Kortrijk vs Anderlecht Result & Analysis

The model favours an Anderlecht win, with a 56% chance of triumph, a 26% draw probability and an 18% chance for Kortrijk to lift the trophy. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.4% probability. Kortrijk, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Anderlecht, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The suggested picks are: Over 2.5 cards - 83.7%, Over 8.5 corners - 83.6%, Over 1.5 goals - 75.0%, Over 9.5 corners - 74.6%, and Under 3.5 cards - 72.9%. Kortrijk’s recent form shows a 3-game losing streak, having lost 1-3 to Charleroi, whereas Anderlecht has come off a 0-3 defeat to Union St. Gilloise but remains in a winning rhythm with two victories in five. The match is likely to see Anderlecht edge out a narrow win in a game that will see plenty of cards and corners.

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to secure a victory, with the match ending in a 2-2 draw. The model had given the away side a 56% chance to win, but the result was a draw, so the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, a draw that extended Kortrijk’s run of three straight defeats and Anderlecht’s return from a recent loss. The model’s selections were largely correct: Over 2.5 cards hit at 83.7%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 83.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 75.0%, Over 9.5 corners hit at 74.6%, while Under 3.5 missed at 72.9%.