NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Result & Analysis

The match between NK Slaven Belupo and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 35% and 37% respectively, while a draw is 28%. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderate scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% chance. NK Slaven Belupo, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 0.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, on the road, averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards (84.6%), Under 11.5 corners (84.5%), Over 19.5 fouls (83.0%), Under 10.5 corners (75.9%), Over 1.5 (76.4%) and Under 3.5 (71.4%). Each pick is listed with its probability, and the edge percentages are noted where provided. This balanced outlook reflects both sides’ recent form, with Slaven Belupo struggling after a 0-3 loss to Osijek and Lokomotiva still recovering from a 0-2 defeat to Hajduk Split.

The pre-match favourite, an away win for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, fell short as the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s prediction. NK Slaven Belupo, coming off a defeat, and Lokomotiva, after three straight losses, both struggled to break the deadlock. The model’s pick was incorrect, with the probability of an away win at 37%. The suggested selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 84.6%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 84.5%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 83.0%, Under 10.5 corners hit at 75.9%, and Under 3.5 hit at 71.4%. However, Over 1.5 missed at 76.4%. The final score of 0-0 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, but the game’s total goals remained below the expected 2.7.