Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

The match is primed for a high-scoring affair, with the model projecting an average of 3.3 goals. The most probable total is three goals, a 22% chance, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.9% probability. The odds favour an away win at 44%, with a 31% chance of a home victory and a 25% draw. Maccabi Haifa, playing at home, has been averaging one goal scored and 2.12 conceded against similar opposition, while Hapoel Beer Sheva, on the road, has been scoring one and conceding only 0.67. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (96.2%), Over 2.5 cards (93.3%), Over 21.5 fouls (91.2%), Over 3.5 cards (83.9%), Over 23.5 fouls (82.9%), Under 11.5 corners (83.4%), Under 10.5 corners (74.5%), and Over 1.5 (85.2%). Each pick is listed with its exact probability, reflecting the high likelihood of a contested, action-packed match.

Maccabi Haifa’s recent run of LWLWW saw them return from a defeat, while Hapoel Beer Sheva’s WLWLW streak carried them into the match after a win. The final score was 0-1, confirming an away win that matched the model’s favourite, which had a 44% probability. The model’s prediction was correct. The expected total of 3.3 goals was far above the actual total of one, a clear over-performance for the model. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 96.2%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 93.3%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 91.2%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 83.9%, and Over 23.5 fouls hit at 82.9%. The remaining picks - Over 1.5 (85.2%), Under 11.5 corners (83.4%), and Under 10.5 corners (74.5%) - missed.