Mjallby AIF is expected to win this match, with a slight edge in the recent form of Slovan Bratislava, who are on a 2-game winning run. The overall shape of the match is likely to be a closely contested, low-scoring encounter, with an expected total of 2.7 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5% probability.
Mjallby AIF has a strong home form, scoring 1.82 goals and conceding 1.0 goal on average against weaker opponents. Slovan Bratislava, on the other hand, has an average of 1.82 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded when playing away against weaker opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 54% probability, and the most likely correct score is 1-1, with a 12.5% probability. The model also suggests the selection Over 1.5, with a 75.7% probability and an edge of 2%, and Under 3.5, with a 72.0% probability and an edge of 2%. The probabilities for the match result are Home win (54%), Draw (26%), and Away win (20%).
Results analysis
A stunning upset in the UEFA Champions League saw Slovan Bratislava defeat Mjallby AIF 2-1. The win extends Slovan Bratislava's run of two consecutive victories. The actual result was an away win, defying the pre-match favourite, Mjallby AIF, who had a 54% chance of winning. Unfortunately, the model's selection, a Home win, was incorrect. The model's call was wrong. In contrast, the model's selection of the Over 1.5 goals, with a 75.7% probability, HIT, as the final score was 1-2. The Under 3.5 goals, with a 72% probability, also HIT, as the total goals scored was 3.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Mjallby AIF win✗ Miss
53.9%
Avg Implied 45.6% · @ 2.04
Edge
+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.10
Dafabet
2.09
1xBet
2.08
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.37
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Dafabet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Slovan Bratislava win✓ Hit
19.9%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.47
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.66
Dafabet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.55
Superbet
3.55
Betano
3.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Mjallby AIF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.77
1.62
0.56
1.86
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.59
1.00
1.67
0.44
1.50
1.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.92
0.46
1.57
0.71
2.33
0.17
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Bratislava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.03
1.73
1.13
2.07
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.88
1.20
1.83
1.33
1.92
1.08
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
@ 1.26+2.1%
Under 1.5
24.3%
@ 3.53-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.87-0.6%
Under 2.5
50.1%
@ 1.91+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.90
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Under
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
SBO
1.94
Unibet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
@ 3.09-2.2%
Under 3.5
72.0%
@ 1.34+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Pinnacle
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
@ 1.70-2.7%
No
48.3%
@ 2.03+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.73
888Sport
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
No
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 5.99+5.1%
1-0
10.7%@ 7.14+4.5%
2-0
10.1%@ 9.24+5.4%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.69+4.0%
0-0
8.1%@ 9.47+3.4%
3-0
5.8%@ 16.27+3.1%
3-1
5.5%@ 14.13+2.4%
0-1
5.5%@ 9.60+0.9%
Mjallby AIF goals ↓
Slovan Bratislava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
5.5%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
5.5%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.7%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.8%
5.5%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.5%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mjallby AIF goals (down), columns = Slovan Bratislava goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
European competition: teams are ranked by a cross-league strength score - each side's domestic attack and defence made comparable via the model's fitted league strengths (stronger leagues weighted up). Each side's actual domestic figures are shown below.
🏆 Cross-league strength
0-100 · adjusted for league strength · 67 teams
Arsenal
100
Manchester City
97
Bayern München
90
Manchester United
89
Liverpool
87
Barcelona
86
Aston Villa
86
Inter
84
Real Madrid
84
Como
82
Borussia Dortmund
82
Paris Saint Germain
81
AS Roma
80
Sporting CP
79
FC Porto
79
Villarreal
78
Napoli
77
VfB Stuttgart
76
Atletico Madrid
76
Lens
76
RB Leipzig
76
Real Betis
74
Lille
71
Lyon
70
Union St. Gilloise
70
Viking
70
Bodo/Glimt
67
Club Brugge KV
67
PSV Eindhoven
66
Galatasaray
64
Slavia Praha
62
Fenerbahçe
60
Feyenoord
60
NEC Nijmegen
58
Omonia Nicosia
56
Kauno Žalgiris
56
Dinamo Zagreb
55
Lech Poznan
54
Gornik Zabrze
53
Shakhtar Donetsk
49
Levski Sofia
49
FC Thun
47
Sabah FA
46
Sparta Praha
45
Slovan Bratislava
45
Aarhus
45
Hapoel Beer Sheva
44
Heart Of Midlothian
43
FK Crvena Zvezda
43
Sturm Graz
43
Celtic
42
Lask Linz
41
Olympiakos Piraeus
41
Universitatea Craiova
39
Mjallby AIF
36
Kairat Almaty
30
Vikingur Reykjavik
29
Celje
25
Shamrock Rovers
22
KuPS
21
Ararat-Armenia
19
AEK Athens FC
15
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
11
Larne
10
KI Klaksvik
7
Saburtalo
1
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0
Mjallby AIF is 9 pts weaker cross-league than Slovan Bratislava(36 vs 45 · ranks #55 vs #45 of 67).
Mjallby AIF 1.11 (Sweden: Allsvenskan) · Slovan Bratislava 2.57 (Slovakia: Cup). Domestic-league average points per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Mjallby AIF 1.33 (Sweden: Allsvenskan) · Slovan Bratislava 2.86 (Slovakia: Cup). Domestic-league goals scored per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Mjallby AIF 1.61 (Sweden: Allsvenskan) · Slovan Bratislava 0.71 (Slovakia: Cup). Domestic-league goals conceded per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
⏱️ Possession
Not compared for European ties.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mjallby AIF
For 4.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slovan Bratislava
For 4.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mjallby AIF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.8
9.7
3.1
3.1
3.2
25.5
25.9
25.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
10.4
11.2
9.9
3.3
3.0
3.5
25.5
27.3
24.2
vs Weaker (20)
9.9
10.3
9.3
3.0
3.3
2.6
25.6
24.2
27.3
% over line
55%
65%
45%
46%
52%
40%
76%
85%
68%
% under line
45%
35%
55%
54%
48%
60%
24%
15%
32%
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Bratislava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.6
8.3
2.6
3.1
2.1
26.4
27.9
24.8
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
10.5
12.0
6.7
7.0
6.0
25.7
24.5
28.0
vs Similar (8)
11.0
14.5
8.7
3.0
2.2
3.8
24.8
26.0
24.0
vs Weaker (39)
8.9
9.9
7.8
2.2
2.9
1.7
26.9
28.9
24.7
% over line
48%
71%
23%
36%
48%
26%
78%
79%
77%
% under line
52%
29%
77%
64%
52%
74%
22%
21%
23%
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sabah FA
14.3
Viking
11.6
PSV Eindhoven
11.2
Larne
11.1
Slavia Praha
11.1
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Celtic
10.8
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Bodo/Glimt
10.7
Real Madrid
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Gornik Zabrze
10.5
FC Thun
10.5
RB Leipzig
10.3
Kairat Almaty
10.3
Lask Linz
10.3
Liverpool
10.3
Mjallby AIF
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
Slovan Bratislava
10.2
Lens
10.2
Lyon
10.2
Lech Poznan
10.2
Sporting CP
10.2
Omonia Nicosia
10.1
KI Klaksvik
10.0
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
KuPS
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
Dinamo Zagreb
9.8
Bayern München
9.7
Lille
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Levski Sofia
9.6
Sturm Graz
9.6
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
9.5
Aston Villa
9.5
Aarhus
9.4
Sparta Praha
9.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Paris Saint Germain
9.3
Inter
9.2
Celje
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.2
Saburtalo
9.2
Real Betis
9.1
Universitatea Craiova
9.1
Galatasaray
9.1
Borussia Dortmund
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Villarreal
9.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
AEK Athens FC
8.8
Ararat-Armenia
8.8
FC Porto
8.7
AS Roma
8.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Shamrock Rovers
8.4
Napoli
8.4
Vikingur Reykjavik
8.4
Lincoln Red Imps FC
8.1
Kauno Žalgiris
7.8
Como
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sabah FA
6.4
Fenerbahçe
6.1
Ararat-Armenia
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
FC Porto
5.4
Saburtalo
5.4
Sporting CP
5.2
Sparta Praha
5.1
FC Thun
5.1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
Sturm Graz
5.0
Vikingur Reykjavik
4.9
Slovan Bratislava
4.9
Lyon
4.9
Real Madrid
4.9
Celje
4.8
Real Betis
4.8
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Larne
4.8
Como
4.7
Lincoln Red Imps FC
4.7
Levski Sofia
4.7
Galatasaray
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.5
Slavia Praha
4.5
Lens
4.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Barcelona
4.4
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Viking
4.4
Lille
4.3
KI Klaksvik
4.3
AS Roma
4.3
Villarreal
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Dinamo Zagreb
4.2
Atletico Madrid
4.1
NEC Nijmegen
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
Kairat Almaty
4.0
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Celtic
3.9
Aarhus
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Lask Linz
3.9
Feyenoord
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Lech Poznan
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
Borussia Dortmund
3.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
Kauno Žalgiris
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Napoli
3.5
RB Leipzig
3.5
Inter
3.4
KuPS
3.3
Paris Saint Germain
3.1
Bodo/Glimt
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sabah FA
36.0
AEK Athens FC
29.6
AS Roma
28.3
FC Thun
28.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Sporting CP
26.3
Como
26.3
FC Porto
26.3
Kairat Almaty
26.3
Fenerbahçe
26.1
Slavia Praha
26.0
Vikingur Reykjavik
25.9
Lyon
25.6
Mjallby AIF
25.5
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
Slovan Bratislava
25.4
Ararat-Armenia
25.0
Lens
25.0
Viking
24.7
Celje
24.7
Levski Sofia
24.7
Universitatea Craiova
24.6
Villarreal
24.4
Omonia Nicosia
24.4
Inter
24.1
Real Madrid
24.0
Sparta Praha
24.0
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Lille
23.9
Galatasaray
23.8
Heart Of Midlothian
23.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Real Betis
23.7
Lincoln Red Imps FC
23.7
Sturm Graz
23.7
Aarhus
23.6
Dinamo Zagreb
23.6
Napoli
23.5
NEC Nijmegen
23.4
Larne
23.3
Lech Poznan
23.3
Feyenoord
23.0
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Gornik Zabrze
22.5
Shamrock Rovers
22.2
Borussia Dortmund
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Kauno Žalgiris
22.0
Manchester United
21.9
Barcelona
21.8
KuPS
21.7
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
Celtic
21.3
Manchester City
21.3
Liverpool
21.0
Atletico Madrid
20.7
Lask Linz
20.6
Club Brugge KV
19.9
RB Leipzig
19.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Paris Saint Germain
19.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.2
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
Bayern München
18.3
KI Klaksvik
17.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
12.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.4%
@ 1.94+0.4%
Under 9.5
51.6%
@ 1.78-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Under
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.79
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.5%
@ 1.65+4.3%
Under 3.5
39.5%
@ 2.12-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.50
Under
Superbet
2.30
Betano
1.93
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
60.2%
Under 21.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mjallby AIF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.30
0.81
0.25
0.79
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.35
0.89
0.11
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.23
0.71
0.43
1.17
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Bratislava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
0.67
0.40
1.07
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.92
0.48
0.83
0.42
1.00
0.54
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mjallby AIF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.47
0.81
0.31
1.07
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.65
0.78
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.23
0.86
0.29
1.17
0.17
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovan Bratislava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slovan Bratislava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.60
1.07
0.73
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.72
1.00
0.92
0.92
0.54
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovan Bratislava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
79.0%
1.22
Superbet
1.22
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
-
Over 1.5
75.7%
1.26
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
75.3%
1.30
Superbet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+6.2%
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.8%
1.27
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+3.1%
-
Under 3.5
72.0%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
+2.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mjallby AIF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Stroud30%
J. Bergström28%
A. Manneh18%
A. Youssef17%
J. Kjær17%
Ludwig Thorell11%
T. Pettersson9%
Olle Lindberg9%
Á. Samuelsen8%
Villiam Granath6%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Gustavsson0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Abdullah Iqbal0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Ludvig Tidstrand0%
T. Helge0%
M. Nielsen0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tony Miettinen40%
T. Pettersson36%
Viktor Gustafson29%
J. Kjær25%
Martin Agnarsson25%
T. Helge25%
Abdullah Iqbal20%
J. Gustavsson18%
Á. Samuelsen17%
Axel Norén13%
J. Bergström11%
Romeo Leandersson8%
Ludvig Tidstrand7%
Villiam Granath6%
A. Youssef0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Elliot Stroud0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
M. Nielsen0%
A. Manneh0%
Olle Lindberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Manneh27%
Ludwig Thorell22%
M. Nielsen18%
J. Gustavsson12%
Villiam Granath12%
Elliot Stroud10%
Olle Lindberg9%
J. Kjær8%
Á. Samuelsen8%
Tony Miettinen7%
Abdullah Iqbal7%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Bergström0%
A. Youssef0%
T. Pettersson0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Ludvig Tidstrand0%
T. Helge0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Manneh45%
J. Bergström33%
Á. Samuelsen25%
Villiam Granath12%
Ludwig Thorell11%
Elliot Stroud10%
T. Pettersson9%
J. Kjær8%
Ludvig Tidstrand7%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Gustavsson0%
A. Youssef0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Abdullah Iqbal0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
T. Helge0%
M. Nielsen0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
Olle Lindberg0%
Slovan Bratislava · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andraž Šporar55%
Tigran Barseghyan28%
Mykola Kukharevych25%
Marko Tolić22%
Nino Marcelli17%
Kelvin Ofori17%
Guram Kashia13%
Vladimír Weiss11%
Svetozar Marković10%
Rahim Ibrahim10%
Róbert Mak8%
César Blackman8%
Alasana Yirajang6%
Artur Gajdoš6%
Danylo Ignatenko5%
Dominik Takáč0%
Peter Pokorný0%
Niko Janković0%
Kevin Wimmer0%
Matsuoka Daiki0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Kenan Bajrić0%
Kyriakos Savvidis0%
Alen Mustafić0%
Martin Trnovský0%
Filip Lichý0%
Adam Griger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Tolić67%
Vladimír Weiss42%
César Blackman29%
Kenan Bajrić29%
Rahim Ibrahim24%
Danylo Ignatenko20%
Andraž Šporar18%
Nino Marcelli17%
Peter Pokorný13%
Róbert Mak12%
Kevin Wimmer12%
Alen Mustafić12%
Tigran Barseghyan11%
Artur Gajdoš11%
Niko Janković10%
Svetozar Marković10%
Sandro Cruz9%
Guram Kashia7%
Dominik Takáč6%
Matsuoka Daiki0%
Kyriakos Savvidis0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Martin Trnovský0%
Filip Lichý0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Adam Griger0%
Alasana Yirajang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andraž Šporar55%
Marko Tolić22%
Tigran Barseghyan22%
Nino Marcelli22%
Sandro Cruz14%
César Blackman12%
Kevin Wimmer12%
Artur Gajdoš11%
Vladimír Weiss11%
Kyriakos Savvidis8%
Peter Pokorný7%
Guram Kashia7%
Alasana Yirajang6%
Róbert Mak4%
Dominik Takáč0%
Niko Janković0%
Matsuoka Daiki0%
Svetozar Marković0%
Kenan Bajrić0%
Alen Mustafić0%
Danylo Ignatenko0%
Kelvin Ofori0%
Martin Trnovský0%
Rahim Ibrahim0%
Filip Lichý0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Adam Griger0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andraž Šporar36%
Kelvin Ofori33%
Tigran Barseghyan28%
Nino Marcelli17%
Mykola Kukharevych12%
Marko Tolić11%
Artur Gajdoš11%
Danylo Ignatenko10%
Peter Pokorný7%
Alasana Yirajang6%
Róbert Mak4%
Dominik Takáč0%
César Blackman0%
Niko Janković0%
Kevin Wimmer0%
Matsuoka Daiki0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Vladimír Weiss0%
Svetozar Marković0%
Guram Kashia0%
Kenan Bajrić0%
Kyriakos Savvidis0%
Alen Mustafić0%
Martin Trnovský0%
Rahim Ibrahim0%
Filip Lichý0%
Adam Griger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
RM (27)
€1456m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
BAR (30)
€1282m
BM (29)
€1076m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
INT (25)
€694m
AM (25)
€653m
AVL (27)
€536m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
FP (30)
€467m
NAP (33)
€459m
VS (54)
€430m
SC (31)
€414m
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
VIL (24)
€325m
LIL (27)
€312m
LYO (32)
€293m
PE (29)
€280m
RB (25)
€235m
FEY (30)
€229m
CBK (27)
€196m
LEN (27)
€187m
SD (33)
€186m
OP (29)
€175m
SP (38)
€123m
CEL (27)
€116m
FCZ (32)
€115m
USG (26)
€98m
SP (35)
€92m
AAF (26)
€85m
BOD (24)
€75m
DZ (34)
€66m
LP (25)
€58m
NN (29)
€54m
SG (26)
€52m
VIK (27)
€47m
LL (22)
€44m
LS (27)
€38m
UC (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SB (28)
€35m
GZ (27)
€29m
MA (24)
€26m
HOM (30)
€22m
HBS (26)
€20m
SF (24)
€17m
FT (25)
€17m
ON (23)
€15m
CEL (31)
€14m
KŽ (27)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
ARA (26)
€8m
KUP (30)
€7m
SR (31)
€7m
ER (24)
€7m
SAB (22)
€6m
VR (26)
€5m
LAR (23)
€4m
KK (28)
€3m
LRI (25)
€2m
Mjallby AIF's squad is €9m less valuable than Slovan Bratislava's (€26m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
PSG (10)
€638m
MC (9)
€635m
ARS (13)
€608m
BAR (10)
€590m
BM (10)
€554m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
AM (9)
€290m
COM (13)
€261m
AVL (10)
€220m
INT (5)
€220m
FP (11)
€214m
RL (12)
€212m
NAP (12)
€206m
VS (19)
€193m
GAL (9)
€173m
BD (8)
€170m
FEN (14)
€162m
SC (9)
€146m
AR (6)
€138m
LIL (13)
€133m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
LYO (9)
€122m
SD (16)
€115m
PE (11)
€106m
FEY (11)
€93m
CBK (10)
€92m
OP (12)
€84m
FCZ (13)
€62m
CEL (11)
€56m
LEN (8)
€52m
AAF (11)
€44m
SP (14)
€43m
DZ (15)
€33m
USG (10)
€32m
SP (10)
€27m
SG (11)
€26m
NN (11)
€22m
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
SB (12)
€15m
UC (10)
€14m
AAR (10)
€14m
LL (5)
€13m
HOM (12)
€12m
LS (10)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
ON (9)
€7m
CEL (12)
€7m
MA (9)
€7m
SF (7)
€5m
FT (7)
€4m
KŽ (11)
€4m
KA (9)
€4m
SR (14)
€3m
ARA (9)
€3m
VR (12)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
KUP (9)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAR (6)
€1m
KK (9)
€1m
LRI (11)
€1m
Mjallby AIF's attack is €9m less valuable than Slovan Bratislava's (€7m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
BAR (8)
€324m
ARS (4)
€290m
RM (5)
€238m
MU (7)
€236m
INT (10)
€232m
LIV (6)
€201m
BM (6)
€187m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
AM (6)
€155m
BD (7)
€146m
AR (5)
€118m
RL (6)
€109m
FP (6)
€105m
LIL (4)
€102m
NAP (7)
€101m
VS (10)
€92m
SC (9)
€91m
COM (7)
€83m
LYO (8)
€82m
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
PE (5)
€60m
VIL (4)
€52m
OP (6)
€47m
FEY (4)
€43m
USG (7)
€38m
SP (8)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
SP (10)
€27m
BOD (7)
€27m
LEN (5)
€24m
CBK (5)
€23m
FCZ (6)
€21m
CEL (5)
€20m
SD (4)
€19m
AAF (5)
€16m
AAR (10)
€14m
SG (4)
€14m
VIK (5)
€12m
LL (6)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
UC (6)
€10m
LP (3)
€9m
LS (5)
€8m
SB (6)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NN (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
HBS (3)
€5m
HOM (6)
€4m
ON (4)
€3m
KUP (9)
€3m
KA (5)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
SR (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
CEL (4)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LAR (7)
€1m
LRI (4)
€0m
Mjallby AIF's midfield is €4m more valuable than Slovan Bratislava's (€11m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
ARS (12)
€508m
PSG (11)
€409m
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
BM (13)
€336m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
BD (14)
€214m
AM (10)
€208m
RL (13)
€185m
SC (13)
€176m
AVL (11)
€156m
NAP (14)
€152m
VIL (12)
€148m
FP (13)
€148m
VS (25)
€145m
COM (14)
€144m
PE (13)
€115m
LEN (14)
€112m
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
FEY (15)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
CBK (12)
€81m
LIL (10)
€76m
RB (10)
€70m
SP (20)
€61m
SD (13)
€52m
OP (11)
€44m
CEL (11)
€41m
FCZ (13)
€33m
DZ (17)
€30m
LP (12)
€28m
USG (9)
€28m
BOD (10)
€26m
NN (13)
€26m
AAF (10)
€26m
SP (11)
€22m
LL (11)
€20m
LS (12)
€19m
VIK (12)
€15m
UC (9)
€13m
SB (10)
€13m
SG (11)
€13m
MA (9)
€8m
AAR (8)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
SF (10)
€7m
GZ (10)
€6m
CEL (15)
€6m
HOM (12)
€6m
HBS (10)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
KŽ (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
ER (13)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
SR (10)
€2m
VR (10)
€2m
LAR (10)
€2m
KK (11)
€1m
LRI (10)
€1m
Mjallby AIF's defence is €5m less valuable than Slovan Bratislava's (€8m vs €13m).
World: UEFA Champions League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full World: UEFA Champions League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Fenerbahçe
Levski Sofia
Sabah FA
Bodo/Glimt
Dinamo Zagreb
Celje
FK Crvena Zvezda
Aarhus
AEK Athens FC
Viking
Lyon
Kauno Žalgiris
Shamrock Rovers
Lask Linz
Celtic
Omonia Nicosia
Vikingur Reykjavik
Sturm Graz
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
Kairat Almaty
Union St. Gilloise
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
FC Thun
Gornik Zabrze
Saburtalo
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Universitatea Craiova
KI Klaksvik
Inter
FC Porto
Lille
Real Madrid
Slavia Praha
Como
Galatasaray
Barcelona
Paris Saint Germain
Feyenoord
Borussia Dortmund
Lens
Aston Villa
PSV Eindhoven
Club Brugge KV
Napoli
RB Leipzig
Shakhtar Donetsk
Villarreal
Real Betis
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern München
Liverpool
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Arsenal
Sporting CP
AS Roma
Manchester United
Heart Of Midlothian
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Larne