Maccabi Tel Aviv’s recent 5-2 win over Hapoel Katamon fuels a confident home side that averages one goal per match while conceding 1.8 against similar opposition. Maccabi Haifa, fresh from a 2-1 victory over Hapoel Ramat Gan, averages 0.83 goals scored and 2.33 conceded away, suggesting a defensive struggle. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.2 goals, most likely totaling three goals at a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.6% probability. Home win is the favored outcome with a 55% chance, draw 23%, and away win 21%. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Under 7.5 at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.5% with a 4% edge, Over 19.5 fouls at 96.2%, Under 6.5 at 95.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.2% with a 3% edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.2% with a 7% edge.
Results analysis
Maccabi Tel Aviv’s recent win extended their good run, and the model’s prediction of a home win at 55% proved correct as the final score was 3-1. The favourite was indeed the home side, and the outcome matched the model’s call. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.6%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.5%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 93.4%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.2%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every pick was reported with its result.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Maccabi Tel Aviv win✓ Hit
55.4%
Avg Implied 55.0% · @ 1.66
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.72
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.99
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.27
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Maccabi Haifa win✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.14
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.46
Bet365
4.33
Dafabet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.27
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.37
1.57
1.14
2.31
1.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.33
1.92
1.00
1.67
1.67
2.17
vs Weaker (18)
2.39
1.00
2.00
0.75
2.70
1.20
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.43
2.19
1.25
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.50
1.83
2.17
1.33
0.83
2.33
vs Weaker (18)
2.00
1.17
2.20
1.20
1.75
1.12
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
@ 1.11+1.0%
Under 1.5
15.6%
@ 5.61-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Pinnacle
5.75
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.0%
@ 1.43-1.8%
Under 2.5
37.0%
@ 2.62+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.72
BetVictor
2.70
Bet365
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.8%
@ 2.11-3.4%
Under 3.5
59.2%
@ 1.67+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Under
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.0%
@ 1.47-1.3%
No
38.0%
@ 2.52+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
No
Betfair
2.80
1xBet
2.56
BetVictor
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%@ 7.80+4.9%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.58+3.9%
2-0
8.0%@ 9.93+3.6%
1-0
7.0%@ 10.07+2.6%
3-1 ✓
6.6%@ 10.65+2.5%
2-2
5.9%@ 10.95+1.9%
1-2
5.8%@ 12.53+2.3%
3-0
5.5%@ 13.77+2.3%
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals ↓
Maccabi Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
3.8%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
1
7.0%
11%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.0%
9.8%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.5%
6.6%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.8%
3.4%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (down), columns = Maccabi Haifa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Maccabi Tel Aviv is 0.27 points better than Maccabi Haifa in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Maccabi Tel Aviv is 0.22 goals better than Maccabi Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Tel Aviv is 0.01 goals worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Maccabi Tel Aviv is 0.8 percentage points worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of average possession (53% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Maccabi Tel Aviv
For 3.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 14.4 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Haifa
For 3.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.1 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.4
9.6
3.6
3.9
3.3
29.8
29.6
30.0
vs Stronger (1)
4.0
-
4.0
2.0
-
2.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (19)
9.1
8.4
10.0
4.3
5.1
3.4
28.7
28.4
29.1
vs Weaker (30)
9.1
8.4
9.9
3.2
3.1
3.3
30.9
31.0
30.9
% over line
43%
44%
41%
60%
62%
58%
97%
94%
100%
% under line
57%
56%
59%
40%
38%
42%
3%
6%
0%
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.7
8.7
3.0
2.7
3.3
26.5
26.7
26.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
8.2
8.5
7.9
4.1
4.2
4.0
27.6
28.0
27.2
vs Weaker (28)
9.6
9.2
10.0
2.1
1.4
2.8
24.6
24.0
25.2
% over line
40%
33%
47%
46%
48%
43%
80%
80%
80%
% under line
60%
67%
53%
54%
52%
57%
20%
20%
20%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
8.9
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Beitar Jerusalem
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Beitar Jerusalem
5.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.5
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.6
Beitar Jerusalem
28.8
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.8
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.3
Hapoel Haifa
26.1
Maccabi Netanya
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
30.0%
@ 1.91-18.9%
Under 9.5
70.0%
@ 1.82+18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.90
Bet365
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.0%
Under 3.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.3%
Under 21.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw✓ Hit
78.6%
Avg Implied 77.8% · @ 1.18
Edge
+0.8%
55%
23%
21%
covers Maccabi Tel Aviv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Maccabi Tel Aviv or Maccabi Haifa✓ Hit
76.8%
Avg Implied 77.3% · @ 1.19
Edge
-0.6%
55%
23%
21%
covers Maccabi Tel Aviv + Maccabi Haifa
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw or Maccabi Haifa✗ Miss
44.6%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.06
Edge
-0.2%
55%
23%
21%
covers Draw + Maccabi Haifa
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.10
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.9%
@ 1.08+1.2%
Under
13.1%
@ 6.52-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.90
10Bet
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
60.3%
@ 1.51-1.3%
Under
39.7%
@ 2.41+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.54
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
Superbet
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
33.2%
@ 2.56-3.1%
Under
66.8%
@ 1.46+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Marathonbet
2.56
Pinnacle
2.56
BetVictor
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 4.95-4.0%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.15+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betano
4.85
1xBet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.3%
@ 1.31-0.5%
Under
29.7%
@ 3.17+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.2%
@ 2.53-2.4%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.46+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.56
Betano
2.55
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.88-3.4%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.10+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Superbet
5.85
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Maccabi Haifa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 14.17-3.2%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
1xBet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Maccabi Tel Aviv, so a minus line means Maccabi Tel Aviv give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Haifa receive them. At -1, Maccabi Tel Aviv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Tel Aviv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Maccabi Tel Aviv)Actual: Draw
Maccabi Tel Aviv -2
16.6%
@ 4.80-1.6%
Draw -2
17.1%
@ 4.72-1.4%
Maccabi Haifa +2
66.3%
@ 1.38+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
4.40
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.29
Handicap -1 (Maccabi Tel Aviv)Actual: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv -1
33.7%
@ 2.65+0.8%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 3.70-1.9%
Maccabi Haifa +1
44.6%
@ 2.00+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.57
Unibet
2.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Unibet
3.15
Away
Marathonbet
2.12
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.85
Handicap +1 (Maccabi Tel Aviv)Actual: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv +1
78.6%
@ 1.19+2.4%
Draw +1
12.5%
@ 6.53-1.4%
Maccabi Haifa -1
8.9%
@ 9.15-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw
Marathonbet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
Away
Marathonbet
9.30
Bet365
9.00
Handicap +2 (Maccabi Tel Aviv)Actual: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv +2
91.1%
@ 1.06+2.8%
Draw +2
6.1%
@ 13.00-1.1%
Maccabi Haifa -2
2.8%
@ 21.00-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.53
0.79
0.36
1.38
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.39
0.44
1.00
0.12
1.70
0.70
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
1.12
0.50
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.11
0.67
1.50
0.50
0.62
0.88
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.9%
@ 1.22-1.6%
Under 0.5
26.1%
@ 3.77+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.8%
@ 2.09-6.5%
Under 1.5
62.2%
@ 1.66+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
William Hil
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 4.50-5.0%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.17+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.5%
@ 1.54-2.0%
Under
41.5%
@ 2.36+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.54
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.36
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.22
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
22.4%
@ 3.57-3.4%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.25+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.72
Betano
3.60
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.40
Under
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 8.90-3.8%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.8%
@ 2.17-6.0%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.62+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Under
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 6.92-4.2%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.07+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
6.90
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.30
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 18.62-3.7%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
0.79
0.79
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.83
1.50
vs Weaker (18)
1.00
0.56
1.00
0.62
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.06
0.75
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
1.08
1.67
0.83
0.50
1.33
vs Weaker (18)
0.89
0.50
0.70
0.70
1.12
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.5%
@ 1.12-3.1%
Under 0.5
20.5%
@ 5.31+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Under
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
50.5%
@ 1.65-6.0%
Under 1.5
49.5%
@ 2.13+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Under
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.6%
@ 3.00-8.3%
Under 2.5
77.4%
@ 1.34+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.94
Marathonbet
2.94
Under
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.4%
@ 1.36-7.4%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.87+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Under
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.77
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
27.9%
@ 2.64-7.1%
Under
72.1%
@ 1.42+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 6.08-8.3%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.09+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.7%
@ 1.80-4.9%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.91+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.73
Under
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 4.94-5.6%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.14+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 11.25-6.0%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.3%
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.2%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.07
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
87.8%
1.27
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
-
-
+15.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.7%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.9%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.9%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
85.1%
1.15
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.4%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.2%
1.48
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.43
-
+17.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
78.6%
1.18
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.6%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.6%
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
-
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.34
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.2%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.8%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.9%
1.22
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.22
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.1%
1.42
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
70.3%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
-0.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dor Peretz67%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohamed Camara33%
Raz Shlomo33%
Issouf Sissokho33%
Dor Peretz0%
Ester Sokler0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Camara33%
Dor Peretz33%
Roy Revivo33%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dor Peretz33%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Roy Revivo33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Maccabi Haifa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niv Gabay50%
Guy Melamed42%
Trivante Stewart22%
Ethane Azoulay21%
Dolev Haziza18%
Kenji Gorré17%
Đorđe Jovanović17%
Michael Ohana17%
Manuel Benson14%
Ayi Silva Kangani14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Abdoulaye Seck11%
Kenny Saief10%
Navot Ratner9%
Peter Agba6%
Lisav Naif Eissat5%
Jelle Bataille0%
Pierre Cornud0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Suf Podgoreanu0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lior Kasa67%
Lisav Naif Eissat38%
Pierre Cornud33%
Ethane Azoulay33%
Adam Grimberg33%
Yinon Faingezicht19%
Dolev Haziza18%
Peter Agba18%
Kenji Gorré17%
Goni Naor17%
Shon Goldberg17%
Abdoulaye Seck16%
Manuel Benson14%
Kenny Saief14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Ali Mohamed12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Navot Ratner9%
Michael Ohana8%
Georgiy Yermakov8%
Jelle Bataille8%
Guy Melamed5%
Trivante Stewart4%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Elad Amir0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Niv Gabay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Ohana25%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don25%
Niv Gabay25%
Kenji Gorré22%
Navot Ratner18%
Đorđe Jovanović17%
Manuel Benson14%
Pierre Cornud13%
Zohar Zasano12%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Lisav Naif Eissat10%
Dolev Haziza9%
Ayi Silva Kangani9%
Ethane Azoulay8%
Jelle Bataille8%
Guy Melamed5%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Matías Nahuel0%
Kenny Saief0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Trivante Stewart0%
Peter Agba0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethane Azoulay29%
Guy Melamed21%
Manuel Benson14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Michael Ohana8%
Peter Agba6%
Kenji Gorré6%
Kenny Saief5%
Dolev Haziza5%
Ayi Silva Kangani5%
Trivante Stewart4%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Jelle Bataille0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Pierre Cornud0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lisav Naif Eissat0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Navot Ratner0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Niv Gabay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Maccabi Tel Aviv's squad is €8m more valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€35m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Maccabi Tel Aviv's attack is €6m more valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€13m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Maccabi Tel Aviv and Maccabi Haifa have a similar midfield value (both €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Maccabi Tel Aviv's defence is €3m more valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€13m vs €10m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →