Parma’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding an average of one goal against stronger opposition, yet their scoring rate remains low at one goal per match. Lazio, on the road, has been prolific, netting 1.5 goals on average while keeping a clean sheet against weaker opponents. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 41% chance, a draw at 32%, and a home win at 27%. The expected total goals is 2.1, centring on a 2-goal match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.6% probability. The suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 90.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 85.0%, Under 3.5 at 83.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 81.0%, and Under 10.5 corners at 76.5%. Parma’s recent form shows two straight defeats, while Lazio is riding a three-game winning streak. This tight, low-scoring game is likely to see Lazio edge Parma with a narrow 1-0 victory.
Results analysis
Parma’s recent run of two straight defeats left the home side looking fragile, while Lazio’s three-game winning streak kept the visitors in fine form. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as Lazio edged Parma 0-1. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 41 percent, and the prediction matched reality. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 90.4 percent, Over 2.5 cards at 85.3 percent, Under 11.5 corners at 85.0 percent, Under 3.5 goals at 83.6 percent, Over 21.5 fouls at 81.0 percent and Under 10.5 corners at 76.5 percent. The match confirmed the model’s overall assessment.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Parma win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.62
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.25
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lazio win✓ Hit
41.4%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.09
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Parma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.20
0.93
1.27
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
1.20
1.40
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
1.10
0.89
1.44
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lazio
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.00
1.47
0.87
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
1.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.71
1.21
1.00
0.80
0.56
1.44
vs Weaker (12)
1.75
0.67
1.88
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.7%
Under 1.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.4%
@ 2.24-6.4%
Under 2.5
64.6%
@ 1.61+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.4%
Under 3.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.2%
No
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.4%
0-1 ✓
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.0%
Parma goals ↓
Lazio goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
13%
8.7%
3.5%
1.0%
1
9.7%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
5.0%
6.0%
3.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
1.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Parma goals (down), columns = Lazio goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Parma is 0.24 points worse than Lazio in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Parma is 0.34 goals worse than Lazio in terms of goals scored per game (0.74 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Parma is 0.16 goals worse than Lazio in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Parma is 6.3 percentage points worse than Lazio in terms of average possession (44% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Parma
For 2.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 14.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lazio
For 3.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 16.9 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Parma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.8
10.3
4.4
4.9
3.9
23.9
25.1
22.8
vs Stronger (17)
9.5
8.2
10.6
4.1
4.4
3.9
19.3
21.4
17.4
vs Similar (33)
9.6
9.0
10.1
4.5
5.1
3.9
26.3
27.0
25.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
50%
62%
60%
71%
50%
66%
75%
58%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
40%
29%
50%
34%
25%
42%
This opponent (Lazio) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lazio
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.3
9.0
5.6
5.7
5.5
25.5
25.2
25.8
vs Stronger (6)
6.7
7.5
5.0
6.5
7.8
4.0
27.0
25.2
30.5
vs Similar (25)
9.7
11.2
8.3
5.8
6.2
5.3
24.9
25.2
24.5
vs Weaker (19)
10.6
10.3
10.8
5.1
4.0
6.1
25.7
25.0
26.4
% over line
46%
48%
44%
84%
84%
84%
78%
72%
84%
% under line
54%
52%
56%
16%
16%
16%
22%
28%
16%
This opponent (Parma) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.2
Udinese
9.7
Inter
9.7
Lazio
9.7
Juventus
9.6
AC Milan
9.6
Parma
9.5
Cagliari
9.5
Napoli
9.4
Genoa
9.2
Cremonese
9.1
Hellas Verona
9.1
AS Roma
9.1
Atalanta
9.1
Torino
9.0
Bologna
8.7
Fiorentina
8.6
Sassuolo
8.4
Pisa
8.2
Como
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.1
Como
4.9
Bologna
4.9
Cremonese
4.8
AS Roma
4.8
Hellas Verona
4.5
Parma
4.4
Genoa
4.3
Pisa
4.3
Sassuolo
4.2
AC Milan
4.2
Cagliari
4.1
Lecce
4.1
Udinese
4.0
Torino
3.8
Juventus
3.6
Inter
3.5
Napoli
3.3
Atalanta
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bologna
30.5
Cremonese
29.8
Fiorentina
28.8
Como
28.0
Pisa
27.0
Genoa
26.7
Cagliari
26.6
Sassuolo
26.3
AS Roma
25.9
Hellas Verona
25.5
Lazio
25.5
Udinese
25.0
Lecce
24.9
Torino
23.9
Parma
23.9
Juventus
23.6
Napoli
23.5
Inter
23.2
AC Milan
23.2
Atalanta
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.5%
Under 9.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.9%
Under 3.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.0%
Under 21.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Parma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.50
0.40
0.67
0.20
0.33
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.70
0.33
0.83
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.40
0.44
0.56
0.18
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lazio
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.30
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.20
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.21
0.40
0.40
0.22
0.11
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.33
0.88
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Parma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.70
0.67
0.17
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.70
0.44
0.89
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Lazio) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lazio
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.80
0.47
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
1.00
0.60
0.40
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lazio over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Parma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mateo Pellegrino23%
Nesta Elphege22%
Gabriel Strefezza14%
Adrian Benedyczak12%
Adrián Bernabé9%
Patrick Cutrone6%
Enrico Del Prato5%
Gaetano Oristanio5%
Mariano Troilo4%
Christian Ordoñez3%
Sascha Britschgi3%
Alessandro Circati3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Mandela Keita2%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
Hernani0%
Lautaro Valenti0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Milan Đurić0%
Pontus Almqvist0%
Emanuele Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Jacob Ondrejka0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye0%
Franco Carboni0%
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik0%
Benjamin Cremaschi0%
Daniel Mikołajewski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Ndiaye33%
Mariano Troilo30%
Lautaro Valenti25%
Gabriel Strefezza21%
Hernani20%
Sascha Britschgi19%
Alessandro Circati18%
Enrico Del Prato13%
Christian Ordoñez13%
Mateo Pellegrino13%
Jacob Ondrejka12%
Benjamin Cremaschi11%
Milan Đurić8%
Adrian Benedyczak6%
Edoardo Corvi6%
Nahuel Estévez6%
Emanuele Valeri6%
Mandela Keita5%
Gaetano Oristanio5%
Adrián Bernabé3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
Patrick Cutrone0%
Pontus Almqvist0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Franco Carboni0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik0%
Daniel Mikołajewski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia20%
Gabriel Strefezza14%
Adrian Benedyczak12%
Nesta Elphege11%
Emanuele Valeri9%
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik8%
Pontus Almqvist7%
Sascha Britschgi3%
Adrián Bernabé3%
Nahuel Estévez3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Mateo Pellegrino3%
Mandela Keita2%
Hernani0%
Patrick Cutrone0%
Lautaro Valenti0%
Enrico Del Prato0%
Milan Đurić0%
Gaetano Oristanio0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Jacob Ondrejka0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye0%
Franco Carboni0%
Alessandro Circati0%
Benjamin Cremaschi0%
Christian Ordoñez0%
Daniel Mikołajewski0%
Mariano Troilo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mateo Pellegrino28%
Patrick Cutrone12%
Jacob Ondrejka12%
Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik8%
Gabriel Strefezza7%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia7%
Adrian Benedyczak6%
Adrián Bernabé3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Enrico Del Prato3%
Hernani0%
Lautaro Valenti0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Milan Đurić0%
Pontus Almqvist0%
Emanuele Valeri0%
Gaetano Oristanio0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Zion Suzuki0%
Abdoulaye Ndiaye0%
Franco Carboni0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Mandela Keita0%
Alessandro Circati0%
Benjamin Cremaschi0%
Christian Ordoñez0%
Daniel Mikołajewski0%
Mariano Troilo0%
Sascha Britschgi0%
Lazio
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentín Castellanos17%
Pedro15%
Tijjani Noslin15%
Daniel Maldini14%
Gustav Isaksen14%
Mattia Zaccagni13%
Mattéo Guendouzi12%
Danilo Cataldi10%
Kenneth Taylor10%
Matteo Cancellieri9%
Toma Bašić8%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru7%
Boulaye Dia7%
Luca Pellegrini4%
Alessio Romagnoli3%
Adam Marušić3%
Matías Vecino0%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Patric0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mattéo Guendouzi35%
Luca Pellegrini31%
Kenneth Taylor24%
Mattia Zaccagni23%
Nuno Tavares21%
Danilo Cataldi20%
Matteo Cancellieri20%
Valentín Castellanos17%
Mario Gila Fuentes17%
Alessio Romagnoli16%
Pedro15%
Tijjani Noslin15%
Patric12%
Manuel Lazzari12%
Oliver Provstgaard11%
Edoardo Motta9%
Nicolò Rovella8%
Matías Vecino7%
Reda Belahyane7%
Ivan Provedel3%
Boulaye Dia3%
Adam Marušić3%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Toma Bašić0%
Daniel Maldini0%
Gustav Isaksen0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Valentín Castellanos17%
Daniel Maldini14%
Reda Belahyane14%
Toma Bašić12%
Danilo Cataldi10%
Kenneth Taylor10%
Nicolò Rovella8%
Matías Vecino7%
Boulaye Dia7%
Pedro6%
Mattéo Guendouzi6%
Tijjani Noslin6%
Matteo Cancellieri6%
Adam Marušić5%
Nuno Tavares4%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru4%
Mattia Zaccagni3%
Gustav Isaksen3%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Alessio Romagnoli0%
Patric0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentín Castellanos17%
Toma Bašić12%
Gustav Isaksen11%
Matteo Cancellieri11%
Matías Vecino7%
Daniel Maldini7%
Mattia Zaccagni7%
Mattéo Guendouzi6%
Tijjani Noslin6%
Elseid Hysaj0%
Alessio Romagnoli0%
Patric0%
Adam Marušić0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Pedro0%
Boulaye Dia0%
Luca Pellegrini0%
Nicolò Rovella0%
Manuel Lazzari0%
Ivan Provedel0%
Kenneth Taylor0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru0%
Mario Gila Fuentes0%
Petar Ratkov0%
Reda Belahyane0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Edoardo Motta0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Parma's squad is €98m less valuable than Lazio's (€142m vs €240m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Parma's attack is €25m less valuable than Lazio's (€35m vs €60m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Parma's midfield is €26m less valuable than Lazio's (€60m vs €86m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Parma's defence is €47m less valuable than Lazio's (€46m vs €93m).
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Inter
Napoli
AS Roma
Como
AC Milan
Juventus
Atalanta
Bologna
Udinese
Sassuolo
Torino
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Genoa
Lecce
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
Pisa