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Napoli vs Fiorentina Result & Analysis

Date: 31/01/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 2-1
Napoli
Napoli
Vs
55%
27%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Napoli win✓ Hit
55.4%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.78
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.46
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina win✗ Miss
17.8%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.78
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NapoliNapoli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W20W22D22D00D10W11D03L23LA·UDI14/12A·CRE28/12A·LAZ04/01H·HEL07/01A·INT11/01H·PAR14/01H·SAS17/01A·FC 20/01A·JUV25/01H·CHE28/01
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.171.640.861.061.44
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (12)1.671.832.401.401.142.14
vs Weaker (17)1.180.651.220.561.120.75
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W12L01L51W01L10W22D11D21W12LH·DYN11/12H·HEL14/12A·LAU18/12H·UDI21/12A·PAR27/12H·CRE04/01A·LAZ07/01H·AC 11/01A·BOL18/01H·CAG24/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.371.471.401.071.33
vs Stronger (3)0.672.331.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.501.401.781.561.271.27
vs Weaker (7)0.860.861.000.750.671.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.00-2.1%
Under 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.77+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
9.6%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
Napoli goals ↓
Fiorentina goals →
01234
09.6%5.9%2.9%0.8%0.2%
113%13%4.8%1.3%0.3%
211%9.4%3.9%1.1%0.2%
36.2%5.2%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.5%2.1%0.9%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Napoli goals (down), columns = Fiorentina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Napoli is 0.89 points better than Fiorentina in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Napoli is 0.45 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Napoli is 0.37 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Napoli is 7.9 percentage points better than Fiorentina in terms of average possession (59% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NapoliNapoli

For 5.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 7.3

🚩 Corners

1204122111547114616210131541298578114H·CHEA·JUVA·FC H·SASH·PARA·INTH·HELA·LAZA·CREA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

9021212321313272213352413941H·CHEA·JUVA·FC H·SASH·PARA·INTH·HELA·LAZA·CREA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

320151511211513101111121112715131081391630322821232322232125H·CHEA·JUVA·FC H·SASH·PARA·INTH·HELA·LAZA·CREA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FiorentinaFiorentina

For 5.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

13083178528736514769455118131010115131310H·CAGA·BOLH·AC A·LAZH·CREA·PARH·UDIA·LAUH·HELH·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

8023323531222322115335358345366H·CAGA·BOLH·AC A·LAZH·CREA·PARH·UDIA·LAUH·HELH·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.8

⚠️ Fouls

32011171314101415111019151010815111022131028272426292518263223H·CAGA·BOLH·AC A·LAZH·CREA·PARH·UDIA·LAUH·HELH·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NapoliNapoli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.69.08.33.22.73.724.223.225.2
vs Stronger (1)11.0-11.02.0-2.07.0-7.0
vs Similar (18)7.68.66.83.52.44.424.123.124.8
vs Weaker (31)9.19.19.13.12.93.324.923.226.6
% over line36%33%38%36%21%50%74%71%77%
% under line64%67%62%64%79%50%26%29%23%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.89.08.54.95.24.628.530.027.0
vs Stronger (5)10.210.010.53.63.73.524.226.321.0
vs Similar (33)8.58.88.35.35.94.928.430.326.9
vs Weaker (12)8.89.08.64.24.44.030.330.929.6
% over line46%48%44%76%80%72%86%92%80%
% under line54%52%56%24%20%28%14%8%20%
This opponent (Napoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.0
AC Milan
9.9
Juventus
9.7
Atalanta
9.7
Udinese
9.7
Inter
9.5
Genoa
9.4
Lazio
9.3
Bologna
9.3
Cremonese
9.1
Cagliari
9.1
Parma
9.0
Hellas Verona
8.8
Fiorentina
8.8
Torino
8.6
Napoli
8.6
AS Roma
8.6
Sassuolo
8.4
Pisa
8.3
Como
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.0
Como
4.9
Bologna
4.8
Cremonese
4.5
AS Roma
4.5
Genoa
4.3
Pisa
4.2
Parma
4.2
Hellas Verona
4.2
Sassuolo
4.2
AC Milan
4.0
Cagliari
4.0
Lecce
3.9
Udinese
3.8
Juventus
3.5
Inter
3.5
Torino
3.4
Napoli
3.4
Atalanta
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
30.5
Cremonese
29.6
Fiorentina
28.5
Genoa
27.6
Como
27.5
Cagliari
26.9
Sassuolo
26.8
Pisa
26.6
AS Roma
26.1
Hellas Verona
25.5
Lazio
25.4
Udinese
25.4
Lecce
25.1
Torino
24.7
Napoli
24.2
Parma
24.1
Juventus
24.0
Inter
24.0
AC Milan
22.4
Atalanta
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.9%
Under 9.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.6%
Under 21.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NapoliNapoli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W20W02L11D00D10W10W01L21WA·UDI14/12A·CRE28/12A·LAZ04/01H·HEL07/01A·INT11/01H·PAR14/01H·SAS17/01A·FC 20/01A·JUV25/01H·CHE28/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.710.290.690.50
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (12)1.080.671.600.200.711.00
vs Weaker (17)0.470.240.220.330.750.12
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D30W00D00D00D00D20W01LH·DYN11/12H·HEL14/12A·LAU18/12H·UDI21/12A·PAR27/12H·CRE04/01A·LAZ07/01H·AC 11/01A·BOL18/01H·CAG24/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.470.800.530.27
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.500.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.500.670.780.640.27
vs Weaker (7)0.290.430.250.500.330.33
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Napoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NapoliNapoli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D20W11D00D00D01L02L02LA·UDI14/12A·CRE28/12A·LAZ04/01H·HEL07/01A·INT11/01H·PAR14/01H·SAS17/01A·FC 20/01A·JUV25/01H·CHE28/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.930.570.380.94
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.581.170.801.200.431.14
vs Weaker (17)0.710.411.000.220.380.62
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L21W01L10W22D11D01L11DH·DYN11/12H·HEL14/12A·LAU18/12H·UDI21/12A·PAR27/12H·CRE04/01A·LAZ07/01H·AC 11/01A·BOL18/01H·CAG24/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.831.000.600.531.07
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.000.500.003.00
vs Similar (20)0.850.901.110.780.641.00
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.750.250.330.67
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Napoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Napoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Napoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls90.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners84.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls81.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners76.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Napoli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott McTominay29%
Alisson Santos27%
Rasmus Højlund26%
Kevin De Bruyne24%
Frank Anguissa18%
Antonio Vergara17%
Romelu Lukaku14%
Lorenzo Lucca9%
David Neres9%
Amir Rrahmani8%
Leonardo Spinazzola8%
Sam Beukema6%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo6%
Billy Gilmour5%
Matteo Politano5%
Noa Lang4%
Miguel Gutiérrez3%
Stanislav Lobotka3%
Eljif Elmas2%
Alex Meret0%
Juan Jesus0%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Alessandro Buongiorno0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Jesus30%
Antonio Vergara17%
Noa Lang16%
Romelu Lukaku14%
David Neres13%
Amir Rrahmani12%
Matteo Politano12%
Eljif Elmas12%
Mathías Olivera9%
Alex Meret8%
Stanislav Lobotka8%
Leonardo Spinazzola8%
Alessandro Buongiorno7%
Alisson Santos7%
Sam Beukema6%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo6%
Billy Gilmour5%
Kevin De Bruyne5%
Rasmus Højlund5%
Frank Anguissa5%
Lorenzo Lucca5%
Scott McTominay2%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Miguel Gutiérrez0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Neres17%
Antonio Vergara17%
Kevin De Bruyne14%
Rasmus Højlund14%
Leonardo Spinazzola10%
Matteo Politano10%
Eljif Elmas10%
Alex Meret8%
Noa Lang8%
Giovane8%
Scott McTominay7%
Pasquale Mazzocchi6%
Frank Anguissa5%
Amir Rrahmani4%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo3%
Mathías Olivera3%
Miguel Gutiérrez3%
Vanja Milinković-Savić3%
Stanislav Lobotka3%
Alessandro Buongiorno2%
Juan Jesus0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Sam Beukema0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Alisson Santos0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott McTominay36%
Alisson Santos27%
Frank Anguissa18%
Rasmus Højlund14%
Matteo Politano10%
Antonio Vergara6%
Leonardo Spinazzola5%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo3%
Alex Meret0%
Noa Lang0%
David Neres0%
Kevin De Bruyne0%
Juan Jesus0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Amir Rrahmani0%
Eljif Elmas0%
Vanja Milinković-Savić0%
Alessandro Buongiorno0%
Pasquale Mazzocchi0%
Sam Beukema0%
Mathías Olivera0%
Stanislav Lobotka0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Miguel Gutiérrez0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Giovane0%
Giuseppe Ambrosino0%
Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moise Kean24%
Albert Guðmundsson22%
Roberto Piccoli19%
Rolando Mandragora17%
Cher Ndour15%
Edin Džeko11%
Robin Gosens11%
Manor Solomon11%
Nicolò Fagioli7%
Luca Ranieri7%
Marco Brescianini6%
Simon Sohm5%
Jack Harrison5%
Dodô4%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Marin Pongračić2%
Daniele Rugani0%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
David De Gea0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Jacopo Fazzini0%
Niccolò Fortini0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Luís Balbo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pongračić35%
Daniele Rugani33%
Luca Lezzerini33%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia25%
Pablo Marí25%
Luca Ranieri22%
Fabiano Parisi22%
Dodô21%
Rolando Mandragora19%
Nicolò Fagioli16%
Moise Kean15%
Cher Ndour15%
Pietro Comuzzo15%
Albert Guðmundsson13%
Mattia Viti12%
Eddy Kouadio12%
Marco Brescianini11%
Simon Sohm10%
Jacopo Fazzini9%
Giovanni Fabbian9%
Robin Gosens8%
Roberto Piccoli7%
Edin Džeko6%
Manor Solomon5%
Jack Harrison5%
David De Gea4%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Amir Richardson0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Luís Balbo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Guðmundsson15%
Jack Harrison14%
Eddy Kouadio12%
Manor Solomon11%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Dodô6%
Cher Ndour6%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia6%
Marco Brescianini6%
Robin Gosens6%
Simon Sohm5%
Roberto Piccoli5%
Giovanni Fabbian5%
Nicolò Fagioli4%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Jacopo Fazzini3%
Moise Kean3%
Edin Džeko0%
Daniele Rugani0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Luís Balbo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moise Kean48%
Roberto Piccoli16%
Albert Guðmundsson13%
Edin Džeko11%
Giovanni Fabbian9%
Rolando Mandragora6%
Robin Gosens6%
Manor Solomon5%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Nicolò Fagioli2%
Dodô2%
Cher Ndour2%
Daniele Rugani0%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
David De Gea0%
Simon Sohm0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jack Harrison0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Jacopo Fazzini0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Niccolò Fortini0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Luís Balbo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Napoli's squad is €129m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€459m vs €330m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Napoli's attack is €81m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€206m vs €125m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Napoli's midfield is €6m less valuable than Fiorentina's (€101m vs €107m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Napoli's defence is €54m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€152m vs €98m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
NAP wins
2
Draws
2
FIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Napoli vs Fiorentina · H/A from NAP
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25AFiorentina Vs NAP1-3
09/03/25HNAP Vs Fiorentina2-1
04/01/25AFiorentina Vs NAP0-3
17/05/24AFiorentina Vs NAP2-2
08/10/23HNAP Vs Fiorentina1-3
07/05/23HNAP Vs Fiorentina1-0
28/08/22AFiorentina Vs NAP0-0
10/04/22HNAP Vs Fiorentina2-3

NapoliNapoli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/26HNAP Vs Chelsea2-3
25/01/26AJuventus Vs NAP3-0
20/01/26AFC Copenhagen Vs NAP1-1
17/01/26HNAP Vs Sassuolo1-0
14/01/26HNAP Vs Parma0-0
11/01/26AInter Vs NAP2-2
07/01/26HNAP Vs Hellas Verona2-2
04/01/26ALazio Vs NAP0-2
28/12/25ACremonese Vs NAP0-2
14/12/25AUdinese Vs NAP1-0

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/26HFIO Vs Cagliari1-2
18/01/26ABologna Vs FIO1-2
11/01/26HFIO Vs AC Milan1-1
07/01/26ALazio Vs FIO2-2
04/01/26HFIO Vs Cremonese1-0
27/12/25AParma Vs FIO1-0
21/12/25HFIO Vs Udinese5-1
18/12/25ALausanne Vs FIO1-0
14/12/25HFIO Vs Hellas Verona1-2
11/12/25HFIO Vs Dynamo Kyiv2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Napoli
Napoli
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.84
HomeWDDWL2.29
AwayWWDDL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%67%38%
AVG goals2.442.542.35
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %44%54%35%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.441.751.15
Conceded1.000.791.19
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners8.628.968.31
Cards3.402.953.80
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.30
HomeLWWDL1.64
AwayLLLDW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.722.762.68
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.381.561.20
Conceded1.341.201.48
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners8.769.008.52
Cards5.005.424.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches