NK Osijek vs HNK Rijeka Result & Analysis

The encounter between NK Osijek and HNK Rijeka is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving the draw and away victory within reach. The probabilities are 39% for an Osijek win, 31% for a draw and 31% for a Rijeka win, so the most likely result is a home victory. The average number of goals expected is 2.3, with the single most probable scoreline being 1-1 at 14.4%. Osijek, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Rijeka, away from home, averages 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 96.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 92.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.9%, Over 23.5 fouls at 84.2%, Under 3.5 at 78.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.1%, Over 25.5 fouls at 72.9% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.8%. The teams are evenly poised, but the slight edge lies with the home side.

The final score was 2-0, a home win that matched the model’s pick and the actual result. The model had selected a home win with a 39% probability, and this call proved correct. The match also saw the model’s suggested selections largely hit: Over 19.5 fouls (96.6% probability), Over 21.5 fouls (92.0%), Over 2.5 cards (85.9%), Over 23.5 fouls (84.2%), Under 3.5 (78.9%), Under 11.5 corners (76.1%), Over 25.5 fouls (72.9%) and Over 3.5 cards (70.8%) all came through. NK Osijek, coming off a win, extended their recent form streak, while HNK Rijeka, after a draw, failed to secure a point. The model’s predictions were largely accurate, confirming its reliability.