Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets Result & Analysis

The contest between Livyi Bereh and Chornomorets is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. Livyi Bereh’s home form shows an average of two goals scored and 0.8 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Chornomorets, playing away, averages one goal for and 1.91 against. The expected total goals sit at 2.4, with the most probable total being two goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% chance. The probabilities for the match outcome are 41% for a home win, 30% for a draw and 30% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 85.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 79.3%, Under 3.5 goals at 77.2%, Under 10.5 corners at 77.0% and Over 1.5 goals at 71.1%. Livyi Bereh are unbeaten in their last five, drawing 1-1 with Karpaty, while Chornomorets come off a win 1-0 over Kryvbas KR, keeping the outcome uncertain.

Livyi Bereh’s 1-0 victory over Chornomorets keeps the team unbeaten in their last five, extending a run that began with a draw against Karpaty. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 41 percent, and it proved correct. The predicted 2-goal total, most likely at 2, did not materialise, but the match still fell within the model’s overall expectations. The model’s selections performed largely well: Under 11.5 corners hit at 85.4 percent, Over 2.5 cards at 83.3 percent, Over 19.5 fouls at 79.3 percent, and Under 3.5 at 77.2 percent all came through. However, Under 10.5 corners at 77.0 percent and Over 1.5 at 71.1 percent missed. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely accurate.