This opponent (Martigues) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
1.59
0.50
1.50
1.20
1.67
vs Stronger (23)
0.74
1.74
0.58
1.42
0.91
2.09
vs Similar (5)
0.60
1.20
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
21% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.06-5.7%
Under 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.74+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.8%
Under 3.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1 ✓
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
Laval goals ↓
Martigues goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.9%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.7%
8.8%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.5%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Laval goals (down), columns = Martigues goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Laval is 0.61 points better than Martigues in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Laval is 0.53 goals better than Martigues in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Laval is 0.53 goals better than Martigues in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Laval is 0.0 percentage points worse than Martigues in terms of average possession (44% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Laval
For 5.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Martigues
For 3.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Laval
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.5
10.0
3.7
4.3
3.3
27.4
26.6
28.1
vs Stronger (12)
9.5
9.5
9.4
3.1
4.0
2.6
24.4
22.5
25.4
vs Similar (38)
9.9
9.4
10.3
3.9
4.3
3.6
28.3
27.6
29.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
50%
54%
48%
52%
44%
89%
91%
88%
% under line
48%
50%
46%
52%
48%
56%
11%
9%
12%
This opponent (Martigues) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
10.0
11.0
8.9
3.6
4.0
3.1
25.4
25.1
25.8
vs Stronger (23)
10.0
10.0
9.9
3.7
4.1
3.2
25.3
25.7
24.8
vs Similar (5)
10.5
17.0
4.0
3.8
3.5
4.0
26.2
22.0
30.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
54%
64%
42%
55%
64%
47%
77%
64%
92%
% under line
46%
36%
58%
45%
36%
53%
23%
36%
8%
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.6
RED Star FC 93
10.5
Red Star
10.1
Martigues
10.0
Clermont Foot
9.9
Grenoble
9.9
Caen
9.8
Laval
9.7
PAU
9.5
Guingamp
9.4
Lorient
9.4
Annecy
9.3
Amiens
9.3
Metz
9.3
Paris FC
9.1
Bastia
9.0
Estac Troyes
8.9
Dunkerque
8.6
Ajaccio
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.2
PAU
4.4
Lorient
4.2
Clermont Foot
4.2
Estac Troyes
4.2
Dunkerque
4.1
Martigues
4.1
Laval
4.1
Amiens
4.1
Caen
4.1
Ajaccio
4.0
Annecy
3.9
Metz
3.9
Paris FC
3.9
Rodez
3.8
Guingamp
3.6
Red Star
3.6
Grenoble
3.4
RED Star FC 93
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.7
Ajaccio
28.0
Bastia
27.8
Laval
27.5
Amiens
27.2
Annecy
27.0
Guingamp
26.8
Estac Troyes
26.3
Red Star
26.2
PAU
25.9
Dunkerque
25.6
Martigues
25.4
Metz
25.3
Paris FC
25.1
Lorient
25.1
Clermont Foot
24.4
Grenoble
24.2
RED Star FC 93
24.0
Rodez
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.6%
Under 9.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.2%
Under 3.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.3%
Under 21.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Laval
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.92
0.46
0.41
0.35
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.29
0.00
0.00
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.43
1.09
0.55
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.41
0.55
0.36
0.36
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (23)
0.43
0.61
0.42
0.33
0.45
0.91
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
66% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Laval over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Laval
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.46
0.62
0.82
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.29
1.50
0.00
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.65
0.27
0.73
1.00
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
1.03
0.14
1.14
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (23)
0.30
1.13
0.17
1.08
0.45
1.18
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.00
1.50
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
34% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Laval) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Laval over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laval over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Laval
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Sellouki24%
Malik Tchokounté23%
Enzo Montet14%
Mamadou Camara14%
Titouan Thomas9%
Thibault Vargas9%
Moise Adilehou8%
Jimmy Roye7%
Sam Sanna7%
Owen Kouassi6%
Jordan Tell5%
Siriné Doucouré5%
Amine Cherni4%
Kévin Zohi3%
Williams Kokolo3%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Jordan Adeoti0%
Yohan Tavares0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Théo Pellenard0%
Maxime Hautbois0%
Anthony Gonçalves0%
William Bianda0%
Loïs Martins0%
Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Loïs Martins29%
Enzo Montet29%
Moise Adilehou25%
Jimmy Roye21%
Théo Pellenard20%
Titouan Thomas18%
Owen Kouassi18%
Mamadou Camara17%
Yohan Tavares17%
William Bianda17%
Malik Tchokounté16%
Williams Kokolo12%
Amine Cherni12%
Jordan Tell11%
Sam Sanna10%
Mamadou Samassa9%
Malik Sellouki9%
Thibault Vargas9%
Jordan Adeoti8%
Kévin Zohi3%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Maxime Hautbois0%
Anthony Gonçalves0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordan Tell21%
Thibault Vargas17%
Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire17%
Jimmy Roye11%
Sam Sanna10%
Kévin Zohi10%
Malik Sellouki9%
Williams Kokolo6%
Siriné Doucouré5%
Mamadou Camara3%
Malik Tchokounté3%
Owen Kouassi3%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Jordan Adeoti0%
Yohan Tavares0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Théo Pellenard0%
Maxime Hautbois0%
Anthony Gonçalves0%
Moise Adilehou0%
William Bianda0%
Titouan Thomas0%
Amine Cherni0%
Loïs Martins0%
Enzo Montet0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Malik Tchokounté16%
Malik Sellouki12%
Kévin Zohi7%
Owen Kouassi6%
Jordan Tell5%
Sam Sanna3%
Mamadou Camara3%
Thibault Vargas3%
Mamadou Samassa0%
Jordan Adeoti0%
Yohan Tavares0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Jimmy Roye0%
Théo Pellenard0%
Maxime Hautbois0%
Anthony Gonçalves0%
Moise Adilehou0%
William Bianda0%
Titouan Thomas0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
Amine Cherni0%
Williams Kokolo0%
Loïs Martins0%
Enzo Montet0%
Aymeric Faurand-Tournaire0%
Martigues
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oualid Orinel23%
Karim Tlilli22%
Oucasse Mendy17%
Abdoul Diawara17%
Romain Montiel12%
Steve Solvet11%
Milan Robin10%
Ayoub Amraoui7%
Alain Ipiele6%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Simon Falette0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francois Kembolo Luyeye31%
Luan Gautier29%
Yan Marillat27%
Steve Solvet22%
Leandro Morante19%
Nathanaël Saintini18%
Akim Djaha18%
Yanis Hadjem17%
Simon Falette12%
Samir Belloumou12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Jeremy Aymes8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Yannick Etilé8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Milan Robin6%
Alain Ipiele6%
Romain Montiel6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Bevic Moussiti Oko4%
Ayoub Amraoui3%
Mahamé Siby0%
Steve Shamal0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayoub Amraoui13%
Alain Ipiele9%
Yanis Hadjem8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Nathanaël Saintini7%
Romain Montiel6%
Mohamed Bamba6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Samir Belloumou4%
Steve Solvet4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Oucasse Mendy3%
Milan Robin3%
Simon Falette3%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romain Montiel12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Karim Tlilli9%
Oualid Orinel8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Steve Solvet4%
Simon Falette0%
Mahamé Siby0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Milan Robin0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Alain Ipiele0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →