Levadiakos vs Panetolikos Result & Analysis

Levadiakos will look to keep the game tight, with their home form showing 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Panetolikos have struggled away, averaging only 0.55 goals scored and 0.55 conceded. The model favours a Levadiakos victory, assigning a 43% chance to a home win, 32% to a draw and 25% to an away win. The expected total goals is 2.1, with the single most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14.5%. The match is projected to be low-scoring, reflecting both sides’ defensive tendencies.

The suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 95.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 90.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 89.5%, Under 3.5 at 84.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.7%, Over 23.5 fouls at 80.2%, Over 3.5 cards at 78.2%, and Under 10.5 corners at 73.6%. Each selection is presented with its exact probability. The model’s pick remains a home win, the most likely outcome.

The upset came early as Panetolikos snatched a 1-2 victory, overturning the pre-match favourite Levadiakos. The model had tipped a home win with a 43% probability, but that call was wrong. Levadiakos had been on a shaky run, coming off a 0-4 loss to PAOK, while Panetolikos had been on a two-game winning streak. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls (95.3%), Over 2.5 cards (90.2%), Over 21.5 fouls (89.5%), Under 3.5 (84.7%), Over 23.5 fouls (80.2%) and Over 3.5 cards (78.2%) all hit, whereas Under 11.5 corners (82.7%) and Under 10.5 corners (73.6%) missed. The match delivered a surprising away win, with the final score 1-2.