This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruh Lviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.93
1.27
0.80
1.67
1.07
vs Stronger (15)
1.20
1.07
1.00
1.00
1.38
1.12
vs Similar (15)
1.73
0.80
1.50
0.62
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.0%
Under 2.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
2-2 ✓
4.7%
Oleksandria goals ↓
Ruh Lviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
11%
9.0%
4.5%
1.7%
1
7.0%
14%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
2
4.2%
6.3%
4.7%
2.3%
0.9%
3
1.4%
2.1%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oleksandria goals (down), columns = Ruh Lviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Oleksandria is 0.50 points worse than Ruh Lviv in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Oleksandria is 0.47 goals worse than Ruh Lviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Oleksandria is 0.23 goals worse than Ruh Lviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Oleksandria is 0.3 percentage points better than Ruh Lviv in terms of average possession (51% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oleksandria
For 3.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ruh Lviv
For 5.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 8.5 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oleksandria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.0
8.9
3.9
3.9
3.8
23.0
24.0
22.1
vs Stronger (10)
9.4
9.5
9.2
3.9
3.2
4.6
22.5
23.5
21.5
vs Similar (31)
9.0
10.1
7.8
4.0
4.6
3.5
23.2
23.6
22.7
vs Weaker (9)
11.5
10.5
12.0
3.2
2.2
4.0
23.0
27.5
20.8
% over line
45%
43%
48%
58%
52%
64%
57%
65%
50%
% under line
55%
57%
52%
42%
48%
36%
43%
35%
50%
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruh Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.7
10.3
4.2
4.0
4.4
23.6
24.8
22.6
vs Stronger (24)
9.8
9.4
10.0
3.0
3.2
2.8
21.8
25.8
19.8
vs Similar (26)
9.4
8.4
10.5
5.4
4.6
6.2
24.8
24.4
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
28%
57%
62%
64%
60%
67%
78%
57%
% under line
56%
72%
43%
38%
36%
40%
33%
22%
43%
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.4
LNZ Cherkasy
10.4
Kolos Kovalivka
10.2
Polessya
10.1
Zorya Luhansk
10.1
Vorskla Poltava
10.0
Ruh Lviv
9.5
Oleksandria
9.5
Dynamo Kyiv
9.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.4
Minai
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.3
Kryvbas KR
9.1
Dnipro-1
9.1
Chornomorets
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
5.8
Obolon'-Brovar
5.7
Ruh Lviv
5.4
Vorskla Poltava
5.3
Veres Rivne
5.0
Dynamo Kyiv
5.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.8
Kolos Kovalivka
4.7
Chornomorets
4.7
LNZ Cherkasy
4.7
Oleksandria
4.6
Zorya Luhansk
4.6
Minai
4.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.4
Kryvbas KR
4.2
Dnipro-1
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
27.0
Vorskla Poltava
26.4
LNZ Cherkasy
24.2
Minai
23.9
Dynamo Kyiv
23.8
Ruh Lviv
23.6
Kryvbas KR
23.4
Kolos Kovalivka
23.3
Dnipro-1
23.2
Oleksandria
23.0
Polessya
22.6
Zorya Luhansk
22.4
Chornomorets
22.3
Veres Rivne
22.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
22.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
64.0%
Under 21.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oleksandria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.27
0.67
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.25
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.68
0.33
0.89
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruh Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.27
0.73
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (15)
0.53
0.87
0.29
1.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.40
0.25
0.50
1.00
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oleksandria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.40
1.00
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.86
0.00
2.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.37
0.44
0.44
0.40
0.30
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ruh Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ruh Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.30
1.00
0.07
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (15)
0.67
0.20
0.71
0.00
0.62
0.38
vs Similar (15)
1.13
0.40
1.25
0.12
1.00
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ruh Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oleksandria
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mykola Mykhailenko33%
Rodion Plaksa33%
Danil Skorko29%
Anton Kravchenko20%
Vladyslav Pohorilyi20%
Artem Shulianskyi17%
Juan Alvina Bezerra17%
Kyrylo Kovalets14%
Yevhenii Smyrnyi0%
Mykyta Shevchenko0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Sergii Loginov0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Yurii Kopyna0%
Denys Kostyshyn0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Miguel Campos0%
De0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Andriy Kulakov0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Denys Shostak0%
Geovani0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Kyrylo Siheyev0%
Roman Savchenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodion Plaksa67%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi50%
Miguel Campos50%
Georgiy Yermakov50%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev33%
Oleksandr Martinyuk33%
Kyrylo Siheyev29%
Yevhenii Smyrnyi25%
Mykyta Shevchenko20%
Sergii Loginov20%
Denys Shostak20%
Roman Savchenko20%
Kyrylo Kovalets14%
Geovani14%
Anton Kravchenko0%
Yurii Kopyna0%
Denys Kostyshyn0%
De0%
Mykola Mykhailenko0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Artem Shulianskyi0%
Danil Skorko0%
Vladyslav Pohorilyi0%
Andriy Kulakov0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Juan Alvina Bezerra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel Campos50%
Juan Alvina Bezerra33%
Kyrylo Kovalets29%
Mykola Mykhailenko17%
Kyrylo Siheyev14%
Yevhenii Smyrnyi0%
Anton Kravchenko0%
Mykyta Shevchenko0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Sergii Loginov0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Yurii Kopyna0%
Denys Kostyshyn0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
De0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Artem Shulianskyi0%
Danil Skorko0%
Vladyslav Pohorilyi0%
Andriy Kulakov0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Denys Shostak0%
Rodion Plaksa0%
Geovani0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Roman Savchenko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi50%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev33%
De33%
Mykola Mykhailenko33%
Artem Shulianskyi33%
Andriy Kulakov25%
Juan Alvina Bezerra17%
Kyrylo Kovalets14%
Danil Skorko14%
Geovani14%
Kyrylo Siheyev14%
Yevhenii Smyrnyi0%
Anton Kravchenko0%
Mykyta Shevchenko0%
Sergii Loginov0%
Yurii Kopyna0%
Denys Kostyshyn0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Miguel Campos0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Vladyslav Pohorilyi0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Denys Shostak0%
Rodion Plaksa0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Roman Savchenko0%
Ruh Lviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Illia Kvasnytsya50%
Yevhenii Pastukh33%
Talles Brener20%
Roman Didyk17%
Bohdan Slyubyk17%
Ange-Freddy Plumain0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Denys Pidgurskyi0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Oleg Fedor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roman Didyk50%
Ange-Freddy Plumain33%
Vitalii Roman33%
Bohdan Slyubyk33%
Denys Pidgurskyi20%
Oleg Fedor20%
Vasyl Runich17%
Illia Kvasnytsya17%
Talles Brener0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Talles Brener40%
Yaroslav Karabin20%
Ange-Freddy Plumain0%
Roman Didyk0%
Oleksii Sych0%
Vasyl Runich0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Denys Pidgurskyi0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Illia Kvasnytsya0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Yevhenii Pastukh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Talles Brener40%
Ange-Freddy Plumain33%
Roman Didyk17%
Vasyl Runich17%
Illia Kvasnytsya17%
Yevhenii Pastukh17%
Oleksii Sych0%
Yaroslav Karabin0%
Vitalii Roman0%
Denys Pidgurskyi0%
Bohdan Slyubyk0%
Dmytro Ledvii0%
Oleg Fedor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Kryvbas KR
Dnipro-1
Polessya
LNZ Cherkasy
Vorskla Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
Chornomorets
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
Minai
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Livyi Bereh
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi