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Mantova vs Modena Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 1-3
Mantova
Mantova
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Modena
Modena
Italy: Serie B
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mantova win✗ Miss
38.3%
Avg Implied 33.6% · @ 2.74
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.18
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Modena win✓ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied 37.5% · @ 2.45
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MantovaMantova

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W22D24L30W02L21W00D01L21W01LA·BRE05/04H·SPE13/04A·CRE25/04H·CES01/05A·SAL04/05H·CAR09/05H·CAT13/05A·MON23/08H·PES30/08A·VIR14/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.501.331.131.201.87
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.441.441.431.001.452.00
vs Weaker (2)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ModenaModena

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L21W23L12L22D01L20W11D30WA·PIS05/04H·SAS12/04A·BAR25/04H·REG01/05A·CAR04/05H·BRE09/05H·CES13/05A·SAM25/08H·AVE31/08H·BAR13/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.101.401.071.131.13
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (25)1.361.041.500.921.231.15
vs Weaker (4)0.751.001.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.5%
@ 2.04-2.0%
Under 2.5
56.5%
@ 1.70+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.3%
No
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
Mantova goals ↓
Modena goals →
01234
010%8.9%5.8%2.2%0.6%
110%14%7.4%2.8%0.8%
27.3%8.3%4.7%1.8%0.5%
33.1%3.5%2.0%0.8%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mantova goals (down), columns = Modena goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Venezia
2.16
Frosinone
2.13
Monza
1.98
Palermo
1.88
Catanzaro
1.58
Modena
1.41
Juve Stabia
1.34
Avellino
1.26
Cesena
1.21
Padova
1.21
Mantova
1.21
Sampdoria
1.16
Carrarese
1.16
Virtus Entella
1.11
Empoli
1.08
Sudtirol
1.07
Bari
1.05
Reggiana
0.97
Spezia
0.92
Pescara
0.92
Mantova is 0.20 points worse than Modena in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Venezia
2.03
Frosinone
2.00
Catanzaro
1.63
Monza
1.60
Palermo
1.57
Pescara
1.34
Modena
1.26
Carrarese
1.24
Empoli
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Mantova
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.17
Spezia
1.13
Avellino
1.10
Padova
1.03
Sudtirol
0.95
Bari
0.95
Virtus Entella
0.95
Reggiana
0.95
Sampdoria
0.92
Mantova is 0.07 goals worse than Modena in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Venezia
0.82
Monza
0.88
Frosinone
0.89
Palermo
0.90
Modena
0.95
Juve Stabia
1.20
Sudtirol
1.20
Sampdoria
1.26
Catanzaro
1.28
Padova
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.34
Carrarese
1.37
Empoli
1.42
Cesena
1.47
Reggiana
1.47
Avellino
1.49
Bari
1.50
Mantova
1.50
Spezia
1.55
Pescara
1.74
Mantova is 0.55 goals worse than Modena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.95).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Venezia
64%
Mantova
57%
Catanzaro
54%
Juve Stabia
53%
Monza
52%
Pescara
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Carrarese
51%
Modena
50%
Avellino
50%
Cesena
50%
Frosinone
50%
Palermo
49%
Spezia
48%
Empoli
48%
Padova
48%
Virtus Entella
46%
Bari
46%
Reggiana
41%
Sudtirol
41%
Mantova is 6.7 percentage points better than Modena in terms of average possession (57% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MantovaMantova

For 3.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

110474519532445349131271191086971049A·VIRH·PESA·MONH·CATH·CARH·CESA·CREH·SPEA·BREH·SUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

703423312342242423133663726654A·VIRH·PESA·MONH·CATH·CARA·SALH·CESA·CREH·SPEA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 20.1 · Total 33.3

⚠️ Fouls

4305211524192192017151620121917261221101426394029323631433324A·VIRH·PESA·MONH·CATH·CARA·SALH·CESA·CREH·SPEA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ModenaModena

For 3.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.4

🚩 Corners

11022724512161838611449463691175H·BARH·AVEA·SAMH·CESH·BREA·CARH·REGA·BARH·SASA·PIS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

80122641214143353423233853578755H·BARH·AVEA·SAMH·CESH·BREA·CARH·REGA·BARH·SASA·PIS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.0

⚠️ Fouls

36022121415151712151710162081781310871434293227273625211821H·BARH·AVEA·SAMH·CESH·BREA·CARH·REGA·BARH·SASA·PIS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MantovaMantova

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (41)8.68.19.25.55.65.335.036.833.2
vs Stronger (3)8.36.09.54.03.04.531.730.032.5
vs Similar (34)8.88.49.35.85.95.635.237.732.6
vs Weaker (4)6.76.57.04.04.04.035.532.538.5
% over line40%30%50%85%85%86%98%100%95%
% under line60%70%50%15%15%14%2%0%5%
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ModenaModena

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.18.95.15.44.928.227.029.4
vs Stronger (3)8.06.511.03.03.52.019.020.017.0
vs Similar (41)8.78.58.95.45.85.029.228.030.4
vs Weaker (6)7.25.58.04.33.05.025.522.527.0
% over line36%32%40%82%80%84%86%92%80%
% under line64%68%60%18%20%16%14%8%20%
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Palermo
10.7
Padova
10.3
Empoli
9.8
Venezia
9.7
Virtus Entella
9.6
Juve Stabia
9.5
Carrarese
9.5
Sudtirol
9.4
Avellino
9.4
Spezia
9.3
Bari
9.3
Frosinone
9.2
Pescara
9.1
Catanzaro
8.9
Reggiana
8.8
Sampdoria
8.7
Cesena
8.6
Mantova
8.6
Monza
8.5
Modena
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spezia
5.9
Reggiana
5.6
Mantova
5.5
Sampdoria
5.5
Juve Stabia
5.4
Padova
5.3
Carrarese
5.2
Modena
5.1
Pescara
5.1
Virtus Entella
5.0
Bari
5.0
Cesena
5.0
Frosinone
4.8
Sudtirol
4.7
Palermo
4.7
Catanzaro
4.7
Avellino
4.5
Monza
4.3
Venezia
4.1
Empoli
3.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Spezia
35.1
Mantova
35.0
Juve Stabia
34.0
Avellino
33.3
Padova
31.7
Virtus Entella
31.2
Sampdoria
31.2
Pescara
30.9
Reggiana
30.8
Sudtirol
30.7
Frosinone
30.0
Bari
29.6
Palermo
29.5
Cesena
29.3
Catanzaro
28.8
Empoli
28.7
Carrarese
28.5
Modena
28.2
Monza
28.1
Venezia
26.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
33.0%
Under 9.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.0%
Under 3.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.2%
Under 21.5
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MantovaMantova

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L11D10W01L10W00D00D10W01LA·BRE05/04H·SPE13/04A·CRE25/04H·CES01/05A·SAL04/05H·CAR09/05H·CAT13/05A·MON23/08H·PES30/08A·VIR14/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.600.470.600.93
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.680.640.430.731.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ModenaModena

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L21W21W01L11D00D00D00D10WA·PIS05/04H·SAS12/04A·BAR25/04H·REG01/05A·CAR04/05H·BRE09/05H·CES13/05A·SAM25/08H·AVE31/08H·BAR13/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.670.400.670.53
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (25)0.760.480.830.330.690.62
vs Weaker (4)0.250.250.000.500.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mantova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MantovaMantova

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W13L20W01L11D00D01L11D00DA·BRE05/04H·SPE13/04A·CRE25/04H·CES01/05A·SAL04/05H·CAR09/05H·CAT13/05A·MON23/08H·PES30/08A·VIR14/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.730.670.600.93
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.760.790.570.731.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ModenaModena

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L00D02L11D11D01L20W11D20WA·PIS05/04H·SAS12/04A·BAR25/04H·REG01/05A·CAR04/05H·BRE09/05H·CES13/05A·SAM25/08H·AVE31/08H·BAR13/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.730.670.470.60
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (25)0.600.560.670.580.540.54
vs Weaker (4)0.500.751.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mantova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls99.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls98.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls95.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls90.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners86.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners77.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.577.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards75.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Mantova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Meroni25%
Francesco Ruocco23%
Leonardo Mancuso22%
Davide Bragantini22%
Tommaso Marras20%
Antonio Fiori18%
Davis Mensah10%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia8%
Federico Artioli7%
Rachid Kouda7%
Nicolò Buso6%
Stefano Cella6%
David Wieser4%
Simone Trimboli3%
Marco Festa0%
Francesco Bardi0%
César Falletti0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Žan Majer0%
Francesco Galuppini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Tommaso Maggioni0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Ali Dembélé0%
Nicolò Radaelli0%
Maat Daniel Caprini0%
Alessio Castellini0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristiano Bani44%
Nicolò Radaelli43%
Rachid Kouda33%
Simone Trimboli32%
Ali Dembélé29%
Andrea Meroni25%
Žan Majer25%
Flavio Paoletti24%
Tiago Gonçalves22%
Stefano Cella17%
Alessio Castellini17%
Federico Zuccon17%
Francesco Ruocco15%
David Wieser15%
Federico Artioli14%
Davis Mensah13%
Valerio Mantovani12%
Maat Daniel Caprini12%
Francesco Galuppini11%
Antonio Fiori9%
Davide Bragantini9%
Nicholas Bonfanti8%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia8%
Nicolò Buso6%
Francesco Bardi5%
César Falletti5%
Tommaso Marras3%
Leonardo Mancuso3%
Marco Festa0%
Tommaso Maggioni0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia15%
Nicolò Radaelli14%
Simone Trimboli14%
Nicolò Buso12%
César Falletti10%
Federico Artioli7%
Rachid Kouda7%
Alessio Castellini6%
Davide Bragantini4%
Francesco Ruocco4%
David Wieser4%
Tommaso Marras3%
Davis Mensah3%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Marco Festa0%
Francesco Bardi0%
Leonardo Mancuso0%
Stefano Cella0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Žan Majer0%
Francesco Galuppini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Antonio Fiori0%
Ali Dembélé0%
Maat Daniel Caprini0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tommaso Marras23%
Leonardo Mancuso19%
Nicholas Bonfanti17%
Francesco Ruocco12%
Antonio Fiori9%
Davide Bragantini9%
Federico Artioli7%
Rachid Kouda7%
Maat Daniel Caprini6%
Nicolò Buso6%
Alessio Castellini6%
Simone Trimboli5%
Flavio Paoletti4%
Nicolò Radaelli4%
Andrea Meroni0%
Marco Festa0%
Francesco Bardi0%
César Falletti0%
Stefano Cella0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Žan Majer0%
Davis Mensah0%
Francesco Galuppini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia0%
Tommaso Maggioni0%
David Wieser0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Ali Dembélé0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Modena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ettore Gliozzi29%
Daniel Tonoli14%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Pedro Mendes12%
Francesco Zampano11%
Yanis Massolin10%
Manuel De Luca10%
Alessandro Sersanti8%
Luca Zanimacchia8%
Grégoire Defrel7%
Bryant Nieling6%
Francesco Di Mariano6%
Simone Santoro5%
Davide Adorni3%
Gady Beyuku3%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Fabio Gerli0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Niklas Pyyhtiä0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Steven Nador0%
Antonio Imputato0%
Michele Pezzolato0%
Samuel Wiafe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steven Nador33%
Cristian Cauz25%
Francesco Di Mariano22%
Francesco Zampano22%
Daniel Tonoli22%
Luca Magnino18%
Bryant Nieling17%
Antonio Imputato17%
Gady Beyuku16%
Fabio Gerli15%
Manuel De Luca14%
Matteo Cotali13%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Alessandro Dellavalle13%
Simone Santoro13%
Alessandro Sersanti12%
Niklas Pyyhtiä10%
Yanis Massolin10%
Luca Zanimacchia8%
Grégoire Defrel7%
Davide Adorni7%
Leandro Chichizola3%
Ettore Gliozzi0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Michele Pezzolato0%
Samuel Wiafe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel De Luca14%
Matteo Cotali13%
Luca Magnino12%
Grégoire Defrel11%
Francesco Di Mariano11%
Samuel Wiafe11%
Yanis Massolin10%
Simone Santoro8%
Ettore Gliozzi6%
Luca Zanimacchia5%
Davide Adorni3%
Gady Beyuku3%
Pedro Mendes3%
Bryant Nieling3%
Francesco Zampano3%
Cristian Cauz0%
Fabio Gerli0%
Alessandro Sersanti0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Niklas Pyyhtiä0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Steven Nador0%
Daniel Tonoli0%
Antonio Imputato0%
Michele Pezzolato0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ettore Gliozzi26%
Manuel De Luca14%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Francesco Di Mariano11%
Samuel Wiafe11%
Luca Zanimacchia8%
Simone Santoro8%
Yanis Massolin7%
Gady Beyuku6%
Daniel Tonoli5%
Alessandro Sersanti4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Pedro Mendes3%
Grégoire Defrel0%
Davide Adorni0%
Francesco Zampano0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Fabio Gerli0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Steven Nador0%
Bryant Nieling0%
Antonio Imputato0%
Michele Pezzolato0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
MON (29)
€70m
PAL (27)
€54m
SAM (27)
€37m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
PAD (31)
€25m
MAN (32)
€24m
SUD (27)
€21m
CAT (30)
€21m
EMP (27)
€20m
CAR (22)
€15m
JS (33)
€13m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
REG (27)
€8m
BAR (22)
€8m
Mantova's squad is €6m less valuable than Modena's (€24m vs €31m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PAL (7)
€23m
SAM (7)
€14m
MAN (12)
€12m
CAT (15)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
PAD (9)
€6m
AVE (10)
€6m
CAR (5)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
SUD (5)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Mantova's attack is €4m more valuable than Modena's (€12m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
AVE (6)
€9m
SAM (6)
€7m
PAD (9)
€7m
MAN (10)
€6m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BAR (6)
€3m
CAR (7)
€2m
REG (9)
€2m
CAT (2)
€2m
PES (6)
€1m
Mantova's midfield is €5m less valuable than Modena's (€6m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
PAL (13)
€19m
SAM (14)
€17m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
PAD (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
CAT (13)
€8m
SUD (12)
€8m
CAR (10)
€8m
MAN (10)
€7m
JS (14)
€6m
REG (12)
€4m
EMP (9)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
BAR (10)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Mantova's defence is €6m less valuable than Modena's (€7m vs €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
MAN wins
1
Draws
1
MOD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mantova vs Modena · H/A from MAN
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25AModena Vs MAN3-1
30/11/24HMAN Vs Modena0-0

MantovaMantova

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/25AVirtus Entella Vs MAN1-0
30/08/25HMAN Vs Pescara2-1
23/08/25AMonza Vs MAN1-0
13/05/25HMAN Vs Catanzaro0-0
09/05/25HMAN Vs Carrarese2-1
04/05/25ASalernitana Vs MAN2-0
01/05/25HMAN Vs Cesena3-0
25/04/25ACremonese Vs MAN4-2
13/04/25HMAN Vs Spezia2-2
05/04/25ABrescia Vs MAN1-2

ModenaModena

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25HMOD Vs Bari3-0
31/08/25HMOD Vs Avellino1-1
25/08/25ASampdoria Vs MOD0-2
13/05/25HMOD Vs Cesena0-1
09/05/25HMOD Vs Brescia2-2
04/05/25ACarrarese Vs MOD2-1
01/05/25HMOD Vs Reggiana2-3
25/04/25ABari Vs MOD1-2
12/04/25HMOD Vs Sassuolo1-3
05/04/25APisa Vs MOD1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mantova
Mantova
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.15
HomeDWWDW1.70
AwayWLLLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%45%10%
AVG goals2.632.302.95
Over 1.5 %71%65%76%
Over 2.5 %51%45%57%
Over 3.5 %34%25%43%
Scored1.201.301.10
Conceded1.441.001.86
BTTS56%45%67%
Clean Sheet20%40%0%
Corners8.628.059.20
Cards5.465.605.33
Modena
Modena
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.26
HomeLDLDW1.40
AwayLWWLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.402.522.28
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.221.361.08
Conceded1.181.161.20
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners8.508.128.88
Cards5.145.404.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MonzaMonza4283
57%
2.0
6737+30
2.5
74%
48%
21%
9.1
40%
4.5
63%
27.9
88%
70
2624201.60.9
52%
2VeneziaVenezia3882
63%
2.2
7731+46
2.8
89%
58%
32%
9.2
47%
4.4
71%
30.2
92%
117
3931472.00.8
64%
3FrosinoneFrosinone3881
61%
2.1
7634+42
2.9
84%
61%
37%
10.2
61%
4.9
76%
30.5
97%
84
3427242.00.9
50%
4PalermoPalermo4075
52%
1.9
6336+27
2.5
75%
45%
20%
9.5
50%
5.0
74%
28.3
90%
54
2312191.60.9
49%
5CatanzaroCatanzaro4368
42%
1.6
7055+15
2.9
84%
53%
37%
8.7
42%
4.9
65%
30.4
100%
21
12281.61.3
54%
6ModenaModena3955
38%
1.4
4937+12
2.2
74%
49%
10%
9.3
44%
4.6
66%
29.3
90%
31
711121.30.9
50%
7Juve StabiaJuve Stabia4155
29%
1.3
4849-1
2.4
73%
44%
24%
8.8
29%
5.0
74%
29.5
95%
13
2561.21.2
53%
8AvellinoAvellino3949
33%
1.3
4358-15
2.6
77%
46%
23%
9.3
51%
5.0
69%
30.8
97%
26
69111.11.5
50%
9PadovaPadova3846
32%
1.2
3949-10
2.3
61%
39%
21%
9.8
53%
4.8
74%
28.6
97%
25
67121.01.3
48%
10CesenaCesena3846
32%
1.2
4556-11
2.7
79%
53%
29%
9.4
47%
4.1
58%
25.4
82%
28
105121.21.5
50%
11MantovaMantova3846
34%
1.2
4557-12
2.7
71%
53%
26%
9.8
50%
5.3
82%
32.3
100%
24
12671.21.5
57%
12CarrareseCarrarese3844
26%
1.2
4752-5
2.6
74%
50%
29%
10.5
68%
5.1
71%
28.5
87%
15
5281.21.4
51%
13SampdoriaSampdoria3844
29%
1.2
3548-13
2.2
63%
39%
16%
9.2
39%
4.8
70%
32.2
92%
37
147170.91.3
51%
14SudtirolSudtirol4043
20%
1.1
3848-10
2.1
68%
38%
18%
8.2
30%
4.0
54%
30.8
95%
21
31180.91.2
41%
15Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella3842
26%
1.1
3651-15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.9
63%
4.4
62%
29.5
95%
11
3620.91.3
46%
16BariBari4042
25%
1.1
3860-22
2.5
78%
50%
20%
9.4
50%
4.7
65%
29.0
85%
8
2330.91.5
46%
17EmpoliEmpoli3841
24%
1.1
4754-7
2.7
76%
47%
32%
10.0
55%
4.5
76%
30.4
92%
20
11641.21.4
48%
18ReggianaReggiana3837
24%
1.0
3656-20
2.4
68%
47%
26%
9.4
42%
4.5
66%
29.4
92%
8
1240.91.5
41%
19PescaraPescara3835
18%
0.9
5166-15
3.1
89%
63%
39%
10.5
63%
5.1
76%
31.3
95%
8
4131.31.7
51%
20SpeziaSpezia3835
21%
0.9
4359-16
2.7
76%
45%
29%
9.9
53%
5.4
82%
31.5
100%
11
3441.11.6
48%
Italy: Serie B 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches