Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.30
0.57
0.36
0.50
0.25
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.23
0.64
0.36
0.45
0.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.37
0.36
0.29
0.50
0.44
vs Stronger (12)
0.08
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.57
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.39
0.56
0.44
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.86
0.86
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.62
0.33
2.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.41
1.00
0.55
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
1.14
0.71
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.75
1.20
0.40
0.14
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.72
1.11
0.89
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Indrit Tuci35%
Sandro KulenoviÄ33%
Duje Äop32%
Luka StojkoviÄ25%
Marin Å otiÄek20%
Robert Mudražija18%
Vladan Bubanja12%
Silvio GoriÄan9%
Fran Žilinski7%
Mateo MariÄ6%
Fabijan Krivak5%
Branimir Kalaica4%
Art Smakaj4%
Marin Leovac0%
Karlo Bartolec0%
Jon Mersinaj0%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Ivan MiliÄeviÄ0%
Marko VranjkoviÄ0%
Zvonimir Å ubariÄ0%
Ivan BulatoviÄ0%
Nikola Äavlina0%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ0%
Lukas KaÄavenda0%
Viktor Kanižaj0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Feta Fetai0%
Matej MatiÄ0%
Ivan Kukavica0%
Anes Huskic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sandro KulenoviÄ33%
Anes Huskic33%
Jon Mersinaj31%
Viktor Kanižaj27%
Zvonimir Å ubariÄ25%
Ivan Kukavica25%
Marin Leovac20%
Marin Å otiÄek20%
Feta Fetai20%
Vladan Bubanja19%
Art Smakaj19%
Duje Äop18%
Robert Mudražija18%
Marko VranjkoviÄ15%
Karlo Bartolec15%
Mateo MariÄ15%
Ivan MiliÄeviÄ14%
Ivan BulatoviÄ14%
Branimir Kalaica12%
Ivan Canjuga12%
Fabijan Krivak11%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ10%
Silvio GoriÄan9%
Nikola Äavlina3%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Indrit Tuci0%
Luka StojkoviÄ0%
Lukas KaÄavenda0%
Fran Žilinski0%
Matej MatiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luka StojkoviÄ50%
Lukas KaÄavenda25%
Indrit Tuci18%
Robert Mudražija14%
Duje Äop14%
Silvio GoriÄan12%
Marko VranjkoviÄ10%
Art Smakaj8%
Karlo Bartolec7%
Ivan MiliÄeviÄ7%
Mateo MariÄ6%
Fabijan Krivak5%
Marin Leovac4%
Jon Mersinaj3%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Zvonimir Å ubariÄ0%
Sandro KulenoviÄ0%
Branimir Kalaica0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Ivan BulatoviÄ0%
Nikola Äavlina0%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ0%
Fran Žilinski0%
Viktor Kanižaj0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Marin Å otiÄek0%
Feta Fetai0%
Matej MatiÄ0%
Ivan Kukavica0%
Anes Huskic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luka StojkoviÄ50%
Sandro KulenoviÄ33%
Indrit Tuci29%
Silvio GoriÄan16%
Ivan BulatoviÄ14%
Duje Äop14%
Marin Å otiÄek10%
Branimir Kalaica8%
Vladan Bubanja8%
Robert Mudražija7%
Fran Žilinski7%
Fabijan Krivak5%
Art Smakaj4%
Jon Mersinaj3%
Marin Leovac0%
Karlo Bartolec0%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Ivan MiliÄeviÄ0%
Marko VranjkoviÄ0%
Zvonimir Å ubariÄ0%
Mateo MariÄ0%
Nikola Äavlina0%
Moreno ŽivkoviÄ0%
Lukas KaÄavenda0%
Viktor Kanižaj0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Feta Fetai0%
Matej MatiÄ0%
Ivan Kukavica0%
Anes Huskic0%
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tim Matavž21%
Nikola VujnoviÄ15%
Gabrijel Rukavina13%
Ante Matej JuriÄ13%
Josip MitroviÄ13%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ12%
Sven Blummel11%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Marko Soldo9%
Dino Å tiglec6%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ0%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Filip Mrzljak0%
Merveil Ndockyt0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Luka Kapulica0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario MatkoviÄ38%
Andrej Lazarov33%
Ante Matej JuriÄ30%
Merveil Ndockyt25%
Jurica PrŔir24%
Marko Soldo21%
Filip Mrzljak17%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ17%
Alexander Munksgaard15%
Mateo LeŔ13%
Sven Blummel11%
Josip MitroviÄ10%
Ivan BaniÄ6%
Mario MaloÄa6%
Dino Å tiglec6%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ6%
Luka Kapulica4%
Nikola VujnoviÄ4%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Tim Matavž0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dino Å tiglec18%
Ante Matej JuriÄ13%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ11%
Josip MitroviÄ10%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Tim Matavž8%
Merveil Ndockyt8%
Lenny IleÄiÄ7%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ6%
Luka Kapulica4%
Filip Mrzljak3%
Marko Soldo3%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Sven Blummel0%
Nikola VujnoviÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola VujnoviÄ19%
Josip MitroviÄ13%
Merveil Ndockyt8%
Ante Matej JuriÄ7%
Jurica PrŔir6%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ6%
Tim Matavž4%
Dino Å tiglec3%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Sven Blummel0%
Filip Mrzljak0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Marko Soldo0%
Luka Kapulica0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's squad is €2m more valuable than HNK Gorica's (€10m vs €9m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's attack is €1m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€3m vs €4m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's midfield is €2m more valuable than HNK Gorica's (€3m vs €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's defence is €1m more valuable than HNK Gorica's (€4m vs €3m).
Croatia: HNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →