This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
2.10
0.81
1.94
0.79
2.29
vs Stronger (22)
0.82
2.23
0.91
1.91
0.73
2.55
vs Similar (8)
0.75
1.75
0.60
2.00
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Havre) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.5%
Under 1.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.6%
@ 2.38-1.0%
Under 2.5
61.4%
@ 1.56+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.7%
Under 3.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.8%
No
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.0%
2-0 ✓
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
Le Havre goals ↓
Dijon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
7.2%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
1
14%
13%
4.8%
1.3%
0.2%
2
11%
8.8%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
5.4%
4.2%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.0%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Le Havre goals (down), columns = Dijon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Toulouse
2.08
Ajaccio
1.97
Auxerre
1.95
Paris FC
1.84
Sochaux
1.79
Guingamp
1.53
Le Havre
1.32
Caen
1.32
Nimes
1.29
PAU
1.29
Dijon
1.24
Niort
1.21
Bastia
1.21
Valenciennes
1.16
Amiens
1.16
Grenoble
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Rouen
1.05
Dunkerque
0.82
Nancy
0.71
Le Havre is 0.08 points better than Dijon in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
2.16
Auxerre
1.61
Paris FC
1.42
Guingamp
1.37
Caen
1.34
Dijon
1.26
Sochaux
1.24
Nimes
1.16
Amiens
1.13
PAU
1.08
Niort
1.03
Ajaccio
1.03
Le Havre
1.00
Bastia
1.00
Valenciennes
0.89
Rouen
0.87
Nancy
0.84
Rodez
0.84
Grenoble
0.84
Dunkerque
0.74
Le Havre is 0.26 goals worse than Dijon in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajaccio
0.50
Toulouse
0.87
Sochaux
0.89
Paris FC
0.92
Bastia
0.95
Auxerre
1.03
Le Havre
1.08
Amiens
1.08
Niort
1.11
Caen
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Grenoble
1.16
Valenciennes
1.24
Guingamp
1.26
PAU
1.29
Rouen
1.32
Nimes
1.34
Dunkerque
1.39
Dijon
1.39
Nancy
1.82
Le Havre is 0.32 goals better than Dijon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Le Havre
For 3.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 15.5 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dijon
For 4.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 15.9 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Le Havre
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.6
8.4
6.8
4.0
4.3
3.6
28.0
28.9
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
8.2
9.6
6.4
4.0
3.9
4.0
26.9
27.2
26.4
vs Weaker (29)
7.2
7.3
7.1
4.0
4.7
3.4
28.8
30.5
27.3
% over line
16%
20%
12%
52%
56%
48%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
84%
80%
88%
48%
44%
52%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.3
9.9
3.8
3.5
4.1
26.2
27.2
25.0
vs Stronger (40)
9.9
9.7
10.2
3.5
3.1
3.8
25.5
26.9
24.1
vs Similar (10)
8.1
7.4
8.8
5.1
5.2
5.0
28.7
28.8
28.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
42%
54%
56%
46%
67%
76%
85%
67%
% under line
52%
58%
46%
44%
54%
33%
24%
15%
33%
This opponent (Le Havre) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rouen
10.3
Auxerre
9.9
PAU
9.9
Nimes
9.7
Dijon
9.6
Toulouse
9.4
Bastia
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
Caen
8.9
Amiens
8.8
Ajaccio
8.7
Valenciennes
8.7
Niort
8.5
Nancy
8.4
Grenoble
8.4
Sochaux
8.3
Paris FC
8.1
Dunkerque
7.8
Le Havre
7.6
Rodez
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.7
Amiens
4.5
Toulouse
4.5
PAU
4.3
Paris FC
4.3
Caen
4.2
Nimes
4.2
Grenoble
4.2
Dunkerque
4.1
Rouen
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Bastia
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Sochaux
4.0
Le Havre
4.0
Niort
3.9
Dijon
3.8
Ajaccio
3.8
Auxerre
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
32.8
Nancy
32.1
Rouen
32.0
Dunkerque
31.6
Amiens
31.5
Toulouse
31.5
Niort
30.7
Rodez
29.7
Guingamp
29.3
Caen
29.0
Paris FC
28.7
Sochaux
28.6
PAU
28.4
Le Havre
28.0
Ajaccio
27.9
Grenoble
27.5
Bastia
26.7
Nimes
26.5
Dijon
26.2
Auxerre
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.3%
Under 9.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.9%
Under 21.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Le Havre
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.30
0.44
0.38
0.50
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.42
0.38
0.50
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (18)
0.56
0.22
0.50
0.25
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.77
0.06
0.69
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (22)
0.32
0.82
0.09
0.73
0.55
0.91
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.62
0.00
0.60
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Havre) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Le Havre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Havre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Havre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Le Havre
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.50
0.94
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.58
0.62
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (18)
0.56
0.78
0.38
1.38
0.70
0.30
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.33
0.75
1.25
0.29
1.43
vs Stronger (22)
0.50
1.41
0.82
1.18
0.18
1.64
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.12
0.60
1.40
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Le Havre) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Le Havre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Havre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Le Havre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Le Havre · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Issa Soumaré20%
Abdoulaye Touré18%
Noam Obougou Jacquet17%
Stephan Zagadou12%
Rassoul Ndiaye12%
Fodé Doucouré12%
Kenny Quetant10%
Mbwana Ally Samatta7%
Godson Kyeremeh7%
Yassine Kechta6%
Felix Mambimbi6%
Sofiane Boufal6%
Arouna Sangante3%
Yanis Zouaoui3%
Gautier Lloris3%
Simon Ebonog3%
Loic Négo0%
Thomas Delaine0%
Lionel Mpasi Nzau0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Younes Namli0%
Mory Diaw0%
Reda Khadra0%
Timothee Pembele0%
Étienne Youte Kinkoue0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Enzo Koffi0%
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lionel Mpasi Nzau50%
Lucas Gourna-Douath27%
Simon Ebonog26%
Yanis Zouaoui23%
Étienne Youte Kinkoue22%
Ayumu Seko20%
Abdoulaye Touré18%
Thomas Delaine17%
Younes Namli15%
Mbwana Ally Samatta15%
Timothee Pembele14%
Arouna Sangante14%
Enzo Koffi13%
Yassine Kechta13%
Sofiane Boufal12%
Kenny Quetant10%
Loic Négo10%
Fodé Doucouré8%
Felix Mambimbi6%
Rassoul Ndiaye6%
Issa Soumaré6%
Gautier Lloris3%
Mory Diaw3%
Godson Kyeremeh0%
Reda Khadra0%
Noam Obougou Jacquet0%
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo0%
Stephan Zagadou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sofiane Boufal24%
Issa Soumaré14%
Rassoul Ndiaye9%
Younes Namli8%
Godson Kyeremeh7%
Fodé Doucouré4%
Mbwana Ally Samatta4%
Arouna Sangante3%
Yanis Zouaoui3%
Gautier Lloris3%
Mory Diaw3%
Yassine Kechta3%
Felix Mambimbi0%
Loic Négo0%
Thomas Delaine0%
Abdoulaye Touré0%
Lionel Mpasi Nzau0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Reda Khadra0%
Timothee Pembele0%
Étienne Youte Kinkoue0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Simon Ebonog0%
Enzo Koffi0%
Noam Obougou Jacquet0%
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo0%
Stephan Zagadou0%
Kenny Quetant0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Issa Soumaré40%
Mbwana Ally Samatta15%
Timothee Pembele7%
Sofiane Boufal6%
Rassoul Ndiaye6%
Fodé Doucouré4%
Loic Négo3%
Simon Ebonog3%
Felix Mambimbi0%
Thomas Delaine0%
Abdoulaye Touré0%
Godson Kyeremeh0%
Yanis Zouaoui0%
Lionel Mpasi Nzau0%
Ayumu Seko0%
Younes Namli0%
Gautier Lloris0%
Mory Diaw0%
Reda Khadra0%
Étienne Youte Kinkoue0%
Arouna Sangante0%
Yassine Kechta0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Enzo Koffi0%
Noam Obougou Jacquet0%
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo0%
Stephan Zagadou0%
Kenny Quetant0%
Dijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordan Marié25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lenny Lacroix50%
Adel Lembezat25%
Paul Bellon25%
Brandon Ndezi25%
Tyris Dong25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Júlio Tavares25%
Paul Bellon25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Adel Lembezat0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Ntamack50%
Yanis Barka25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
TOU (24)
€115m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
BAS (19)
€7m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
Le Havre's squad is €50m more valuable than Dijon's (€55m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
TOU (7)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
Le Havre's attack is €7m more valuable than Dijon's (€9m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
AUX (5)
€28m
LH (5)
€23m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Le Havre's midfield is €21m more valuable than Dijon's (€23m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
TOU (10)
€46m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
ROU (6)
€1m
Le Havre's defence is €22m more valuable than Dijon's (€23m vs €2m).
France: Ligue 2 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →