This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.97
1.53
1.12
1.38
0.77
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
0.00
3.50
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
1.57
0.87
1.69
0.85
1.40
0.90
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
2-0 ✓
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
Paks goals ↓
Debreceni VSC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.0%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.4%
13%
7.0%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.1%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.9%
4.5%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.5%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Paks goals (down), columns = Debreceni VSC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.24
Paks
1.76
Puskas Academy
1.67
Fehérvár FC
1.64
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Diosgyori VTK
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Ujpest
1.12
Kisvarda FC
0.94
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.64
Paks is 0.30 points better than Debreceni VSC in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.42
Puskas Academy
1.82
Fehérvár FC
1.67
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.64
Paks
1.55
Diosgyori VTK
1.52
Debreceni VSC
1.48
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Ujpest
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.94
Paks is 0.06 goals better than Debreceni VSC in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.48).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.91
Puskas Academy
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.21
Paks
1.27
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
1.70
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.82
MTK Budapest
1.88
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.91
Ujpest
2.03
Paks is 0.18 goals better than Debreceni VSC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
65%
Debreceni VSC
57%
Puskas Academy
52%
Diosgyori VTK
52%
Kecskeméti TE
49%
Ujpest
49%
Fehérvár FC
48%
Mezokovesd-zsory
48%
MTK Budapest
47%
Kisvarda FC
47%
Paks
45%
Zalaegerszegi TE
39%
Paks is 12.4 percentage points worse than Debreceni VSC in terms of average possession (45% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Paks
For 6.1 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Debreceni VSC
For 5.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 17.0 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
11.0
10.9
11.1
2.9
3.1
2.8
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
11.7
12.5
10.0
5.5
6.0
5.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
11.4
10.6
12.1
2.5
2.4
2.6
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
9.6
10.5
9.0
3.2
5.0
2.2
-
-
-
% over line
68%
64%
73%
38%
39%
38%
-
-
-
% under line
32%
36%
27%
62%
61%
62%
-
-
-
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
9.0
8.6
9.6
2.7
3.2
1.9
30.2
32.0
28.5
vs Stronger (5)
8.2
5.5
11.0
3.2
5.5
1.7
32.5
35.0
30.0
vs Similar (34)
9.0
8.8
9.2
2.5
2.9
2.0
28.0
29.0
27.0
vs Weaker (4)
10.3
10.5
10.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
43%
58%
40%
50%
26%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
57%
42%
60%
50%
74%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kecskeméti TE
12.7
Diosgyori VTK
11.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
11.0
Paks
11.0
Ferencvarosi TC
9.9
Mezokovesd-zsory
9.7
Kisvarda FC
9.7
Ujpest
9.5
Puskas Academy
9.4
Debreceni VSC
9.0
Fehérvár FC
8.3
MTK Budapest
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Puskas Academy
5.9
Fehérvár FC
5.4
Ujpest
5.2
Kecskeméti TE
5.1
Paks
5.1
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.9
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
Mezokovesd-zsory
4.4
Debreceni VSC
4.2
Kisvarda FC
3.9
MTK Budapest
3.6
Diosgyori VTK
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kecskeméti TE
31.0
Debreceni VSC
30.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
29.5
Ferencvarosi TC
23.1
Fehérvár FC
15.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.1%
Under 9.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.9%
Under 3.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.71
0.29
0.75
1.25
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.25
0.50
0.50
1.50
4.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.59
0.70
0.30
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.41
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.30
0.54
0.23
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Paks over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.00
0.64
0.94
0.94
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.50
2.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.55
0.80
0.30
1.08
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
1.75
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
1.06
0.71
0.77
0.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.50
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.57
1.15
0.62
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Paks over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Paks
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Norbert Könyves40%
József Windecker31%
János Hahn15%
Bálint Szabó13%
Szabolcs Mezei13%
Kristóf Papp10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Balázs Balogh7%
János Szabó7%
Bence Lenzsér6%
Dániel Böde5%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Alen Skribek0%
Barna Tóth0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Krisztián Kovács0%
Kevin Horvath0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bence Lenzsér31%
Ákos Kinyik30%
Krisztián Kovács29%
Bálint Szabó27%
János Hahn23%
József Windecker23%
Barna Tóth20%
Bálint Vécsei20%
Attila Osváth19%
Kristóf Papp15%
Norbert Könyves15%
Norbert Szélpál14%
Kevin Horvath14%
Szabolcs Mezei13%
János Szabó13%
Gabor Vas13%
Dániel Böde10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Balázs Balogh7%
Péter Szappanos6%
Alen Skribek0%
Erik Silye0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alen Skribek29%
Kristóf Papp15%
Dániel Böde10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Bálint Szabó7%
Szabolcs Mezei7%
Balázs Balogh7%
János Szabó7%
Krisztián Kovács6%
Norbert Könyves5%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Barna Tóth0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Hahn0%
József Windecker0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Horvath0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norbert Könyves35%
József Windecker31%
Dániel Böde14%
Barna Tóth10%
János Hahn8%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Bálint Szabó7%
Krisztián Kovács6%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Szabolcs Mezei0%
Alen Skribek0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Balázs Balogh0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Szabó0%
Kristóf Papp0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Horvath0%
Debreceni VSC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vajda Botond23%
Balázs Dzsudzsák21%
Hamzat Ojediran19%
Márk Szécsi15%
Donát Bárány14%
Christian Manrique11%
Erik Kusnyír10%
Brandon Domingues10%
Ádám Bódi7%
Nimrod Baranyai6%
Meldin Drešković5%
Stefan Lončar5%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Balázs Megyeri0%
Soma Szuhodovszki0%
János Ferenczi0%
Dorian Babunski0%
Dušan Lagator0%
João Oliveira0%
Alexandros Kyziridis0%
Andrija Majdevac0%
Þorleifur Úlfarsson0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Dominik Kocsis0%
Máté Tuboly0%
Tamas Batai0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dušan Lagator38%
Þorleifur Úlfarsson33%
János Ferenczi20%
Márk Szécsi20%
Máté Tuboly20%
Dominik Kocsis17%
Nimrod Baranyai17%
Vajda Botond15%
Meldin Drešković15%
Brandon Domingues14%
Oleksandr Romanchuk12%
Hamzat Ojediran12%
João Oliveira11%
Donát Bárány10%
Balázs Dzsudzsák8%
Ádám Bódi7%
Christian Manrique5%
Stefan Lončar5%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Balázs Megyeri0%
Soma Szuhodovszki0%
Erik Kusnyír0%
Dorian Babunski0%
Alexandros Kyziridis0%
Andrija Majdevac0%
Tamas Batai0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
János Ferenczi25%
Dorian Babunski25%
Soma Szuhodovszki12%
Máté Tuboly10%
Donát Bárány10%
Brandon Domingues10%
Balázs Dzsudzsák8%
Ádám Bódi7%
Hamzat Ojediran6%
Dušan Lagator5%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Stefan Lončar0%
Christian Manrique0%
Balázs Megyeri0%
Erik Kusnyír0%
Márk Szécsi0%
João Oliveira0%
Meldin Drešković0%
Alexandros Kyziridis0%
Andrija Majdevac0%
Þorleifur Úlfarsson0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Dominik Kocsis0%
Nimrod Baranyai0%
Vajda Botond0%
Tamas Batai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Donát Bárány24%
Alexandros Kyziridis20%
Balázs Dzsudzsák17%
Dušan Lagator10%
János Ferenczi5%
Meldin Drešković5%
Brandon Domingues5%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Stefan Lončar0%
Christian Manrique0%
Balázs Megyeri0%
Soma Szuhodovszki0%
Ádám Bódi0%
Erik Kusnyír0%
Márk Szécsi0%
Dorian Babunski0%
João Oliveira0%
Andrija Majdevac0%
Þorleifur Úlfarsson0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Hamzat Ojediran0%
Dominik Kocsis0%
Máté Tuboly0%
Nimrod Baranyai0%
Vajda Botond0%
Tamas Batai0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
Paks and Debreceni VSC have a similar squad value (both €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
Paks and Debreceni VSC have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
Paks and Debreceni VSC have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
Paks and Debreceni VSC have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Hungary: NB I 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Puskas Academy
Fehérvár FC
Kecskeméti TE
Diosgyori VTK
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
Ujpest
Kisvarda FC
Mezokovesd-zsory