PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Nacional vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: 29/11/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 1-2
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
6%
15%
79%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✗ Miss
6.5%
Avg Implied 11.6% · @ 8.03
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.84
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Benfica win✓ Hit
78.8%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.34
Edge
+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L12L10W32W31W11D01L11D24LA·CAS30/08A·FC 13/09H·ARO20/09A·SC 28/09H·MOR04/10A·REB18/10A·EST26/10H·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.571.431.930.941.25
vs Stronger (11)0.642.001.002.000.432.00
vs Similar (18)1.391.331.601.901.120.62
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D20W03L50W30W01L22D20W20WA·CHE30/09A·FC 05/10A·CHA17/10A·NEW21/10H·ARO25/10A·GUI01/11H·BAY05/11H·CAS09/11A·ATL21/11A·AJA25/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.672.200.871.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.620.500.750.750.500.25
vs Weaker (22)2.320.732.730.911.910.55
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%010%120%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.2%
@ 1.67+9.7%
Under 2.5
34.8%
@ 2.08-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.5%
0-3
11.1%
0-1
8.7%
1-2 ✓
8.5%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
1-4
5.1%
Nacional goals ↓
Benfica goals →
01234
04.1%8.7%12%11%7.4%
11.8%7.0%8.5%7.6%5.1%
20.8%2.2%2.9%2.6%1.7%
30.2%0.5%0.7%0.6%0.4%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Benfica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Nacional is 1.35 points worse than Benfica in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Nacional is 1.09 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 2.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Nacional is 0.59 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 0.74).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Nacional is 11.7 percentage points worse than Benfica in terms of average possession (46% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 3.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

1606231056243635553231366813116981051612A·ESTH·FAMA·ESTH·MORA·SC H·AROA·FC A·CASH·SPOA·RIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.1

🟨 Cards

110435633142334232425271165266567A·ESTH·FAMA·ESTH·MORA·SC H·AROA·FC A·CASH·SPOA·RIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 26.9

⚠️ Fouls

35015121518151312167410181462213187181627332828112820352534A·ESTH·FAMA·ESTH·MORA·SC H·AROA·FC A·CASH·SPOA·RIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BenficaBenfica

For 5.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

200410626639181244335371486910208687A·AJAH·CASH·BAYA·GUIH·AROA·NEWA·CHAA·FC A·CHEH·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

1001132234422112226553525584248108A·AJAH·CASH·BAYA·GUIH·AROA·NEWA·CHAA·FC A·CHEH·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

34081588791112131871610106151413142023161623312320212734A·AJAH·CASH·BAYA·GUIH·AROA·NEWA·CHAA·FC A·CHEH·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.310.45.05.94.327.427.527.3
vs Stronger (17)10.511.29.84.96.53.624.925.524.4
vs Similar (32)10.39.710.85.25.54.928.828.728.9
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line53%50%57%66%78%56%84%82%87%
% under line47%50%43%34%22%44%16%18%13%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.39.14.44.04.824.623.825.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)8.68.48.85.75.95.524.225.623.0
vs Weaker (35)10.211.29.33.93.24.624.822.926.7
% over line40%50%30%62%58%65%73%64%83%
% under line60%50%70%38%42%35%27%36%17%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torreense
10.8
Famalicao
10.4
Nacional
10.4
Rio Ave
10.2
Arouca
10.1
Guimaraes
9.9
Benfica
9.6
Estrela
9.6
Sporting CP
9.4
Casa Pia
9.3
Tondela
9.2
FC Porto
9.1
SC Braga
9.0
Estoril
8.9
AVS
8.8
GIL Vicente
8.6
Moreirense
8.3
Santa Clara
8.2
Alverca
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.4
FC Porto
6.0
Sporting CP
5.8
Famalicao
5.7
Casa Pia
5.7
Torreense
5.5
Arouca
5.5
Guimaraes
5.4
Estrela
5.3
AVS
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Nacional
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
Tondela
5.0
Benfica
5.0
GIL Vicente
4.9
Alverca
4.8
SC Braga
4.7
Estoril
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.2
Estrela
30.7
Santa Clara
29.9
Moreirense
29.7
Estoril
28.4
Rio Ave
28.2
Guimaraes
28.1
GIL Vicente
27.7
Casa Pia
27.7
Arouca
27.6
AVS
27.5
Nacional
27.4
FC Porto
26.6
Sporting CP
26.4
SC Braga
25.9
Benfica
24.4
Tondela
20.2
Alverca
15.5
Torreense
10.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.2%
Under 9.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.8%
Under 3.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
88.4%
Under 21.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D10W11D30W10W01L10W03LA·CAS30/08A·FC 13/09H·ARO20/09A·SC 28/09H·MOR04/10A·REB18/10A·EST26/10H·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.640.930.560.69
vs Stronger (11)0.271.000.500.500.141.29
vs Similar (18)0.670.720.701.100.620.25
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W01L30W00D00D10W00D10WA·CHE30/09A·FC 05/10A·CHA17/10A·NEW21/10H·ARO25/10A·GUI01/11H·BAY05/11H·CAS09/11A·ATL21/11A·AJA25/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.201.200.200.530.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.250.250.250.250.250.25
vs Weaker (22)1.090.181.550.180.640.18
Clean sheet %80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D12L00D21W01L01L00D01L21WA·CAS30/08A·FC 13/09H·ARO20/09A·SC 28/09H·MOR04/10A·REB18/10A·EST26/10H·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.791.000.380.56
vs Stronger (11)0.361.000.501.500.290.71
vs Similar (18)0.720.610.900.800.500.38
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W02L20W30W01L12L20W10WA·CHE30/09A·FC 05/10A·CHA17/10A·NEW21/10H·ARO25/10A·GUI01/11H·BAY05/11H·CAS09/11A·ATL21/11A·AJA25/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.000.671.000.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.250.500.500.250.00
vs Weaker (22)1.230.551.180.731.270.36
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards94.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls88.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards85.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.585.4%-------✓ Hit
Away win78.8%1.34-----+9.6%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls78.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners73.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards72.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez42%
Ze Vitor13%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Léo Santos10%
Gabriel Veron8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Filipe Soares6%
Alan Núñez5%
Witiness Quembo4%
José Gomes4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Matheus Dias0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ulisses60%
Léo Santos39%
Lenny Vallier36%
Ze Vitor27%
Chiheb Labidi25%
Deivison Souza Brito25%
Matheus Dias23%
Liziero21%
Francisco Gonçalves20%
Paulinho Bóia18%
Jesús Ramírez18%
Daniel Júnior18%
Lucas França17%
Filipe Soares17%
Motez Nourani17%
Gabriel Veron15%
João Aurélio14%
Martim Gustavo Watts14%
Pablo Ruan13%
Witiness Quembo12%
José Gomes11%
Kaique11%
Alan Núñez10%
André Sousa8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Joel Silva6%
Lucas João5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
José Gomes19%
André Sousa17%
Liziero14%
Alan Núñez10%
Léo Santos6%
Paulinho Bóia6%
Daniel Júnior6%
Lucas João5%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Ze Vitor3%
Matheus Dias3%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
Ulisses0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Kaique0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez48%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Miguel Baeza7%
Ze Vitor7%
Pablo Ruan4%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
José Gomes0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Matheus Dias0%
Alan Núñez0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Benfica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis37%
Rafa Silva33%
Anísio Cabral33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu25%
Alexander Bah22%
Andreas Schjelderup22%
Franjo Ivanović18%
Richard Ríos17%
Florentino Luís17%
Georgiy Sudakov12%
Leandro Barreiro11%
Sidny Lopes Cabral9%
Fredrik Aursnes9%
João Rêgo8%
Gianluca Prestianni8%
Enzo Barrenechea5%
Nicolás Otamendi4%
Samuel Dahl4%
Tomás Araújo3%
Amar Dedić2%
Anatoliy Trubin2%
Bruma0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manu Silva0%
António Silva0%
João Veloso0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
José Neto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Richard Ríos34%
Gianluca Prestianni29%
Enzo Barrenechea25%
Samuel Soares25%
Nicolás Otamendi22%
Alexander Bah22%
António Silva21%
Tomás Araújo17%
Florentino Luís17%
Amar Dedić15%
Dodi Lukebakio14%
Samuel Dahl10%
Sidny Lopes Cabral9%
Georgiy Sudakov9%
Leandro Barreiro9%
João Rêgo8%
Vangelis Pavlidis8%
Andreas Schjelderup7%
Fredrik Aursnes7%
Anatoliy Trubin4%
Franjo Ivanović3%
Rafa Silva0%
Bruma0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Manu Silva0%
João Veloso0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral18%
Andreas Schjelderup15%
Dodi Lukebakio14%
Leandro Barreiro13%
Georgiy Sudakov12%
Fredrik Aursnes11%
Gianluca Prestianni11%
Amar Dedić10%
Richard Ríos10%
Vangelis Pavlidis8%
Tomás Araújo6%
António Silva5%
Samuel Dahl4%
Franjo Ivanović3%
Rafa Silva0%
Florentino Luís0%
Nicolás Otamendi0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Bruma0%
Alexander Bah0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manu Silva0%
João Veloso0%
João Rêgo0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis37%
Daniel Banjaqui33%
Dodi Lukebakio23%
Rafa Silva22%
Richard Ríos20%
Gianluca Prestianni13%
Franjo Ivanović13%
Sidny Lopes Cabral9%
Georgiy Sudakov9%
Nicolás Otamendi7%
Andreas Schjelderup5%
António Silva3%
Enzo Barrenechea2%
Fredrik Aursnes2%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Florentino Luís0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Bruma0%
Amar Dedić0%
Alexander Bah0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manu Silva0%
João Veloso0%
João Rêgo0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €337m less valuable than Benfica's (€20m vs €357m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Nacional's attack is €166m less valuable than Benfica's (€6m vs €172m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Nacional's midfield is €72m less valuable than Benfica's (€5m vs €77m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €99m less valuable than Benfica's (€9m vs €108m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
NAC wins
1
Draws
7
BEN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Benfica · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25ABenfica Vs NAC3-0
19/12/24HNAC Vs Benfica0-2
11/05/21HNAC Vs Benfica1-3
25/01/21ABenfica Vs NAC1-1
10/02/19ABenfica Vs NAC10-0
02/09/18HNAC Vs Benfica0-4
05/02/17ABenfica Vs NAC3-0
27/08/16HNAC Vs Benfica1-3

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/25ASC Braga Vs NAC4-2
09/11/25AEstrela Vs NAC1-1
01/11/25HNAC Vs Famalicao0-1
26/10/25AEstoril Vs NAC1-1
18/10/25ARebordelo Vs NAC1-3
04/10/25HNAC Vs Moreirense3-2
28/09/25ASC Braga Vs NAC0-1
20/09/25HNAC Vs Arouca1-2
13/09/25AFC Porto Vs NAC1-0
30/08/25ACasa Pia Vs NAC0-2

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/25AAjax Vs BEN0-2
21/11/25AAtlético CP Vs BEN0-2
09/11/25HBEN Vs Casa Pia2-2
05/11/25HBEN Vs Bayer Leverkusen0-1
01/11/25AGuimaraes Vs BEN0-3
25/10/25HBEN Vs Arouca5-0
21/10/25ANewcastle Vs BEN3-0
17/10/25AChaves Vs BEN0-2
05/10/25AFC Porto Vs BEN0-0
30/09/25AChelsea Vs BEN1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.10
HomeLLLWL1.30
AwayWWDDL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%39%22%
AVG goals2.562.962.22
Over 1.5 %74%83%67%
Over 2.5 %44%57%33%
Over 3.5 %22%30%15%
Scored1.081.300.89
Conceded1.481.651.33
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet22%26%19%
Corners10.3610.2710.43
Cards5.325.874.79
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW2.12
HomeDWWLD1.92
AwayWLWWW2.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%54%73%
AVG goals3.043.462.65
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %36%46%27%
Scored2.142.381.92
Conceded0.901.080.73
BTTS42%50%35%
Clean Sheet50%42%58%
Corners9.6910.329.09
Cards5.024.525.48

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches