This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cracovia Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.27
1.14
1.07
1.06
1.44
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.80
1.33
0.67
0.50
3.50
vs Similar (25)
1.12
1.16
1.09
1.18
1.14
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lech Poznan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.1%
No
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
Lech Poznan goals ↓
Cracovia Krakow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
3.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
1
6.5%
9.9%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
2
8.0%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.8%
7.0%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
4
3.1%
3.8%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lech Poznan goals (down), columns = Cracovia Krakow goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.50
Gornik Zabrze
2.25
Jagiellonia
2.25
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Lech Poznan is 1.17 points better than Cracovia Krakow in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.25
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Jagiellonia
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.25
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Lech Poznan is 1.00 goals better than Cracovia Krakow in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Lech Poznan
0.75
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Jagiellonia
1.25
Gornik Zabrze
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.75
Lech Poznan is 0.42 goals better than Cracovia Krakow in terms of goals conceded per game (0.75 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Lech Poznan is 5.6 percentage points better than Cracovia Krakow in terms of average possession (54% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lech Poznan
For 6.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cracovia Krakow
For 6.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lech Poznan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.5
3.3
3.4
3.2
23.4
22.6
24.2
vs Stronger (4)
6.0
4.5
9.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
20.0
21.5
17.0
vs Similar (17)
10.1
9.8
10.4
3.8
3.5
4.1
24.6
24.2
25.0
vs Weaker (29)
10.1
11.3
9.1
3.1
3.2
3.0
23.0
21.5
24.3
% over line
53%
57%
50%
44%
42%
46%
60%
57%
64%
% under line
47%
43%
50%
56%
58%
54%
40%
43%
36%
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cracovia Krakow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.3
10.2
4.2
4.6
3.8
25.4
25.4
25.5
vs Stronger (9)
10.4
11.0
9.8
4.9
6.5
3.6
25.9
26.8
25.0
vs Similar (40)
9.6
8.9
10.3
4.0
4.2
3.9
25.5
25.1
25.9
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
-
10.0
3.0
-
3.0
19.0
-
19.0
% over line
50%
38%
62%
54%
58%
50%
71%
79%
62%
% under line
50%
62%
38%
46%
42%
50%
29%
21%
38%
This opponent (Lech Poznan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Pogon Szczecin
10.7
Zaglebie Lubin
10.6
Motor Lublin
10.3
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
GKS Katowice
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.1
Radomiak Radom
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Jagiellonia
9.9
Slask Wroclaw
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.8
Cracovia Krakow
9.7
Wisla Plock
9.7
Legia Warszawa
9.5
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.2
Wieczysta Kraków
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wieczysta Kraków
10.0
Widzew Łódź
5.1
Motor Lublin
5.1
Raków Częstochowa
5.0
Radomiak Radom
4.9
Slask Wroclaw
4.8
Jagiellonia
4.7
Cracovia Krakow
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.2
Korona Kielce
4.1
Pogon Szczecin
3.9
Gornik Zabrze
3.9
Piast Gliwice
3.8
Lech Poznan
3.8
GKS Katowice
3.7
Wisla Krakow
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wieczysta Kraków
38.0
Radomiak Radom
27.7
Jagiellonia
26.5
Widzew Łódź
26.0
Legia Warszawa
25.8
Motor Lublin
25.6
Cracovia Krakow
25.3
Korona Kielce
25.1
Piast Gliwice
25.0
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.4
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.4
GKS Katowice
23.1
Gornik Zabrze
22.5
Wisla Plock
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.3%
Under 21.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lech Poznan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.33
1.07
0.50
1.12
0.19
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.50
1.40
0.80
0.67
0.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.10
0.25
1.00
0.25
1.17
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cracovia Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.29
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.32
0.36
0.27
0.50
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lech Poznan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lech Poznan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lech Poznan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
1.14
0.86
0.25
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.25
0.80
0.20
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (20)
0.70
0.85
1.38
1.12
0.25
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cracovia Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.71
0.79
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.84
0.73
0.91
0.64
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Lech Poznan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lech Poznan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lech Poznan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh60%
Mikael Ishak33%
Filip Jagiełło25%
Luis Palma20%
Antoni Kozubal20%
Yannick Agnero20%
Robert Gumny0%
Joel Pereira0%
Radosław Murawski0%
Mateusz Lis0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Patrik Wålemark0%
Pablo Rodríguez0%
Terry Yegbe0%
Michal Gurgul0%
Wojciech Mońka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mikael Ishak67%
Joel Pereira20%
Luis Palma20%
Radosław Murawski20%
Antoni Kozubal20%
Yannick Agnero20%
Robert Gumny0%
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh0%
Mateusz Lis0%
Filip Jagiełło0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Patrik Wålemark0%
Pablo Rodríguez0%
Terry Yegbe0%
Michal Gurgul0%
Wojciech Mońka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luis Palma40%
Pablo Rodríguez40%
Daniel Håkans33%
Patrik Wålemark20%
Robert Gumny0%
Joel Pereira0%
Mikael Ishak0%
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh0%
Radosław Murawski0%
Mateusz Lis0%
Filip Jagiełło0%
Antoni Kozubal0%
Terry Yegbe0%
Yannick Agnero0%
Michal Gurgul0%
Wojciech Mońka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Ishak33%
Luis Palma20%
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh20%
Pablo Rodríguez20%
Yannick Agnero20%
Robert Gumny0%
Joel Pereira0%
Radosław Murawski0%
Mateusz Lis0%
Filip Jagiełło0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Patrik Wålemark0%
Antoni Kozubal0%
Terry Yegbe0%
Michal Gurgul0%
Wojciech Mońka0%
Cracovia Krakow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ajdin Hasić33%
M. Minchev17%
D. Piła17%
M. Perković17%
Mateusz Klich0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Otar Kakabadze0%
S. Madejski0%
B. Traoré0%
D. Kameri0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mateusz Klich40%
D. Kameri40%
Amir Al-Ammari33%
Ajdin Hasić17%
Gustav Henriksson17%
Otar Kakabadze17%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
D. Piła0%
S. Madejski0%
M. Perković0%
B. Traoré0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateusz Klich40%
Ajdin Hasić17%
Otar Kakabadze17%
D. Piła17%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
S. Madejski0%
M. Perković0%
B. Traoré0%
D. Kameri0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ajdin Hasić67%
D. Kameri40%
M. Perković33%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam17%
Mateusz Klich0%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Otar Kakabadze0%
D. Piła0%
S. Madejski0%
B. Traoré0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Lech Poznan's squad is €37m more valuable than Cracovia Krakow's (€58m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Lech Poznan's attack is €10m more valuable than Cracovia Krakow's (€21m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Lech Poznan's midfield is €7m more valuable than Cracovia Krakow's (€9m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Lech Poznan's defence is €20m more valuable than Cracovia Krakow's (€28m vs €8m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →