OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 42% chance for Aris Thessalonikis, 27% for a draw, and 30% for OFI. The expected total of 2.8 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring encounter, but the single most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 12.9% probability. OFI, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Aris, on the road, averages 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. The match preview is shaped by recent form: OFI has recovered from a defeat, whereas Aris is on a five-game winning streak. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 94.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 93.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 86.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 85.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 79.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 75.9%, and Over 4.5 cards at 72.5%. These picks reflect a high-intensity, card-heavy match.

The pre-match favourite, Aris Thessalonikis, did not deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that defied the model’s pick. OFI, after a defeat, had a shaky five-game run, while Aris came in on a five-game winning streak. The model had assigned a 42% probability to an away win, but that call was wrong. Every suggested selection hit: Over 2.5 cards at 94.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 93.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 86.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 85.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 79.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 75.9% and Over 4.5 cards at 72.5%. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which the model had a 12.9% chance of occurring.