Nacional are favoured to win, with a 57% chance of taking the points while the draw sits at 27% and Estrela’s odds of triumph are 16%. The model projects an average of 2.4 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single scoreline deemed most probable is 1-0 for the home side, a 13.7% chance. At home Nacional have been prolific, scoring 1.78 and conceding only 0.67 against similar opposition, whereas Estrela, on the road, have struggled to find the net, netting 0.5 and giving up 1.12. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (96.4%), Over 21.5 fouls (91.6%), Over 2.5 cards (88.5%), Over 23.5 fouls (83.5%), Under 3.5 (77.9%), Over 25.5 fouls (71.9%) and Under 11.5 corners (73.1%). The model also flags Over 3.5 cards (75.1%) as a miss.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Estrela snatched a 1-0 away win, extending their unbeaten run and snubbing Nacional’s home advantage. The model had picked a home win with a 57% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away victory. The model’s other selections were mixed: “Over 19.5 fouls” hit at 96.4%, “Over 21.5 fouls” hit at 91.6%, “Over 2.5 cards” hit at 88.5%, “Over 23.5 fouls” hit at 83.5%, “Under 3.5” hit at 77.9%, “Over 25.5 fouls” hit at 71.9%. The “Over 3.5 cards” and “Under 11.5 corners” missed, with probabilities of 75.1% and 73.1% respectively.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nacional win✗ Miss
56.9%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.09
Edge
+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.18
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estrela win✓ Hit
16.3%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.72
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nacional
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.37
1.50
1.29
0.69
1.44
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
2.00
1.00
2.40
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.05
1.78
0.67
0.82
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estrela
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.63
1.13
1.47
0.40
1.80
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
2.50
0.80
2.40
0.29
2.57
vs Similar (18)
0.94
1.06
1.30
1.00
0.50
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.9%
@ 2.35+2.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
@ 1.57-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.2%
No
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.6%
0-1 ✓
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
Nacional goals ↓
Estrela goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
5.8%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
1
14%
13%
4.4%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.3%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
6.6%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Estrela goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Nacional is 0.15 points better than Estrela in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.85).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Nacional is 0.24 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Nacional and Estrela are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Nacional is 2.7 percentage points better than Estrela in terms of average possession (47% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nacional
For 3.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 14.9 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Estrela
For 2.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 16.3 · Total 32.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nacional
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
9.8
11.5
4.8
5.1
4.5
28.1
26.9
29.1
vs Stronger (14)
10.2
10.4
10.1
4.4
4.7
4.1
25.7
23.6
27.1
vs Similar (35)
11.0
9.6
12.1
4.9
5.3
4.7
29.2
28.3
30.0
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
9.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
57%
50%
62%
64%
74%
56%
84%
80%
87%
% under line
43%
50%
38%
36%
26%
44%
16%
20%
13%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estrela
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.7
10.9
4.5
4.6
4.3
28.7
28.8
28.5
vs Stronger (18)
10.5
7.9
12.4
4.4
5.1
3.9
28.8
29.3
28.4
vs Similar (32)
10.1
10.4
9.8
4.5
4.4
4.6
28.6
28.6
28.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
50%
62%
70%
75%
65%
88%
83%
92%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
30%
25%
35%
12%
17%
8%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Farense
11.2
Nacional
10.7
SC Braga
10.5
Guimaraes
10.5
Benfica
10.3
Estrela
10.1
Rio Ave
10.1
Vizela
10.0
Famalicao
9.8
Arouca
9.7
Sporting CP
9.6
FC Porto
9.6
AVS
9.4
Estoril
9.3
Casa Pia
9.3
Boavista
9.3
GIL Vicente
9.1
Moreirense
8.7
Santa Clara
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Porto
6.0
Santa Clara
6.0
Boavista
5.8
Guimaraes
5.7
Famalicao
5.5
AVS
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
SC Braga
5.0
Arouca
5.0
Farense
4.9
Nacional
4.9
Vizela
4.9
Sporting CP
4.8
Estoril
4.7
Benfica
4.7
Estrela
4.7
Casa Pia
4.7
Moreirense
4.6
GIL Vicente
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.0
Santa Clara
28.9
Moreirense
28.8
Estrela
28.7
Nacional
28.2
Guimaraes
28.2
Rio Ave
28.0
Estoril
27.7
AVS
27.5
Boavista
27.5
Farense
27.0
FC Porto
26.9
GIL Vicente
26.7
Arouca
26.4
Casa Pia
25.9
SC Braga
25.2
Sporting CP
24.8
Benfica
22.3
Vizela
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.3%
Under 9.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
75.1%
Under 3.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.6%
Under 21.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nacional
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
1.07
0.43
0.19
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.70
0.80
0.40
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.60
1.22
0.44
0.18
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estrela
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.83
0.47
0.73
0.20
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.17
0.40
1.00
0.14
1.29
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.61
0.50
0.60
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nacional
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.30
0.20
2.00
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.45
0.56
0.22
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Estrela
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.67
0.73
0.20
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.33
0.40
1.40
0.14
1.29
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.44
0.80
0.40
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Baeza20%
Joel Tagueu14%
Dudu13%
Daniel Penha13%
Bruno Costa11%
Isaac11%
Nigel Thomas10%
André Sousa8%
Fuki Yamada8%
Rúben Macedo7%
José Gomes7%
João Aurélio7%
Paulinho Bóia7%
Ulisses7%
Léo Santos6%
Ze Vitor6%
Chiheb Labidi6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Dyego Sousa0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Lucas França0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Luís Esteves0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Djibril Soumaré35%
Ze Vitor34%
Nigel Thomas30%
Matheus Dias26%
André Sousa23%
Léo Santos19%
Adrián Butzke18%
Lucas França18%
Luís Esteves18%
Chiheb Labidi17%
Ulisses17%
Gustavo García15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Tiago Reis12%
Arvin Appiah12%
Isaac11%
José Gomes10%
Fuki Yamada8%
Joel Tagueu7%
João Aurélio7%
Daniel Penha6%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Rúben Macedo0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Dudu0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fuki Yamada15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Luís Esteves12%
Adrián Butzke9%
Gustavo García9%
Dudu9%
João Aurélio7%
Bruno Costa6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Matheus Dias4%
Rúben Macedo4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Daniel Penha3%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Ulisses0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Ze Vitor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Reis25%
Luís Esteves24%
Adrián Butzke18%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Daniel Penha13%
Dudu9%
Rúben Macedo7%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Ulisses3%
Ze Vitor3%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
João Aurélio0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Fuki Yamada0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho15%
Nani11%
Tiago Gabriel9%
André Luiz8%
Jovane Cabral8%
Chico Banza8%
Leonel Bucca6%
Diogo Travassos4%
Paulo Moreira4%
Alan Ruiz4%
Léo Cordeiro4%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rúben Lima0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
João Costa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Manu0%
Caio Santana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alan Ruiz46%
Nani33%
Guilherme Montóia33%
Manu33%
Manuel Keliano32%
Ferro32%
Chico Banza31%
Igor Jesus29%
Danilo Veiga27%
Leonel Bucca26%
Till Cissokho25%
Diogo Travassos24%
Miguel Lopes19%
Tiago Gabriel18%
Rodrigo Pinho18%
Gerson Sousa17%
Jovane Cabral15%
Issiar Drame14%
Nilton Varela14%
Rúben Lima12%
Caio Santana12%
Kikas12%
Paulo Moreira12%
Léo Cordeiro11%
Amine Oudrhiri9%
Renato Pantalon8%
André Luiz8%
Bruno Brígido0%
João Costa0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Petterson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustavo Henrique25%
Danilo Veiga13%
Rúben Lima8%
André Luiz8%
Alan Ruiz7%
Nilton Varela7%
Leonel Bucca6%
Manuel Keliano5%
Jovane Cabral4%
Léo Cordeiro4%
Kikas3%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Chico Banza0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rodrigo Pinho0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Nani0%
João Costa0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Diogo Travassos0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manu0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Caio Santana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho18%
Jovane Cabral12%
André Luiz8%
Chico Banza8%
Alan Ruiz7%
Léo Cordeiro7%
Leonel Bucca3%
Ferro0%
Till Cissokho0%
Miguel Lopes0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Rúben Lima0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Nani0%
João Costa0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Nilton Varela0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Issiar Drame0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Gerson Sousa0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Igor Jesus0%
Diogo Travassos0%
Petterson0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Manu0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Caio Santana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional and Estrela have a similar squad value (both €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Nacional and Estrela have a similar attack value (both €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Nacional's midfield is €2m more valuable than Estrela's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €3m less valuable than Estrela's (€9m vs €11m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Sporting CP
Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Arouca
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
AVS
Farense
Boavista
Vizela