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Lazio vs AC Milan Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 1-0
Lazio
Lazio
Vs
24%
27%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lazio win✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.98
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.32
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan win✗ Miss
48.3%
Avg Implied 48.4% · @ 1.93
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LazioLazio

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W03L00D32W22D02L00D02L21WH·FIO07/01A·HEL11/01H·COM19/01A·LEC24/01H·GEN30/01A·JUV08/02H·ATA14/02A·CAG21/02A·TOR01/03H·SAS09/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.031.331.200.670.87
vs Stronger (4)1.251.501.000.001.332.00
vs Similar (11)0.451.450.711.710.001.00
vs Weaker (15)1.330.602.000.860.750.38
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W10W11D30W21W11D01L20W10WA·FIO11/01A·COM15/01H·LEC18/01A·AS 25/01A·BOL03/02A·PIS13/02H·COM18/02H·PAR22/02A·CRE01/03H·INT08/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.771.400.731.730.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.230.771.330.501.141.00
vs Weaker (17)1.820.761.440.892.250.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.3%
@ 2.16+6.8%
Under 2.5
49.7%
@ 1.66-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.4%
1-0 ✓
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
Lazio goals ↓
AC Milan goals →
01234
08.0%9.8%8.8%4.7%1.9%
16.2%13%9.5%5.1%2.0%
24.0%6.4%5.1%2.7%1.1%
31.4%2.3%1.9%1.0%0.4%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lazio goals (down), columns = AC Milan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Lazio is 0.42 points worse than AC Milan in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.84).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Lazio is 0.32 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Lazio is 0.13 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Lazio is 1.5 percentage points worse than AC Milan in terms of average possession (50% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LazioLazio

For 4.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

15016966354185314321282715999855310H·SASA·TORA·CAGH·ATAA·JUVH·GENA·LECH·COMA·HELH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

804142414223124312354565253738H·SASA·TORA·CAGH·ATAA·JUVH·GENA·LECH·COMA·HELH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 12.3 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

27078513151210164101212616149712111515182726142422231926H·SASA·TORA·CAGH·ATAA·JUVH·GENA·LECH·COMA·HELH·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

For 4.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1301676524413535102485871378458121213H·INTA·CREH·PARH·COMA·PISA·BOLA·AS H·LECA·COMA·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

5022221234134111324235534215H·INTA·CREH·PARH·COMA·PISA·BOLA·AS H·LECA·COMA·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.9 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

2608121014131011129141014111591157141020242323232426201224H·INTA·CREH·PARH·COMA·PISA·BOLA·AS H·LECA·COMA·FIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LazioLazio

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.98.65.25.64.825.225.724.8
vs Stronger (5)6.46.56.35.28.03.325.626.525.0
vs Similar (22)9.810.98.55.56.24.824.625.623.5
vs Weaker (23)9.39.59.24.94.55.225.725.725.8
% over line36%40%32%78%84%72%80%84%76%
% under line64%60%68%22%16%28%20%16%24%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.43.94.43.422.022.421.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)9.39.19.64.54.94.020.821.020.5
vs Weaker (28)9.810.59.33.54.03.123.023.822.4
% over line46%52%40%54%72%36%54%52%56%
% under line54%48%60%46%28%64%46%48%44%
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.1
Atalanta
9.8
AC Milan
9.6
Udinese
9.6
Bologna
9.5
Juventus
9.5
Inter
9.4
Cremonese
9.3
Lazio
9.2
Genoa
9.2
Hellas Verona
9.0
Cagliari
9.0
Fiorentina
8.9
Parma
8.9
Torino
8.8
Sassuolo
8.7
Napoli
8.7
AS Roma
8.6
Pisa
8.5
Como
7.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.4
Fiorentina
5.1
Como
4.9
Bologna
4.5
Sassuolo
4.3
Hellas Verona
4.3
Cremonese
4.2
Pisa
4.2
Parma
4.2
Genoa
4.2
AS Roma
4.2
AC Milan
3.9
Udinese
3.9
Cagliari
3.9
Juventus
3.8
Lecce
3.7
Atalanta
3.5
Torino
3.5
Inter
3.4
Napoli
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cremonese
29.4
Bologna
29.2
Fiorentina
29.2
Genoa
27.6
Cagliari
27.4
Como
27.2
AS Roma
27.0
Sassuolo
26.1
Pisa
25.9
Udinese
25.8
Hellas Verona
25.6
Lecce
25.5
Lazio
25.2
Parma
24.8
Torino
24.5
Napoli
24.3
Inter
24.1
Juventus
23.5
AC Milan
22.0
Atalanta
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.9%
Under 9.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.4%
Under 3.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.4%
Under 21.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LazioLazio

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D00D10W01L00D01L11DH·FIO07/01A·HEL11/01H·COM19/01A·LEC24/01H·GEN30/01A·JUV08/02H·ATA14/02A·CAG21/02A·TOR01/03H·SAS09/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.430.600.670.200.20
vs Stronger (4)0.500.501.000.000.330.67
vs Similar (11)0.180.730.291.140.000.00
vs Weaker (15)0.530.200.860.290.250.12
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D00D20W10W01L00D00D10WA·FIO11/01A·COM15/01H·LEC18/01A·AS 25/01A·BOL03/02A·PIS13/02H·COM18/02H·PAR22/02A·CRE01/03H·INT08/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.330.530.270.670.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.310.670.170.430.43
vs Weaker (17)0.650.350.440.330.880.38
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lazio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LazioLazio

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W01L00D32W12L01L00D01L10WH·FIO07/01A·HEL11/01H·COM19/01A·LEC24/01H·GEN30/01A·JUV08/02H·ATA14/02A·CAG21/02A·TOR01/03H·SAS09/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.730.530.470.67
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.000.001.001.33
vs Similar (11)0.270.730.430.570.001.00
vs Weaker (15)0.800.401.140.570.500.25
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W11D10W11D10W01L20W00DA·FIO11/01A·COM15/01H·LEC18/01A·AS 25/01A·BOL03/02A·PIS13/02H·COM18/02H·PAR22/02A·CRE01/03H·INT08/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.430.870.471.070.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.460.670.330.710.57
vs Weaker (17)1.180.411.000.561.380.25
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lazio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners71.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lazio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentín Castellanos17%
Pedro15%
Tijjani Noslin15%
Daniel Maldini14%
Gustav Isaksen14%
Mattia Zaccagni13%
Mattéo Guendouzi12%
Danilo Cataldi10%
Kenneth Taylor10%
Matteo Cancellieri9%
Toma Bašić8%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru7%
Boulaye Dia7%
Luca Pellegrini4%
Alessio Romagnoli3%
Adam Marušić3%
Matías Vecino0%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Patric0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mattéo Guendouzi35%
Luca Pellegrini31%
Kenneth Taylor24%
Mattia Zaccagni23%
Nuno Tavares21%
Danilo Cataldi20%
Matteo Cancellieri20%
Valentín Castellanos17%
Mario Gila Fuentes17%
Alessio Romagnoli16%
Pedro15%
Tijjani Noslin15%
Patric12%
Manuel Lazzari12%
Oliver Provstgaard11%
Edoardo Motta9%
Nicolò Rovella8%
Matías Vecino7%
Reda Belahyane7%
Ivan Provedel3%
Boulaye Dia3%
Adam Marušić3%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Toma Bašić0%
Daniel Maldini0%
Gustav Isaksen0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Valentín Castellanos17%
Daniel Maldini14%
Reda Belahyane14%
Toma Bašić12%
Danilo Cataldi10%
Kenneth Taylor10%
Nicolò Rovella8%
Matías Vecino7%
Boulaye Dia7%
Pedro6%
Mattéo Guendouzi6%
Tijjani Noslin6%
Matteo Cancellieri6%
Adam Marušić5%
Nuno Tavares4%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru4%
Mattia Zaccagni3%
Gustav Isaksen3%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Alessio Romagnoli0%
Patric0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentín Castellanos17%
Toma Bašić12%
Gustav Isaksen11%
Matteo Cancellieri11%
Matías Vecino7%
Daniel Maldini7%
Mattia Zaccagni7%
Mattéo Guendouzi6%
Tijjani Noslin6%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Alessio Romagnoli0%
Patric0%
Adam Marušić0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Pedro0%
Boulaye Dia0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Kenneth Taylor0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Leão29%
Christian Pulišić24%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Strahinja Pavlović14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Alexis Saelemaekers8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Youssouf Fofana6%
Luka Modrić6%
Santiago Giménez6%
Niclas Füllkrug5%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Samuele Ricci3%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pervis Estupiñán29%
Fikayo Tomori19%
Strahinja Pavlović16%
Adrien Rabiot16%
Rafael Leão16%
Alexis Saelemaekers13%
Matteo Gabbia13%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Luka Modrić11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Zachary Athekame11%
Mike Maignan10%
Davide Bartesaghi9%
Koni De Winter7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Christian Pulišić0%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Ardon Jashari0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christian Pulišić12%
Samuele Ricci12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Alexis Saelemaekers11%
Rafael Leão10%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Luka Modrić8%
Fikayo Tomori8%
Zachary Athekame7%
Ardon Jashari6%
Pervis Estupiñán5%
Koni De Winter4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Davide Bartesaghi3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafael Leão26%
Christian Pulišić21%
Santiago Giménez17%
Adrien Rabiot13%
Christopher Nkunku12%
Youssouf Fofana11%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek10%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Ardon Jashari6%
Alexis Saelemaekers5%
Samuele Ricci3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
Luka Modrić0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Koni De Winter0%
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
David Odogu0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Lazio's squad is €345m less valuable than AC Milan's (€240m vs €585m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Lazio's attack is €163m less valuable than AC Milan's (€60m vs €223m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Lazio's midfield is €66m less valuable than AC Milan's (€86m vs €153m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Lazio's defence is €116m less valuable than AC Milan's (€93m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
LAZ wins
1
Draws
5
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lazio vs AC Milan · H/A from LAZ
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25AAC Milan Vs LAZ1-0
02/03/25AAC Milan Vs LAZ1-2
31/08/24HLAZ Vs AC Milan2-2
01/03/24HLAZ Vs AC Milan0-1
30/09/23AAC Milan Vs LAZ2-0
06/05/23AAC Milan Vs LAZ2-0
24/01/23HLAZ Vs AC Milan4-0
24/04/22HLAZ Vs AC Milan1-2

LazioLazio

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26HLAZ Vs Sassuolo2-1
01/03/26ATorino Vs LAZ2-0
21/02/26ACagliari Vs LAZ0-0
14/02/26HLAZ Vs Atalanta0-2
08/02/26AJuventus Vs LAZ2-2
30/01/26HLAZ Vs Genoa3-2
24/01/26ALecce Vs LAZ0-0
19/01/26HLAZ Vs Como0-3
11/01/26AHellas Verona Vs LAZ0-1
07/01/26HLAZ Vs Fiorentina2-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26HAM Vs Inter1-0
01/03/26ACremonese Vs AM0-2
22/02/26HAM Vs Parma0-1
18/02/26HAM Vs Como1-1
13/02/26APisa Vs AM1-2
03/02/26ABologna Vs AM0-3
25/01/26AAS Roma Vs AM1-1
18/01/26HAM Vs Lecce1-0
15/01/26AComo Vs AM1-3
11/01/26AFiorentina Vs AM1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lazio
Lazio
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW1.40
HomeDLWLW1.40
AwayWDDDL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.222.681.76
Over 1.5 %68%84%52%
Over 2.5 %34%40%28%
Over 3.5 %20%28%12%
Scored1.141.480.80
Conceded1.081.200.96
BTTS40%56%24%
Clean Sheet34%24%44%
Corners9.249.928.56
Cards5.425.795.04
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.92
HomeDWDLW1.96
AwayWDWWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%56%56%
AVG goals2.502.322.68
Over 1.5 %74%64%84%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.581.441.72
Conceded0.920.880.96
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners9.609.809.40
Cards3.944.443.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches