Defensive solidity is the headline for this Serie A encounter. Lazio’s home form shows they average 2.33 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded against weaker opposition, while Parma’s away numbers are starkly different: 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded against stronger teams. The model therefore favours a home win, with a 45% chance, a draw at 31% and an away win at 24%. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability.
The model’s selections are: Over 19.5 fouls86.7%, Over 2.5 cards83.3%, Under 3.582.3%, Under 11.5 corners82.0%, Over 21.5 fouls75.3% (miss), and Under 10.5 corners72.7%. Lazio entered the match on a three-game winning streak, having beaten Genoa 1-0, while Parma had just suffered a 0-2 loss to Juventus. The forecast remains tightly low-scoring, reflecting the defensive emphasis of both sides.
Results analysis
The draw was a shock, as the pre-match favourite, Lazio, was tipped to win with a 45% chance. The model’s call was wrong, and the match finished 1-1. Lazio’s 3-game winning run ended in a stalemate, while Parma, after two straight defeats, managed a point. The model’s selection for the total of 2.2 goals proved accurate, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 materialising. The Over 19.5 fouls pick hit at 86.7%, as did the Over 2.5 cards at 83.3%, the Under 3.5 at 82.3%, the Under 11.5 corners at 82.0%, and the Under 10.5 corners at 72.7%. The Over 21.5 fouls at 75.3% missed.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lazio win✗ Miss
44.8%
Avg Implied 53.2% · @ 1.77
Edge
-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.40
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Parma win✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.91
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lazio
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.93
1.40
1.13
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.62
1.23
0.75
1.50
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (14)
1.43
0.57
2.33
0.83
0.75
0.38
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Parma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.27
0.73
1.40
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.80
0.80
2.00
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (20)
0.75
1.00
0.70
1.10
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.2%
@ 2.26-4.2%
Under 2.5
62.8%
@ 1.60+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.0%
No
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
Lazio goals ↓
Parma goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
8.7%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.5%
8.4%
3.7%
1.1%
0.2%
3
4.1%
3.6%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.3%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lazio goals (down), columns = Parma goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Lazio is 0.24 points better than Parma in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Lazio is 0.34 goals better than Parma in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Lazio is 0.16 goals better than Parma in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Lazio is 6.3 percentage points better than Parma in terms of average possession (50% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lazio
For 3.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Parma
For 5.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lazio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.7
8.2
5.2
5.5
4.9
25.2
25.9
24.5
vs Stronger (5)
6.4
6.5
6.3
5.2
8.0
3.3
25.6
26.5
25.0
vs Similar (22)
9.2
10.4
7.7
5.5
6.1
4.9
24.5
26.0
22.8
vs Weaker (23)
9.3
9.5
9.2
4.9
4.5
5.2
25.7
25.7
25.8
% over line
34%
40%
28%
78%
84%
72%
80%
88%
72%
% under line
66%
60%
72%
22%
16%
28%
20%
12%
28%
This opponent (Parma) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Parma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.2
9.2
4.1
4.3
4.0
24.7
25.0
24.5
vs Stronger (17)
8.6
7.2
10.1
3.9
4.2
3.6
21.2
21.8
20.6
vs Similar (33)
8.8
8.9
8.8
4.2
4.3
4.1
26.5
26.9
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
42%
42%
64%
71%
58%
76%
79%
73%
% under line
58%
58%
58%
36%
29%
42%
24%
21%
27%
This opponent (Lazio) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.2
Atalanta
9.8
Bologna
9.7
Udinese
9.6
AC Milan
9.6
Juventus
9.6
Inter
9.3
Cremonese
9.2
Genoa
9.1
Fiorentina
9.1
Lazio
9.0
Torino
8.9
Cagliari
8.9
AS Roma
8.8
Parma
8.8
Sassuolo
8.8
Hellas Verona
8.7
Napoli
8.7
Pisa
8.5
Como
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.4
Fiorentina
5.0
Como
4.9
Bologna
4.5
Genoa
4.3
Sassuolo
4.3
Pisa
4.2
Hellas Verona
4.2
AS Roma
4.2
Cremonese
4.2
Parma
4.1
Udinese
4.0
Cagliari
4.0
AC Milan
3.9
Juventus
3.8
Lecce
3.7
Torino
3.6
Inter
3.6
Atalanta
3.5
Napoli
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cremonese
29.5
Fiorentina
29.1
Bologna
29.0
AS Roma
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Genoa
27.7
Como
27.0
Sassuolo
26.0
Pisa
25.7
Udinese
25.6
Lecce
25.6
Hellas Verona
25.6
Lazio
25.2
Parma
24.7
Torino
24.3
Inter
24.3
Napoli
24.2
Juventus
23.3
AC Milan
21.9
Atalanta
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.9%
Under 9.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.3%
Under 21.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lazio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.37
0.67
0.60
0.20
0.13
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.23
0.62
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.14
1.00
0.17
0.25
0.12
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Parma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.50
0.27
0.60
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
0.70
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.40
0.30
0.40
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lazio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lazio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.73
0.53
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.43
1.33
0.67
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Parma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.47
0.80
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.10
0.60
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.70
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lazio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lazio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentín Castellanos17%
Pedro15%
Tijjani Noslin15%
Daniel Maldini14%
Gustav Isaksen14%
Mattia Zaccagni13%
Mattéo Guendouzi12%
Danilo Cataldi10%
Kenneth Taylor10%
Matteo Cancellieri9%
Toma Bašić8%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru7%
Boulaye Dia7%
Luca Pellegrini4%
Alessio Romagnoli3%
Adam Marušić3%
Matías Vecino0%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Patric0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mattéo Guendouzi35%
Luca Pellegrini31%
Kenneth Taylor24%
Mattia Zaccagni23%
Nuno Tavares21%
Danilo Cataldi20%
Matteo Cancellieri20%
Valentín Castellanos17%
Mario Gila Fuentes17%
Alessio Romagnoli16%
Pedro15%
Tijjani Noslin15%
Patric12%
Manuel Lazzari12%
Oliver Provstgaard11%
Edoardo Motta9%
Nicolò Rovella8%
Matías Vecino7%
Reda Belahyane7%
Ivan Provedel3%
Boulaye Dia3%
Adam Marušić3%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Toma Bašić0%
Daniel Maldini0%
Gustav Isaksen0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Valentín Castellanos17%
Daniel Maldini14%
Reda Belahyane14%
Toma Bašić12%
Danilo Cataldi10%
Kenneth Taylor10%
Nicolò Rovella8%
Matías Vecino7%
Boulaye Dia7%
Pedro6%
Mattéo Guendouzi6%
Tijjani Noslin6%
Matteo Cancellieri6%
Adam Marušić5%
Nuno Tavares4%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru4%
Mattia Zaccagni3%
Gustav Isaksen3%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Alessio Romagnoli0%
Patric0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentín Castellanos17%
Toma Bašić12%
Gustav Isaksen11%
Matteo Cancellieri11%
Matías Vecino7%
Daniel Maldini7%
Mattia Zaccagni7%
Mattéo Guendouzi6%
Tijjani Noslin6%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Alessio Romagnoli0%
Patric0%
Adam Marušić0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Pedro0%
Boulaye Dia0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Kenneth Taylor0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Parma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mateo Pellegrino23%
Nesta Elphege22%
Gabriel Strefezza14%
Adrian Benedyczak12%
Adrián Bernabé9%
Patrick Cutrone6%
Enrico Del Prato5%
Gaetano Oristanio5%
Mariano Troilo4%
Christian Ordoñez3%
Sascha Britschgi3%
Alessandro Circati3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Mandela Keita2%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
Hernani0%
Lautaro Valenti0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Milan Đurić0%
Pontus Almqvist0%
Emanuele Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Jacob Ondrejka0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye0%
Franco Carboni0%
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik0%
Benjamin Cremaschi0%
Daniel Mikołajewski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Ndiaye33%
Mariano Troilo30%
Lautaro Valenti25%
Gabriel Strefezza21%
Hernani20%
Sascha Britschgi19%
Alessandro Circati18%
Enrico Del Prato13%
Christian Ordoñez13%
Mateo Pellegrino13%
Jacob Ondrejka12%
Benjamin Cremaschi11%
Milan Đurić8%
Adrian Benedyczak6%
Edoardo Corvi6%
Nahuel Estévez6%
Emanuele Valeri6%
Mandela Keita5%
Gaetano Oristanio5%
Adrián Bernabé3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
Patrick Cutrone0%
Pontus Almqvist0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Franco Carboni0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik0%
Daniel Mikołajewski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia20%
Gabriel Strefezza14%
Adrian Benedyczak12%
Nesta Elphege11%
Emanuele Valeri9%
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik8%
Pontus Almqvist7%
Sascha Britschgi3%
Adrián Bernabé3%
Nahuel Estévez3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Mateo Pellegrino3%
Mandela Keita2%
Hernani0%
Patrick Cutrone0%
Lautaro Valenti0%
Enrico Del Prato0%
Milan Đurić0%
Gaetano Oristanio0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Jacob Ondrejka0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye0%
Franco Carboni0%
Alessandro Circati0%
Benjamin Cremaschi0%
Christian Ordoñez0%
Daniel Mikołajewski0%
Mariano Troilo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mateo Pellegrino28%
Patrick Cutrone12%
Jacob Ondrejka12%
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik8%
Gabriel Strefezza7%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia7%
Adrian Benedyczak6%
Adrián Bernabé3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Enrico Del Prato3%
Hernani0%
Lautaro Valenti0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Milan Đurić0%
Pontus Almqvist0%
Emanuele Valeri0%
Gaetano Oristanio0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye0%
Franco Carboni0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Mandela Keita0%
Alessandro Circati0%
Benjamin Cremaschi0%
Christian Ordoñez0%
Daniel Mikołajewski0%
Mariano Troilo0%
Sascha Britschgi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Lazio's squad is €98m more valuable than Parma's (€240m vs €142m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Lazio's attack is €25m more valuable than Parma's (€60m vs €35m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Lazio's midfield is €26m more valuable than Parma's (€86m vs €60m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Lazio's defence is €47m more valuable than Parma's (€93m vs €46m).
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Inter
Napoli
AS Roma
Como
AC Milan
Juventus
Atalanta
Bologna
Udinese
Sassuolo
Torino
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Genoa
Lecce
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
Pisa