Napoli are tipped to win, the model’s pick showing a 54% chance of a home victory against Bodo/Glimt. The expected total is 2.7 goals, with a 25% chance of exactly two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.3% probability. Napoli, playing at home against a weaker side, average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded; Bodo/Glimt, away against a stronger opponent, average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. The match carries a 54% home win, 26% draw, and 20% away win probability. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Under 5.5 (94.0%), Home +2 handicap (92.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.9%), and Under 5.5 cards (87.4%). Napoli’s recent form shows a 5-game run of LWWWL, just off a defeat to Como, while Bodo/Glimt are on a four-game winning streak, beating Rosenborg 4-2.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Napoli win
54.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt win
19.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Napoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.10
1.60
1.20
1.33
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.70
1.40
1.60
1.00
1.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.60
0.80
1.70
1.00
1.50
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodo/Glimt
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.57
0.93
2.87
0.60
2.27
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.33
3.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.71
2.14
1.75
1.50
1.67
3.00
vs Weaker (20)
3.00
0.45
3.30
0.30
2.70
0.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
Napoli goals ↓
Bodo/Glimt goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
5.2%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
1
10%
12%
5.4%
1.8%
0.4%
2
10.0%
9.8%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.9%
5.8%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.6%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Napoli goals (down), columns = Bodo/Glimt goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
European competition: teams are ranked by a cross-league strength score - each side's domestic attack and defence made comparable via the model's fitted league strengths (stronger leagues weighted up). Each side's actual domestic figures are shown below.
🏆 Cross-league strength
0-100 · adjusted for league strength · 67 teams
Arsenal
100
Manchester City
97
Bayern München
90
Manchester United
89
Liverpool
87
Barcelona
86
Aston Villa
86
Inter
84
Real Madrid
84
Como
82
Borussia Dortmund
82
Paris Saint Germain
81
AS Roma
80
Sporting CP
79
FC Porto
79
Villarreal
78
Napoli
77
VfB Stuttgart
76
Atletico Madrid
76
Lens
76
RB Leipzig
76
Real Betis
74
Lille
71
Lyon
70
Union St. Gilloise
70
Viking
70
Bodo/Glimt
67
Club Brugge KV
67
PSV Eindhoven
66
Galatasaray
64
Slavia Praha
62
Fenerbahçe
60
Feyenoord
60
NEC Nijmegen
58
Omonia Nicosia
56
Kauno Žalgiris
56
Dinamo Zagreb
55
Lech Poznan
54
Gornik Zabrze
53
Shakhtar Donetsk
49
Levski Sofia
49
FC Thun
47
Sabah FA
46
Sparta Praha
45
Slovan Bratislava
45
Aarhus
45
Hapoel Beer Sheva
44
Heart Of Midlothian
43
FK Crvena Zvezda
43
Sturm Graz
43
Celtic
42
Lask Linz
41
Olympiakos Piraeus
41
Universitatea Craiova
39
Mjallby AIF
36
Kairat Almaty
30
Vikingur Reykjavik
29
Celje
25
Shamrock Rovers
22
KuPS
21
Ararat-Armenia
20
AEK Athens FC
15
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
11
Larne
10
KI Klaksvik
7
Saburtalo
1
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0
Napoli is 10 pts stronger cross-league than Bodo/Glimt(77 vs 67 · ranks #17 vs #27 of 67).
Napoli 2.00 (Italy: Serie A) · Bodo/Glimt 2.44 (Norway: Eliteserien). Domestic-league average points per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Napoli 1.53 (Italy: Serie A) · Bodo/Glimt 2.61 (Norway: Eliteserien). Domestic-league goals scored per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
Napoli 0.95 (Italy: Serie A) · Bodo/Glimt 0.78 (Norway: Eliteserien). Domestic-league goals conceded per game; different leagues, so not a like-for-like verdict.
⏱️ Possession
Not compared for European ties.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Napoli
For 5.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.0 · Against 9.1 · Total 17.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bodo/Glimt
For 7.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Napoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.5
8.0
2.8
2.4
3.2
22.8
22.8
22.9
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
7.2
7.2
7.2
2.9
2.5
3.3
23.4
23.1
23.8
vs Weaker (31)
8.9
9.3
8.5
2.8
2.6
3.1
22.5
22.6
22.4
% over line
26%
27%
24%
34%
28%
40%
58%
59%
57%
% under line
74%
73%
76%
66%
72%
60%
42%
41%
43%
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodo/Glimt
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.1
10.6
1.8
1.8
1.7
18.5
19.1
17.9
vs Stronger (13)
13.0
10.0
16.0
2.0
1.9
2.2
19.2
20.5
18.0
vs Similar (8)
9.4
10.7
7.5
2.6
2.8
2.5
19.8
20.0
19.0
vs Weaker (29)
10.4
11.7
8.9
1.4
1.5
1.3
18.0
18.2
17.8
% over line
62%
71%
53%
16%
19%
12%
25%
29%
20%
% under line
38%
29%
47%
84%
81%
88%
75%
71%
80%
This opponent (Napoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sabah FA
12.0
Viking
12.0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
11.5
Larne
11.4
PSV Eindhoven
11.3
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Celtic
11.0
Slavia Praha
11.0
Bodo/Glimt
10.9
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Madrid
10.7
Kairat Almaty
10.4
Club Brugge KV
10.4
RB Leipzig
10.4
Lask Linz
10.3
Lens
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Lech Poznan
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
KI Klaksvik
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Feyenoord
10.1
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
Omonia Nicosia
10.0
Sturm Graz
10.0
Slovan Bratislava
9.9
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Sparta Praha
9.9
Lyon
9.9
Mjallby AIF
9.8
Sporting CP
9.8
KuPS
9.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Ararat-Armenia
9.6
Aarhus
9.6
Dinamo Zagreb
9.6
Lille
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Levski Sofia
9.5
Celje
9.4
Inter
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Paris Saint Germain
9.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Villarreal
9.2
Kauno Žalgiris
9.1
Real Betis
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Saburtalo
9.0
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
FC Porto
8.9
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
Lincoln Red Imps FC
8.7
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
AS Roma
8.6
Vikingur Reykjavik
8.6
Napoli
8.4
Shamrock Rovers
8.2
Como
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ararat-Armenia
5.8
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Sabah FA
5.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
AEK Athens FC
5.4
FC Porto
5.2
Larne
5.1
Vikingur Reykjavik
5.1
Lincoln Red Imps FC
5.1
Sporting CP
5.1
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
Slovan Bratislava
5.0
Real Madrid
4.9
FC Thun
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Saburtalo
4.9
Celje
4.9
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Sparta Praha
4.8
Lyon
4.6
Levski Sofia
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Real Betis
4.6
Galatasaray
4.5
Como
4.5
Lens
4.5
KI Klaksvik
4.4
Villarreal
4.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Kairat Almaty
4.4
Lille
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Barcelona
4.3
Dinamo Zagreb
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.3
AS Roma
4.2
Viking
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.9
Aarhus
3.9
Celtic
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Lask Linz
3.7
Feyenoord
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Liverpool
3.6
Kauno Žalgiris
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
RB Leipzig
3.4
Napoli
3.4
Inter
3.3
KuPS
3.2
Paris Saint Germain
3.2
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Saburtalo
30.0
Sabah FA
29.4
AEK Athens FC
29.3
AS Roma
28.0
FC Thun
28.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Slavia Praha
26.9
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
26.1
Como
26.1
Kairat Almaty
26.1
Vikingur Reykjavik
25.7
Slovan Bratislava
25.5
Larne
25.4
Fenerbahçe
25.3
Mjallby AIF
25.1
Lyon
25.1
Celje
25.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Lincoln Red Imps FC
24.9
Lens
24.8
Villarreal
24.8
Sparta Praha
24.7
Heart Of Midlothian
24.6
Viking
24.5
Levski Sofia
24.5
Aarhus
24.3
Lech Poznan
24.1
Lille
24.0
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Inter
23.9
Sturm Graz
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Real Madrid
23.6
Aston Villa
23.6
Galatasaray
23.5
Dinamo Zagreb
23.4
Real Betis
23.3
Napoli
23.3
Shamrock Rovers
22.9
Gornik Zabrze
22.8
Feyenoord
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Ararat-Armenia
22.3
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
Arsenal
22.1
KuPS
22.0
Kauno Žalgiris
22.0
Barcelona
21.8
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
Manchester United
21.5
Celtic
21.4
Liverpool
21.4
Atletico Madrid
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Lask Linz
21.0
Club Brugge KV
20.3
RB Leipzig
19.9
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
19.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Paris Saint Germain
19.2
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Bayern München
18.6
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
KI Klaksvik
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
40.1%
Under 21.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Napoli or Draw
80.3%
Avg Implied -
55%
26%
20%
covers Napoli + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Napoli or Bodo/Glimt
74.5%
Avg Implied -
55%
26%
20%
covers Napoli + Bodo/Glimt
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Bodo/Glimt
45.2%
Avg Implied -
55%
26%
20%
covers Draw + Bodo/Glimt
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Napoli over/under 0.5
Over
83.0%
Under
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5
Over
52.8%
Under
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5
Over
26.1%
Under
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 3.5
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5
Over
62.5%
Under
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5
Over
25.8%
Under
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Napoli, so a minus line means Napoli give that many goals of a start and Bodo/Glimt receive them. At -1, Napoli must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Napoli win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Napoli)
Napoli -2
14.3%
Draw -2
17.2%
Bodo/Glimt +2
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Napoli)
Napoli -1
31.5%
Draw -1
23.3%
Bodo/Glimt +1
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Napoli)
Napoli +1
80.3%
Draw +1
12.4%
Bodo/Glimt -1
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Napoli)
Napoli +2
92.8%
Draw +2
5.3%
Bodo/Glimt -2
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Napoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.87
0.67
0.87
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.60
0.80
0.60
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
0.90
0.45
0.90
0.70
0.90
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodo/Glimt
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.47
1.13
0.33
1.13
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.14
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (20)
1.30
0.25
1.20
0.20
1.40
0.30
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Napoli over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Napoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.10
0.60
1.00
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (20)
0.70
0.35
0.80
0.30
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodo/Glimt
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.47
1.73
0.27
1.13
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (20)
1.70
0.20
2.10
0.10
1.30
0.30
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Napoli over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Napoli · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott McTominay29%
Alisson Santos27%
Rasmus Højlund26%
Kevin De Bruyne24%
Frank Anguissa18%
Antonio Vergara17%
Romelu Lukaku14%
Lorenzo Lucca9%
David Neres9%
Amir Rrahmani8%
Leonardo Spinazzola8%
Sam Beukema6%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo6%
Billy Gilmour5%
Matteo Politano5%
Noa Lang4%
Miguel Gutiérrez3%
Stanislav Lobotka3%
Eljif Elmas2%
Alex Meret0%
Juan Jesus0%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Alessandro Buongiorno0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Jesus30%
Antonio Vergara17%
Noa Lang16%
Romelu Lukaku14%
David Neres13%
Amir Rrahmani12%
Matteo Politano12%
Eljif Elmas12%
Mathías Olivera9%
Alex Meret8%
Stanislav Lobotka8%
Leonardo Spinazzola8%
Alessandro Buongiorno7%
Alisson Santos7%
Sam Beukema6%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo6%
Billy Gilmour5%
Kevin De Bruyne5%
Rasmus Højlund5%
Frank Anguissa5%
Lorenzo Lucca5%
Scott McTominay2%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Miguel Gutiérrez0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Neres17%
Antonio Vergara17%
Kevin De Bruyne14%
Rasmus Højlund14%
Leonardo Spinazzola10%
Matteo Politano10%
Eljif Elmas10%
Alex Meret8%
Noa Lang8%
Giovane8%
Scott McTominay7%
Pasquale Mazzocchi6%
Frank Anguissa5%
Amir Rrahmani4%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo3%
Mathías Olivera3%
Miguel Gutiérrez3%
Vanja Milinković-Savić3%
Stanislav Lobotka3%
Alessandro Buongiorno2%
Juan Jesus0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Sam Beukema0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Alisson Santos0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott McTominay36%
Alisson Santos27%
Frank Anguissa18%
Rasmus Højlund14%
Matteo Politano10%
Antonio Vergara6%
Leonardo Spinazzola5%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo3%
Alex Meret0%
Noa Lang0%
David Neres0%
Kevin De Bruyne0%
Juan Jesus0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Amir Rrahmani0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Alessandro Buongiorno0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Sam Beukema0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Stanislav Lobotka0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Miguel Gutiérrez0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Bodo/Glimt
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Helmersen39%
Kasper Høgh33%
Håkon Evjen31%
Sondre Fet25%
Ole Didrik Blomberg24%
Jens Petter Hauge22%
Ferslev Anders Klynge17%
Mikkel Bro Hansen17%
Fredrik André Bjørkan16%
Fredrik Sjøvold14%
Haitam Aleesami13%
Patrick Berg11%
Sondre Auklend10%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Isak Dybvik Määttä5%
Nikita Haikin0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mikkel Bro Hansen17%
Sondre Auklend15%
Ole Didrik Blomberg10%
Håkon Evjen8%
Haitam Aleesami7%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Jens Petter Hauge6%
Patrick Berg5%
Sondre Fet5%
Kasper Høgh0%
Nikita Haikin0%
Fredrik André Bjørkan0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Andreas Helmersen0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Isak Dybvik Määttä0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Fredrik Sjøvold0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jens Petter Hauge28%
Kasper Høgh25%
Sondre Auklend25%
Ole Didrik Blomberg24%
Andreas Helmersen11%
Fredrik André Bjørkan11%
Daniel Bassi10%
Fredrik Sjøvold10%
Håkon Evjen8%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Patrick Berg5%
Sondre Fet5%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft5%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Nikita Haikin0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Isak Dybvik Määttä0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Mikkel Bro Hansen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasper Høgh42%
Andreas Helmersen39%
Patrick Berg21%
Sondre Auklend10%
Haitam Aleesami7%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Jens Petter Hauge6%
Fredrik André Bjørkan5%
Sondre Fet5%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft5%
Isak Dybvik Määttä5%
Nikita Haikin0%
Håkon Evjen0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Ole Didrik Blomberg0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Fredrik Sjøvold0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Mikkel Bro Hansen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
RM (27)
€1456m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
BAR (30)
€1282m
BM (29)
€1076m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
INT (25)
€694m
AM (25)
€653m
AVL (27)
€536m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
FP (30)
€467m
NAP (33)
€459m
VS (54)
€430m
SC (31)
€414m
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
VIL (24)
€325m
LIL (27)
€312m
LYO (32)
€293m
PE (29)
€280m
RB (25)
€235m
FEY (30)
€229m
CBK (27)
€196m
LEN (27)
€187m
SD (33)
€186m
OP (29)
€175m
SP (38)
€123m
CEL (27)
€116m
FCZ (32)
€115m
USG (26)
€98m
SP (35)
€92m
AAF (26)
€85m
BOD (24)
€75m
DZ (34)
€66m
LP (25)
€58m
NN (29)
€54m
SG (26)
€52m
VIK (27)
€47m
LL (22)
€44m
LS (27)
€38m
UC (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SB (28)
€35m
GZ (27)
€29m
MA (24)
€26m
HOM (30)
€22m
HBS (26)
€20m
SF (24)
€17m
FT (25)
€17m
ON (23)
€15m
CEL (31)
€14m
KŽ (27)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
ARA (26)
€8m
KUP (30)
€7m
SR (31)
€7m
ER (24)
€7m
SAB (22)
€6m
VR (26)
€5m
LAR (23)
€4m
KK (28)
€3m
LRI (25)
€2m
Napoli's squad is €384m more valuable than Bodo/Glimt's (€459m vs €75m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
PSG (10)
€638m
MC (9)
€635m
ARS (13)
€608m
BAR (10)
€590m
BM (10)
€554m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
AM (9)
€290m
COM (13)
€261m
AVL (10)
€220m
INT (5)
€220m
FP (11)
€214m
RL (12)
€212m
NAP (12)
€206m
VS (19)
€193m
GAL (9)
€173m
BD (8)
€170m
FEN (14)
€162m
SC (9)
€146m
AR (6)
€138m
LIL (13)
€133m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
LYO (9)
€122m
SD (16)
€115m
PE (11)
€106m
FEY (11)
€93m
CBK (10)
€92m
OP (12)
€84m
FCZ (13)
€62m
CEL (11)
€56m
LEN (8)
€52m
AAF (11)
€44m
SP (14)
€43m
DZ (15)
€33m
USG (10)
€32m
SP (10)
€27m
SG (11)
€26m
NN (11)
€22m
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
SB (12)
€15m
UC (10)
€14m
AAR (10)
€14m
LL (5)
€13m
HOM (12)
€12m
LS (10)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
ON (9)
€7m
CEL (12)
€7m
MA (9)
€7m
SF (7)
€5m
FT (7)
€4m
KŽ (11)
€4m
KA (9)
€4m
SR (14)
€3m
ARA (9)
€3m
VR (12)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
KUP (9)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
LAR (6)
€1m
KK (9)
€1m
LRI (11)
€1m
Napoli's attack is €184m more valuable than Bodo/Glimt's (€206m vs €22m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
BAR (8)
€324m
ARS (4)
€290m
RM (5)
€238m
MU (7)
€236m
INT (10)
€232m
LIV (6)
€201m
BM (6)
€187m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
AM (6)
€155m
BD (7)
€146m
AR (5)
€118m
RL (6)
€109m
FP (6)
€105m
LIL (4)
€102m
NAP (7)
€101m
VS (10)
€92m
SC (9)
€91m
COM (7)
€83m
LYO (8)
€82m
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
PE (5)
€60m
VIL (4)
€52m
OP (6)
€47m
FEY (4)
€43m
USG (7)
€38m
SP (8)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
SP (10)
€27m
BOD (7)
€27m
LEN (5)
€24m
CBK (5)
€23m
FCZ (6)
€21m
CEL (5)
€20m
SD (4)
€19m
AAF (5)
€16m
AAR (10)
€14m
SG (4)
€14m
VIK (5)
€12m
LL (6)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
UC (6)
€10m
LP (3)
€9m
LS (5)
€8m
SB (6)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NN (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
HBS (3)
€5m
HOM (6)
€4m
ON (4)
€3m
KUP (9)
€3m
KA (5)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
SR (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
CEL (4)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LAR (7)
€1m
LRI (4)
€0m
Napoli's midfield is €74m more valuable than Bodo/Glimt's (€101m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
ARS (12)
€508m
PSG (11)
€409m
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
BM (13)
€336m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
BD (14)
€214m
AM (10)
€208m
RL (13)
€185m
SC (13)
€176m
AVL (11)
€156m
NAP (14)
€152m
VIL (12)
€148m
FP (13)
€148m
VS (25)
€145m
COM (14)
€144m
PE (13)
€115m
LEN (14)
€112m
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
FEY (15)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
CBK (12)
€81m
LIL (10)
€76m
RB (10)
€70m
SP (20)
€61m
SD (13)
€52m
OP (11)
€44m
CEL (11)
€41m
FCZ (13)
€33m
DZ (17)
€30m
LP (12)
€28m
USG (9)
€28m
BOD (10)
€26m
NN (13)
€26m
AAF (10)
€26m
SP (11)
€22m
LL (11)
€20m
LS (12)
€19m
VIK (12)
€15m
UC (9)
€13m
SB (10)
€13m
SG (11)
€13m
MA (9)
€8m
AAR (8)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
SF (10)
€7m
GZ (10)
€6m
CEL (15)
€6m
HOM (12)
€6m
HBS (10)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
KŽ (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
ER (13)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
SR (10)
€2m
VR (10)
€2m
LAR (10)
€2m
KK (11)
€1m
LRI (10)
€1m
Napoli's defence is €126m more valuable than Bodo/Glimt's (€152m vs €26m).
World: UEFA Champions League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full World: UEFA Champions League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Fenerbahçe
Levski Sofia
Sabah FA
Slovan Bratislava
Dinamo Zagreb
Celje
FK Crvena Zvezda
Aarhus
AEK Athens FC
Viking
Lyon
Kauno Žalgiris
Shamrock Rovers
Lask Linz
Celtic
Omonia Nicosia
Vikingur Reykjavik
Sturm Graz
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
Kairat Almaty
Union St. Gilloise
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
FC Thun
Gornik Zabrze
Saburtalo
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Universitatea Craiova
KI Klaksvik
Mjallby AIF
Inter
FC Porto
Lille
Real Madrid
Slavia Praha
Como
Galatasaray
Barcelona
Paris Saint Germain
Feyenoord
Borussia Dortmund
Lens
Aston Villa
PSV Eindhoven
Club Brugge KV
RB Leipzig
Shakhtar Donetsk
Villarreal
Real Betis
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern München
Liverpool
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Arsenal
Sporting CP
AS Roma
Manchester United
Heart Of Midlothian
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Larne