of a start and Gyori ETO FC receive them. At -1, Kisvarda FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kisvarda FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kisvarda FC)Actual: Gyori ETO FC
Kisvarda FC -2
2.4%
@ 16.50-3.2%
Draw -2
5.8%
@ 9.80-3.5%
Gyori ETO FC +2
91.8%
@ 1.08+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
14.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
8.60
Away
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Handicap -1 (Kisvarda FC)Actual: Gyori ETO FC
Kisvarda FC -1
8.2%
@ 6.88-4.7%
Draw -1
12.9%
@ 5.20-4.2%
Gyori ETO FC +1
78.9%
@ 1.27+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.20
Unibet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Away
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Handicap +1 (Kisvarda FC)Actual: Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC +1
46.4%
@ 1.75-4.5%
Draw +1
22.7%
@ 3.82-0.7%
Gyori ETO FC -1
30.9%
@ 3.46+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Draw
Marathonbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Handicap +2 (Kisvarda FC)Actual: Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC +2
69.1%
@ 1.26-1.9%
Draw +2
16.8%
@ 5.58+0.7%
Gyori ETO FC -2
14.1%
@ 6.94+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
6.10
Superbet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.20
Away
Marathonbet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kisvarda FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.44
0.69
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.33
0.25
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyori ETO FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.27
0.69
0.12
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.20
0.58
0.17
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.20
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
77% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.3%
@ 1.29-1.3%
Under 0.5
29.7%
@ 3.25+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.9%
@ 2.40-1.7%
Under 1.5
63.1%
@ 1.51+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.45
Unibet
2.43
10Bet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 5.38-3.5%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.12+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 2.14-7.8%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.63+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 7.04-6.1%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.06+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 20.50-3.7%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.7%
@ 1.75+2.8%
Under
44.3%
@ 1.97-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
2.02
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.0%
@ 4.78+2.7%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.15-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.65
Superbet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 12.08-3.5%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kisvarda FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.81
0.50
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.17
0.75
0.25
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.75
0.83
0.58
0.67
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyori ETO FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.53
1.19
0.31
1.00
0.79
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (20)
1.20
0.60
1.42
0.25
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
0.50
0.50
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.1%
@ 1.16+0.2%
Under 0.5
19.9%
@ 4.61-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.4%
@ 1.83-2.3%
Under 1.5
51.6%
@ 1.88+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.89
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.6%
@ 3.54-5.6%
Under 2.5
79.4%
@ 1.25+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
39.9%
@ 1.77-12.5%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.94+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 4.82-9.3%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.14+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 12.75-5.6%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.7%
@ 1.50+4.1%
Under
34.3%
@ 2.42-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.34
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.40-1.0%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.27+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 8.72-2.8%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.04+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Superbet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.2%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.1%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.7%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.5%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
1.19
Unibet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
78.9%
1.27
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
78.9%
1.27
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
78.0%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.7%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
+0.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.8%
1.27
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
73.0%
1.26
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
71.2%
1.48
Pinnacle
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.29
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-1.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kisvarda FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christián Herc60%
Ákos Ésik25%
Marko Matanović20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun50%
Dominik Soltész40%
Anatoliy Nuriev33%
Levente Szőr33%
Gennadiy Szikszai33%
Marko Matanović20%
Bogdan Melnyk20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Christián Herc0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Soltész40%
Jasmin Mešanović25%
Marko Matanović20%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Christián Herc0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tonislav Yordanov50%
Christián Herc20%
Bogdan Melnyk20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Marko Matanović0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Gyori ETO FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ž. Gavrić40%
Viktor Đukanović17%
N. Urblík17%
M. Huszár17%
N. Njie17%
Leon Balogun0%
S. Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
D. Štefulj0%
Peter Agba0%
Jewison Bennette0%
M. Krpić0%
Ã. Umathum0%
A. Décsy0%
B. Bíró0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Márton Szép40%
Peter Agba33%
Jewison Bennette33%
M. Krpić33%
N. Urblík33%
B. Bíró33%
Claudiu Bumba20%
Viktor Đukanović17%
M. Huszár17%
Leon Balogun0%
S. Petráš0%
D. Štefulj0%
Ž. Gavrić0%
N. Njie0%
Ã. Umathum0%
A. Décsy0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D. Štefulj33%
Ž. Gavrić20%
Leon Balogun0%
S. Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Peter Agba0%
Viktor Đukanović0%
Jewison Bennette0%
M. Krpić0%
N. Urblík0%
M. Huszár0%
N. Njie0%
Ã. Umathum0%
A. Décsy0%
B. Bíró0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ž. Gavrić20%
D. Štefulj17%
Viktor Đukanović17%
N. Njie17%
Leon Balogun0%
S. Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Peter Agba0%
Jewison Bennette0%
M. Krpić0%
N. Urblík0%
M. Huszár0%
Ã. Umathum0%
A. Décsy0%
B. Bíró0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Kisvarda FC's squad is €10m less valuable than Gyori ETO FC's (€6m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Kisvarda FC's attack is €5m less valuable than Gyori ETO FC's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Kisvarda FC's midfield is €2m less valuable than Gyori ETO FC's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Kisvarda FC's defence is €3m less valuable than Gyori ETO FC's (€2m vs €5m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
MTK Budapest
Vasas
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
Budapest Honved
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE