Nottingham Forest are tipped to win, with a 46% chance of a home victory, 29% for a draw and 26% for Leeds to come out on top. The model expects an average of 2.5 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Forest have been scoring 1.17 goals and conceding 0.75 against teams of similar strength at home, while Leeds are averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.42 conceded on the road. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.5% with a 2% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.8% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (95.6% with a 3% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (93.7% with a 2% edge), Under 5.5 cards (91.8% but a miss), Away under 2.5 goals (91.0% with a 4% edge) and Home +2 handicap (89.9% but a miss). The recent form shows Forest struggling after two defeats, while Leeds are on a two-game winning run.
Results analysis
The surprise came early as Nottingham Forest, the pre-match favourite, fell short of the model’s 46% home-win expectation. The final score was 0-2, an away win that left the model’s pick incorrect. The model had also predicted a 2-goal total, the most likely score being 1-1, but the game produced only two goals, undercutting the 27% probability of that outcome. Every suggested pick was examined: Under 7.5 (99.5%) hit, Under 6.5 (98.5%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.8%) hit, Under 5.5 (95.6%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (93.7%) hit, Under 5.5 cards (91.8%) missed, Away under 2.5 goals (91.0%) hit, and Home +2 handicap (89.9%) missed. The match underlined that even the most confident predictions can be overturned.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
45.9%
Avg Implied 42.7% · @ 2.20
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.24
Dafabet
2.22
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.32
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.55
10Bet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
1xBet
3.38
Marathonbet
3.38
Leeds win✓ Hit
25.6%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.24
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.38
1xBet
3.36
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.30
Unibet
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nottingham Forest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.07
1.00
0.67
2.00
1.47
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
0.83
0.33
0.33
2.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
1.58
1.12
1.17
0.75
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.17
1.69
1.00
1.24
1.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.83
1.00
2.67
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.00
1.90
0.50
1.25
1.42
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
@ 1.30+1.3%
Under 1.5
26.8%
@ 3.33-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.32
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.29
Under
Unibet
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Superbet
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 1.98-1.4%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.82+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.03
SBO
2.02
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Unibet
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
@ 3.41-2.5%
Under 3.5
75.0%
@ 1.29+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Pinnacle
3.48
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
@ 1.76-1.6%
No
48.5%
@ 1.99+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
1.75
Superbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
No
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.06
BetVictor
2.00
1xBet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 5.91+5.7%
1-0
10.5%@ 7.11+4.0%
0-0
9.2%@ 9.18+4.1%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.27+3.5%
2-0
8.7%@ 9.82+4.0%
0-1
7.1%@ 9.05+2.0%
1-2
6.5%@ 10.36+2.0%
2-2
4.8%@ 12.95+1.2%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Leeds goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
7.1%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.2%
4.8%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.3%
4.5%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Leeds goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
3.00
Cardiff
2.40
Millwall
2.33
Arsenal
2.17
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Accrington
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Wigan
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Chelsea
1.80
Newcastle
1.80
Wrexham
1.75
Fulham
1.75
Grimsby
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Crystal Palace
1.67
Bristol City
1.50
Coventry
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Everton
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Charlton
1.50
Liverpool
1.50
Mansfield
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Leeds
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barnet
1.00
Salford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leicester
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Manchester United
1.00
Hull
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bolton
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Sheffield Weds
0.67
Huddersfield
0.67
Burton
0.50
AFC Wimbledon
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Stoke
0.50
Derby
0.50
Newport County
0.50
Rochdale
0.48
York
0.36
Sheffield United
0.00
West Ham
0.00
Blackburn
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Shrewsbury
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Exeter
0.00
QPR
0.00
Oldham
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Crawley Town
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Watford
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Nottingham Forest
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Luton
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Nottingham Forest is 1.00 points worse than Leeds in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brighton
4.00
Hull
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Wolves
2.67
Manchester City
2.33
Wrexham
2.25
Chelsea
2.20
Cardiff
2.00
West Ham
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Barnet
2.00
QPR
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Swansea
2.00
Nottingham Forest
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Brentford
2.00
Newcastle
1.80
Southampton
1.67
Cambridge
1.67
Accrington
1.67
Lincoln
1.67
Crystal Palace
1.67
Stockport
1.50
Grimsby
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Arsenal
1.50
Reading
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Millwall
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Fulham
1.25
Wycombe
1.25
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Sheffield United
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackburn
1.00
Shrewsbury
1.00
Stevenage
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Cheltenham
1.00
Oldham
1.00
Crawley Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Watford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Norwich
1.00
Derby
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Swindon
1.00
Huddersfield
1.00
Peterboro
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Liverpool
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Port Vale
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Rochdale
0.56
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
York
0.42
Blackpool
0.00
Exeter
0.00
Salford
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Stoke
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Luton
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Nottingham Forest is 1.00 goals better than Leeds in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Salford
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Manchester City
0.33
Wycombe
0.50
Southampton
0.67
Cambridge
0.67
Port Vale
0.67
Millwall
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Crystal Palace
0.67
Brighton
0.67
Fulham
0.75
Brentford
0.75
Arsenal
0.83
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackpool
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Burton
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Rotherham
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Northampton
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leyton Orient
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Tottenham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Luton
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Cardiff
1.20
Reading
1.33
Accrington
1.33
Newcastle
1.40
AFC Wimbledon
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Stoke
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Derby
1.50
Newport County
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.67
Bradford
1.67
Huddersfield
1.67
Wrexham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Chelsea
1.80
Sheffield United
2.00
Blackburn
2.00
Barnet
2.00
Exeter
2.00
Grimsby
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Watford
2.00
Bournemouth
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Milton Keynes Dons
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Portsmouth
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
West Ham
3.00
Shrewsbury
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Barnsley
3.00
QPR
3.00
Oldham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Nottingham Forest
3.00
Hull
3.00
Oxford
3.00
Crewe
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Rochdale
3.31
Middlesbrough
4.00
York
4.45
Nottingham Forest is 2.00 goals worse than Leeds in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Leeds
80%
Barnet
77%
Peterboro
72%
Chesterfield
71%
Ipswich
71%
Manchester United
70%
Sunderland
70%
Stoke
66%
Manchester City
66%
Blackburn
65%
Bournemouth
65%
Notts County
64%
Portsmouth
63%
Tranmere
63%
Birmingham
62%
Fulham
62%
Middlesbrough
62%
Hull
61%
Chelsea
60%
Leicester
60%
Liverpool
60%
Stevenage
58%
Oldham
58%
Preston
58%
Brighton
57%
Blackpool
57%
Bristol Rvs
57%
Cardiff
57%
Everton
56%
Coventry
56%
Barnsley
56%
Stockport
55%
West Brom
55%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Tottenham
54%
Arsenal
54%
Aston Villa
54%
Bristol City
54%
Exeter
53%
Newcastle
53%
Bolton
53%
Norwich
52%
Plymouth
52%
Salford
51%
Gillingham
51%
Burnley
51%
Wycombe
50%
Oxford
50%
AFC Wimbledon
50%
Millwall
50%
Doncaster
49%
West Ham
49%
Southampton
49%
Leyton Orient
49%
Swansea
49%
Charlton
48%
Wolves
48%
Lincoln
47%
Reading
46%
Sheffield United
46%
Luton
46%
Wrexham
46%
Derby
45%
Brentford
44%
Grimsby
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Watford
44%
Crewe
44%
Rotherham
44%
Northampton
43%
Burton
42%
Cheltenham
42%
Wigan
42%
Crystal Palace
42%
Sheffield Weds
40%
Crawley Town
39%
Cambridge
37%
Colchester
37%
Accrington
35%
Fleetwood Town
35%
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
Bradford
33%
Huddersfield
32%
Mansfield
32%
QPR
31%
Port Vale
31%
Newport County
30%
Bromley
30%
Swindon
27%
Walsall
26%
Nottingham Forest is 25.0 percentage points worse than Leeds in terms of average possession (55% vs 80%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nottingham Forest
For 4.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leeds
For 3.9 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nottingham Forest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
3.5
3.0
4.0
23.4
22.3
24.5
vs Stronger (10)
9.8
9.8
9.8
3.2
3.5
2.8
21.8
24.3
18.0
vs Similar (40)
10.0
9.6
10.4
3.5
2.8
4.2
23.8
21.6
25.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
54%
54%
48%
38%
58%
62%
54%
71%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
52%
62%
42%
38%
46%
29%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
3.5
3.4
3.5
21.9
20.9
22.8
vs Stronger (9)
8.7
9.8
7.8
4.1
3.2
4.8
22.2
21.5
22.8
vs Similar (33)
9.5
9.7
9.4
3.5
3.8
3.2
22.4
22.3
22.5
vs Weaker (8)
10.8
9.7
11.4
2.8
1.7
3.4
19.5
12.3
23.8
% over line
50%
52%
48%
42%
43%
41%
52%
48%
56%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
58%
57%
59%
48%
52%
44%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
12.0
York
12.0
Sheffield United
11.4
Plymouth
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Swindon
11.2
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Leicester
11.0
Southampton
11.0
Barnsley
10.9
Middlesbrough
10.9
Cardiff
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Preston
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Grimsby
10.6
Stoke
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Walsall
10.5
Rochdale
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Bromley
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Watford
10.4
Wrexham
10.4
Luton
10.4
Port Vale
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Hull
10.3
Burton
10.3
Birmingham
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Chesterfield
10.2
Exeter
10.2
Barnet
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
QPR
10.2
Northampton
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Bolton
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Fleetwood Town
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Tranmere
10.0
Derby
10.0
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Oldham
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Tottenham
9.9
AFC Wimbledon
9.8
Salford
9.7
Accrington
9.7
Rotherham
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Cheltenham
9.7
Coventry
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Charlton
9.7
Gillingham
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Bristol Rvs
9.5
Crewe
9.5
Wolves
9.5
Aston Villa
9.4
Notts County
9.4
Burnley
9.3
Reading
9.3
West Brom
9.3
Everton
9.2
Colchester
9.2
Sunderland
9.2
Cambridge
9.2
Lincoln
9.1
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7
Stevenage
8.6
Shrewsbury
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Tottenham
4.6
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Bournemouth
4.5
Watford
4.5
Notts County
4.4
Crawley Town
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Hull
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Lincoln
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Derby
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Southampton
4.1
Stoke
4.0
Rotherham
4.0
Accrington
4.0
Leyton Orient
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Gillingham
3.9
Portsmouth
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Newport County
3.9
York
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Crewe
3.9
Swansea
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Salford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Luton
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Grimsby
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Walsall
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Liverpool
3.6
Burton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Reading
3.6
Port Vale
3.6
Barnet
3.6
Cheltenham
3.5
Millwall
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Preston
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Stockport
3.3
Rochdale
3.3
Burnley
3.2
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crewe
25.6
Crawley Town
25.3
Oldham
25.3
Colchester
25.0
Salford
24.8
Stevenage
24.7
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Plymouth
24.3
Huddersfield
24.2
Ipswich
24.1
Luton
24.0
Rochdale
24.0
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Peterboro
23.9
Barnet
23.9
Gillingham
23.9
Grimsby
23.8
Rotherham
23.7
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wolves
23.3
Leyton Orient
23.3
Blackpool
23.3
Wigan
23.3
Bournemouth
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Newport County
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Fleetwood Town
23.0
Lincoln
23.0
Tottenham
23.0
Tranmere
22.8
Shrewsbury
22.8
Derby
22.8
Sunderland
22.7
Reading
22.6
Walsall
22.6
Doncaster
22.5
Southampton
22.5
West Ham
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Cambridge
22.4
Swansea
22.4
Leicester
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
Accrington
22.2
Bolton
22.2
Mansfield
22.2
Brighton
22.2
Burton
22.2
Cheltenham
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Chesterfield
22.0
Birmingham
22.0
Northampton
22.0
Everton
22.0
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Exeter
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Newcastle
21.8
Port Vale
21.7
Bromley
21.7
Manchester United
21.7
Sheffield United
21.6
Charlton
21.6
Crystal Palace
21.5
Hull
21.4
Wycombe
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Norwich
21.3
Watford
21.3
Liverpool
21.3
Manchester City
21.3
Bristol City
21.2
Blackburn
21.1
Coventry
21.0
Stockport
20.9
Stoke
20.8
QPR
20.7
Millwall
20.7
West Brom
20.7
Barnsley
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Swindon
20.4
Burnley
20.3
Preston
20.1
Fulham
20.1
Brentford
19.7
Wrexham
19.4
York
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.0%
@ 1.84-4.4%
Under 9.5
54.0%
@ 1.87+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Unibet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Under
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.8%
@ 2.31-5.0%
Under 3.5
65.2%
@ 1.53+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.45
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.20
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.51
Unibet
1.46
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.2%
@ 1.75+8.2%
Under 21.5
41.8%
@ 1.75-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.75
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Nottingham Forest or Draw✗ Miss
74.4%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.31
Edge
+3.0%
46%
29%
26%
covers Nottingham Forest + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Nottingham Forest or Leeds✓ Hit
71.5%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.30
Edge
-0.4%
46%
29%
26%
covers Nottingham Forest + Leeds
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Draw or Leeds✓ Hit
54.1%
Avg Implied 56.8% · @ 1.65
Edge
-2.6%
46%
29%
26%
covers Draw + Leeds
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
SBO
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.3%
@ 1.22+1.3%
Under
22.7%
@ 3.87-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.89
Superbet
3.85
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.6%
@ 2.16+0.2%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.66-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
Under
Unibet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 4.66-1.4%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.17+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Nottingham Forest over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 10.79-2.4%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.04+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
11.50
Marathonbet
11.50
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Leeds over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.1%
@ 1.37-2.6%
Under
34.9%
@ 2.87+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Leeds over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.3%
@ 2.89-4.1%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.38+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Leeds over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 7.17-4.0%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.07+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Leeds over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 18.12-3.1%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
19.00
Unibet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Unibet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Nottingham Forest, so a minus line means Nottingham Forest give that many goals of a start and Leeds receive them. At -1, Nottingham Forest must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nottingham Forest win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Nottingham Forest)Actual: Leeds
Nottingham Forest -2
9.2%
@ 10.23+0.3%
Draw -2
14.2%
@ 6.51+0.2%
Leeds +2
76.5%
@ 1.18-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
15.00
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
8.50
Draw
10Bet
8.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.85
Away
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Nottingham Forest)Actual: Leeds
Nottingham Forest -1
23.5%
@ 4.30+2.4%
Draw -1
22.4%
@ 3.89-0.9%
Leeds +1
54.1%
@ 1.62-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Draw
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.82
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betfair
1.62
Handicap +1 (Nottingham Forest)Actual: Leeds
Nottingham Forest +1
74.4%
@ 1.32+5.9%
Draw +1
15.5%
@ 4.74-3.5%
Leeds -1
10.1%
@ 7.22-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.85
Unibet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Away
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Handicap +2 (Nottingham Forest)Actual: Draw
Nottingham Forest +2
89.9%
@ 1.07+4.2%
Draw +2
7.2%
@ 9.90-2.1%
Leeds -2
2.9%
@ 18.60-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Superbet
8.50
Away
10Bet
23.00
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Unibet
15.00
Superbet
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nottingham Forest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.40
0.27
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.54
0.42
0.33
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.27
0.69
0.23
0.41
0.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.83
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.09
0.90
0.00
0.58
0.17
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
77% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Under
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.93
William Hil
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.98
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Under
Unibet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Under
Unibet
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.10
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.39
Betano
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Unibet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
7.80
Unibet
7.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nottingham Forest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
0.60
0.40
1.13
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.58
0.75
0.42
1.17
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.90
1.00
0.77
0.82
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.91
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.25
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
-
-
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Betano
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.72
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.68
10Bet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Unibet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.10
Superbet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Unibet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
91.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.9%
1.07
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
88.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
81.3%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.3%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+1.3%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.7%
1.30
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.0%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.4%
1.31
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
74.4%
1.32
Marathonbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.2%
1.30
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.32
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.29
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.7%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.5%
1.30
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
-0.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dan Ndoye33%
Xaver Schlager0%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
Igor Jesus0%
Neco Williams0%
Luca Netz0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ola Aina67%
Jair67%
Xaver Schlager33%
Igor Jesus33%
Murillo33%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
Dan Ndoye0%
Neco Williams0%
Luca Netz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Xaver Schlager0%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
Igor Jesus0%
Dan Ndoye0%
Neco Williams0%
Luca Netz0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dan Ndoye33%
Xaver Schlager0%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
Igor Jesus0%
Neco Williams0%
Luca Netz0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin33%
James Justin33%
Anton Stach33%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Harry Wilson0%
Joe Rodon0%
Noah Okafor0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
James Trafford0%
Tarik Muharemović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu33%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin33%
Jayden Bogle0%
Harry Wilson0%
Joe Rodon0%
James Justin0%
Noah Okafor0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
James Trafford0%
Anton Stach0%
Tarik Muharemović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ethan Ampadu0%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Harry Wilson0%
Joe Rodon0%
James Justin0%
Noah Okafor0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
James Trafford0%
Anton Stach0%
Tarik Muharemović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethan Ampadu0%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Harry Wilson0%
Joe Rodon0%
James Justin0%
Noah Okafor0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
James Trafford0%
Anton Stach0%
Tarik Muharemović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €124m more valuable than Leeds's (€551m vs €427m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €98m more valuable than Leeds's (€263m vs €166m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €46m less valuable than Leeds's (€52m vs €98m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €72m more valuable than Leeds's (€236m vs €163m).
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Hull
Chelsea
Brentford
Newcastle
Everton
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Ipswich
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Fulham
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Tottenham