This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bastia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.93
1.00
0.53
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.95
1.00
0.90
0.70
1.00
1.27
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.86
1.50
0.25
1.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.6%
Under 1.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.2%
@ 2.82-3.1%
Under 2.5
69.8%
@ 1.41+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.9%
Under 3.5
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.4%
No
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.0%
1-1 ✓
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
Niort goals ↓
Bastia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
12%
6.2%
1.9%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.2%
1.9%
0.4%
2
7.4%
6.8%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Niort goals (down), columns = Bastia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Toulouse
2.08
Ajaccio
1.97
Auxerre
1.95
Paris FC
1.84
Sochaux
1.79
Guingamp
1.53
Le Havre
1.32
Caen
1.32
Nimes
1.29
PAU
1.29
Dijon
1.24
Niort
1.21
Bastia
1.21
Valenciennes
1.16
Amiens
1.16
Grenoble
1.16
Rodez
1.13
Rouen
1.05
Dunkerque
0.82
Nancy
0.71
Niort and Bastia are level in average points per game (both 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Toulouse
2.16
Auxerre
1.61
Paris FC
1.42
Guingamp
1.37
Caen
1.34
Dijon
1.26
Sochaux
1.24
Nimes
1.16
Amiens
1.13
PAU
1.08
Niort
1.03
Ajaccio
1.03
Le Havre
1.00
Bastia
1.00
Valenciennes
0.89
Rouen
0.87
Nancy
0.84
Rodez
0.84
Grenoble
0.84
Dunkerque
0.74
Niort is 0.03 goals better than Bastia in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajaccio
0.50
Toulouse
0.87
Sochaux
0.89
Paris FC
0.92
Bastia
0.95
Auxerre
1.03
Le Havre
1.08
Amiens
1.08
Niort
1.11
Caen
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Grenoble
1.16
Valenciennes
1.24
Guingamp
1.26
PAU
1.29
Rouen
1.32
Nimes
1.34
Dunkerque
1.39
Dijon
1.39
Nancy
1.82
Niort is 0.16 goals worse than Bastia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Niort
For 4.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 16.3 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bastia
For 4.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 13.8 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Niort
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.6
8.7
3.5
3.2
3.8
28.4
28.1
28.6
vs Stronger (25)
8.5
8.5
8.5
3.0
2.7
3.4
26.7
26.5
27.0
vs Similar (25)
8.8
8.8
8.8
4.0
4.0
4.1
30.0
30.6
29.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
40%
36%
52%
40%
64%
86%
84%
88%
% under line
62%
60%
64%
48%
60%
36%
14%
16%
12%
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bastia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.6
9.1
3.8
3.6
3.9
26.8
27.0
26.6
vs Stronger (11)
9.4
10.0
8.8
3.5
3.2
3.8
26.2
28.4
24.0
vs Similar (31)
8.7
8.4
8.9
3.8
3.7
3.9
26.7
26.3
27.1
vs Weaker (8)
9.0
7.8
10.2
4.2
4.2
4.2
27.6
27.8
27.5
% over line
43%
38%
48%
54%
52%
56%
82%
79%
84%
% under line
57%
62%
52%
46%
48%
44%
18%
21%
16%
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Toulouse
9.7
Nimes
9.5
Nancy
9.4
Rouen
9.3
Sochaux
9.1
Guingamp
9.1
PAU
9.1
Dijon
9.1
Valenciennes
9.0
Auxerre
8.9
Bastia
8.8
Paris FC
8.7
Caen
8.7
Niort
8.6
Ajaccio
8.4
Amiens
8.3
Dunkerque
8.3
Grenoble
8.2
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.6
Caen
4.3
PAU
4.2
Grenoble
4.2
Ajaccio
4.2
Dijon
4.2
Sochaux
4.2
Guingamp
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Toulouse
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
Rouen
3.9
Nancy
3.9
Nimes
3.9
Bastia
3.8
Niort
3.5
Auxerre
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
32.1
Dunkerque
31.3
Rouen
30.4
Nancy
30.1
Caen
29.0
Rodez
28.9
Amiens
28.8
Guingamp
28.7
Niort
28.4
Ajaccio
28.1
Nimes
28.1
Toulouse
28.0
Dijon
27.6
PAU
27.4
Grenoble
27.1
Bastia
26.7
Sochaux
26.7
Le Havre
26.6
Paris FC
25.6
Auxerre
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
31.0%
Under 9.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.4%
Under 21.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Niort
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.27
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
0.57
0.38
0.25
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.25
0.29
0.29
0.67
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bastia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.27
0.60
0.07
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.29
0.50
0.00
0.45
0.55
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.29
1.00
0.25
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Niort over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Niort
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.87
0.40
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (14)
0.79
0.64
1.25
0.38
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.56
0.43
0.43
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Bastia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bastia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.40
0.47
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.71
0.40
0.70
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Niort over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bastia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Niort · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bilal Boutobba29%
Moataz Zemzemi17%
Nesta Elphege17%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Amadou Sagna11%
Junior Olaitan9%
Samuel Renel8%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Bryan Passi5%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Lenny Vallier4%
Yanis Merdji4%
Samy Benchama3%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Landry Manga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Kabore30%
Dylan Durivaux21%
Bilal Boutobba17%
Joris Moutachy15%
Ibrahima Sory Conté14%
Moataz Zemzemi13%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Junior Olaitan12%
Quentin Bernard12%
Lenny Vallier11%
Yanis Merdji11%
Bryan Passi11%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo7%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama6%
Samy Benchama6%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Amadou Sagna5%
Samuel Renel4%
Mathieu Michel3%
Jean Louchet0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Landry Manga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amadou Sagna14%
Bilal Boutobba11%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Junior Olaitan9%
Charles Kabore7%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Samuel Renel4%
Moataz Zemzemi3%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Yanis Merdji0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Junior Flemmings0%
Samy Benchama0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bilal Boutobba20%
Junior Olaitan18%
Junior Flemmings12%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Amadou Sagna5%
Yanis Merdji4%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Ibrahima Sory Conté0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Moataz Zemzemi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Samy Benchama0%
Samuel Renel0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Bastia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joachim Eickmayer20%
Felix Tomi14%
Jeremy Sebas13%
Ruben Beliandjou9%
Anthony Roncaglia8%
Amine Boutrah7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Dominique Guidi5%
Christophe Vincent4%
Juan Guevara4%
Tom Ducrocq3%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Johny Placide0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Loïc Etoga0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Matteo Petrignani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Noah Zilliox50%
Nicolas Parravicini50%
Juan Guevara44%
Dominique Guidi38%
Zakaria Ariss29%
Tom Ducrocq24%
Florian Bohnert20%
Gustave Akueson19%
Jeremy Sebas17%
Tom Meynadier16%
Anthony Roncaglia16%
Christophe Vincent16%
Amine Boutrah14%
Joachim Eickmayer13%
Mehdi Merghem12%
Loïc Etoga10%
Matteo Petrignani10%
Issiaka Karamoko10%
Johny Placide9%
Felix Tomi9%
Lisandru Olmeta8%
Maxime Blé7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Jocelyn Janneh4%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Loïc Etoga10%
Matteo Petrignani10%
Amine Boutrah7%
Alexandre Zaouai7%
Felix Tomi6%
Johny Placide4%
Florian Bohnert4%
Juan Guevara4%
Jocelyn Janneh4%
Zakaria Ariss3%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dominique Guidi0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Christophe Vincent0%
Mehdi Merghem0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Joachim Eickmayer0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Jeremy Sebas0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mehdi Merghem25%
Jeremy Sebas23%
Amine Boutrah21%
Felix Tomi14%
Joachim Eickmayer7%
Christophe Vincent4%
Tom Ducrocq3%
Dominique Guidi0%
Anthony Roncaglia0%
Gustave Akueson0%
Florian Bohnert0%
Johny Placide0%
Issiaka Karamoko0%
Loïc Etoga0%
Juan Guevara0%
Maxime Blé0%
Tom Meynadier0%
Noah Zilliox0%
Yahya Bathily0%
Victor Lebas0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Lisandru Olmeta0%
Zakaria Ariss0%
Jocelyn Janneh0%
Nicolas Parravicini0%
Matteo Petrignani0%
Alexandre Zaouai0%
Ruben Beliandjou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Toulouse
Ajaccio
Auxerre
Paris FC
Sochaux
Guingamp
Caen
Le Havre
Nimes
PAU
Dijon
Amiens
Grenoble
Valenciennes
Rodez
Rouen
Dunkerque
Nancy