This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodez
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
1.00
1.25
0.71
1.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.24
1.00
1.18
0.80
1.30
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 2.63+12.9%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.46-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2 ✓
5.2%
Nancy goals ↓
Rodez goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
7.1%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.5%
14%
7.1%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.0%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.9%
4.4%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.6%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nancy goals (down), columns = Rodez goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Clermont Foot
1.89
Toulouse
1.84
Grenoble
1.71
Paris FC
1.68
Auxerre
1.63
Sochaux
1.34
Le Havre
1.24
Guingamp
1.24
Valenciennes
1.24
Nancy
1.24
Amiens
1.24
Ajaccio
1.21
PAU
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Niort
1.08
Caen
1.08
Dunkerque
1.08
Chambly
1.00
Chateauroux
0.61
Nancy is 0.11 points better than Rodez in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
1.87
Auxerre
1.68
Clermont Foot
1.61
Estac Troyes
1.58
Nancy
1.39
Paris FC
1.39
Grenoble
1.34
Valenciennes
1.32
Sochaux
1.18
PAU
1.11
Chambly
1.08
Guingamp
1.08
Le Havre
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Niort
0.89
Caen
0.89
Amiens
0.89
Dunkerque
0.89
Ajaccio
0.89
Chateauroux
0.84
Nancy is 0.39 goals better than Rodez in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Clermont Foot
0.66
Grenoble
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.95
Paris FC
0.97
Sochaux
0.97
Amiens
1.05
Toulouse
1.11
Guingamp
1.13
Auxerre
1.13
Ajaccio
1.13
Rodez
1.16
Dunkerque
1.24
Le Havre
1.26
Caen
1.29
PAU
1.29
Nancy
1.39
Niort
1.53
Chateauroux
1.53
Valenciennes
1.55
Chambly
1.68
Nancy is 0.24 goals worse than Rodez in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nancy
For 3.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 15.2 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rodez
For 4.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 14.2 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nancy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.1
8.6
4.4
4.5
4.2
30.6
30.6
30.7
vs Stronger (14)
9.3
8.6
10.6
4.5
4.2
5.0
31.6
33.1
29.0
vs Similar (36)
8.7
9.5
8.1
4.3
4.7
4.0
30.2
29.1
31.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
46%
27%
66%
71%
62%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
64%
54%
73%
34%
29%
38%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodez
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
8.7
8.4
9.0
4.5
4.9
4.1
28.3
27.7
28.9
vs Stronger (11)
9.3
9.7
8.8
4.5
4.7
4.4
28.7
27.8
29.8
vs Similar (30)
8.6
8.1
9.1
4.5
4.8
4.2
28.1
27.1
29.1
vs Weaker (5)
8.2
7.7
9.0
4.6
6.0
2.5
28.4
30.3
25.5
% over line
33%
21%
45%
67%
75%
59%
89%
88%
91%
% under line
67%
79%
55%
33%
25%
41%
11%
12%
9%
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PAU
10.1
Guingamp
10.0
Toulouse
10.0
Auxerre
9.9
Estac Troyes
9.5
Valenciennes
9.5
Clermont Foot
9.2
Chateauroux
9.2
Le Havre
9.0
Caen
9.0
Grenoble
8.9
Ajaccio
8.9
Nancy
8.8
Niort
8.8
Sochaux
8.8
Rodez
8.7
Amiens
8.5
Paris FC
8.2
Chambly
7.5
Dunkerque
6.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PAU
4.9
Paris FC
4.9
Estac Troyes
4.6
Chambly
4.5
Rodez
4.5
Caen
4.5
Valenciennes
4.5
Le Havre
4.5
Amiens
4.5
Nancy
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Dunkerque
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.1
Grenoble
4.0
Chateauroux
4.0
Guingamp
4.0
Toulouse
4.0
Niort
3.9
Ajaccio
3.8
Auxerre
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dunkerque
31.7
Paris FC
30.9
Nancy
30.6
Chambly
30.6
Valenciennes
29.8
PAU
29.7
Amiens
29.5
Caen
29.4
Niort
29.2
Sochaux
29.2
Estac Troyes
28.6
Grenoble
28.3
Toulouse
28.3
Rodez
28.3
Ajaccio
28.2
Chateauroux
27.7
Guingamp
27.1
Le Havre
26.9
Auxerre
26.4
Clermont Foot
26.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
28.9%
Under 9.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.8%
Under 3.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.3%
Under 21.5
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nancy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.69
0.62
0.18
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.86
1.00
1.25
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.43
0.56
0.33
0.21
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodez
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.37
0.44
0.31
0.21
0.43
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.33
0.45
0.18
0.20
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nancy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nancy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.77
1.00
0.59
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.25
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.87
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rodez
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.56
0.94
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.00
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.90
0.55
1.00
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nancy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nancy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nancy · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brandon Bokangu50%
Nehemiah Fernandez25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nehemiah Fernandez50%
Héliohdino Tavares33%
Enzo Tacafred25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilyes Housni50%
Zakaria Fdaouch25%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Brandon Bokangu0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandon Bokangu50%
Enzo Basilio0%
Elydjah Mendy0%
Zakaria Fdaouch0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Nordine Kandil0%
Walid Bouabdelli0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Héliohdino Tavares0%
Ilyes Housni0%
Enzo Tacafred0%
Noam Obougou0%
Kouroufia Kébé0%
Rodez · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ibrahima Baldé75%
Octave Joly50%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Loni Laurent0%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Mathis Magnin0%
Raphaël Lipinski0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Jordan Mendes Correia0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Loni Laurent25%
Mathis Magnin25%
Ibrahima Baldé25%
Raphaël Lipinski25%
Jordan Mendes Correia25%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert25%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphaël Lipinski50%
Kenny Nagera25%
Mathis Magnin25%
Jordan Mendes Correia25%
Loni Laurent0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Ibrahima Baldé0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahima Baldé50%
Mathis Touho50%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Loni Laurent0%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Mathis Magnin0%
Raphaël Lipinski0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Jordan Mendes Correia0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
TOU (24)
€115m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
SOC (20)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Nancy's squad is €2m less valuable than Rodez's (€13m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
TOU (7)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Nancy's attack is €1m more valuable than Rodez's (€5m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
AUX (5)
€28m
LH (5)
€23m
ET (6)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Nancy's midfield is €2m less valuable than Rodez's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
TOU (10)
€46m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Nancy's defence is €1m less valuable than Rodez's (€6m vs €7m).
France: Ligue 2 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Toulouse
Grenoble
Paris FC
Auxerre
Sochaux
Guingamp
Amiens
Valenciennes
Le Havre
Ajaccio
PAU
Dunkerque
Caen
Niort
Chateauroux