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Nacional vs Guimaraes Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 1-2
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
27%
29%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.11
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.58
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes win✓ Hit
43.7%
Avg Implied 50.8% · @ 1.85
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L21W03L31W01L01L10W03L11DH·EST15/02A·SC 21/02H·FAM01/03A·BEN08/03H·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.231.291.140.561.31
vs Stronger (9)0.671.561.001.500.401.60
vs Similar (21)1.001.101.401.000.641.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D21W04L20W22D20W10W03L30WH·CAS01/03A·REA06/03A·BOA09/03H·REA13/03H·EST16/03A·MOR30/03H·SAN05/04A·GIL11/04H·BEN19/04H·RIO27/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.131.751.061.291.21
vs Stronger (5)1.001.801.332.330.501.00
vs Similar (14)1.641.001.830.831.501.12
vs Weaker (11)1.641.001.860.711.251.50
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.96-2.8%
Under 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.84+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.5%
1-2 ✓
9.0%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
Nacional goals ↓
Guimaraes goals →
01234
09.5%10%8.3%4.0%1.4%
17.6%14%9.0%4.2%1.5%
24.8%6.8%4.8%2.3%0.8%
31.7%2.4%1.7%0.8%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Guimaraes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Nacional is 0.59 points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Nacional is 0.44 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Nacional is 0.38 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.09).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Nacional is 9.6 percentage points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average possession (47% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 5.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

140529777543253516677379141277871310A·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC H·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

801134412432133421331483733736A·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC H·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.9 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

39013108121216151416231113111118121414151423202829392422302829A·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC H·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GuimaraesGuimaraes

For 5.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1309173517632823372277210106135106999H·RIOH·BENA·GILH·SANA·MORH·ESTH·REAA·BOAA·REAH·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

100122461122212521244636734373410H·RIOH·BENA·GILH·SANA·MORH·ESTH·REAA·BOAA·REAH·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 14.5 · Total 28.0

⚠️ Fouls

340167101218121116151115171618161791791823223027263234332627H·RIOH·BENA·GILH·SANA·MORH·ESTH·REAA·BOAA·REAH·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.89.911.54.65.04.327.826.329.1
vs Stronger (12)10.110.49.84.04.73.025.623.627.6
vs Similar (37)11.19.911.94.85.14.628.627.429.5
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-4.04.0-24.024.0-
% over line55%50%58%60%70%52%84%75%91%
% under line45%50%42%40%30%48%16%25%9%
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.510.44.84.65.027.926.829.1
vs Stronger (8)11.510.812.76.67.65.027.825.431.7
vs Similar (21)9.710.59.04.33.25.327.827.228.2
vs Weaker (21)10.810.411.14.54.44.628.227.229.1
% over line65%73%57%62%52%72%95%91%100%
% under line35%27%43%38%48%28%5%9%0%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
10.8
Nacional
10.7
Estrela
10.3
Guimaraes
10.3
SC Braga
10.3
Vizela
10.1
Famalicao
10.0
Benfica
10.0
Rio Ave
10.0
Arouca
9.9
FC Porto
9.6
Casa Pia
9.5
Boavista
9.3
Sporting CP
9.3
AVS
9.2
Estoril
9.1
GIL Vicente
8.8
Moreirense
8.3
Santa Clara
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Porto
6.2
Santa Clara
6.1
Boavista
5.8
Guimaraes
5.7
Famalicao
5.5
AVS
5.2
SC Braga
5.2
Arouca
5.2
Rio Ave
5.1
Sporting CP
4.9
Casa Pia
4.9
Farense
4.8
Vizela
4.8
Nacional
4.7
Estrela
4.7
Moreirense
4.7
GIL Vicente
4.7
Estoril
4.6
Benfica
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.1
Estrela
29.3
Santa Clara
29.1
Moreirense
28.7
Rio Ave
28.3
Nacional
28.0
Guimaraes
27.9
Estoril
27.9
Farense
27.6
AVS
27.4
Boavista
27.4
Arouca
26.8
FC Porto
26.7
GIL Vicente
26.6
Casa Pia
26.2
SC Braga
25.7
Sporting CP
25.2
Benfica
22.6
Vizela
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.7%
Under 3.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.7%
Under 21.5
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W02L10W01L00D10W01L00DH·EST15/02A·SC 21/02H·FAM01/03A·BEN08/03H·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.860.360.190.75
vs Stronger (9)0.440.560.750.000.201.00
vs Similar (21)0.520.570.900.500.180.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L02L10W11D10W00D01L30WH·CAS01/03A·REA06/03A·BOA09/03H·REA13/03H·EST16/03A·MOR30/03H·SAN05/04A·GIL11/04H·BEN19/04H·RIO27/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.810.380.210.50
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.331.000.000.50
vs Similar (14)0.570.431.000.330.250.50
vs Weaker (11)0.640.270.860.140.250.50
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D11D01L21W00D01L00D02L11DH·EST15/02A·SC 21/02H·FAM01/03A·BEN08/03H·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.430.790.380.56
vs Stronger (9)0.221.000.251.500.200.60
vs Similar (21)0.480.520.500.500.450.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D20W02L10W11D10W10W02L00DH·CAS01/03A·REA06/03A·BOA09/03H·REA13/03H·EST16/03A·MOR30/03H·SAN05/04A·GIL11/04H·BEN19/04H·RIO27/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.700.940.691.070.71
vs Stronger (5)0.801.001.001.330.500.50
vs Similar (14)1.070.570.830.501.250.62
vs Weaker (11)1.000.731.000.571.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls90.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards90.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls82.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls70.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Baeza20%
Joel Tagueu14%
Dudu13%
Daniel Penha13%
Bruno Costa11%
Isaac11%
Nigel Thomas10%
André Sousa8%
Fuki Yamada8%
Rúben Macedo7%
José Gomes7%
João Aurélio7%
Paulinho Bóia7%
Ulisses7%
Léo Santos6%
Ze Vitor6%
Chiheb Labidi6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Dyego Sousa0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Lucas França0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Luís Esteves0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Djibril Soumaré35%
Ze Vitor34%
Nigel Thomas30%
Matheus Dias26%
André Sousa23%
Léo Santos19%
Adrián Butzke18%
Lucas França18%
Luís Esteves18%
Chiheb Labidi17%
Ulisses17%
Gustavo García15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Tiago Reis12%
Arvin Appiah12%
Isaac11%
José Gomes10%
Fuki Yamada8%
Joel Tagueu7%
João Aurélio7%
Daniel Penha6%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Rúben Macedo0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Dudu0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fuki Yamada15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Luís Esteves12%
Adrián Butzke9%
Gustavo García9%
Dudu9%
João Aurélio7%
Bruno Costa6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Matheus Dias4%
Rúben Macedo4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Daniel Penha3%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Ulisses0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Ze Vitor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Reis25%
Luís Esteves24%
Adrián Butzke18%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Daniel Penha13%
Dudu9%
Rúben Macedo7%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Ulisses3%
Ze Vitor3%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
João Aurélio0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Fuki Yamada0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
Guimaraes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gustavo Silva36%
Úmaro Embaló22%
Tomás Ribeiro20%
Dieu-Merci Michel20%
Tiago Silva18%
Ricardo Mangas17%
Óscar Rivas15%
João Mendes15%
Telmo Arcanjo14%
Manuel Silva13%
Nélson Oliveira12%
Jesús Ramírez12%
Samu10%
Nuno Santos9%
Kaio César8%
Alberto Costa7%
Tomás Händel5%
Bruno Varela0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Toni Borevković0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Filipe Relvas0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
José Bica0%
Vando Félix0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
João Mendes32%
Óscar Rivas31%
Mikel Villanueva30%
Toni Borevković26%
Tiago Silva25%
Manuel Silva22%
Alberto Costa21%
Gustavo Silva20%
Filipe Relvas18%
Telmo Arcanjo16%
Kaio César16%
Nélson Oliveira15%
Tomás Händel15%
Miguel Maga14%
Samu13%
Beni Mukendi12%
Vando Félix12%
João Mendes12%
Bruno Gaspar12%
Nuno Santos12%
Bruno Varela11%
Úmaro Embaló11%
Jesús Ramírez9%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
José Bica0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Zé Carlos0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kaio César20%
Nuno Santos16%
Tiago Silva12%
Bruno Gaspar12%
Nélson Oliveira10%
Manuel Silva9%
João Mendes7%
Alberto Costa7%
Jesús Ramírez6%
Telmo Arcanjo5%
Miguel Maga5%
Gustavo Silva4%
Samu3%
Tomás Händel2%
João Mendes2%
Bruno Varela0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Toni Borevković0%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Óscar Rivas0%
Beni Mukendi0%
José Bica0%
Vando Félix0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Zé Carlos0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ricardo Mangas33%
Jesús Ramírez25%
Gustavo Silva16%
Kaio César16%
José Bica14%
Telmo Arcanjo14%
Nélson Oliveira10%
João Mendes10%
Nuno Santos9%
Tiago Silva8%
Alberto Costa7%
Vando Félix6%
Samu5%
Manuel Silva4%
Bruno Varela0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Toni Borevković0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Úmaro Embaló0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Óscar Rivas0%
Tomás Händel0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €26m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€20m vs €46m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Nacional's attack is €16m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€6m vs €22m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Nacional's midfield is €6m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€5m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €4m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€9m vs €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
NAC wins
2
Draws
3
GUI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Guimaraes · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/24AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-2
26/04/21HNAC Vs Guimaraes1-0
21/01/21AGuimaraes Vs NAC3-1
05/05/19AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-2
02/01/19HNAC Vs Guimaraes1-0
31/03/17HNAC Vs Guimaraes1-2
04/11/16AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-1
20/03/16HNAC Vs Guimaraes3-2

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25AMoreirense Vs NAC1-1
19/04/25HNAC Vs GIL Vicente0-3
12/04/25ABoavista Vs NAC0-1
06/04/25HNAC Vs Estrela0-1
30/03/25ASanta Clara Vs NAC1-0
16/03/25HNAC Vs Casa Pia3-1
08/03/25ABenfica Vs NAC3-0
01/03/25HNAC Vs Famalicao2-1
21/02/25ASC Braga Vs NAC1-0
15/02/25HNAC Vs Estoril2-2

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HGUI Vs Rio Ave3-0
19/04/25HGUI Vs Benfica0-3
11/04/25AGIL Vicente Vs GUI0-1
05/04/25HGUI Vs Santa Clara2-0
30/03/25AMoreirense Vs GUI2-2
16/03/25HGUI Vs Estrela2-0
13/03/25HGUI Vs Real Betis0-4
09/03/25ABoavista Vs GUI1-2
06/03/25AReal Betis Vs GUI2-2
01/03/25HGUI Vs Casa Pia1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.42
HomeDWWLL1.96
AwayLLLWD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%61%22%
AVG goals2.503.002.07
Over 1.5 %74%87%63%
Over 2.5 %46%61%33%
Over 3.5 %24%35%15%
Scored1.241.700.85
Conceded1.261.301.22
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners10.809.9511.50
Cards4.714.964.50
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.86
HomeLWWLW2.04
AwayDDWDW1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals2.762.962.56
Over 1.5 %76%84%68%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.741.881.60
Conceded1.021.080.96
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet40%52%28%
Corners10.4910.5510.43
Cards5.535.185.90

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches