Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv are favoured to win, with a 45% chance of triumph, 29% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Beer Sheva to lift the trophy. The model expects 2.5 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.7% probability. Maccabi Tel Aviv, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Hapoel Beer Sheva, on the road, average 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against similar teams. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 89.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.8%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.5%, Under 3.5 at 75.5% and Over 1.5 at 72.8%. Both sides are coming off wins, with Maccabi Tel Aviv beating Maccabi Haifa 3-1 and Hapoel Beer Sheva defeating Hapoel Ramat Gan 2-1.

The pre-match favourite, Maccabi Tel Aviv, fell short as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the model’s 45% home-win pick. The game came after Maccabi’s win streak, while Hapoel Beer Sheva also entered on a win. The model’s selection was incorrect, but its other picks all hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 89.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.8%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.5%, Under 3.5 at 75.5%, and Over 1.5 at 72.8%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every outcome was noted exactly as recorded.